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Who Should I Draft?

Zack Greinke or Zack Wheeler (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Zack Wheeler
SP - PHI
Zack Wheeler
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Expert
Recommendation
51%
Recommended by
26 of 51 experts
49%
Recommended by
25 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 30# 29
Best Rank# 19# 10
Worst Rank# 54# 61
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 87# 93
Best Rank# 79# 65
Worst Rank# 102# 99
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts172171
Wins1212
Saves00
ERA3.893.85
WHIP1.231.14
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 28
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 31
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 47# 59
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 54# 61
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 33# 39
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 27# 29
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 27# 29
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 24# 35
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 21# 27
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 21# 39
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 26# 34
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 30# 38
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 26# 30
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 35# 44
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 32# 33
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 31# 33
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 27# 37
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 35# 36
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 27# 30
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 33# 43
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 31# 32
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 30# 37
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 30# 31
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 22# 45
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 29# 30
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 35# 46
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 19# 10
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 32# 15
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 30# 18
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 36# 22
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 29# 22
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 22
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 35# 23
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 27# 23
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 31# 25
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 33# 25
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 28# 27
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 32# 27
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 38# 27
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 31# 28
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 30# 29
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 34# 29
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 29
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 32# 29
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 42# 29
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 31# 30
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 47# 31
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 47# 31
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 37# 31
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 42# 34
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 44# 35
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Zack Wheeler
SP - PHI
Zack Wheeler
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1112
   
Games Started1112
   
Innings Pitched71.267.1
   
Wins43
   
Losses23
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed6667
   
Earned Runs2330
   
Home Runs Allowed36
   
Strikeouts5367
   
Walks169
   
ERA2.924.03
   
WHIP1.151.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Zack Wheeler
SP - PHI
Zack Wheeler
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3031
   
Games Started3031
   
Innings Pitched182.0183.4
   
Wins1212
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed177174
   
Earned Runs7978
   
Home Runs Allowed2328
   
Strikeouts172171
   
Walks4736
   
ERA3.893.85
   
WHIP1.231.14
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Zack Wheeler
SP - PHI
Zack Wheeler
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
News 
 Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed one earned run on four hits and two walks while striking out nine over six innings in a no-decision Wednesday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Sep 23rd
Astros starter Zack Greinke allowed five runs over four innings of work against the Diamondbacks on Sunday. His final line included five hits, one walk, three strikeouts, one homer, and the no-decision. Houston ultimately defeated Arizona by a score of 7-6.
Andersen Pickard
Mon, Sep 20th
 Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed one earned run on four hits and one walk while striking out six over five innings in Friday's win over the Mets. The win brings him to 14-9 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Sep 18th
Astros veteran starter Zack Greinke had a horrendous outing on Tuesday as he allowed eight runs (seven earned) over five innings of work against the Rangers. His final line included five hits, three walks, four strikeouts, three homers, and the loss. Houston ultimately fell to Texas by a score of 8-1.
Andersen Pickard
Tue, Sep 14th
 Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed four earned runs on five hits and four walks while striking out four over six innings in Monday's win over the Nationals. The win brings him to 11-9 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Aug 31st
Astros starting pitcher Zack Greinke (COVID-19) will return to the mound on Tuesday against the Rangers.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Sep 11th
 Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed seven runs (five earned) on 10 hits and no walks while striking out 10 over eight innings in Wednesday's loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. The loss drops him to 10-9 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Aug 26th
Astros RHP Zack Greinke (COVID-19) will throw a bullpen on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 10th
 Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed six earned runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out seven over 6 2/3 innings in Thursday's loss to the Diamondbacks.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Aug 20th
Zack Greinke has been placed on the COVID injured list by the Astros. He will miss his next scheduled start against the Padres.
Chris Schommer
Wed, Sep 1st
Notes 
 Wheeler's first season in Philadelphia was a success, in that he had the lowest ERA of his career (2.92) and a strong 1.17 WHIP. But his strikeout numbers plummeted, as he struck out just 18.4% of batters. The whiff rate on all of Wheeler's pitches, other than his "show me" curveball, dropped significantly, despite the fact that his velocity remained the same. If Wheeler can again excel at completely limiting hard contact like he did last season (his 85.7 MPH average exit velocity allowed ranked in the top 10% in baseball), then he can probably get away with the lack of strikeouts. Otherwise, he's unlikely to repeat his 2020 success. Given the shortened season, it's a good bet that Wheeler's strikeouts will bounce back, and you can slot him in as an SP3 without much worry.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Greinke is entering his age-37 season, but still somehow keeps getting it done. His ERA of 4.03 last year was certainly higher than fantasy managers are used to seeing, but it came with a 2.80 FIP and 3.51 xFIP. His strikeout rate was his best since 2017 and his walk rate of 3.3% was the best of his entire career. But his velocity was down about two ticks, with his fastball clocking in at just 87.9 miles per hour. Greinke is as smart a pitcher as there is but it's going to be difficult to succeed over the course of a full 162-game season if his pure stuff continues to diminish. He's one of the few pitchers in the game who is probably capable of pitching 200 innings in 2021, but expect a continued downward trend in his performance.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros