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Fantasy Baseball Player Notes

2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Notes

Jose Abreu Note
Jose Abreu photo 19. Jose Abreu 1B
For most players, fantasy managers need to consider whether to discount a highly out-of-character dip in their numbers given the shortened season. For Abreu, it's the opposite - whether fantasy managers should give credence to an outstanding MVP season, during which Abreu vastly outperformed his numbers from every other season of his career. Everything was good for Abreu in 2020, everything. He hit the ball harder than ever and consistently. He got on base more. He had career-high paces in every category. Abreu will be entering his age-34 season, so there's no way you should expect a repeat performance, but it's worth noting that he has increased his average exit velocity and hard-hit percentage in each of the last five seasons. Abreu's cost doesn't match his numbers last year, of course, but you'll still have to pay a hefty price in drafts. Given his safety and and his newly-discovered upside, however, it's worth it.
21 hours ago
Eloy Jimenez Note
Eloy Jimenez photo 27. Eloy Jimenez LF
Jimenez has some warts, without question. He hits the ball on the ground too much, doesn't walk enough, and will provide nothing in the stolen base category. But he makes up for all of that by hitting the ball really, really, really hard pretty much every time he steps up to the plate. Jimenez ranks no worse than the 90th percentile in barrel rate, expected slugging percentage, average exit velocity, and hard hit percentage, and has hit 45 home runs in 177 MLB games. Playing in Guaranteed Rate Field helps, of course, and Jimenez should pretty easily provide nearly 40 home runs with strong runs and RBI over the course of a full season. Draft him as a borderline top-10 outfielder.
21 hours ago
Luis Robert Note
Luis Robert photo 28. Luis Robert CF
Robert's production was pretty much what it was cracked up to be in terms of his power and speed, but his .233 batting average was a little hard to stomach. He struck out way too much (32.2% of the time, bottom 6% of the league), and just didn't make hard enough contact consistently to keep his average above water. But Robert will be just 24 years old this season, so there's plenty of room for growth in that area. That's particularly true given that Robert was a career .312 hitter in the minors and .314 in Cuba. Even if he was a batting average drain, which you shouldn't expect, given that he was on a roughly 30-25 full-season pace last year, fantasy managers should be able to stomach it. Draft him as a borderline first outfielder in fantasy leagues and reap the rewards.
21 hours ago
Tim Anderson Note
Tim Anderson photo 32. Tim Anderson SS
Anderson doesn't seem like he should be that valuable in fantasy. He doesn't have a ton of power, he rarely walks, and his quality of contact is nothing to write home about. But he's hit .335 and .322 the last two seasons, and although both numbers significantly surpass his xBA, it's clear that Anderson is going to be a plus value in that category. He won't excel in any other area, but he will chip in about 20 homers and 15-20 steals which, along with his batting average, makes him an excellent value given that his ADP is always in check.
21 hours ago
Yoan Moncada Note
Yoan Moncada photo 60. Yoan Moncada 3B
If you're looking for reasons to throw out a player's 2020 season, Moncada's battle with COVID-19 offers you just that for him. His quality of contact dropped like a stone, he struck out a ton, and he went back to his old passive approach, rather than the aggressive one that had led to such gains in 2019. Moncada detailed his struggles after suffering from the virus, so it's a legitimate excuse and surely led to his struggles. Moncada is likely to hit about 25 home runs, and help you everywhere except perhaps batting average (though his .315 mark in 2019 shows his upside). Although he won't be a superstar, at a third base position that gets shallow quicker than expected, he makes a fine option you can wait on but who will offer plenty of production.
21 hours ago
Yasmani Grandal Note
Yasmani Grandal photo 89. Yasmani Grandal C
Grandal is getting up there in age for a catcher, and there were a few warning signs for the veteran. He struck out nearly 30% of the time last season, well above his typical rate, and his expected batting average, slugging percentage, and wOBA were some of the worst of his career. At the same time, he continued to walk at a near-elite clip, and again provided plenty of power from a position where pop is hard to find. The good news for Grandal is that both his large contract and his elite pitch framing skills should keep him in the lineup as often as possible, which will help to pad his counting stats. He's just a tad outside of the elite range at the position, but he's a locked in fantasy starter.
21 hours ago
Nick Madrigal Note
Nick Madrigal photo 110. Nick Madrigal 2B
Adam Eaton Note
Adam Eaton photo 179. Adam Eaton RF
Andrew Vaughn Note
Andrew Vaughn photo 198. Andrew Vaughn 1B
Adam Engel Note
Adam Engel photo 333. Adam Engel RF
Leury Garcia Note
Leury Garcia photo 386. Leury Garcia SS
Zack Collins Note
Zack Collins photo 462. Zack Collins DH
Jonathan Lucroy Note
Jonathan Lucroy photo 464. Jonathan Lucroy C
Seby Zavala Note
Seby Zavala photo 496. Seby Zavala C
Danny Mendick Note
Danny Mendick photo 527. Danny Mendick 2B
Micker Adolfo Note
Micker Adolfo photo 572. Micker Adolfo RF
Luis Gonzalez Note
Luis Gonzalez photo 584. Luis Gonzalez CF
Gavin Sheets Note
Gavin Sheets photo 614. Gavin Sheets 1B
Nick Williams Note
Nick Williams photo 634. Nick Williams LF
Blake Rutherford Note
Blake Rutherford photo 641. Blake Rutherford RF
Yermin Mercedes Note
Yermin Mercedes photo 669. Yermin Mercedes DH
Tim Beckham Note
Tim Beckham photo 678. Tim Beckham SS