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Fantasy Baseball Player Notes

2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Notes

Bo Bichette Note
Bo Bichette photo 15. Bo Bichette SS
Bichette missed about half the season with a knee injury last year, but was productive when he was on the field, batting .301 with an .840 OPS. His 162-game pace was 28 home runs, 100 runs, 128 RBI, and 22 steals, so he was well on his way to earning his lofty draft price. If there was a wart to Bichette's season it was that his walk rate dropped to just 3.9%, one of the worst in the league. But, given that he had just 128 plate appearances, that's likely just the product of a small sample size, since he never walked at less than a 6.6% clip in his career. Batting in a stacked lineup, Bichette should once again put up strong five-category numbers, and should be one of the first shortstops drafted in fantasy leagues again in 2020.
26 weeks ago
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Note
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. photo 34. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B,3B
Guerrero Jr. comes into 2021 with fantasy managers asking the same question they asked the year before: can he stop hitting the ball on the ground so much? A 49.6% ground-ball rate was bad in 2019, but a 54.6% ground ball rate in 2020 was downright egregious. Guerrero Jr. hits the ball really, really hard. He was in the top seven percent of MLB in average exit velocity (92.5 MPH) and hard hit rate (50.8%). But until he learns to stop pounding the ball into the dirt, his power upside will be limited. There will be some fantasy manager in your league willing to bet on the upside, so if you want Guerrero Jr., you're going to have to draft him before his numbers say you should. This may indeed be the year that everything clicks. But you'll have to pay to find out.
26 weeks ago
George Springer Note
George Springer photo 35. George Springer CF,RF
Springer is dealing with a grade-2 oblique strain, and his status is in doubt for Opening Day, though the injury is not expected to keep him out for very long. When healthy, he's a dynamic player. Springer's batting average fell off a tad last year, but once he was past his wrist injury, he was explosive, batting .316 with a 1.033 OPS over the final month of the season. His expected statistics were excellent, as he ranked in the top eight percent of the league in xBA, xSLG, and xWOBA. Now with the Blue Jays and an extreme hitter's park (wherever the Blue Jay play this year), he should once again be in line for a stellar year. Home runs and runs scored should again be plentiful, making Springer a rock solid second outfielder in mixed leagues.
26 weeks ago
Teoscar Hernandez Note
Teoscar Hernandez photo 57. Teoscar Hernandez LF,CF,RF
Hernandez missed 10 games due to injury and still put up an impressive 16 home runs in his mere 50 games. The statcast leaderboard is peppered with Hernandez's name, as he hit the ball hard consistently throughout the year. He also upped his line drive rate significantly, which his why the underlying statistics supported his massive jump in batting average. But it's hard to tell if Hernandez's 2020 season was real or just a very hot 50-game stretch. After all, he still struck out more than 30 percent of the time, and his walk rate dropped by about two points. In the end, given his home park and his supporting case, you can buy Hernandez as a 35-homer bat who will chip in steals and help with the remaining counting stats. But assume he hits closer to his .245 batting average, and don't count on the 50 homer pace you saw last year.
26 weeks ago
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Note
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. photo 59. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 1B,2B,LF
Gurriel Jr. has developed into an extremely strong major league hitter, showing far more power than he did in the minors. He makes consistently strong (though not elite) contact, and although he swings a ton, his strikeout rate isn't prohibitive. Gurriel isn't going to be elite in any category, but he's going to provide some value in all five. Batting in an excellent lineup and hitter's park (whichever one it may be), Gurriel should be a fine pick in drafts in all formats.
26 weeks ago
Cavan Biggio Note
Cavan Biggio photo 62. Cavan Biggio 2B,3B,RF
Biggio doesn't hit the ball particularly well and is passive almost to a fault. He swung at just 36% of the pitches he saw last year, third-fewest in MLB, and that represents a continued trend. That passivity leads to increased strikeouts, but also plenty of walks, as Biggio took a free pass 15.5% of the time last season, which ranked in the top 8 percent of baseball. Despite not making consistently strong contact, Biggio has hit 24 home runs in his 159 major league games, and he's added on 107 runs and 20 steals. Those numbers play extremely well for fantasy, particularly at the weak second base position. Biggio is likely to add third base eligibility with the Blue Jays' addition of Marcus Semien, which should only add to his value, and he makes a fine pick if you can nab him in the fifth round or so where his ADP generally lands.
26 weeks ago
Marcus Semien Note
Marcus Semien photo 71. Marcus Semien 2B,SS
Semien looked like he had made some major and sustainable gains in 2019, cutting his strikeout rate way down and being far more selective, which led to better contact. Unfortunately, Semien looked a lot like the old version of himself in 2020, with a strikeout rate over 20% and similar mediocre contact to that which he had made consistently prior to 2019. He signed a one-year deal with the Blue Jays, which is a great landing spot for him, as he'll likely bat near the top of a strong lineup, see an upgrade in home park, and earn second base eligibility. That makes Semien far more enticing as a potential draft-day target, but he should still be considered only a middle infield option in mixed leagues.
26 weeks ago
Randal Grichuk Note
Randal Grichuk photo 152. Randal Grichuk CF,RF
Corey Dickerson Note
Corey Dickerson photo 189. Corey Dickerson LF,CF
Alejandro Kirk Note
Alejandro Kirk photo 207. Alejandro Kirk C
Kirk has the bat to to be a fantasy asset if he can stay in the lineup, particularly with catcher eligibility. He is a career .315 hitter with a .918 OPS in the minors, and had a strong, albeit short, stint in the majors last year during when he had a .983 OPS in nine games. The biggest obstacle for Kirk is that the Blue Jays have two solid defensive catchers in Danny Jansen and Reese McGuire, and although they could put Kirk at DH, they have plenty of other options for that position. In other words, Kirk needs to hit and hit early to cement a lineup spot. If he does, he's got top-10 catcher potential pretty easily.
26 weeks ago
Danny Jansen Note
Danny Jansen photo 212. Danny Jansen C
Jansen's playing time is uncertain this year with the presence of both Reese McGuire and Alejandro Kirk, but his defense is likely to keep him in the mix as a starter most games. He hasn't developed into the offensive force most thought he would become, and his average has been downright dreadful. But he's put up 19 home runs and 59 RBI over 150 games in the last two seasons, and the Toronto lineup is incredibly strong. If he wins the job outright out of spring training, he should be considered a fairly strong second catcher.
26 weeks ago
Gregory Polanco Note
Gregory Polanco photo 223. Gregory Polanco RF
Jake Lamb Note
Jake Lamb photo 359. Jake Lamb 1B,3B,LF,RF
Reese McGuire Note
Reese McGuire photo 388. Reese McGuire C
Jordan Groshans Note
Jordan Groshans photo 405. Jordan Groshans 3B
Orelvis Martinez Note
Orelvis Martinez photo 430. Orelvis Martinez SS
Jarrod Dyson Note
Jarrod Dyson photo 501. Jarrod Dyson LF,CF,RF
Mallex Smith Note
Mallex Smith photo 521. Mallex Smith CF,RF
Miguel Hiraldo Note
Miguel Hiraldo photo 535. Miguel Hiraldo 3B
Juan Graterol Note
Juan Graterol photo 616. Juan Graterol
Josh Palacios Note
Josh Palacios photo 635. Josh Palacios CF,RF
Breyvic Valera Note
Breyvic Valera photo 658. Breyvic Valera 2B,3B
Santiago Espinal Note
Santiago Espinal photo 670. Santiago Espinal 3B,SS
Tyler White Note
Tyler White photo 736. Tyler White 1B
Kevin Smith Note
Kevin Smith photo 750. Kevin Smith 3B,SS
Forrest Wall Note
Forrest Wall photo 772. Forrest Wall 2B
Christian Colon Note
Christian Colon photo 799. Christian Colon Util