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Who Should I Draft?

Zack Wheeler or Jesus Luzardo (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Zack Wheeler
SP - PHI
Zack Wheeler
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
Expert
Recommendation
67%
Recommended by
34 of 51 experts
33%
Recommended by
17 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 30# 33
Best Rank# 19# 20
Worst Rank# 54# 66
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 87# 101
Best Rank# 79# 85
Worst Rank# 102# 112
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts172144
Wins129
Saves00
ERA3.893.73
WHIP1.231.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 33
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 49
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 19# 50
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 38# 39
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 28# 38
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 33# 37
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 33# 46
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 32# 46
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 27# 33
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 32# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 24# 43
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 21# 57
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 31# 41
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 44
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 32# 34
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 34# 38
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 21# 38
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 26# 35
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 30# 34
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 31# 37
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 26# 29
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 37# 39
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 32# 42
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 30# 33
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 27# 38
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 35# 40
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 27# 38
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 31# 35
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 30# 38
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 30# 45
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 22# 23
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 29# 33
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 42# 66
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 27# 24
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 27# 24
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 29# 27
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 30# 20
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 31# 28
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 31# 30
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 33# 31
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 35# 29
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 35# 24
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 35# 29
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 36# 29
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 42# 28
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 44# 24
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 47# 35
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 47# 26
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 47# 30
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 54# 51
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Zack Wheeler
SP - PHI
Zack Wheeler
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1112
   
Games Started119
   
Innings Pitched71.259.2
   
Wins43
   
Losses22
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed6657
   
Earned Runs2325
   
Home Runs Allowed39
   
Strikeouts5359
   
Walks1617
   
ERA2.923.81
   
WHIP1.151.25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Zack Wheeler
SP - PHI
Zack Wheeler
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3027
   
Games Started3026
   
Innings Pitched182.0141.6
   
Wins129
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed177130
   
Earned Runs7959
   
Home Runs Allowed2319
   
Strikeouts172144
   
Walks4741
   
ERA3.893.73
   
WHIP1.231.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Zack Wheeler
SP - PHI
Zack Wheeler
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
News 
 Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed one earned run on four hits and two walks while striking out nine over six innings in a no-decision Wednesday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Sep 23rd
Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed five earned runs on six hits and four walks while striking out two over four innings in a no-decision against the Nationals on Monday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Sep 21st
 Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed one earned run on four hits and one walk while striking out six over five innings in Friday's win over the Mets. The win brings him to 14-9 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Sep 18th
Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed four earned runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out just one over 4 1/3 innings in Tuesday's loss to the Nationals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 15th
 Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed four earned runs on five hits and four walks while striking out four over six innings in Monday's win over the Nationals. The win brings him to 11-9 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Aug 31st
Marlins pitcher Jesus Luzardo allowed two earned runs on two hits and four walks while striking out eight over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Mets on Thursday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 10th
 Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed seven runs (five earned) on 10 hits and no walks while striking out 10 over eight innings in Wednesday's loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. The loss drops him to 10-9 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Aug 26th
Marlins pitcher Jesus Luzardo allowed three earned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out three over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Phillies on Friday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Sep 4th
 Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed six earned runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out seven over 6 2/3 innings in Thursday's loss to the Diamondbacks.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Aug 20th
Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed five earned runs on 10 hits and one walk while striking out three over 4 2/3 innings in Tuesday's loss to the Nationals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Aug 25th
Notes 
 Wheeler's first season in Philadelphia was a success, in that he had the lowest ERA of his career (2.92) and a strong 1.17 WHIP. But his strikeout numbers plummeted, as he struck out just 18.4% of batters. The whiff rate on all of Wheeler's pitches, other than his "show me" curveball, dropped significantly, despite the fact that his velocity remained the same. If Wheeler can again excel at completely limiting hard contact like he did last season (his 85.7 MPH average exit velocity allowed ranked in the top 10% in baseball), then he can probably get away with the lack of strikeouts. Otherwise, he's unlikely to repeat his 2020 success. Given the shortened season, it's a good bet that Wheeler's strikeouts will bounce back, and you can slot him in as an SP3 without much worry.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Luzardo's 2020 campaign wasn't terrible, but it certainly left fantasy managers wanting more. The strikeouts were there, but not quite at the level that was expected. He rarely went deep into games. And he was just more hittable than he ever was in the minors or in his brief time as a reliever in 2019. Luzardo throws four quality pitches and is working to improve his arsenal as we head into the 2021 season, so there's little reason to downgrade your opinion of him too much from where it was prior to the 2020 campaign because of one nine-start stretch. He's an incredibly high-upside pitcher who carries with him plenty of injury risk, and the combination leaves him as a solid SP3 for fantasy leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros