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Fantasy Baseball Player Notes

2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Notes
Fernando Tatis Jr. Note
Fernando Tatis Jr. photo 4. Fernando Tatis Jr. SS
Tatis Jr. had an outstanding rookie year, but because he had outperformed his statcast data so significantly, many fantasy managers were worried that his numbers would regress in 2020. Although his batting average did come down (to a still respectable .277), he not only staved off regression, but he improved significantly in most areas. He cut his strikeout rate by 6%, upped his walk rate by 2.5%, and led the league in average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel percentage. The fact that he's likely to throw in 25-30 steals over the course of a full season is just the cherry on top of elite fantasy production. He's a top-five overall pick with little or no downside and massive upside even off his incredible 2020 numbers.
2 days ago
Manny Machado Note
Manny Machado photo 21. Manny Machado 3B,SS
Machado was on pace to set career highs in most statistical categories other than steals after last year's 60-game season. He set career bests in strikeout and walk rates and, most importantly to fantasy managers, batting average, where he checked in at .304. Machado's batting average was earned (he had an identica .304 xBA), and came on the back of him cutting his ground ball rate to a career low 37.2% and his line drive rate to a career high 22%. Machado is still just entering his age-29 season, and will continue to bat in a loaded lineup. Expect some regression from his batting average, but all his other stellar numbers should remain on par, meaning it will be another outstanding season that is worth a second-round pick.
2 days ago
Yu Darvish Note
Yu Darvish photo 25. Yu Darvish SP
After a career year in 2020, Darvish moves to San Diego in a trade that shouldn't affect his strong 2021 outlook all that much. Despite his advancing age, Darvish built on the gains he had made over the second half of 2019, finishing with a 2.01 ER, a 0.96 WHIP, and a 31.3% strikeout rate. Darvish's walk rate has declined to a level once thought unattainable for the veteran, a mere 4.7%, which was in the top 8% of MLB in 2020. Although he'll be entering his age-35 season, there's simply nothing in Darvish's numbers, metrics, or statcast data that points to a decline. If you are desperate to find a negative, it's a move from the weak-hitting NL Central to the much stronger NL West, but that's hardly a reason to avoid Darvish. Draft him as an easy top-10 starter, and more like a top-5 option.
2 days ago
Blake Snell Note
Blake Snell photo 49. Blake Snell SP
Snell moves to the Padres fresh off a solid year, in which he pitched to a 3.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP, with a memorable early exit in the World Series. Snell has a checkered injury history and has pitched just 157 innings over the past two years, so don't expect him to be a big innings-eater in 2021. And, although he'll escape the dreaded AL East, he'll get a downgrade in park and defense, which largely makes the move a neutral one. All that said, Snell has plenty of talent as he's shown throughout his career, and should be able to pile up wins and strikeouts pitching for a strong Padres team. Draft him as an SP2 with upside.
2 days ago
Dinelson Lamet Note
Dinelson Lamet photo 73. Dinelson Lamet SP
Trent Grisham Note
Trent Grisham photo 84. Trent Grisham CF,RF
Chris Paddack Note
Chris Paddack photo 87. Chris Paddack SP
Tommy Pham Note
Tommy Pham photo 97. Tommy Pham LF,CF,DH
Wil Myers Note
Wil Myers photo 115. Wil Myers LF,CF,RF
Eric Hosmer Note
Eric Hosmer photo 139. Eric Hosmer 1B,DH
Joe Musgrove Note
Joe Musgrove photo 141. Joe Musgrove SP
Musgrove has been a popular sleeper the last two seasons and now that he's been traded to the Padres, his ADP is surely going to rise. In 2019, Musgrove continued to improve as a pitcher, upping his strikeout rate and adding velocity. But his 2020 season looked like a step back, until he returned from the IL strong, including finishing his season with back-to-back scoreless outings while getting back some of the lost zip on his fastball. Overall, Musgrove's 2020 numbers suggest a breakout waiting to happen, as he built significantly on his gains in 2019, increasing his strikeout rate to 33.1%. His chances for wins should improve dramatically in San Diego, and he's a fine fourth starter with upside.
2 days ago
Jake Cronenworth Note
Jake Cronenworth photo 173. Jake Cronenworth SS,1B,2B
Austin Nola Note
Austin Nola photo 219. Austin Nola 1B,C
Drew Pomeranz Note
Drew Pomeranz photo 224. Drew Pomeranz SP,RP
MacKenzie Gore Note
MacKenzie Gore photo 271. MacKenzie Gore SP
Ha-seong Kim Note
Ha-seong Kim photo 272. Ha-seong Kim
Kim joins a loaded Padres team after a successful career in the KBO. He had a particularly strong 2020 season, slashing .306/.397/.523 with 30 home runs and 23 steals. Although he split time between shortstop and third base in the KBO, he'll man second for the Padres, which is better for his fantasy value given the relative lack of strength of the position. Kim is younger than most hitters coming over from the KBO - only 25 - and he has the speed and power to reach double digits in steals and homers pretty easily. But he's more of a 15-15 type of player, rather than the potential 30-25 he was last year, and he'll likely bat near the bottom of the order, limiting his plate appearance and runs and RBI opportunities. Draft him as a middle infield option, but with upside.
2 days ago
Jurickson Profar Note
Jurickson Profar photo 301. Jurickson Profar 2B,LF
Mike Clevinger Note
Mike Clevinger photo 400. Mike Clevinger SP
Victor Caratini Note
Victor Caratini photo 458. Victor Caratini C,1B,DH
Emilio Pagan Note
Emilio Pagan photo 511. Emilio Pagan RP
Adrian Morejon Note
Adrian Morejon photo 547. Adrian Morejon SP,RP
Craig Stammen Note
Craig Stammen photo 556. Craig Stammen RP
Matt Strahm Note
Matt Strahm photo 575. Matt Strahm SP,RP
Luis Campusano Note
Luis Campusano photo 633. Luis Campusano C
Josh Van Meter Note
Josh Van Meter photo 756. Josh Van Meter
Jorge Mateo Note
Jorge Mateo photo 786. Jorge Mateo SS,2B