Aaron Rodgers or Trey Lance
Who Should I Draft?
Experts' Pick | |||
Aaron Rodgers QB - GB  Aaron Rodgers QB - GB | Trey Lance QB - SF  Trey Lance QB - SF |  | |
Expert |
71% Recommended by 81 of 114 experts |
29% Recommended by 33 of 114 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would draftUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 12 | # 13 | - |
| Best Rank | # 6 | # 7 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 16 | # 21 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 345.3 | 67.0 | - |
| Avg Game | 20.3 | 11.2 | - |
| Avg Projection | 318.0 | 302.6 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 18 | 7 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Aaron Rodgers | Trey Lance | Add Player |
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Aaron Rodgers QB - GB Aaron Rodgers QB - GB | Trey Lance QB - SF Trey Lance QB - SF | |
| 2022 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | at MIN | at CHI |
| Week 2 | vs. CHI | vs. SEA |
| Week 3 | at TB | at DEN |
| Week 4 | vs. NE | vs. LAR |
| Week 5 | vs. NYG | at CAR |
| Week 6 | vs. NYJ | at ATL |
| Week 7 | at WAS | vs. KC |
| Week 8 | at BUF | at LAR |
| Week 9 | at DET | BYE WEEK |
| Week 10 | vs. DAL | vs. LAC |
| Week 11 | vs. TEN | at ARI |
| Week 12 | at PHI | vs. NO |
| Week 13 | at CHI | vs. MIA |
| Week 14 | BYE WEEK | vs. TB |
| Week 15 | vs. LAR | at SEA |
| Week 16 | at MIA | vs. WAS |
| Week 17 | vs. MIN | at LV |
| Week 18 | vs. DET | vs. ARI |
Aaron Rodgers QB - GB Aaron Rodgers QB - GB | Trey Lance QB - SF Trey Lance QB - SF | |
| Passing | ||
| Pass Att | 562.3 | 488.9 |
| Pass Cmp | 378.5 | 305.4 |
| Pass Yards | 4,251.2 | 3,674.7 |
| Pass TDs | 33.3 | 24.0 |
| Ints | 6.7 | 13.7 |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 38.1 | 112.9 |
| Rush Yards | 142.6 | 506.6 |
| Rush TDs | 1.9 | 4.5 |
| Misc | ||
| Fumbles | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 318.0 | 302.6 |
Aaron Rodgers QB - GB Aaron Rodgers QB - GB | Trey Lance QB - SF Trey Lance QB - SF | |
| 2021 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 3.3 | 4.4 |
| Week 2 | 26.8 | ‐ |
| Week 3 | 18.0 | 6.1 |
| Week 4 | 24.1 | 20.4 |
| Week 5 | 20.8 | 15.6 |
| Week 6 | 23.7 | ‐ |
| Week 7 | 24.7 | ‐ |
| Week 8 | 15.7 | ‐ |
| Week 9 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 10 | 11.5 | ‐ |
| Week 11 | 33.5 | 0.4 |
| Week 12 | 26.3 | ‐ |
| Week 13 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 14 | 29.6 | ‐ |
| Week 15 | 23.8 | ‐ |
| Week 16 | 20.0 | ‐ |
| Week 17 | 20.3 | 20.1 |
| Week 18 | 14.2 | ‐ |
| Total | 345.3 | 67.0 |
| Average | 20.3 | 11.2 |
Aaron Rodgers QB - GB Aaron Rodgers QB - GB | Trey Lance QB - SF Trey Lance QB - SF | |
| Expert | ||
| Justin Lampkin Clock Management Fantasy Football | This is a player that will be a rollercoasters with some very high point games and some very low point games. I don't like these players unless I'm in best ball formats. | |
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | Placing Aaron Rodgers in the "players to avoid" category feels like grabbing at low-hanging fruit, but it's just so obvious his fantasy ceiling is going to be hindered this year without his No. 1 wide receiver, Davante Adams. The one game the Packers signal-caller played without his No. 1 receiver in 2021 was his third-worst fantasy finish of the season. And Rodgers' only healthy season-long fantasy finish outside the top-8 came in a season where Adams missed four games. The dynamic duo's chemistry was never more apparent in or near the red zone, with Rodgers-Adams combining for 64 touchdowns - double-digits on average - since 2016, 23 more than the next closest duo (Patrick Mahomes and Tyreek Hill). Thirty-three percent of Rodgers touchdowns have gone to Adams over that period. Green Bay has bolstered their wide receiver room through free agency and the draft, but it's still improbable that they can make up for Adams' production - especially in the red zone. Without Adams, it's hard to buy Rodgers as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in 2022. | Trey Lance is falling in best ball ADP because of reports surfacing that he is underwhelming at OTAs and because Jimmy Garoppolo remains on the roster. But after the 49ers beat reporters butchered the Trey Sermon situation last season and the 49ers' massive investment in Lance last year, I view this situation as an easy buy-low scenario. Garoppolo's shoulder surgery is the reason he hasn't been traded. Once he is deemed healthy, I'd presume he gets moved to a QB-needy team or to a roster that sustains an injury at the position. Lance only started two games but showed off the rushing that excited fantasy managers during draft season. The 49ers' first-year signal-caller averaged 22.4 expected fantasy points and 60 rushing yards per game. |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Aaron Rodgers will be back in Green Bay, but with no Davante Adams, he is going to probably have a dip in passing production. Rodgers is a high-end QB2 for fantasy purposes without an elite proven wide receiver on an offense that is probably going to focus on the running game more this year. | Lance feels like he will be the starter in 2022 and his running ability makes him a candidate to have a breakout 2022 fantasy season on one of the better offenses in the NFL. |
| Derek Brown FantasyPros | Aaron Rodgers doesn't look like he's lost a step at all after finishing last season as the QB8 in fantasy points per game. Rodgers was top-five in fantasy points per dropback and clean pocket completion rate. Losing his bae Davante Adams hurts his ceiling and per-play efficiency outlooks. Efficiency has been the driver of his fantasy goodness because he resides inside one of the NFL's slowest-paced offenses. Raw volume won't be there to help counteract the dip there, so Rodgers falls into the QB2 bucket with weekly top 12 upside. | Every day that Jimmy Garoppolo remains on the 49ers' roster, it threatens Trey Lance's starting spot, but currently, I'm still projecting him to start this season. In the brief two-game sample of Lance starting last year, we got a glimpse at the biggest factor for his fantasy ceiling: the rushing upside. In those two games, Lance averaged 12 carries and 60 yards on the ground as the QB20 and QB10 in weekly scoring. Even with Garoppolo at the helm, the 49ers were sixth in EPA per play and second in yards per play. Lance's legs give him a top 12-15 fantasy quarterback floor with top-five upside should he light it up through the air. |
| Wolf of Roto Street Roto Street Journal | Ouch. No Adams could severely limit Rodgers & GB, esp fantasy-wise | Rumblings that Jimmy G may start ahead of him if not traded are terrifying. One of the most overrated early players in Best Ball |
| Pat Fitzmaurice FantasyPros | At age 38, Rodgers is still one of the best pure passers in the game, and there have been no discernible signs of decline. But make no mistake: Losing star WR Davante Adams is going to damage Rodgers' fantasy value. Expect at least incremental declines in both passing volume and efficiency. Rodgers has led the league in passer rating for two straight seasons and rarely throws interceptions, but he does very little running anymore. Without Adams, Rodgers' ceiling is probably low-end QB1, and it's probably best to view him as a high-end QB2. | The 49ers are expected to install Lance as their starting quarterback in 2022. The No. 3 overall pick in last year's draft, Lance is a gifted athlete with a live arm and the speed to be an impact runner. He'll have no shortage of pass-catching weaponry with Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle. Experience is the missing ingredient, and most people are going to rank Lance too low simply because he doesn't have a track record. The upside here is intoxicating. |
