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Aaron Rodgers or Justin Herbert

Who Should I Draft?


Player Summaries Comparison
 
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51%
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65 of 127 experts
49%
Recommended by
62 of 127 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 7# 8-
Best Rank# 3# 3-
Worst Rank# 16# 14-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total342.8411.9-
Avg Game22.924.2-
Avg Projection333.4332.9-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank2431-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Justin HerbertAaron RodgersAdd Player
    
Mark RingoM. Ringo
Sleepers and Busts
17 m
#9#12-
    
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
55 m
#7#11-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
1 h
#16#8-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
1 h
#7#10-
    
Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
2 h
#6#9-
    
Dave KlugeD. Kluge
Footballguys
2 h
#6#10-
    
Matt HarmonM. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports
3 h
#8#7-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
3 h
#10#11-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
FadeTheNoise Podcast
3 h
#9#7-
    
Steven PintadoS. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches
3 h
#8#9-
    
Lawrence JacksonL. Jackson
Fantasy Football Lord
3 h
#7#8-
    
Michael FlorioM. Florio
RotoBaller
3 h
#7#9-
    
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
4 h
#7#6-
    
Ellis JohnsonE. Johnson
True North Fantasy Football
4 h
#7#9-
    
Fantasy BRF. BR
Fantasy BR
4 h
#7#6-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
4 h
#8#7-
    
Dylan LicciardoD. Licc...
FF Gamers
4 h
#9#8-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
4 h
#8#5-
    
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
5 h
#6#7-
    
Jaime EisnerJ. Eisner
The Draft Network
5 h
#10#9-
    
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
5 h
#6#10-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
5 h
#8#7-
    
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
5 h
#8#7-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
6 h
#11#9-
    
Matthew McCarthyM. McCa...
Gridiron Ratings
6 h
#9#7-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
SportsGrid
6 h
#7#13-
    
David ZachD. Zach
FantasyPros
6 h
#8#7-
    
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
6 h
#9#12-
    
John HestermanJ. Hest...
Dynasty League Football
6 h
#9#8-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
6 h
#7#8-
    
Tim PetropoulosT. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
6 h
#9#6-
    
Joe PisapiaJ. Pisapia
FantasyPros
6 h
#10#8-
    
Mike MaherM. Maher
FantasyPros
6 h
#9#6-
    
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
SportsLine
7 h
#9#8-
    
Jacob W. DunneJ. W. D...
New Life Fantasy
7 h
#8#9-
    
Ryan Hodge R. Hodge
FantasyLabs
7 h
#6#11-
    
John PaulsenJ. Paulsen
4for4.com
14 h
#6#9-
    
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
21 h
#8#5-
    
Alex GodshallA. Gods...
Beaver Dam
1 d
#6#8-
    
Tim BrosnanT. Brosnan
Tim's Fantasy Tips
1 d
#7#8-
    
Michael HauffM. Hauff
FF Faceoff
2 d
#8#6-
    
Site RankingsS. Rank...
FFToday
2 d
#9#7-
    
Francisco (Chato) RomeroF. (Cha...
Estadio Fantasy
2 d
#6#9-
    
Dennis SosicD. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
2 d
#7#6-
    
Blake FincherB. Fincher
Fantasy Football Cafe
2 d
#7#8-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
2 d
#8#7-
    
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
2 d
#7#12-
    
Seth MillerS. Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
2 d
#8#6-
    
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
3 d
#6#14-
    
Jose Ramon LlacaJ. Ramo...
Estadio Fantasy
3 d
#5#8-
    
Chris KennedyC. Kennedy
The Fantasy Headliners
3 d
#7#8-
    
Jake ArthurJ. Arthur
Sports Illustrated
3 d
#8#6-
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
3 d
#9#13-
    
Drew DeLucaD. DeLuca
NFL Spinzone
3 d
#5#8-
    
Nicholas YouN. You
The Undroppables
3 d
#8#9-
    
Andy VandaA. Vanda
Take Your League
3 d
#11#7-
    
Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
FF Faceoff
3 d
#6#7-
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
3 d
#11#9-
    
Jason PetropoulosJ. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
3 d
#6#8-
    
Matthew BetzM. Betz
The Fantasy Footballers
3 d
#7#8-
    
Daniel MaderD. Mader
Belly Up Sports
4 d
#14#10-
    
Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
4 d
#9#6-
    
Brendan TumaB. Tuma
FantasyPros
4 d
#7#10-
    
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
FantasyPros
4 d
#7#8-
    
Benjamin KlotzB. Klotz
Touchdown Squad
5 d
#7#10-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
5 d
#8#7-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
5 d
#7#10-
    
Neema HodjatN. Hodjat
Real GM
6 d
#7#8-
    
Jamie CalandroJ. Cala...
Fantasy Team Advice
6 d
#6#8-
    
Joey WrightJ. Wright
Razzball
7 d
#6#8-
    
Kevin TompkinsK. Tomp...
Fighting Chance Fantasy
1 w
#6#9-
    
Dale DeMottD. DeMott
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
1 w
#7#8-
    
Tyler OrginskiT. Orgi...
Fantasy Hot Read
1 w
#11#13-
    
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
1 w
#8#7-
    
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
1 w
#5#12-
    
Peter RogersP. Rogers
Fake Teams
1 w
#7#5-
    
Jarad EvansJ. Evans
Pro Football Focus
1 w
#6#9-
    
Nick BretwischN. Bret...
Win Daily Sports
1 w
#7#8-
    
Aaron LarsonA. Larson
FantasyPros
1 w
#9#8-
    
Allie FontanaA. Fontana
Fighting Chance Fantasy
2 w
#6#9-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
The Draft Zone
2 w
#7#12-
    
Bill EnrightB. Enright
Sports Illustrated
2 w
#12#8-
    
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
2 w
#8#7-
    
Michael BellerM. Beller
The Athletic
2 w
#8#7-
    
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
2 w
#10#8-
    
Elvin RyanE. Ryan
The Pregame HQ
2 w
#5#8-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
4for4.com
2 w
#6#10-
    
Clayton CadieuxC. Cadieux
Fantasy Football From Up North
2 w
#9#6-
    
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
2 w
#10#8-
    
Michael PetropoulosM. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
3 w
#10#8-
    
Wolf of Roto StreetW. of R...
Roto Street Journal
3 w
#6#11-
    
Jordan RainsJ. Rains
Expand The Boxscore
3 w
#6#10-
    
Ben WasleyB. Wasley
The Fantasy First Down
3 w
#6#7-
    
Adam PfeiferA. Pfeifer
FTN
3 w
#8#6-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
FantasyPros
3 w
#8#5-
    
Mick CiallelaM. Cial...
Fantrax
3 w
#9#7-
    
Greg SmithG. Smith
TwoQBs
3 w
#7#9-
    
Adrian AlpansequeA. Alpa...
Estadio Fantasy
3 w
#9#7-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
3 w
#5#9-
    
Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
3 w
#3#9-
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
3 w
#9#7-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
4 w
#7#3-
    
Adam MurfetA. Murfet
5 Yard Rush
4 w
#9#7-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
4 w
#5#13-
    
Robby JeffriesR. Jeff...
The Fantasy Authority
4 w
#7#13-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
Pro Football Network
06/23
#9#7-
    
Blair WilliamsB. Will...
Razzball
06/22
#8#10-
    
Huseyin AksuH. Aksu
Fantasy Couch
3 d
#6#11-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
2 w
#3#6-
    
Garret PriceG. Price
Dynasty Nerds
06/15
#8#6-
    
Mark RossM. Ross
Athlon Sports
06/14
#8#7-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
DK Nation
06/15
#8#7-
    
Kyle RichardsonK. Rich...
The Fantasy Headliners
06/08
#9#6-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
06/07
#4#6-
    
Richard KingR. King
King Fantasy Sports
1 d
#8#6-
    
Richard CoolingR. Cooling
5 Yard Rush
3 w
#6#10-
    
Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
05/31
#5#8-
    
Jeff RatcliffeJ. Ratc...
FTN
05/28
#8#7-
    
Nick RaducanuN. Radu...
ProjectRoto
05/27
#8#7-
    
Justin DoddsJ. Dodds
SleeperWire
05/24
#9#7-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
05/23
#6#8-
    
Justin GeorgeJ. George
Take Your League
05/22
#9#6-
    
Zachary HanshewZ. Hanshew
FantasyPros
05/20
#8#7-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
FTN
3 w
#9#11-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
QB List
02/01
#8#7-
    
Jorge B. EdwardsJ. B. E...
Fantasy In Frames
01/11
#6#5-
    
Tal MalachovskyT. Mala...
The Fantasy Scout
12/30
#35#13-
    
Player Game Logs Comparison
 
2021 Schedule 
Week 1 at WAS at NO
Week 2 vs. DAL vs. DET
Week 3 at KC at SF
Week 4 vs. LV vs. PIT
Week 5 vs. CLE at CIN
Week 6 at BAL at CHI
Week 7BYE WEEK vs. WAS
Week 8 vs. NE at ARI
Week 9 at PHI at KC
Week 10 vs. MIN vs. SEA
Week 11 vs. PIT at MIN
Week 12 at DEN vs. LAR
Week 13 at CINBYE WEEK
Week 14 vs. NYG vs. CHI
Week 15 vs. KC at BAL
Week 16 at HOU vs. CLE
Week 17 vs. DEN vs. MIN
Week 18 at LV at DET
Player Projections Comparison
 
Passing
   
Pass Att617.4571.2
Pass Cmp402.5384.8
Pass Yards4,619.84,457.3
Pass TDs31.036.6
Ints12.07.2
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts61.541.0
Rush Yards273.4174.0
Rush TDs4.41.9
   
Misc
   
Fumbles2.63.1
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points333.4332.9
   
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
 
2020 Points 
Week 130.8
Week 223.218.2
Week 315.724.5
Week 424.029.6
Week 527.4
Week 65.8
Week 738.527.3
Week 823.222.5
Week 923.428.9
Week 1021.526.4
Week 1127.722.7
Week 1217.425.6
Week 136.423.5
Week 1416.730.9
Week 1528.018.3
Week 1616.726.1
Week 1733.026.0
Week 18
Total342.8411.9
Average22.924.2
Notes for Player Combination
 
Expert 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
What Herbert did in 2020 was miraculous. There's no two ways about it. To be handed the starting job just one hour before the game in Week 2, then go on to break the rookie record for passing touchdowns (31) is ridiculous. Now, with that being said, he still finished as the QB9 last year while throwing 595 pass attempts, the fourth most in the legaue. Now that he's got a defensive-minded head coach and a healthy defense, we could see the pass attempts dip a bit in 2021, which would certainly hurt his appeal. The Chargers did increase the talent on the offensive line, but also replaced Hunter Henry with Jared Cook, which is a certainly a downgrade. Herbert should still be a solid low-end QB1, but it's tough to see him finishing as a top-five option in 2021.Don't go out of your way to snag him in early drafts. Even if Rodgers does play for the Packers, his touchdown rate was 9.1 percent in 2020. If we dial that number back to Rodgers' career mark of 6.3 percent, which is still elite, he would've finished as the QB10 instead of the QB2 that he did. He doesn't offer mobility anymore and his offense isn't what we'd describe as "pass heavy." Even if we knew he was playing this year, QB8 should be the price.
Mark Ringo
Sleepers and Busts
Herbert did an amazing job last year as a rookie learning the Chargers offense in a pandemic. He'll have to learn another one this year. Anthony Lynn is gone. Brandon Staley is the new head coach and his offensive coordinator, Joe Lombardi, comes over from the Saints. Expect a lot of short quick passes and a power running game. Herbert has the goods and the line is improved. Despite the challenge of learning a new offense, Herbert should still do well in 2021.The million dollar question...will Rodgers play for Green Bay again? If he does, he's one of the all-time greats and the Packers' offense becomes a force again. I'd bump him up my ranks. It sounds like both sides are digging in their heels though. The Packers have no desire to trade Rodgers and Aaron doesn't want to come back. It goes without saying to monitor this situation closely throughout the summer.
Kyle Yates
FantasyPros
Herbert truly shocked the world last year with his breakout performance. After being criticized by many NFL Draft pundits - myself included - he rose all the way to a QB9 finish. Despite having a shortened off-season and not preparing as if he was going to be the starter, Herbert helped bring people to fantasy titles in 2020. In 2021, there's a bit of a shake-up with Brandon Staley coming in at Head Coach and Joe Lombardi as the new Offensive Coordinator. Typically, there's a setback for young QBs who see an early change in offensive coordinators, etc. around them and it's enough of a track record to at least be cautious with Herbert. However, he's defied the odds before and his supporting cast should do enough to keep him in the top-10 conversation. It's something to keep in mind when you're about to pull the trigger on Herbert in the middle rounds of your draft, but it shouldn't completely scare you away from him. He's an incredibly talented QB whose arrow is only pointing up.For the time being, Rodgers is still in Green Bay. As long as he's in a Packers uniform, we know what we can expect from him and that's pure greatness. All Rodgers needs to be successful is his top receiver in Davante Adams and he can do magical things for fantasy football. While there's a bit of uncertainty regarding this situation and where Rodgers will play in 2021, we shouldn't be scared off of drafting Rodgers as a top-6 option again this season.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Herbert had 342.8 fantasy points in his rookie year on a team that started (3-9) before winning their last four games. The sky is the limit for him and he should be an elite QB1 in his second season with a team that should be on the upswing.The big question is will he play in Green Bay. It looks like there is going to be a standoff between Rodgers and the GM and landing spot will impact his 2021 fantasy ranking. For now, he is an elite QB1 coming off a MVP season playing for one of the best offenses in the NFL.
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
Justin Herbert set a rookie record for passing TDs (31), threw just ten picks, and crossed 4.3K yards on his way to Rookie of the Year honors. A new coaching staff, including a new OC, should be careful not to screw up a good thing. The new OC is Joe Lombardi, former QB coach of the Saints. Learning under Sean Payton and Drew Brees, expectations are high for Herbert and company. The expectations are a more "up-tempo" offense built around Herbert's strengths. Drafting Rashawn Slater goes a long way to helping improve an offensive line that struggled. With (8) 300-yard games, Herbert had some big days in 2020, but he also had some rookie moments. Suppose you draft Herbert, bid on a similar season to 2020, not necessarily upside for more. He's not as safe as some veterans like Russell Wilson, nor do I think he has the upside in startup dynasty leagues like Trevor Lawrence or Joe Burrow. But the 23-year-old QB was impressive enough year one to consider him a QB1 in 2021.Aaron Rodgers had an elite level season, but at 38 this year, it's better to think of him as just a hair behind that top 5 group. He threw for a league-high 48 TDs and just five picks while posting 4,299 yards passing and 387 fantasy points. Everything broke right for Rodgers in 2020. Well, except for the NFC Championship game. Oh, and the fact he's "disgruntled" with the organization. It's important not to lose sight of the fact that Rodgers threw for 25 TDs in '18 and 26 TDs in '19. The 48 seems like a pretty colossal outlier at this stage in his career. He had a three-week period where he threw for 15 TDs. Rodgers will give you consistently solid QB play and is still a reliable, upper-tier QB in fantasy. It would be foolish to bid on 2020 as though it was repeatable. Davante Adams had a lot to do with Rodgers' success. If Adams should suffer any injury again, Rodgers' value would immediately take a massive hit. This is the significant difference between Rodgers and a QB like Matt Ryan, who has more weapons at his disposal. For the second year in a row, Green Bay failed to bring in a complementary WR of note, although bringing back Aaron Jones is beneficial to the offense.
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
 He hasn't reported to camp (OTAs) and he wants an extension and/or to be traded. Lots of question marks here, but he's a top-10 fantasy QB for me in 2021 likely no matter what happens here (unless he somehow holds out or retires of course).
Tim Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
After bursting on the scene his rookie season, Herbert is going to get his second playbook in as many seasons, but if we are judging future schemes based on coaching trees, that may end up being a good thing. Joe Lombardi was been the Saints QB coach for the last 5 seasons, working with Drew Brees and Sean Payton, and is the grandson of the guy they named the Super Bowl trophy after. Now, with an offense designed just for him, the talent that was clear last season might shine even brighter. He is still surrounded by incredible talent and an improved OLine as well.A pissed-off Aaron Rodgers is a great Aaron Rodgers, and boy does he seem angry. It's hard to rank Rodgers at this point, not knowing if he will still be a Packer in Week 1, but wherever he ends up, he is going to have a chip on his shoulder the size of a Green Bay wheel of cheese. I'm going to be betting on that a motivated Rodgers, just like I did last season.
Wolf of Roto Street
Roto Street Journal
Line improvements are HUGE. I like the Saints QB Coach as OC too - should be slinging.Risk worth avoiding right now given he could sit out the entire year.