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Fantasy Baseball Player Notes

2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Notes

Juan Soto Note
Juan Soto photo 4. Juan Soto LF,RF
There aren't enough superlatives in the English language to describe what Soto has done in his career given his young age. Had he merely repeated his incredible 2019 numbers last season, fantasy managers would have been ecstatic. Instead, he upped his walk rate from an elite 16.4% to a truly remarkable 20.9%, cut his strikeout rate down to just 14.3%, and batted .351. Soto does not have the speed or baserunning chops to steal 30 bases in a season, which is the only thing keeping him from being considered worthy of drafting first overall. But given what he's accomplished through his age-21 season, it's truly scary to think of how high his ceiling may be. Draft him as a top-five pick and enjoy the ridiculous production.
12 weeks ago
Trea Turner Note
Trea Turner photo 6. Trea Turner SS
Turner was the best version of himself in 2020, slashing his strikeout rate to below 14% and setting career bests in batting average, OBP, slugging percentage, wOBA, and wRC+. Above all, Turner locks down two incredibly scarce categories for fantasy managers, stolen bases and batting average, while offering production in the other three hitting categories. Still just entering his age-28 season, Turner is in the prime of his career, and should continue to put up stellar numbers. He's a top-eight pick in rotisserie leagues.
12 weeks ago
Josh Bell Note
Josh Bell photo 76. Josh Bell 1B,DH
Bell looked like a superstar in the making in the first half of 2019, but struggled for much of the second half of the season and then fell off a cliff in 2020. He slashed a mere .226/.305/.364 and hit only eight home runs. His strikeout and ground ball rates took massive jumps, while his walk rate and launch angle plummeted. Bell blamed his struggles on his swing getting long, and you could tell by how often he changed his stance and swing last year that he simply could not figure things out. Now with the Nationals, the 29-year-old Bell will have a chance to revive his career. We've seen the upside, so he's certainly worth drafting at a discount, but he's much more of a borderline corner infielder than a starting-caliber first baseman.
12 weeks ago
Victor Robles Note
Victor Robles photo 87. Victor Robles CF
There were plenty of warning signs with Robles' batted-ball data heading into 2020, and they're only greater now after an abysmal season during which he slashed .220/.293/.315. The MLB average in barrel rate and average exit velocity are 6.4% and 88.3 MPH, respectively. Robles clocked in at 4.8% and 83.3 MPH in 2019, and then fell to a ridiculous 1.7% and 82.2 MPH in 2020. His continously poor contact limits any upside, but it's worth noting that he still hit 17 homers and stole 28 bases in 2019 despite it all. Robles is still just entering his age-24 season, so massive long-term growth is still certainly on the table. But for now, it's impossible to justify drafting him as anything more than a fifth outfielder in mixed leagues.
12 weeks ago
Kyle Schwarber Note
Kyle Schwarber photo 109. Kyle Schwarber LF
Schwarber gave back many of his 2019 gains last year, seeing a rise in strikeout rate (29.5%) and his batting average dropping to an abysmal .188. But Schwarber's season was far from linear: over the first half of the season, he slashed .230/.343/.448, but those numbers dropped to .154/.279/.346 over the second half. At the same time, he continued to hit the ball extremely hard, with a 92.8 MPH average exit velocity, which was top 5% in the league. Given his consistently hard contact, the better course of action seems to forgive Schwarber for what amounted to an extremely poor 24-game stretch to close out the season. Now batting in the middle of the Nationals lineup with a fresh start and entering his age-28 season, Schwarber should rebound to somewhere between his 2018 and 2019 numbers.
12 weeks ago
Starlin Castro Note
Starlin Castro photo 186. Starlin Castro 2B,3B
Yan Gomes Note
Yan Gomes photo 221. Yan Gomes C
Luis Garcia Note
Luis Garcia photo 283. Luis Garcia 2B
Carter Kieboom Note
Carter Kieboom photo 296. Carter Kieboom 3B
Alex Avila Note
Alex Avila photo 306. Alex Avila C
Andrew Stevenson Note
Andrew Stevenson photo 332. Andrew Stevenson LF,RF,CF
Josh Harrison Note
Josh Harrison photo 385. Josh Harrison 2B,3B
Welington Castillo Note
Welington Castillo photo 444. Welington Castillo C
Yadiel Hernandez Note
Yadiel Hernandez photo 505. Yadiel Hernandez DH,RF
Ryan Zimmerman Note
Ryan Zimmerman photo 542. Ryan Zimmerman 1B
Tres Barrera Note
Tres Barrera photo 581. Tres Barrera C
Gerardo Parra Note
Gerardo Parra photo 605. Gerardo Parra RF
Raudy Read Note
Raudy Read photo 610. Raudy Read C
Jordy Mercer Note
Jordy Mercer photo 654. Jordy Mercer SS,2B
Jake Noll Note
Jake Noll photo 693. Jake Noll 1B
Yasmany Tomas Note
Yasmany Tomas photo 743. Yasmany Tomas DH
Adrian Sanchez Note
Adrian Sanchez photo 768. Adrian Sanchez 3B
Carlos Tocci Note
Carlos Tocci photo 773. Carlos Tocci CF
Nick Banks Note
Nick Banks photo 783. Nick Banks RF
Blake Swihart Note
Blake Swihart photo 787. Blake Swihart LF