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Aaron Jones or Lamar Jackson

Who Should I Draft?

Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron JonesA. Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
Lamar JacksonL. Jackson
QB - BAL
Lamar Jackson
 
 
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154 of 176 experts
13%
Recommended by
22 of 176 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 16# 31-
Best Rank# 7# 6-
Worst Rank# 47# 77-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total265.8421.7-
Avg Game16.628.1-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank1716-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
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Aaron JonesLamar JacksonAdd Player
    
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Scott AtkinsS. Atkins
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Kevin ScottK. Scott
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Justin VarnesJ. Varnes
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Dave LoughranD. Loug...
Awesemo
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Nolan KellyN. Kelly
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Rob WilsonR. Wilson
The Fantasy Footballers
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Michael BellerM. Beller
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Doug MooreD. Moore
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Player Game Logs Comparison
  Aaron JonesA. Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
Lamar JacksonL. Jackson
QB - BAL
Lamar Jackson
2020 Schedule 
Week 1 at MIN vs. CLE
Week 2 vs. DET at HOU
Week 3 at NO vs. KC
Week 4 vs. ATL at WAS
Week 5BYE WEEK vs. CIN
Week 6 at TB at PHI
Week 7 at HOU vs. PIT
Week 8 vs. MINBYE WEEK
Week 9 at SF at IND
Week 10 vs. JAC at NE
Week 11 at IND vs. TEN
Week 12 vs. CHI at PIT
Week 13 vs. PHI vs. DAL
Week 14 at DET at CLE
Week 15 vs. CAR vs. JAC
Week 16 vs. TEN vs. NYG
Week 17 at CHI at CIN
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
  Aaron JonesA. Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
Lamar JacksonL. Jackson
QB - BAL
Lamar Jackson
2019 Points 
Week 13.933.6
Week 221.030.9
Week 314.321.3
Week 411.826.5
Week 542.214.4
Week 64.030.6
Week 714.323.3
Week 834.6
Week 92.928.6
Week 1027.333.4
Week 1132.8
Week 123.836.3
Week 133.122.3
Week 1425.220.8
Week 1517.137.1
Week 1626.029.8
Week 1714.3
Total265.8421.7
Average16.628.1
Notes for Player Combination
  Aaron JonesA. Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
Lamar JacksonL. Jackson
QB - BAL
Lamar Jackson
Expert 
Jacob Wayne
Lineups
Fantasy players seem to be fading on Aaron Jones after a wildly productive season that saw him finish as the RB2 in PPR leagues. He likely won't repeat his phenomenal 16 rushing touchdowns from last year, but I don't anticipate rookie A.J. Dillon stealing too much work right away. Jones is still clearly the most talented running back and perhaps the second-best pass-catcher on an Aaron Rodgers-led team. There's obvious value in his role and with his talent, he should finish as a top-15 running back at least.I rarely advocate for drafting a quarterback early in a fantasy football league, but Lamar Jackson is the exception to the rule. His 1,200 rushing yards and 36 passing touchdowns likely aren't sustainable, but even if he had 300 fewer rushing yards and 6 fewer passing touchdowns last year, he still would have been the QB1 by a solid margin. He's at the helm of an offense perfectly built to emphasize his strengths and the team will need to air it out a bit more as their schedule gets tougher and their defense gets a little worse. Draft Jackson in the third round if he falls there without hesitation.
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
 Jackson is due for regression across the board, but his rushing prowess keeps him locked in right behind Mahomes.
Draft Engine
Draft Engine
A slasher with juice in the open field, Jones has the ability to break off big gains on outside-zone runs. Showing a nose for the end zone in 2019, he was the only NFL running back to surpass 10 touchdowns on fewer than 20 carries inside the 10-yard line.Following last year's promotion of Greg Roman to offensive coordinator, Jackson thrived in the system that propelled Tyrod Taylor to the best season of his career in 2015. Jackson's MVP numbers will regress, but his rushing prowess gives him a very high floor.
Kevin Wheeler
Draftwize
Playing on the last year of his rookie deal, he's set to make just $735K in 2020 (none guaranteed). After leading all RBs in TDs with 19 scores and carrying his team deep into the playoffs, he's surely to be a candidate for a contract situation (good or bad). @FFHurculesThe groin issue that kept Jackson out of practice for two days wasn't serious, as expected. "I doubt if I'm going to be carrying the ball a lot going on in the future," Jackson claimed. "We've got dynamic running backs. We're going to have even more receivers." Jackson's 176 carries in 2019 broke his own single-season record for quarterbacks by 29. It stands to reason the Ravens would like to dial that number back a bit and try to limit L-Jax's exposure to big hits, but he'll probably still have around 140 carries.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Despite having Aaron Rodgers under center, the Packers decided to add a third-string running back and fullback to their roster on Day 2 of the NFL Draft. Is that worrisome to Jones' production? Maybe a bit, as Matt LaFleur seems to want to continue his timeshare ways. Jones is by far the most talented, so even if we were to see him dip down to 13-15 touches per game, that's enough for him to do damage, especially considering Rodgers targets him in the passing game. Jones is one of just two running backs (Alvin Kamara is the other) who've finished with a top-30 season over the last 10 years with less than 300 touches. Jones is one of the most efficient running backs in football, though the coaching staff keeps him in RB2 territory.If we were replaying the 2019 season, Jackson would be the No. 2 pick in fantasy leagues, and it wouldn't be a reach. He was behind only Christian McCaffrey in value based drafting score. We talk all the time about regression when it comes to quarterbacks with a high touchdown rate, and Jackson is no different after posting a ridiculous 9.0 percent touchdown rate in 2019. That's going to come down. Lowering that mark to 5.0 percent (which is still above average), he would've thrown 20 touchdowns instead of the 36 that he did. However, something to help offset that is his rushing touchdown output. Based on where his carries took place last year, Jackson should've scored closer to 12 rushing touchdowns rather than the seven that he did. The downside to Jackson is that he's a bit thinner than you'd like as a mobile quarterback. While it's tough to get a clean hit on him, we have a history of mobile quarterbacks not withstanding a lot of hits. When you invest a second- or third-round pick on a quarterback, you need him on the field. If Jackson were a lock to play all 16 games, he'd be my QB1 and well worth a second-round pick. When you add in some of that risk, he's more of a third-round selection. There were nine separate occasions last year where he delivered 28-plus fantasy points. Those are week-winning performances.
Rob Wilson
The Fantasy Footballers
Touchdown totals will regress, but his ADP already bakes that in. Coming off an RB2 overall finish, his cost is reasonable this season.Jackson should regress since his 2019 campaign was historic, but even a small regression puts him in elite QB territory due to his rushing ability. He's a lock for a top 3 QB finish.
Frank Bonincontri
Fantasy Wire HQ
Offseason fantasy buzzword is "regression" but who cares? This guy is going to eat under 2nd year coach Matt LaFleur. The offense will need to run the ball and control the clock, if they are down, they are passing to get back in the game and Jones is the best in pass protection and catches out of the backfield. Dont let the Twitter offseason buzzkills scare you awayLamar has walked the walk each season, has promised to take the next step and has delivered, now with an even scarier defense? A balanced passing attack wins the Super Bowl
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
The Packers did add A.J. Dillion, who profiles as a bruising back who can steal goal-line work, but Aaron jones will be just fine. He doesn't need to score 19 TDs to be a RB1/high-end RB2 and he has always ceded some work to other RBs. The GB O-line was great last season and should be again this season. I also don't know if a RB has ever received less praise than Aaron Jones for his 49/474/3 receiving line. Draft Jones confidently. 
Dalton Kates
APEX Fantasy Leagues
Incredible player coming off an RB2 finish overall. Issue with him is the teams lack of commitment to him as a rusher. They invested draft capital into AJ Dillon and there is reason to believe Jones is the lead back to the committee. 
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
Was No. 2 RB in FAN PTS, and advanced metrics supported his effort, but you have to factor in negative TD regression after 19 trips to the end zone in 2019Produced greatest FAN PPG season by a QB in NFL history - could have thrown 10 less TD passes, rushed for 500 fewer yards yet still finished No. 1 QB in FAN PPG
Elliot Berkovits
Packer Report
Everyone is screaming "regression for Aaron Jones." I get it, he rushed for 19 TDs, you can't expect him to do that again. So, go ahead and take away 9 of Jones' 19 TDs, he still would've finished as RB9! Jones is a star entering his prime.Looking at Jackson's ability to run the ball and now his growing passing arsenal with weapons like Marquise Brown, Mark Andrews, and rookie Devin Duvernay. Barring injury, Lamar should finish QB1 once again and it shouldn't be close.
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
 The Ravens offense was hyper efficient last season, so regression is certainly expected, but that does not mean Lamar Jackson takes a big step back. I still think he ends as an overall top 3 QB, but am not currently drafting at ADP.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Aaron Jones is still a RB1 coming off a season with 1,558 yards from scrimmage and 19 total touchdowns. There are two concerns, one is that he had only 236 rushing attempts and 49 receptions to accomplish those totals. Second, the Packers also added A.J. Dillon in the NFL Draft, which could take away some touches this season.Jackson not only led the league in touchdown passes with 36, but he also ran for 1,206 yards. If he does not run as much this year, it may put him behind Mahomes, but these two are in an elite class by themselves.
Kyle Yates
FantasyPros
Unfortunately, the Packers went out and drafted a RB in the second round that profiles as a prolific goal line back in the NFL. Jones finished as the RB2 last season on the back of 16 touchdowns and that's unlikely to repeat in 2020. Jones has more competition for touches and may lose goal line work to AJ Dillon, but he's still one of the most talented RBs in the league and is a solid option as a RB2 for your roster.Jackson's going to have an absurd price tag this draft season, but the crazy thing is...he actually might be worth it. Jackson's rushing ability is a cheat code at the QB position and he has the potential to single-handedly win you a week because of it. Jackson should be off the board as either the first or second QB drafted.
Ben Rolfe
The Touchdown
 In 4-point per passing touchdown format, Jackson is the clear number one thanks to his increased usage of his legs to make plays over both Mahomes and Watson
Ben Wasley
The Fantasy First Down
Aaron Jones was a monster last year, rumbling to a RB2 finish in half-PPR while logging 49 receptions and 19 total TDs. The Packers have since shown every indication they intend to commit to the run, sadly that commitment extended to drafting AJ Dillon in the second round. Ignoring how stupid the Packers draft was, it is reason for concern for Aaron Jones fans. While he's still clearly the lead guy in the Packers backfield, he simply isn't guaranteed close to enough carries to be a reliable fantasy option. To add to the issues, Dillon is a good goal line back and will likely chip into Jones's 46 red zone looks. Jones retains is high upside but is a risk I'd rather delay to the second round in all formats.After his historic 2019, Jackson has a lot of regression coming, but that's not to say he won't be amazing again in the future. He still has a massive amount of upside and no matter how often the Ravens insist Lamar will rush less moving forward, that's not going to entirely disappear from his game. I also don't believe his passing efficiency will remain at the same extraordinary level, he just doesn't have the arm talent or the weapons. Hence he's a lower floor option compared to Mahomes and I'm slotting him in as my QB2. Please don't reach for him in drafts as there's exceptional depth at QB this year.
Seth Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
Coming off of a year with 19 TDs and limited competition for those TDs, I just an expect a natural regression. His receiving work should keep him in the mix to easily stay inside the top 10. Just another way to say that he's miles better than Jamaal Williams is their Rushing grade, versus Run Blocking grade on PFF. Williams struggles to produce little more than what his line gives him, while Jones has been elite all 3 years with average line play. AJ Dillon is coming for Jamaal, not Aaron.Went back to look at QB TD rates of QBs that rush for 700+ yards a season to see if maybe he'd be somewhat exempt from TD regression. Nope. An AVG TD rate of 4.67%. Lamar was at 9% in 2019. Regression is coming. It seems impossible to imagine it right now but we don't need our feet held to the fire for 2020 because of 2019.