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Fantasy Baseball Player Notes

2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Notes

Ronald Acuna Jr. Note
Ronald Acuna Jr. photo 1. Ronald Acuna Jr.
Acuna missed some time last year and batted a mere .250. And thus ends the negative things you can say about him. He walked at an absurd 18.8% clip, which led him to a .406 OBP despite the poor average. He was one of the league leaders in quality of contact, wOBA, and xWOBA, and we now know after the last two years that he will run often on the bases so long as he continues to bat leadoff, which he should. In other words, from a fantasy perspective, Acuna is an absolute monster. He's a top-three pick and will (deservedly) go first overall in many leagues, and there's still upside given that he just turned 23 years old.
19 weeks ago
Marcell Ozuna Note
Marcell Ozuna photo 9. Marcell Ozuna
Ozuna had a career year with the Braves last year, slashing .338/.431/.636, a career best in each category. His 18 home runs and 56 RBI led the National League, while his barrel rate, average exit velocity, and hard hit rate were all among the best in baseball. Given that he had shoulder surgery before the 2018 season, it's fair to assume that he needed two full years to recover. And although perhaps we can't expect him to again lead the league in power categories, you should expect roughly a 35-homer, 100-RBI season with a plus batting average. That makes him capable of being your first outfielder in mixed leagues and an asset to any fantasy team.
19 weeks ago
Eddie Rosario Note
Eddie Rosario photo 25. Eddie Rosario
Rosario stays in the AL Central, signing a one-year deal with the Indians after a successful tenure with the Twins. He's established a fairly reliable power baseline at this point, and he usually offers some batting average to go with it. Last year, however, his batting average dipped to just .257, in part because he became much more passive (8.2% walk rate, 51.2% Swing%, both far out of character for his career). The bigger issue was that Rosario largely cut down on his swing percentage on pitches in the strike zone, but continued to swing at pitches out of the zone at a 41.2% clip. That likely explains his lower than usual average exit velocity and barrel rate, and it's something that's easily correctable if he just goes back to his previous approach. At the very least, Rosario should chip in 25 home runs at least, while helping out in runs and RBI, and he's a fine third outfielder in mixed leagues.
19 weeks ago
Jorge Soler Note
Jorge Soler photo 42. Jorge Soler
Soler's injury-shortened 2020 season didn't live up to his massive 2019 campaign, but he did show that a lot of his gains were legitimate. Yes, it was more of a 30-homer pace, but his barrel rate, average exit velocity, and hard hit rate were all elite, as they were the prior year. Soler struck out way too much (34.5% of the time), and if he can't fix that, then his average will suffer as it did last year. But, his walk rate remains high and the power is going to be there with how hard he hits the ball. He's a source of cheap power you can grab later than other similarly-profiled bats going several rounds earlier.
19 weeks ago
Austin Riley Note
Austin Riley photo 65. Austin Riley
Riley made some notable gains last year after he looked like he might fall out of fantasy-relevance entirely with the way he closed his 2019 season. He essentially traded off some power for contact, as his swing percentage dropped, his contact rate increased, and he improved on both his walk and strikeout rates. Although there was some question as to whether the Braves would add another third baseman in free agency, it appears they're content to roll with Riley to begin the year. That should make him a cheap source of power for fantasy, one whose batting average (.262 xBA last year) won't hurt you too badly.
19 weeks ago
Joc Pederson Note
Joc Pederson photo 70. Joc Pederson
Adam Duvall Note
Adam Duvall photo 96. Adam Duvall
Cristian Pache Note
Cristian Pache photo 99. Cristian Pache
Stephen Vogt Note
Stephen Vogt photo 161. Stephen Vogt
Johan Camargo Note
Johan Camargo photo 190. Johan Camargo
Ehire Adrianza Note
Ehire Adrianza photo 226. Ehire Adrianza
Drew Waters Note
Drew Waters photo 235. Drew Waters
Phillip Ervin Note
Phillip Ervin photo 281. Phillip Ervin
Travis Demeritte Note
Travis Demeritte photo 282. Travis Demeritte
Abraham Almonte Note
Abraham Almonte photo 302. Abraham Almonte
Guillermo Heredia Note
Guillermo Heredia photo 310. Guillermo Heredia
Terrance Gore Note
Terrance Gore photo 353. Terrance Gore