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Aaron Jones or Derrick Henry

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Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
 
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Aaron Jones
RB - GB
 
 
Expert
Recommendation

99%
Recommended by
178 of 179 experts
1%
Recommended by
1 of 179 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 4# 12-
Best Rank# 1# 7-
Worst Rank# 12# 21-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total276.6265.8-
Avg Game18.416.6-
Avg Projection239.4196.7-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank817-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Derrick HenryAaron JonesAdd Player
    
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
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CBS Sports
10/22
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Heath CappsH. Capps
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Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
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Nick ZylakN. Zylak
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David BiggsD. Biggs
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Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
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Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
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Matthew HillM. Hill
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Marc CavigliaM. Cavi...
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Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
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Bill EnrightB. Enright
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Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
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Eric MoodyE. Moody
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Anthony AmicoA. Amico
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Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
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08/25
#2#9-
    
Elliot Berkovits E. Berk...
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08/24
#5#6-
    
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Roto Street Journal
08/21
#4#12-
    
Scott AtkinsS. Atkins
Sports Illustrated
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Kevin ScottK. Scott
The Intersecting
08/17
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Justin VarnesJ. Varnes
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Rob WilsonR. Wilson
The Fantasy Footballers
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Doug MooreD. Moore
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#4#13-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
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08/03
#5#7-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
FTN
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#3#8-
    
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#5#10-
    
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The Touchdown
06/29
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FantasyPros
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#4#12-
    
Player Game Logs Comparison
 
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Aaron Jones
RB - GB
2020 Schedule 
Week 1 at DEN at MIN
Week 2 vs. JAC vs. DET
Week 3 at MIN at NO
Week 4BYE WEEK vs. ATL
Week 5 vs. BUFBYE WEEK
Week 6 vs. HOU at TB
Week 7 vs. PIT at HOU
Week 8 at CIN vs. MIN
Week 9 vs. CHI at SF
Week 10 vs. IND vs. JAC
Week 11 at BAL at IND
Week 12 at IND vs. CHI
Week 13 vs. CLE vs. PHI
Week 14 at JAC at DET
Week 15 vs. DET vs. CAR
Week 16 at GB vs. TEN
Week 17 at HOU at CHI
Player Projections Comparison
 
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Aaron Jones
RB - GB
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts296.8210.3
Rush Yards1,462.4953.4
Rush TDs12.09.3
   
Receiving
   
Receptions22.343.6
Rec Yards189.7356.4
Rec TDs1.12.1
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points239.4196.7
   
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
 
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Aaron Jones
RB - GB
2019 Points 
Week 127.93.9
Week 215.421.0
Week 310.614.3
Week 410.811.8
Week 513.842.2
Week 63.34.0
Week 716.814.3
Week 86.334.6
Week 921.92.9
Week 1031.127.3
Week 11
Week 1227.53.8
Week 1320.63.1
Week 1422.925.2
Week 158.617.1
Week 1626.0
Week 1739.114.3
Total276.6265.8
Average18.416.6
Player Targets Comparison
 
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Aaron Jones
RB - GB
2019 Targets 
Week 121
Week 236
Week 321
Week 417
Week 508
Week 637
Week 714
Week 818
Week 933
Week 1020
Week 11
Week 1211
Week 1336
Week 1417
Week 1510
Week 163
Week 1706
Notes for Player Combination
 
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Aaron Jones
RB - GB
Expert 
Jacob Wayne
Lineups
There may not be a player I've been more back-and-forth on this offseason than Henry. On one hand, his 5.1 yards-per-carry on over 300 carries and his 18 touchdowns from scrimmage seem impossible to repeat. On the other hand, though, the Titans locked him up to a lucrative long-term deal and have found their offensive identity by making him the focal point. A full season of Ryan Tannehill will help and Henry is one of the rare players with RB1 upside, regardless of whether or not he catches the ball.Fantasy players seem to be fading on Aaron Jones after a wildly productive season that saw him finish as the RB2 in PPR leagues. He likely won't repeat his phenomenal 16 rushing touchdowns from last year, but I don't anticipate rookie A.J. Dillon stealing too much work right away. Jones is still clearly the most talented running back and perhaps the second-best pass-catcher on an Aaron Rodgers-led team. There's obvious value in his role and with his talent, he should finish as a top-15 running back at least.
Draft Engine
Draft Engine
The NFL's leading rusher in 2019, Henry's career-high 5.1 yards per attempt was tops among NFL running backs with more than 140 carries last season. With Dion Lewis having departed, there's a chance that Henry's role in the passing game could increase.A slasher with juice in the open field, Jones has the ability to break off big gains on outside-zone runs. Showing a nose for the end zone in 2019, he was the only NFL running back to surpass 10 touchdowns on fewer than 20 carries inside the 10-yard line.
Elisha Twerski
numberFire
Henry only had three games in half-PPR formats where he failed to reach double-digit fantasy points last year, compared to nine games with 16+ and seven games with 23+. He finished second in points per game in half-PPR and fourth in full-PPR. Don't let the scoring format scare you. 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Yes, Derrick Henry finished with 1,540 yards and 16 touchdowns last year en route to a No. 3 finish. Yes, he was dominant in the playoffs. We still can't forget that he was the No. 14 running back in points per game before Week 10 last year, behind David Johnson and Mark Ingram. Should we automatically assume Henry picks up where he left off in 2019? My issue with Henry is that he's not involved in the passing-game, which lowers his weekly floor. That alone will allow us to choose someone like Alvin Kamara over him. Henry is best-suited as a second-round pick rather than one in the first round.Despite having Aaron Rodgers under center, the Packers decided to add a third-string running back and fullback to their roster on Day 2 of the NFL Draft. Is that worrisome to Jones' production? Maybe a bit, as Matt LaFleur seems to want to continue his timeshare ways. Jones is by far the most talented, so even if we were to see him dip down to 13-15 touches per game, that's enough for him to do damage, especially considering Rodgers targets him in the passing game. Jones is one of just two running backs (Alvin Kamara is the other) who've finished with a top-30 season over the last 10 years with less than 300 touches. Jones is one of the most efficient running backs in football, though the coaching staff keeps him in RB2 territory.
Rob Wilson
The Fantasy Footballers
Lack of passing work is the only thing that keeps Henry out of the top five. Focal point of the Titans offense, gets better with volume.Touchdown totals will regress, but his ADP already bakes that in. Coming off an RB2 overall finish, his cost is reasonable this season.
Frank Bonincontri
Fantasy Wire HQ
How much more would you love Henry if he caught more passes out of the backfield? WOW the possibilities...Offseason fantasy buzzword is "regression" but who cares? This guy is going to eat under 2nd year coach Matt LaFleur. The offense will need to run the ball and control the clock, if they are down, they are passing to get back in the game and Jones is the best in pass protection and catches out of the backfield. Dont let the Twitter offseason buzzkills scare you away
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
 The Packers did add A.J. Dillion, who profiles as a bruising back who can steal goal-line work, but Aaron jones will be just fine. He doesn't need to score 19 TDs to be a RB1/high-end RB2 and he has always ceded some work to other RBs. The GB O-line was great last season and should be again this season. I also don't know if a RB has ever received less praise than Aaron Jones for his 49/474/3 receiving line. Draft Jones confidently.
Dalton Kates
APEX Fantasy Leagues
Elite rusher. Very limited usage in the receiving game hurts his ceiling and his floor. His 18 TDs are likely to regress as well. Good player, but currently overvalued.Incredible player coming off an RB2 finish overall. Issue with him is the teams lack of commitment to him as a rusher. They invested draft capital into AJ Dillon and there is reason to believe Jones is the lead back to the committee.
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
Henry led the NFL in carries, rushing yards, and touchdowns last season, and continued to smash into the playoffs. With Ryan Tannehill back under center and continuity along the offensive line (other than the swap of Jack Conklin for Isaiah Wilson), there's every reason for Henry to have a big year. He'll never factor in heavily in the passing game so has more value in standard rather than half- or full-PPR formats. But he's a strong RB1 with little risk regardless. 
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
75+ rush yards in 18 of past 22 games (playoffs inc.) - led NFL in Yards Created (yards gain after 1st evaded tackle) and Yards After Contact/Attempt in 2019Was No. 2 RB in FAN PTS, and advanced metrics supported his effort, but you have to factor in negative TD regression after 19 trips to the end zone in 2019
Elliot Berkovits
Packer Report
Henry's breakout 2019 performance caught me by surprise. He was someone I was avoiding and fast forward to this year, he's an automatic RB1. His lack of usage in the passing game still concerns me but if he's running it the way he did in 2019, it won't matter all that much. He deserves to be drafted inside the top 5.Everyone is screaming "regression for Aaron Jones." I get it, he rushed for 19 TDs, you can't expect him to do that again. So, go ahead and take away 9 of Jones' 19 TDs, he still would've finished as RB9! Jones is a star entering his prime.
Justin Dodds
SleeperWire
Henry is potentially the third safest pick in the first round behind CMC and Zeke due to his expected volume. With Dion Jones' departure, 54 carries and 32 targets need to go somewhere. The only options I see are for those targets to either go to rookie Darrynton Evans, depending on how he performs in training camp, or for Henry to absorb them. I expect the Titans to involve Evans, so you're looking at around 300-320 carries and 20-30 targets for Henry, which is very promising volume in Half-PPR or Standard scoring formats. In PPR, the lack of targets lower Henry's floor somewhat, however, league leading rushing attempts should makeup for the lack of targets as they did last year. 
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Henry led the league in rushing yards and finished the season with 1,746 yards and 18 total touchdowns on the season. He has a new contract and Ryan Tannehill back under center, which means he should still be a RB1 in 2020.Aaron Jones is still a RB1 coming off a season with 1,558 yards from scrimmage and 19 total touchdowns. There are two concerns, one is that he had only 236 rushing attempts and 49 receptions to accomplish those totals. Second, the Packers also added A.J. Dillon in the NFL Draft, which could take away some touches this season.
Kyle Yates
FantasyPros
Derrick Henry was a fantasy football superstar last year and finished the season with 16 rushing touchdowns! While that's unlikely to repeat, he still belongs in the top-tier RB conversation and is a solid pick towards the back end of the first round in your draft.Unfortunately, the Packers went out and drafted a RB in the second round that profiles as a prolific goal line back in the NFL. Jones finished as the RB2 last season on the back of 16 touchdowns and that's unlikely to repeat in 2020. Jones has more competition for touches and may lose goal line work to AJ Dillon, but he's still one of the most talented RBs in the league and is a solid option as a RB2 for your roster.
Kevin Wheeler
The Draft Zone
Underrated aspect of Henry's blistering 8-game stretch (203/1273/11 rushing): not only is it the 2nd-most rushing yards in an 8-game stretch in history, but it comes against teams a combined 24 games above .500. @AdamHarstadPlaying on the last year of his rookie deal, he's set to make just $735K in 2020 (none guaranteed). After leading all RBs in TDs with 19 scores and carrying his team deep into the playoffs, he's surely to be a candidate for a contract situation (good or bad). @FFHurcules
Ben Wasley
The Fantasy First Down
2019 was when it finally all came together for Derrick Henry, as he parlayed 303 carries into the rushing title and a RB3 finish in half-ppr. The reaction has been unusual, with a surprising amount of fantasy owners taking a big step back with players like Josh Jacobs, Nick Chubb, Austin Ekeler, Miles Sanders, Kenyan Drake and even Clyde Edwards-Helaire regularly going ahead of Henry for no good reason. Henry remains an absolute stud, especially in non-PPR, with a clear path to another 300 touches and maybe even more receptions. The injury concern appears to be overblown, as Henry has little injury history and all running backs with high volume are a breakdown risk. Ultimately, I'm hopping on the Henry express expecting another big season in 2020.Aaron Jones was a monster last year, rumbling to a RB2 finish in half-PPR while logging 49 receptions and 19 total TDs. The Packers have since shown every indication they intend to commit to the run, sadly that commitment extended to drafting AJ Dillon in the second round. Ignoring how stupid the Packers draft was, it is reason for concern for Aaron Jones fans. While he's still clearly the lead guy in the Packers backfield, he simply isn't guaranteed close to enough carries to be a reliable fantasy option. To add to the issues, Dillon is a good goal line back and will likely chip into Jones's 46 red zone looks. Jones retains is high upside but is a risk I'd rather delay to the second round in all formats.
Seth Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
3 drops on 23 targets. 2019 was his worst year of passpro according to PFF. Relying on TDs and elite production, strictly from the ground, needing a great oline, requires some big truss.Coming off of a year with 19 TDs and limited competition for those TDs, I just an expect a natural regression. His receiving work should keep him in the mix to easily stay inside the top 10. Just another way to say that he's miles better than Jamaal Williams is their Rushing grade, versus Run Blocking grade on PFF. Williams struggles to produce little more than what his line gives him, while Jones has been elite all 3 years with average line play. AJ Dillon is coming for Jamaal, not Aaron.
Wolf of Roto Street
Roto Street Journal
Returns to TEN w/ Tannehill also back, and now Dion Lewis gone?! Line beefed up in draft after losing Conklin to Browns. Perfect storm of an offseason for Henry