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Aaron Jones or David Johnson

Who Should I Draft?

Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron JonesA. Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
David JohnsonD. Johnson
RB - HOU
David Johnson
 
 
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 12# 19-
Best Rank# 7# 9-
Worst Rank# 21# 31-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total265.8105.5-
Avg Game16.68.1-
Avg Projection196.7172.7-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank179-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Aaron JonesDavid JohnsonAdd Player
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
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#16#18-
    
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#16#25-
    
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#12#16-
    
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#13#18-
    
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Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
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#9#16-
    
Justin WeigalJ. Weigal
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#10#24-
    
Blake FincherB. Fincher
Fantasy Football Cafe
3 w
#12#16-
    
Wayne BretskyW. Bretsky
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#8#22-
    
Jeff GreenwoodJ. Gree...
The Fantasy Footballers
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#9#18-
    
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3 w
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3 w
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FF Prophet
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Tal MalachovskyT. Mala...
The Fantasy Scout
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SkullKing Sports
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Scott WhitfieldS. Whit...
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#11#20-
    
Justin SablichJ. Sablich
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Jon CollinsJ. Collins
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Chris RaybonC. Raybon
The Action Network
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Chris KennedyC. Kennedy
The Fantasy Headliners
3 w
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Neema HodjatN. Hodjat
Real GM
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Kevin TompkinsK. Tomp...
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Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
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Matt MacCoyM. MacCoy
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Legion Report
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Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
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Matthew BetzM. Betz
BallBlast
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#11#19-
    
Anthony AmicoA. Amico
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Pierre CamusP. Camus
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Frank BonincontriF. Boni...
Fantasy Wire HQ
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#6#27-
    
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Roto Street Journal
3 w
#12#24-
    
Scott AtkinsS. Atkins
Sports Illustrated
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Kevin ScottK. Scott
The Intersecting
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#13#18-
    
Justin VarnesJ. Varnes
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#10#21-
    
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#12#17-
    
Nolan KellyN. Kelly
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Rob WilsonR. Wilson
The Fantasy Footballers
08/11
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Michael BellerM. Beller
The Athletic
08/24
#11#18-
    
Doug MooreD. Moore
Inside the Pylon
08/03
#13#20-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
08/03
#7#29-
    
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FTN
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Player Game Logs Comparison
  Aaron JonesA. Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
David JohnsonD. Johnson
RB - HOU
David Johnson
2020 Schedule 
Week 1 at MIN at KC
Week 2 vs. DET vs. BAL
Week 3 at NO at PIT
Week 4 vs. ATL vs. MIN
Week 5BYE WEEK vs. JAC
Week 6 at TB at TEN
Week 7 at HOU vs. GB
Week 8 vs. MINBYE WEEK
Week 9 at SF at JAC
Week 10 vs. JAC at CLE
Week 11 at IND vs. NE
Week 12 vs. CHI at DET
Week 13 vs. PHI vs. IND
Week 14 at DET at CHI
Week 15 vs. CAR at IND
Week 16 vs. TEN vs. CIN
Week 17 at CHI vs. TEN
Player Projections Comparison
  Aaron JonesA. Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
David JohnsonD. Johnson
RB - HOU
David Johnson
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts210.3220.9
Rush Yards953.4856.3
Rush TDs9.35.5
   
Receiving
   
Receptions43.641.4
Rec Yards356.4398.6
Rec TDs2.12.9
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points196.7172.7
   
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
  Aaron JonesA. Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
David JohnsonD. Johnson
RB - HOU
David Johnson
2019 Points 
Week 13.919.7
Week 221.07.4
Week 314.312.5
Week 411.813.9
Week 542.215.6
Week 64.022.2
Week 714.30.2
Week 834.6
Week 92.9
Week 1027.3-1.0
Week 110.0
Week 123.8
Week 133.12.4
Week 1425.211.3
Week 1517.10.6
Week 1626.00.7
Week 1714.3
Total265.8105.5
Average16.68.1
Player Targets Comparison
  Aaron JonesA. Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
David JohnsonD. Johnson
RB - HOU
David Johnson
2019 Targets 
Week 117
Week 261
Week 319
Week 4711
Week 585
Week 678
Week 740
Week 88
Week 93
Week 1001
Week 110
Week 121
Week 1362
Week 1472
Week 1500
Week 1631
Week 176
Notes for Player Combination
  Aaron JonesA. Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
David JohnsonD. Johnson
RB - HOU
David Johnson
Expert 
Jacob Wayne
Lineups
Fantasy players seem to be fading on Aaron Jones after a wildly productive season that saw him finish as the RB2 in PPR leagues. He likely won't repeat his phenomenal 16 rushing touchdowns from last year, but I don't anticipate rookie A.J. Dillon stealing too much work right away. Jones is still clearly the most talented running back and perhaps the second-best pass-catcher on an Aaron Rodgers-led team. There's obvious value in his role and with his talent, he should finish as a top-15 running back at least.The forgotten piece of the DeAndre Hopkins trade saga is David Johnson, a running back who's going to be heavily utilized in Houston. He'll benefit from playing with Deshaun Watson, especially since this team has among the most vacated targets in the NFL. DJ will be used on the ground and through the air and will likely turn in a surprisingly productive, high-end RB2 season.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Despite having Aaron Rodgers under center, the Packers decided to add a third-string running back and fullback to their roster on Day 2 of the NFL Draft. Is that worrisome to Jones' production? Maybe a bit, as Matt LaFleur seems to want to continue his timeshare ways. Jones is by far the most talented, so even if we were to see him dip down to 13-15 touches per game, that's enough for him to do damage, especially considering Rodgers targets him in the passing game. Jones is one of just two running backs (Alvin Kamara is the other) who've finished with a top-30 season over the last 10 years with less than 300 touches. Jones is one of the most efficient running backs in football, though the coaching staff keeps him in RB2 territory.The Texans gave their running backs 397 touches last year, and that was with DeAndre Hopkins on the roster. That's a lot of work. The only running back they've added was David Johnson. While Johnson looked horrendous down the stretch, it's possible he just tried to work his way back from injury way too soon. It appears Bill O'Brien isn't convinced that Johnson is done with his NFL career, like some. It's possible that he's not as electric as he once was, but guys, the Texans gave Carlos Hyde 255 touches last year. Opportunity is key in fantasy football, and Johnson appears to be in line for a lot of it in 2020, making him a low-end RB2 with upside for more should he actually be healthy.
Draft Engine
Draft Engine
A slasher with juice in the open field, Jones has the ability to break off big gains on outside-zone runs. Showing a nose for the end zone in 2019, he was the only NFL running back to surpass 10 touchdowns on fewer than 20 carries inside the 10-yard line.Acquired in a deal that sent DeAndre Hopkins to Arizona, Johnson has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over 30 games the past three seasons. Don't expect him to reach 50 catches with Duke Johnson having caught 30 passes over the second half of last season.
Ben Wasley
The Fantasy First Down
Aaron Jones was a monster last year, rumbling to a RB2 finish in half-PPR while logging 49 receptions and 19 total TDs. The Packers have since shown every indication they intend to commit to the run, sadly that commitment extended to drafting AJ Dillon in the second round. Ignoring how stupid the Packers draft was, it is reason for concern for Aaron Jones fans. While he's still clearly the lead guy in the Packers backfield, he simply isn't guaranteed close to enough carries to be a reliable fantasy option. To add to the issues, Dillon is a good goal line back and will likely chip into Jones's 46 red zone looks. Jones retains is high upside but is a risk I'd rather delay to the second round in all formats.Bill O'Brien has a long history of leaning on (often mediocre) running backs for 220-270 carries. Arian Foster, Alfred Blue, Lamar Miller and Carlos Hyde all became somewhat fantasy relevant in this offense and David Johnson is next on the list. The real question is how he fits in the passing game and that will make all the difference. The other D. Johnson, Duke, will certainly be a hindrance but we've seen DJ prove impossible to take off the field when things go right and it's just possible he explodes for a big season. I don't love the odds of that but even though this is very must Deshaun Watson's offense, I do think David Johnson has a very solid floor and provides a nice safe pick with solid upside.
Rob Wilson
The Fantasy Footballers
Touchdown totals will regress, but his ADP already bakes that in. Coming off an RB2 overall finish, his cost is reasonable this season.Johnson has lost a step, but O'Brien fed Lamar Miller. Boring albeit safe RB2 selection.
Frank Bonincontri
Fantasy Wire HQ
Offseason fantasy buzzword is "regression" but who cares? This guy is going to eat under 2nd year coach Matt LaFleur. The offense will need to run the ball and control the clock, if they are down, they are passing to get back in the game and Jones is the best in pass protection and catches out of the backfield. Dont let the Twitter offseason buzzkills scare you away 
Dalton Kates
APEX Fantasy Leagues
Incredible player coming off an RB2 finish overall. Issue with him is the teams lack of commitment to him as a rusher. They invested draft capital into AJ Dillon and there is reason to believe Jones is the lead back to the committee.Hasn't been good as a runner since his breakout campaign in 2016. Has still been efficient as a receiver and that's likely where he will thrive. Will be 29 this season which is well past the peak age for RBs. Duke Johnson has been great and efficient will be behind him if David falters and underperforms this year. r
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
The Packers did add A.J. Dillion, who profiles as a bruising back who can steal goal-line work, but Aaron jones will be just fine. He doesn't need to score 19 TDs to be a RB1/high-end RB2 and he has always ceded some work to other RBs. The GB O-line was great last season and should be again this season. I also don't know if a RB has ever received less praise than Aaron Jones for his 49/474/3 receiving line. Draft Jones confidently. 
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
Was No. 2 RB in FAN PTS, and advanced metrics supported his effort, but you have to factor in negative TD regression after 19 trips to the end zone in 2019If his health holds, his share of the HOU backfield workload should be major, but his potential in the passing game far outweighs his ground game at this point in career
Elliot Berkovits
Packer Report
Everyone is screaming "regression for Aaron Jones." I get it, he rushed for 19 TDs, you can't expect him to do that again. So, go ahead and take away 9 of Jones' 19 TDs, he still would've finished as RB9! Jones is a star entering his prime.After a horrid finish to the 2019 season, many fantasy players seem to be avoiding David Johnson. What people are forgetting is that prior to his injury last year, Johnson was the 6th highest scoring RB with an average of over 17 points per game. Now he joins another high-flying offense in Houston and should be in a great spot to outperform his current ADP.
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
 I am COMPLETELY off of DJ this season. He has been a below average or injured back every year since 2016. I repeat, 2016. If you want to bet on a running back renaissance after three years of mediocrity, so be it, I will not be taking that bet.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Aaron Jones is still a RB1 coming off a season with 1,558 yards from scrimmage and 19 total touchdowns. There are two concerns, one is that he had only 236 rushing attempts and 49 receptions to accomplish those totals. Second, the Packers also added A.J. Dillon in the NFL Draft, which could take away some touches this season.I do not think we will ever see 2016 David Johnson again. He joins a new team this year and he is now the lead back in the Texans offense and that should be an upgrade from RB Carlos Hyde. If he can stay healthy, Johnson should be a RB2 with some upside.
Kyle Yates
FantasyPros
Unfortunately, the Packers went out and drafted a RB in the second round that profiles as a prolific goal line back in the NFL. Jones finished as the RB2 last season on the back of 16 touchdowns and that's unlikely to repeat in 2020. Jones has more competition for touches and may lose goal line work to AJ Dillon, but he's still one of the most talented RBs in the league and is a solid option as a RB2 for your roster.Johnson's now joining the Houston Texans and there is a huge workload waiting for him. If he can stay healthy, Johnson should easily return value this season. However, the last time that we saw Johnson, he looked like a shell of his former self. Additionally, Johnson's true fantasy value has come through his contributions in the receiving game. In Houston, with Duke Johnson also on this roster, it's difficult to see David Johnson seeing significant volume. If you draft David Johnson this year, you're betting on him staying fully healthy and him seeing a ton of work in the receiving game. Otherwise, he may go down as a wasted pick when it's all said and done.
Seth Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
Coming off of a year with 19 TDs and limited competition for those TDs, I just an expect a natural regression. His receiving work should keep him in the mix to easily stay inside the top 10. Just another way to say that he's miles better than Jamaal Williams is their Rushing grade, versus Run Blocking grade on PFF. Williams struggles to produce little more than what his line gives him, while Jones has been elite all 3 years with average line play. AJ Dillon is coming for Jamaal, not Aaron.Will be taking advantage of his 1 highly publicized run while injured in 2019, of him trying to run around the corner at the speed of your grandpa while injured. Expecting amazing health? Not necessarily, but we've seen what a 1 dimensional, rather bland back can do with the reigns, in Carlos Hyde, in 2019. I'll gladly scoop Johnson as my RB3
Kevin Wheeler
Draftwize
Playing on the last year of his rookie deal, he's set to make just $735K in 2020 (none guaranteed). After leading all RBs in TDs with 19 scores and carrying his team deep into the playoffs, he's surely to be a candidate for a contract situation (good or bad). @FFHurcules 
Wolf of Roto Street
Roto Street Journal
 The Texans have a glaring backfield need. Will DJ get himself in tip-top shape to shine here?