Who Should I Draft?

Zack Wheeler or Masahiro Tanaka (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Expert
Recommendation
80%
Recommended by
45 of 56 experts
20%
Recommended by
11 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 28# 35
Best Rank# 13# 20
Worst Rank# 92# 60
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 85# 120
Best Rank# 83# 97
Worst Rank# 96# 129
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts169166
Wins1112
Saves00
ERA3.593.80
WHIP1.241.17
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 13# 37
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 31
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 27
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 27# 43
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 31# 32
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 32
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 29# 38
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 39# 51
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 25# 48
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 35# 42
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 39
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 26# 40
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 21# 54
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 38# 41
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 23
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 33# 43
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 29# 35
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 23# 37
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 32# 35
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 26# 43
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 23# 53
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 26# 60
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 21# 36
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 21# 34
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 24# 39
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 32# 48
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 27# 41
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 32# 39
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 18# 36
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 16# 40
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 25# 27
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 20# 35
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 18# 39
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 34# 42
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 22# 44
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 21# 41
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 43# 50
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 39# 51
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 28# 42
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 23# 45
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 28# 39
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 35# 38
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 28# 35
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 32# 37
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 21# 38
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 33# 30
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 33# 31
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 38# 37
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 46# 29
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 46# 44
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 47# 29
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 49# 27
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 51# 30
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 51# 41
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 58# 31
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 92# 20
   
  Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2927
   
Games Started2927
   
Innings Pitched182.2156.0
   
Wins1212
   
Losses76
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed150141
   
Earned Runs6765
   
Home Runs Allowed1425
   
Strikeouts179159
   
Walks5535
   
ERA3.313.75
   
WHIP1.121.13
   
  Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2928
   
Games Started2928
   
Innings Pitched172.4165.0
   
Wins1112
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed155156
   
Earned Runs6970
   
Home Runs Allowed1824
   
Strikeouts169166
   
Walks5838
   
ERA3.593.80
   
WHIP1.241.17
   
  Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
News 
 Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed nine runs (five earned) on 10 hits and one walk while striking out six over 4.2 innings in a loss to the New York Yankees on Tuesday. The loss drops him to 5-4 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Jun 12th
Masahiro Tanaka gave up five runs (four earned) on seven hits while striking out seven and not walking a batter over 6 2/3 innings in a win over the Mets on Tuesday.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
 Mets starting pitcher Zack Wheeler allowed three earned runs on three hits and one walk while striking out six over seven innings in a no-decision against the San Francisco Giants on Thursday.
Mike Maher
Fri, Jun 7th
Monday’s game between the Mets and Yankees has been postponed due to rain.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 10th
 Wheeler allowed three runs on three hits with six strikeouts and one walk across six seven innings in a no-decision against the Giants on Thursday.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
Tanaka will return from the paternity list to start Monday against the Mets.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Jun 8th
 Mets starting pitcher Zack Wheeler allowed four earned runs on seven hits and no walks while striking out nine over seven innings in Friday’s win over the Arizona Diamondbacks. The win brings him to 5-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 1st
The Yankees placed Masahiro Tanaka on the paternity leave list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 8th
 Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed three earned runs on five hits and one walk while striking out eight over 7 1/3 innings in a win over the Detroit Tigers on Sunday. The win brings him to 4-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Mon, May 27th
Tanaka may miss his next scheduled start Sunday in Cleveland due to the birth of his child.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
Notes 
 Wheeler has had struggles staying on the field but even if we can get 120 innings of the way he pitched to close the season, he would prove well worth a mid-round pick's investment. He may be the breakout ace that no one in the industry seems to be talking about this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Tanaka was basically the same pitcher last year as he was in 2017, but he shaved a run off of his ERA thanks to slight improvements in BABIP allowed, home runs allowed, and left-on-base percentage. Still, home runs remain an issue for Tanaka, which explains why his ERA generally lags behind his WHIP. He's also never made it to 200 innings, so he's not exactly a workhorse. At this point we should just accept Tanaka for what he is: a solid third or fourth fantasy starter.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Wheeler posted a mid-3.00s ERA for the third time in four years in 2018, proving that his rough 2017 season was the true outlier. His .279 BABIP allowed was somewhat fortunate, but he also significantly trimmed his walk rate, providing confidence that he can maintain some of the gain he made in WHIP last year. He doesn't strike out enough hitters to have ace potential, but fantasy owners can feel pretty good about Wheeler as their third starter in 12-team mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Tanaka's xFIP (3.42) and SIERA (3.50) dropped 0.02 points apiece, but his ERA plunged nearly a full run from 4.74 to 3.75. That works just fine when paired with a 1.13 WHIP and 9.17 K/9. His elite skills support last season's approved ERA if he can avoid home-run catastrophe in Yankee Stadium. Just prepare to assume some added volatility when his splitter isn't clicking, and he's more likely to work 160 innings than 190. Those risks are all factored into his reasonable SP3 price.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Written off after an ineffective 2017 (5.21 ERA) following two season lost to Tommy John surgery, Wheeler unlocked his ace potential late last season. He was nearly as good as Jacob deGrom after the All-Star break, boasting a 1.68 ERA and 20.4 K-BB% in 11 starts. He went at least seven innings in nine of them and averaged 6.3 innings per start on the season. Fueled by a stellar heater, no qualified starter acquiesced a lower hard-hit rate (26.6%), and just two (deGrom and Max Scherzer) generated more soft contact. Another 180 innings, which is far from a given, is all Wheeler needs to give the Mets and fantasy investors another ace.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros