Who Should I Draft?

Aaron Jones or Derrick Henry

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Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Derrick Henry
 
 
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
53 of 95 experts
44%
Recommended by
42 of 95 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 15# 17-
Best Rank# 5# 9-
Worst Rank# 28# 29-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total145.5186.3-
Avg Game12.111.6-
Avg Projection175.9193.0-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank205-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Aaron JonesDerrick HenryAdd Player
    
Michael FlorioM. Florio
Fantrax
25 m
#15#22-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
Yahoo! Sports
2 h
#15#14-
    
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
3 h
#18#14-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
The Fantasy Footballers
9 h
#28#17-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
11 h
#16#19-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
12 h
#17#10-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
19 h
#12#18-
    
Bill EnrightB. Enright
FFChamps
22 h
#12#14-
    
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
22 h
#15#19-
    
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WalterFootball
23 h
#11#21-
    
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Fantasy Six Pack
1 d
#15#20-
    
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
1 d
#16#9-
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
1 d
#20#14-
    
Dylan ChappineD. Chap...
White Wolf Sports
1 d
#19#11-
    
Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
1 d
#15#9-
    
Matt De LimaM. De Lima
FullTime Fantasy
1 d
#15#18-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
RotoExperts
1 d
#14#22-
    
John PaulsenJ. Paulsen
4for4.com
1 d
#14#15-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#20#11-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
2 d
#14#13-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
FantasyData
2 d
#14#10-
    
Blake FincherB. Fincher
Fantasy Football Cafe
2 d
#15#19-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
2 d
#21#14-
    
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
3 d
#14#10-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
DraftWize
4 d
#15#18-
    
Bobby SylvesterB. Sylv...
FantasyPros
4 d
#14#19-
    
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
4 d
#14#20-
    
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Drink Five
4 d
#15#26-
    
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
4 d
#14#18-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
The Quant Edge
5 d
#17#9-
    
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
5 d
#11#20-
    
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
5 d
#11#15-
    
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
Fantasy Fusion
5 d
#17#23-
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
5 d
#17#15-
    
Site RankingsS. Rank...
FFToday
6 d
#16#13-
    
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
6 d
#15#16-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
6 d
#16#19-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
The Athletic
7 d
#16#14-
    
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
7 d
#12#14-
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
1 w
#18#20-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
1 w
#21#15-
    
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
1 w
#17#18-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
1 w
#15#19-
    
Kevin HansonK. Hanson
EDSFootball
1 w
#13#16-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
1 w
#20#17-
    
Kyle AugustK. August
FF Fellas
1 w
#18#15-
    
Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
2 w
#20#19-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
2 w
#10#15-
    
Anthony AmicoA. Amico
RotoViz
2 w
#24#11-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
2 w
#20#17-
    
Ryan SkolrudR. Skolrud
SkullKing Football
2 w
#20#14-
    
Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
2 w
#14#22-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
2 w
#19#29-
    
Nate HamiltonN. Hami...
Fantrax
2 w
#23#11-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
2 w
#10#13-
    
Dale DeMottD. DeMott
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
2 w
#15#18-
    
Anthony StaggsA. Staggs
FF Statistics
2 w
#16#18-
    
2 w
#17#15-
    
Armando CrespoA. Crespo
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
2 w
#13#23-
    
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
3 w
#17#18-
    
Elisha TwerskiE. Twerski
Cheesehead TV
3 w
#15#14-
    
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
3 w
#20#15-
    
Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
Gridiron Experts
3 w
#16#15-
    
Nick HumphreysN. Hump...
Fantasy Victors
3 w
#16#17-
    
Michael BellerM. Beller
Sports Illustrated
3 w
#5#17-
    
Bill DubielB. Dubiel
RotoBaller
3 w
#16#15-
    
Mike RandleM. Randle
Dynasty Trade Calculator
3 w
#18#15-
    
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FullTime Fantasy
3 w
#16#20-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
4 w
#13#14-
    
Kyle KontosK. Kontos
Double K Football
4 w
#16#17-
    
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
4 w
#13#21-
    
George BankoG. Banko
Fantasy Football Helpers
3 d
#18#14-
    
Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
06/14
#20#23-
    
Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
06/14
#21#15-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
06/12
#10#14-
    
Derek BrownD. Brown
The Quant Edge
06/01
#16#19-
    
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
06/10
#17#31-
    
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
06/06
#30#27-
    
Matthew BoweM. Bowe
Razzball
06/05
#16#20-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
06/03
#16#18-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
05/30
#15#12-
    
Jason MooreJ. Moore
The Fantasy Footballers
05/29
#36#20-
    
Justin PickleJ. Pickle
The Hateful 8
05/31
#24#15-
    
Andrew FerrisA. Ferris
Fantasy Hot Read
05/22
#22#15-
    
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
5 d
#21#18-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
05/14
#18#20-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
05/11
#17#15-
    
Adam RankA. Rank
NFL.com
05/09
#21#12-
    
Graham BarfieldG. Barf...
NFL.com
05/09
#19#22-
    
David FucilloD. Fucillo
SB Nation
05/08
#17#15-
    
Chris MeyersC. Meyers
Athlon Sports
05/07
#13#19-
    
Christian BritoC. Brito
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
1 w
#14#19-
    
Seth McKinleyS. McKi...
FF Fellas
03/02
#13#20-
    
Nick VertucciN. Vert...
Sundays Are For Football
01/31
#13#20-
    
Nick MarianoN. Mariano
RotoBaller
01/25
#11#21-
    
  Aaron Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Derrick Henry
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 at CHI at CLE
Week 2 vs. MIN vs. IND
Week 3 vs. DEN at JAC
Week 4 vs. PHI at ATL
Week 5 at DAL vs. BUF
Week 6 vs. DET at DEN
Week 7 vs. OAK vs. LAC
Week 8 at KC vs. TB
Week 9 at LAC at CAR
Week 10 vs. CAR vs. KC
Week 11BYE WEEKBYE WEEK
Week 12 at SF vs. JAC
Week 13 at NYG at IND
Week 14 vs. WAS at OAK
Week 15 vs. CHI vs. HOU
Week 16 at MIN vs. NO
Week 17 at DET at HOU
  Aaron Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Derrick Henry
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts185.6256.1
Rush Yards932.31,199.8
Rush TDs8.010.3
   
Receiving
   
Receptions37.616.5
Rec Yards290.7124.9
Rec TDs1.40.3
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points175.9193.0
   
  Aaron Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Derrick Henry
2018 Points 
Week 13.1
Week 25.9
Week 34.75.7
Week 414.23.1
Week 55.95.6
Week 64.12.6
Week 712.5
Week 814.6
Week 96.69.2
Week 1029.217.8
Week 1122.34.6
Week 1215.32.9
Week 1311.210.5
Week 1416.647.8
Week 150.829.2
Week 1615.2
Week 1710.6
  Aaron Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Derrick Henry
2018 Targets 
Week 11
Week 20
Week 311
Week 412
Week 531
Week 611
Week 72
Week 82
Week 942
Week 1050
Week 1160
Week 1253
Week 1342
Week 1430
Week 1501
Week 161
Week 171
  Aaron Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Derrick Henry
Expert 
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
A bit risky for a top-12 RB pick, but in that offense, his upside is huge. 
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Jones was one of the best running backs in the NFL in the 2nd half of the 2018 season. As long as the new coaching staff continues that usage, he should be a RB1 in 2019. He should also see more targets in the passing game, something the prior coaching staff did not do enough of last year.Henry carries some risk in 2019, because the bulk of his production came in Week 13-17, when he had 97 rushing attempts for 625 yards, 6.44 yards per carry and 7 TDs. I would value him as a RB2 until he shows he can be a bell cow back for an entire season.
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
Assuming he stays healthy, Aaron Jones is going to be a RB1 this season. He's the best RB on that depth chart by a mile, and he was fantastic when they finally gave him the workload he deserves. Jones had the most carries of 10+ yards of any RB with less than 150 carries last season, while he lead the league in YPC, and was 5th in percentage of runs that gain positive yards (Scott Barrett). The only concern with Jones is his health. He's suffered three separate MCL sprains, a pulled hamstring, and has just 4 career games over 15 carries...and exactly 0 games with 20 or more carries. We just don't know if he's capable of handling the workload we want. He's done everything he can over the offseason to try and get his body into perfect shape. He's down to 5.3% body fat as part of a new diet and workout strategy. At the end of the day, he's worth the gamble in the third round. All of the sure thing RB's are gone at this point, and you start to run out of RB's with top 10 upside. Jones absolutely has that sort of upside in his range of outcomes...he just needs to stay on the field.Derrick Henry is one of the most polarizing players in fantasy football. Unfortunately, I don't have a strong take for or against Henry. I believe that the end of last season was likely the best run of his career, but that he's capable of matching that performance for stretches going forward. He finished last season with a disgusting 87/585/7 stat line over the final FOUR WEEKS! That was 6.72 yards per carry across 87 carries!. Now, most of that was from the crazy Jaguars game. In fact, he went over 95 rushing yards just twice last season, and was under 60 rushing yards in every game from weeks 1-12. I'll even do you one further. Henry has under 95 rushing yards in 91% of his career regular season games, and less than 3 targets in that same percentage. It's not all bad for Henry though. He was PFF's third rated RB last season, ranked second in yards per carry after contact, 3rd in elusiveness rating, and 3rd in percent of carries that gained positive yardage. Henry is a good RB, and it's shocking that he's never been given the opportunity to be the bell cow. Henry has more than 19 carries in just 6% of his career regular season games. I expect that to increase this season. The Titans should improve as an offense with the addition of A.J. Brown, and the return of Delanie Walker. The receptions won't be there, so he's going to be volatile, but Henry has massive weekly upside in any format...and I wouldn't be shocked if he posts a 1,300/13 stat line this season.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
If you're looking for a running back who comes with top-six upside, but also comes with a high-degree of uncertainty, Jones is your guy. He's the most talented running back on what should be a top-five scoring offense, but it appears the Packers haven't given up on Jamaal Williams just yet. He's ideally someone you snag as your second running back due to the risk associated with him.Are the Titans really ready to promote Henry to a workhorse role? That's doubtful considering Dion Lewis is still on the roster and they're not paying him close to $5 million this year to sit on the bench and be a cheerleader. Henry deserves more touches, that much is certain, but what happens when the Titans fall behind in a game? Lewis is far-and-away the better pass-catcher, which means Henry will be gamescript-dependent. If you believe the Titans are contenders and will finish with a winning record, that's a vote of confidence for Henry, though it's hard to say that with any confidence. He's the ultimate boom-or-bust running back, which is why he's best-suited as an RB2.