Fantasy Baseball Player Notes
2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Notes
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24.
Xander Bogaerts
SS
Bogaerts largely backed up his excellent 2019 season with a strong 2020 campaign. He didn't hit the ball quite as hard and his launch angle dropped, but he did manage to maintain his .300 average and put up a similar home run pace. Two things from last year stand out and probably shouldn't be written off entirely: first, Bogaerts' RBI pace dropped significantly, and considering that the Red Sox lineup went from a relative strength to a weakness, it seems unlikely he'll approach 100 RBI in 2021. Second, after dropping for three consecutive seasons, Bogaerts' steal pace increased to the highest of his career. The drop in RBI and increase in steals may be related, as Bogaerts likely looked to manufacture runs with less help around him. Both trends are worth projecting going forward, and while Bogaerts' value doesn't change much, fantasy managers will likely take the increase in steals going forward.
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33.
Rafael Devers
3B
Devers' 2020 season was . . . fine. That's about the best you can say about it. He still hit the ball hard, ranking in the 96th percentile in average exit velocity, and he increased his barrel rate significantly. His counting stat paces from his breakout 2019 season went down, but not dramatically so (other than his batting average), and fantasy managers never felt like Devers was a drain on their teams. But, at the same time, his already poor walk rate declined, his strikeout rate jumped to a career worst, and he didn't even attempt a single stolen base. Devers is just 24 years old, so there is plenty of upside for him. The safest course of action is to build in some natural regression from Devers' strong 2019 season, and pencil him in for roughly 30 home runs and 200 combined runs and RBI. That still makes him an asset to any fantasy team.
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63.
J.D. Martinez
DH
Martinez had a disastrous 2020 season, during which he slashed just .213/.291/.389 and hit seven home runs. Martinez simply didn't hit the ball nearly as hard as he used to, and hit a ton of fly balls, the combination of which helped to drain his batting average significantly. There's a ton to dislike about last year, but given that Martinez has talked about how much he relies on watching video in-game, and his inability to do so last year because of COVID-19 protocols, it seems likely that you can write off last year to a slump that didn't have time to end. He'll be eligible at utility only, but there's a massive opportunity for profit if you are willing to largely look past 2020.
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113.
Alex Verdugo
LF,RF
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183.
Eduardo Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez missed the entire 2020 season because of serious complications from a heart conditions caused by COVID-19, but he looks to be healthy heading into 2021. Assuming he doesn't have any setbacks, he should be considered one of the safest pitchers in the game. You know what you're going to get from Rodriguez: an ERA around 4.00, a WHIP around 1.30, and solid strikeouts. Those numbers won't wow you, but Rodriguez has consistently limited hard contact throughout his career, so he should retain what amounts to a fairly high floor. Plus, the usual innings concerns shouldn't be as much of a factor for him, considering nearly every pitcher has similar concerns after 2020. For a late-round pitcher, he's hardly an upside play, but he should be someone you can stick in the back end of your rotation and not think much about it.
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185.
Christian Vazquez
C
Vazquez was a late bloomer, but he's developed into one of the more reliable catchers in the game. Not only does he provide 20-homer power, but he's one of the best assets at catcher in both batting average and stolen bases. Entering his age-31 season, there's certainly the possibility for a major decline in his numbers, but there is little in his underlying metrics to suggest it is imminent. Draft Vazquez as a strong starter in single-catcher formats, and you won't need to do so before the double-digit rounds.
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210.
Matt Barnes
RP
Barnes should be considered the clubhouse leader for the closer's role in Boston after he tallied nine saves last season, but it's hardly a given that he'll keep the role. His walk rate has been above 13% for each of the last two seasons, and his WHIP is 1.38 over that span. Adam Ottavino, Darwinzon Hernandez, and Hirokazu Sawamura are in play to take over for Barnes if he struggles. For now, particularly because he hasn't yet been named the closer, consider Barnes on the very tail end of draftable relievers in fantasy.
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230.
Chris Sale
SP
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238.
Nathan Eovaldi
SP
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286.
Bobby Dalbec
1B
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363.
Franchy Cordero
RF
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375.
Hunter Renfroe
RF
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377.
Tanner Houck
SP
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394.
Adam Ottavino
RP
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418.
Garrett Richards
SP
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452.
Kike Hernandez
2B,RF
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487.
Marwin Gonzalez
1B,2B,3B
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492.
Danny Santana
1B
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501.
Marcus Walden
RP
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507.
Michael Chavis
1B,LF
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568.
Jeter Downs
SS
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577.
Ryan Brasier
RP
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581.
Jarren Duran
CF
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619.
Darwinzon Hernandez
RP
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722.
Garrett Whitlock
SP
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764.
Daniel Gossett
SP
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774.
Connor Seabold
SP
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776.
Nick Pivetta
SP
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777.
Ryan Weber
SP,RP
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782.
Dylan Covey
RP
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790.
Martin Perez
SP
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811.
Kevin Plawecki
C
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814.
Matt Andriese
RP
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843.
Christian Arroyo
2B
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849.
Yairo Munoz
LF
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904.
Josh Taylor
RP
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1002.
Austin Brice
RP
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1010.
John Schreiber
RP
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1053.
Joel Payamps
RP
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1069.
Kyle Hart
SP
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1155.
Kevin McCarthy
RP
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1157.
Matt Hall
RP
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1211.
Colten Brewer
SP,RP
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1240.
Phillips Valdez
RP
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1316.
Chris Herrmann
C
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1320.
Connor Wong
C
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1427.
Josh Ockimey
1B
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1436.
Jonathan Arauz
2B
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1447.
Marcus Wilson
CF
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1461.
Cesar Puello
RF
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1468.
Triston Casas
1B
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