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Fantasy Baseball Player Notes

2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Notes
Jacob deGrom Note
Jacob deGrom photo 7. Jacob deGrom SP
deGrom barely missed out on winning his third straight Cy Young Award last year, but it was yet another dominant season. For the third straight year, he came in with a WHIP under 1.00, an ERA under 2.50, and a strikeout percentage above 31%. deGrom is getting up there in age, but it's worth remembering that he has fewer miles on his arm than most pitcher entering their age-33 season, given that he didn't transition to pitching until late in his college career and missed significant time with injuries during his time in the minors. deGrom has shown no decline in his game, and should hopefully (finally) begin to pile on more wins this year pitching for a better team in front of an improved bullpen. He should be the first or second starting pitcher taken and is an obvious first-round pick.
19 hours ago
Francisco Lindor Note
Francisco Lindor photo 15. Francisco Lindor SS
Lindor's season wasn't particularly impressive, as his surface numbers regressed fairly significantly from his previous three seasons. But, under the hood, not much changed. His walk rate and strikeout rate were largely steady, and his statcast data remained on par with his career marks. He also got much better to close the year, batting .285 with a 122 wRC+ over his final 39 games. Just 27 years old and now with a stronger lineup with the Mets, Lindor should put up numbers closer to his 2017-2019 levels, especially since he'll be playing for a new contract after this season. He'll come at a bit of a discount in the second round this year, and he's well worth your investment at that price.
19 hours ago
Pete Alonso Note
Pete Alonso photo 49. Pete Alonso 1B
Michael Conforto Note
Michael Conforto photo 76. Michael Conforto CF,RF
Jeff McNeil Note
Jeff McNeil photo 87. Jeff McNeil 2B,3B,LF
Much of McNeil's 2020 season looked similar to his year in 2019. He hit over .300, rarely struck out, and got on base plenty. But the power gains that we saw in 2019 vanished, as he hit just four home runs over 52 games. His barrel rate (2.5%) and hard-hit percentage (26.5%) were some of the worst in the league, and he didn't even offer the token stolen base that he had chipped in during previous seasons. This is a scenario where McNeil's value to any particular fantasy manager will depend on the weight he or she gives to the shortened 2020 season. Given that McNeil never hit the ball particularly hard anyway, though, a good bet is to assume he at least returns to the high teens in home runs, slightly below his 2019 pace. With his strong average and multi-position eligibility, that makes McNeil an asset in the middle rounds.
19 hours ago
Carlos Carrasco Note
Carlos Carrasco photo 95. Carlos Carrasco SP,RP
Edwin Diaz Note
Edwin Diaz photo 119. Edwin Diaz RP
Diaz's overall numbers bounced back in a monstrous way last season. He dropped his ERA from a bloated 5.59 in 2019 to a 1.75, and upped his strikeout rate to a career-best 45.5%. He was among the league leaders in nearly every expected statistic (batting average, slugging percentage wOBA, and ERA), and he cut his HR/9 rate from 2.33 to just 0.70. Diaz's walk rate actually regressed, however, as he issued free passes to nearly five batters per nine innings. That's not often a recipe for success from a closer, but Diaz can survive at that rate if he continues to keep the strikeouts up and limit the long balls. In the end, Diaz does carry some risk given his history, but he should be drafted as one of the upper echelon closers in the game, if not a touch behind the truly elite options.
19 hours ago
Dominic Smith Note
Dominic Smith photo 140. Dominic Smith 1B,LF
J.D. Davis Note
J.D. Davis photo 164. J.D. Davis 3B,DH,LF
Marcus Stroman Note
Marcus Stroman photo 238. Marcus Stroman SP
Brandon Nimmo Note
Brandon Nimmo photo 239. Brandon Nimmo CF,LF
James McCann Note
James McCann photo 244. James McCann C
McCann will be the everyday catcher for the Mets after putting up his second consecutive successful season for the White Sox. After putting up a .789 OPS in 2019, he jumped up to an .896 mark in 2020, setting a career-high in walk rate. McCann was a part-timer last year, so his rate stats will likely dip as he takes over a heavy workload with the Mets (Wilson Ramos ranked fourth among catchers in plate appearances the last two seasons). But counting stats should be there in spades in a strong Mets lineup. He should be drafted as a starting catcher in 12-team formats.
19 hours ago
Seth Lugo Note
Seth Lugo photo 254. Seth Lugo RP
Mallex Smith Note
Mallex Smith photo 374. Mallex Smith RF
Noah Syndergaard Note
Noah Syndergaard photo 380. Noah Syndergaard SP
Steven Matz Note
Steven Matz photo 423. Steven Matz SP
Joey Lucchesi Note
Joey Lucchesi photo 467. Joey Lucchesi SP
David Peterson Note
David Peterson photo 501. David Peterson SP
Trevor May Note
Trevor May photo 507. Trevor May RP