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Fantasy Baseball Player Notes

2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Notes

Xander Bogaerts Note
Xander Bogaerts photo 16. Xander Bogaerts SS
Bogaerts largely backed up his excellent 2019 season with a strong 2020 campaign. He didn't hit the ball quite as hard and his launch angle dropped, but he did manage to maintain his .300 average and put up a similar home run pace. Two things from last year stand out and probably shouldn't be written off entirely: first, Bogaerts' RBI pace dropped significantly, and considering that the Red Sox lineup went from a relative strength to a weakness, it seems unlikely he'll approach 100 RBI in 2021. Second, after dropping for three consecutive seasons, Bogaerts' steal pace increased to the highest of his career. The drop in RBI and increase in steals may be related, as Bogaerts likely looked to manufacture runs with less help around him. Both trends are worth projecting going forward, and while Bogaerts' value doesn't change much, fantasy managers will likely take the increase in steals going forward.
3 days ago
Rafael Devers Note
Rafael Devers photo 23. Rafael Devers 3B
Devers' 2020 season was . . . fine. That's about the best you can say about it. He still hit the ball hard, ranking in the 96th percentile in average exit velocity, and he increased his barrel rate significantly. His counting stat paces from his breakout 2019 season went down, but not dramatically so (other than his batting average), and fantasy managers never felt like Devers was a drain on their teams. But, at the same time, his already poor walk rate declined, his strikeout rate jumped to a career worst, and he didn't even attempt a single stolen base. Devers is just 24 years old, so there is plenty of upside for him. The safest course of action is to build in some natural regression from Devers' strong 2019 season, and pencil him in for roughly 30 home runs and 200 combined runs and RBI. That still makes him an asset to any fantasy team.
3 days ago
J.D. Martinez Note
J.D. Martinez photo 43. J.D. Martinez DH
Martinez had a disastrous 2020 season, during which he slashed just .213/.291/.389 and hit seven home runs. Martinez simply didn't hit the ball nearly as hard as he used to, and hit a ton of fly balls, the combination of which helped to drain his batting average significantly. There's a ton to dislike about last year, but given that Martinez has talked about how much he relies on watching video in-game, and his inability to do so last year because of COVID-19 protocols, it seems likely that you can write off last year to a slump that didn't have time to end. He'll be eligible at utility only, but there's a massive opportunity for profit if you are willing to largely look past 2020.
3 days ago
Alex Verdugo Note
Alex Verdugo photo 74. Alex Verdugo LF,RF
Christian Vazquez Note
Christian Vazquez photo 113. Christian Vazquez C
Vazquez was a late bloomer, but he's developed into one of the more reliable catchers in the game. Not only does he provide 20-homer power, but he's one of the best assets at catcher in both batting average and stolen bases. Entering his age-31 season, there's certainly the possibility for a major decline in his numbers, but there is little in his underlying metrics to suggest it is imminent. Draft Vazquez as a strong starter in single-catcher formats, and you won't need to do so before the double-digit rounds.
3 days ago
Bobby Dalbec Note
Bobby Dalbec photo 174. Bobby Dalbec 1B
Hunter Renfroe Note
Hunter Renfroe photo 211. Hunter Renfroe RF
Franchy Cordero Note
Franchy Cordero photo 213. Franchy Cordero RF
Kike Hernandez Note
Kike Hernandez photo 260. Kike Hernandez 2B
Jeter Downs Note
Jeter Downs photo 276. Jeter Downs SS
Michael Chavis Note
Michael Chavis photo 283. Michael Chavis 1B
Marwin Gonzalez Note
Marwin Gonzalez photo 292. Marwin Gonzalez 2B,3B
Kevin Plawecki Note
Kevin Plawecki photo 354. Kevin Plawecki C
Jarren Duran Note
Jarren Duran photo 359. Jarren Duran CF
Jett Bandy Note
Jett Bandy photo 377. Jett Bandy C
Chris Herrmann Note
Chris Herrmann photo 380. Chris Herrmann C
Christian Arroyo Note
Christian Arroyo photo 515. Christian Arroyo 2B
Yairo Munoz Note
Yairo Munoz photo 516. Yairo Munoz LF
Connor Wong Note
Connor Wong photo 559. Connor Wong C
Josh Ockimey Note
Josh Ockimey photo 649. Josh Ockimey 1B
Jonathan Arauz Note
Jonathan Arauz photo 656. Jonathan Arauz 2B
Marcus Wilson Note
Marcus Wilson photo 667. Marcus Wilson CF
Cesar Puello Note
Cesar Puello photo 681. Cesar Puello RF
Triston Casas Note
Triston Casas photo 687. Triston Casas 1B