Who Should I Draft?

Zack Wheeler or Charlie Morton (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Expert
Recommendation
75%
Recommended by
44 of 59 experts
25%
Recommended by
15 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 28# 36
Best Rank# 13# 19
Worst Rank# 92# 80
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 85# 114
Best Rank# 83# 97
Worst Rank# 96# 117
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts169176
Wins1112
Saves00
ERA3.593.41
WHIP1.241.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 13# 33
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 38
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 37
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 27# 50
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 28
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 29# 42
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 25# 41
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 35# 53
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 47# 51
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 36
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 26# 27
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 21# 40
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 38# 43
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 36
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 33# 80
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 29# 36
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 23# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 32# 46
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 26# 40
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 23# 28
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 26# 29
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 21# 23
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 21# 40
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 24# 36
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 32# 66
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 27# 40
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 18# 34
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 16# 44
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 25# 58
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 20# 30
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 18# 37
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 22# 38
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 21# 43
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 51# 57
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 28# 37
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 23# 46
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 28# 36
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 39# 40
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 31# 55
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 28# 38
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 20# 34
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 33# 41
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 32# 44
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 21# 34
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 29# 27
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 31# 24
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 33# 25
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 34# 28
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 35# 30
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 38# 32
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 39# 19
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 39# 29
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 43# 38
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 46# 24
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 46# 34
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 49# 28
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 51# 46
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 58# 32
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 92# 69
   
  Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2930
   
Games Started2930
   
Innings Pitched182.2167.2
   
Wins1215
   
Losses73
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed150130
   
Earned Runs6758
   
Home Runs Allowed1418
   
Strikeouts179201
   
Walks5564
   
ERA3.313.13
   
WHIP1.121.16
   
  Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2927
   
Games Started2927
   
Innings Pitched172.4157.3
   
Wins1112
   
Losses97
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed155132
   
Earned Runs6960
   
Home Runs Allowed1816
   
Strikeouts169176
   
Walks5858
   
ERA3.593.41
   
WHIP1.241.21
   
  Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
News 
 Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed one earned run on seven hits and one walk while striking out six over seven innings in a no-decision against the Reds on Saturday.
Mike Maher
Sun, Sep 22nd
Charlie Morton allowed two runs on five hits and a walk while striking out eight over 6 1/3 innings Friday against the Red Sox. He didn't factor into the decision.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 21st
 Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed one earned run on six hits and no walks while striking out nine over seven innings in a no-decision against the Dodgers on Sunday.
Mike Maher
Mon, Sep 16th
Charlie Morton earned the win Friday, holding the Angels to three runs on six hits and a walk while striking out four across six innings.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
 Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed one earned run on seven hits and two walks while striking out seven over seven innings in Tuesday's win over the Diamondbacks. The win brings him to 11-7 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Sep 11th
Charlie Morton struck out 10 while allowing three runs on five hits with two walks across six innings during a no-decision against the Blue Jays on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 8th
 Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed one earned run on seven hits and two walks while striking out three over five innings in Wednesday's win over the Nationals. The win brings him to 10-7 on the year.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 5th
Charlie Morton gave up one earned run on four hits and three walks with eight strikeouts over 5 1/3 innings as he earned his 14th win of the year.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 2nd
 Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed one earned run on seven hits and three walks while striking out four over six innings in a no-decision against the Phillies on Friday.
Mike Maher
Sat, Aug 31st
Charlie Morton gave up six runs on seven hits with two walks and four strikeouts in four innings as the Rays lost to the Astros on Tuesday.
John Aubin
Wed, Aug 28th
Notes 
 Wheeler has had struggles staying on the field but even if we can get 120 innings of the way he pitched to close the season, he would prove well worth a mid-round pick's investment. He may be the breakout ace that no one in the industry seems to be talking about this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
After nearly a decade of mediocrity, the Astros turned Morton into a high-end starter in 2017, and he was even better in 2018. At this point, he feels relatively safe to pencil in for a mid-3.00s ERA, 10.0 K/9 rate, and WHIP in the 1.15-1.20 range. The concerns are his advancing age and durability -- he's never thrown more than 172 innings in a season. The move to Tampa Bay is also a mild concern, less so for the change of division than for the move away from a Houston team that seemingly knew how to get the best out of him.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Wheeler posted a mid-3.00s ERA for the third time in four years in 2018, proving that his rough 2017 season was the true outlier. His .279 BABIP allowed was somewhat fortunate, but he also significantly trimmed his walk rate, providing confidence that he can maintain some of the gain he made in WHIP last year. He doesn't strike out enough hitters to have ace potential, but fantasy owners can feel pretty good about Wheeler as their third starter in 12-team mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Morton followed an improbable late-career renaissance with an even better 2018. In his most innings pitched (167) since 2011, he etched out a 3.13 ERA and 201 strikeouts. Yet he wore down as the season transpired, as his K rate dropped seven points to 24.2% after the All-Star break. Given his durability concerns and struggles when facing a batting order for the third time, the Rays will likely keep limiting him to five innings per start (or even have him follow an opener). Morton will perform on a per-inning basis, but investors should probably expect results closer to 2017's 3.62 ERA and 163 strikeouts in 146.2 innings.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Written off after an ineffective 2017 (5.21 ERA) following two season lost to Tommy John surgery, Wheeler unlocked his ace potential late last season. He was nearly as good as Jacob deGrom after the All-Star break, boasting a 1.68 ERA and 20.4 K-BB% in 11 starts. He went at least seven innings in nine of them and averaged 6.3 innings per start on the season. Fueled by a stellar heater, no qualified starter acquiesced a lower hard-hit rate (26.6%), and just two (deGrom and Max Scherzer) generated more soft contact. Another 180 innings, which is far from a given, is all Wheeler needs to give the Mets and fantasy investors another ace.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros