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Who Should I Draft?

Zack Wheeler or Dinelson Lamet (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Zack Wheeler
SP - PHI
Zack Wheeler
Dinelson Lamet
SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
Expert
Recommendation
78%
Recommended by
39 of 50 experts
22%
Recommended by
11 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 30# 40
Best Rank# 19# 19
Worst Rank# 54# 262
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 87# 106
Best Rank# 79# 71
Worst Rank# 102# 113
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts172169
Wins129
Saves00
ERA3.893.42
WHIP1.231.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-DTD
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 42
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 47
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 53
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 19# 38
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 38# 62
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 28# 37
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 33# 57
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 27# 31
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 27# 44
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 32# 33
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 24# 25
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 21# 30
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 31# 50
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 35
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 42# 64
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 32# 54
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 44# 55
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 30# 43
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 21# 54
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 26# 62
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 30# 39
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 29# 55
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 31# 43
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 26# 52
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 35# 43
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 37# 56
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 30# 37
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 27# 36
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 27# 33
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 31# 34
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 36# 56
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 30# 33
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 27# 39
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 30# 38
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 22# 47
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 29# 39
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 42# 262
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 35# 37
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 31# 66
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 31# 19
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 32# 31
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 33# 24
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 33# 27
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 34# 23
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 35# 22
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 35# 32
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 47# 37
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 47# 29
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 47# 20
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 54# 22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Zack Wheeler
SP - PHI
Zack Wheeler
Dinelson Lamet
SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1112
   
Games Started1112
   
Innings Pitched71.269.0
   
Wins43
   
Losses21
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed6639
   
Earned Runs2316
   
Home Runs Allowed35
   
Strikeouts5393
   
Walks1620
   
ERA2.922.09
   
WHIP1.150.86
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Zack Wheeler
SP - PHI
Zack Wheeler
Dinelson Lamet
SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3024
   
Games Started3024
   
Innings Pitched182.0130.4
   
Wins129
   
Losses86
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed177101
   
Earned Runs7949
   
Home Runs Allowed2317
   
Strikeouts172169
   
Walks4744
   
ERA3.893.42
   
WHIP1.231.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Zack Wheeler
SP - PHI
Zack Wheeler
Dinelson Lamet
SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
News 
 Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed four earned runs on five hits and three walks while striking out six over 5 2/3 innings in Tuesday's no-decision against the San Francisco Giants.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Apr 21st
Dinelson Lamet (forearm) left Wednesday's start against the Brewers with forearm tightness. He pitched two scoreless innings.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Apr 21st
 Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed three earned runs on 10 hits and one walk while striking out six over 6 1/3 innings in Wednesday's loss to the New York Mets. The loss drops him to 1-2 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Apr 15th
The Padres activated RHP Dinelson Lamet from the 10-day IL.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Apr 21st
 Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed three earned runs on seven hits and four walks while striking out four over 4 2/3 innings in Friday's loss to the Atlanta Braves.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Apr 10th
Padres pitcher Dinelson Lamet (elbow) is expected to make his season debut either Tuesday or Wednesday against the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Mon, Apr 19th
 Phillies starter Zack Wheeler tossed seven scoreless, one-hit innings in Saturday's win over the Atlanta Braves. He struck out 10,
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sun, Apr 4th
Padres RHP Dinelson Lamet (elbow) will make at least one more start at the team's alternate training site.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Apr 12th
 Phillies' skipper Joe Girardi announced on Monday that Zack Wheeler would take the mound for the second game of the season.
Jack Mannis
Wed, Mar 31st
Dinelson Lamet threw 3.2 innings in Peoria, Arizona Friday at the Padres alternate site.
Ari Koslow
Sat, Apr 10th
Notes 
 Wheeler's first season in Philadelphia was a success, in that he had the lowest ERA of his career (2.92) and a strong 1.17 WHIP. But his strikeout numbers plummeted, as he struck out just 18.4% of batters. The whiff rate on all of Wheeler's pitches, other than his "show me" curveball, dropped significantly, despite the fact that his velocity remained the same. If Wheeler can again excel at completely limiting hard contact like he did last season (his 85.7 MPH average exit velocity allowed ranked in the top 10% in baseball), then he can probably get away with the lack of strikeouts. Otherwise, he's unlikely to repeat his 2020 success. Given the shortened season, it's a good bet that Wheeler's strikeouts will bounce back, and you can slot him in as an SP3 without much worry.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Lamet had a dominant curveball in 2019 which he threw 31.7% of the time. Batters hit just .105 against it that year with a .193 wOBA. But Lamet ditched it entirely in 2020, and instead replaced it by greatly upping his slider usage, from 12.2% in 2019 to 53.4% in 2020. And somehow, his slider was even better than his curveball ever was. Batters hit 0.80 against it with a .120 slugging percentage and a .141 wOBA. It was, simply put, the best pitch in baseball last year. Unfortunately, Lamet's arm couldn't hold up to the stress, and he missed the end of the regular season and the playoffs because of an elbow injury. He underwent PRP therapy on his elbow in October and is progressing well, but the Padres' focus on adding starting pitching this offseason suggests that they are not expecting to have Lamet for the full season. Monitor his health this spring, but understand that even if he begins the year healthy, there are plenty of injury concerns.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros