Who Should I Draft?

Zack Wheeler or Charlie Morton (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Expert
Recommendation
75%
Recommended by
42 of 56 experts
25%
Recommended by
14 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 28# 34
Best Rank# 13# 19
Worst Rank# 92# 80
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 85# 114
Best Rank# 83# 97
Worst Rank# 96# 117
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts169176
Wins1112
Saves00
ERA3.593.41
WHIP1.241.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 13# 33
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 38
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 37
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 27# 50
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 28
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 29# 42
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 25# 41
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 35# 53
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 47# 51
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 36
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 26# 27
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 21# 40
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 38# 43
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 36
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 33# 80
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 29# 36
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 23# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 32# 46
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 26# 40
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 23# 28
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 26# 29
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 21# 23
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 21# 40
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 24# 36
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 32# 66
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 27# 40
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 32# 38
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 18# 34
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 16# 44
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 25# 58
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 20# 30
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 18# 37
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 22# 38
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 21# 43
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 51# 57
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 28# 37
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 23# 46
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 28# 36
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 28# 38
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 33# 41
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 32# 44
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 21# 34
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 31# 24
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 33# 25
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 34# 28
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 35# 30
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 38# 32
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 39# 19
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 39# 29
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 43# 38
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 46# 24
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 46# 34
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 49# 28
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 51# 46
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 58# 32
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 92# 69
   
  Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2930
   
Games Started2930
   
Innings Pitched182.2167.2
   
Wins1215
   
Losses73
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed150130
   
Earned Runs6758
   
Home Runs Allowed1418
   
Strikeouts179201
   
Walks5564
   
ERA3.313.13
   
WHIP1.121.16
   
  Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2927
   
Games Started2927
   
Innings Pitched172.4157.3
   
Wins1112
   
Losses97
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed155132
   
Earned Runs6960
   
Home Runs Allowed1816
   
Strikeouts169176
   
Walks5858
   
ERA3.593.41
   
WHIP1.241.21
   
  Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
News 
 Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed four earned runs on 10 hits and two walks while striking out four over six innings in Monday’s loss to the Atlanta Braves. The loss drops him to 5-5 on the season.
Mike Maher
Tue, Jun 18th
Charlie Morton gave up four runs on five hits while walking two and striking out nine batters through six innings and was charged with a loss to the Angels on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 15th
 Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed nine runs (five earned) on 10 hits and one walk while striking out six over 4.2 innings in a loss to the New York Yankees on Tuesday. The loss drops him to 5-4 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Jun 12th
Charlie Morton allowed two hits and two walks while firing seven scoreless innings Monday, striking out seven batters and earning the win over the Athletics.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
 Mets starting pitcher Zack Wheeler allowed three earned runs on three hits and one walk while striking out six over seven innings in a no-decision against the San Francisco Giants on Thursday.
Mike Maher
Fri, Jun 7th
Charlie Morton picked up the win Wednesday, allowing five hits over seven scoreless innings while striking out eight as the Rays handed the Tigers a 4-0 defeat.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 6th
 Wheeler allowed three runs on three hits with six strikeouts and one walk across six seven innings in a no-decision against the Giants on Thursday.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
Charlie Morton (6-0) earned the win Thursday against the Twins by allowing two runs on four hits and no walks across seven innings. He struck out six.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
 Mets starting pitcher Zack Wheeler allowed four earned runs on seven hits and no walks while striking out nine over seven innings in Friday’s win over the Arizona Diamondbacks. The win brings him to 5-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 1st
Charlie Morton struck out 10 and allowed just one run on three hits over six innings in the Rays’ 6-2 victory over the Indians on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, May 26th
Notes 
 Wheeler has had struggles staying on the field but even if we can get 120 innings of the way he pitched to close the season, he would prove well worth a mid-round pick's investment. He may be the breakout ace that no one in the industry seems to be talking about this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
After nearly a decade of mediocrity, the Astros turned Morton into a high-end starter in 2017, and he was even better in 2018. At this point, he feels relatively safe to pencil in for a mid-3.00s ERA, 10.0 K/9 rate, and WHIP in the 1.15-1.20 range. The concerns are his advancing age and durability -- he's never thrown more than 172 innings in a season. The move to Tampa Bay is also a mild concern, less so for the change of division than for the move away from a Houston team that seemingly knew how to get the best out of him.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Wheeler posted a mid-3.00s ERA for the third time in four years in 2018, proving that his rough 2017 season was the true outlier. His .279 BABIP allowed was somewhat fortunate, but he also significantly trimmed his walk rate, providing confidence that he can maintain some of the gain he made in WHIP last year. He doesn't strike out enough hitters to have ace potential, but fantasy owners can feel pretty good about Wheeler as their third starter in 12-team mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Morton followed an improbable late-career renaissance with an even better 2018. In his most innings pitched (167) since 2011, he etched out a 3.13 ERA and 201 strikeouts. Yet he wore down as the season transpired, as his K rate dropped seven points to 24.2% after the All-Star break. Given his durability concerns and struggles when facing a batting order for the third time, the Rays will likely keep limiting him to five innings per start (or even have him follow an opener). Morton will perform on a per-inning basis, but investors should probably expect results closer to 2017's 3.62 ERA and 163 strikeouts in 146.2 innings.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Written off after an ineffective 2017 (5.21 ERA) following two season lost to Tommy John surgery, Wheeler unlocked his ace potential late last season. He was nearly as good as Jacob deGrom after the All-Star break, boasting a 1.68 ERA and 20.4 K-BB% in 11 starts. He went at least seven innings in nine of them and averaged 6.3 innings per start on the season. Fueled by a stellar heater, no qualified starter acquiesced a lower hard-hit rate (26.6%), and just two (deGrom and Max Scherzer) generated more soft contact. Another 180 innings, which is far from a given, is all Wheeler needs to give the Mets and fantasy investors another ace.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros