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Who Should I Draft?

Zack Wheeler or Zach Plesac (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Zack Wheeler
SP - PHI
Zack Wheeler
Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
Expert
Recommendation
76%
Recommended by
39 of 51 experts
24%
Recommended by
12 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 30# 35
Best Rank# 19# 21
Worst Rank# 54# 63
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 87# 73
Best Rank# 79# 60
Worst Rank# 102# 102
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts172149
Wins1210
Saves00
ERA3.894.19
WHIP1.231.20
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 30
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 37
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 19# 40
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 28# 42
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 54# 57
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 33# 44
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 33# 49
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 32# 63
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 27# 30
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 27# 30
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 32# 35
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 24# 56
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 21# 35
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 31# 45
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 38
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 32# 38
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 44# 60
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 21# 28
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 26# 40
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 30# 32
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 29# 35
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 26# 49
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 35# 45
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 30# 35
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 27# 48
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 35# 47
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 35# 45
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 27# 39
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 33# 34
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 31# 33
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 36# 38
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 30# 41
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 27# 31
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 30# 35
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 22# 42
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 29# 35
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 42# 46
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 35# 43
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 31# 48
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 25
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 30# 23
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 31# 24
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 31# 26
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 32# 21
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 34# 33
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 37# 28
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 38# 36
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 42# 24
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 47# 22
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 47# 36
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 47# 27
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Zack Wheeler
SP - PHI
Zack Wheeler
Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played118
   
Games Started118
   
Innings Pitched71.255.1
   
Wins44
   
Losses22
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed6638
   
Earned Runs2314
   
Home Runs Allowed38
   
Strikeouts5357
   
Walks166
   
ERA2.922.28
   
WHIP1.150.80
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Zack Wheeler
SP - PHI
Zack Wheeler
Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3028
   
Games Started3028
   
Innings Pitched182.0160.5
   
Wins1210
   
Losses89
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed177151
   
Earned Runs7975
   
Home Runs Allowed2326
   
Strikeouts172149
   
Walks4741
   
ERA3.894.19
   
WHIP1.231.20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Zack Wheeler
SP - PHI
Zack Wheeler
Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
News 
 Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed one earned run on four hits and one walk while striking out six over five innings in Friday's win over the Mets. The win brings him to 14-9 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Sep 18th
Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac allowed five runs over six innings in an 8-0 loss to the Yankees on Friday. Plesac struck out six and allowed two homers in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Fri, Sep 17th
 Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed four earned runs on five hits and four walks while striking out four over six innings in Monday's win over the Nationals. The win brings him to 11-9 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Aug 31st
Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac allowed three runs (two earned) over six innings in a 3-0 loss to the Brewers on Saturday. Plesac struck out three and walked two in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Sep 11th
 Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed seven runs (five earned) on 10 hits and no walks while striking out 10 over eight innings in Wednesday's loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. The loss drops him to 10-9 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Aug 26th
Cleveland right-hander Zac Plesac allowed three runs over five innings in an 11-5 win over Boston on Sunday. He struck out five and walked three in the win.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Sep 5th
 Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed six earned runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out seven over 6 2/3 innings in Thursday's loss to the Diamondbacks.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Aug 20th
Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac tossed a gem in a 7-2 win over the Royals on Tuesday. Plesac threw seven scoreless innings, striking out seven and allowing just two hits.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Sep 1st
 Phillies starter Zack Wheeler allowed four earned runs on four hits and one walk while striking out six over six innings in Friday's loss to the Reds.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Aug 14th
Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac allowed two runs over 5 2/3 innings in a 7-2 win over the Rangers on Wednesday. Plesac struck out four and walked three.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Aug 26th
Notes 
 Wheeler's first season in Philadelphia was a success, in that he had the lowest ERA of his career (2.92) and a strong 1.17 WHIP. But his strikeout numbers plummeted, as he struck out just 18.4% of batters. The whiff rate on all of Wheeler's pitches, other than his "show me" curveball, dropped significantly, despite the fact that his velocity remained the same. If Wheeler can again excel at completely limiting hard contact like he did last season (his 85.7 MPH average exit velocity allowed ranked in the top 10% in baseball), then he can probably get away with the lack of strikeouts. Otherwise, he's unlikely to repeat his 2020 success. Given the shortened season, it's a good bet that Wheeler's strikeouts will bounce back, and you can slot him in as an SP3 without much worry.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Plesac is getting a ton of love for his eight excellent starts in 2020, but there's plenty of reason to be cautious. His FIP, xFIP, xERA, and SIERA were all more than a run higher than his ERA, and both his strikeout rate and walk rate significantly outproduced what he showed he could do in the minors. Yes, Plesac altered his pitch mix, throwing fewer fastballs and instead more sliders and changeups, so if you're looking for a reason to buy the gains, you have one. But he had a ridiculous 91.7% LOB rate, and even with his ability to limit hard contact, his BABIP against should rise from the .224 mark last year. Plesac can help a fantasy staff, but manage expectations significantly.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Plesac is one of the most polarizing starting pitchers among fantasy analysts this offseason. A questionable off-the-field decision maker, Plesac dominated when on the mound in 2020. In an era where it's rarer and rarer to pitch deep into games, Plesac completed six full innings in all eight of his starts last year. He completed seven innings in 5-of-8 starts. So, how did he get so good all of a sudden? Plesac cut his fastball usage in order to throw an increased number of sliders and changeups. In short, the change in pitch mix worked. It was a short-but-terrific body of work. I'm a believer moving forward, and it's going to cost an early-to-middle round pick to get him.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros