Who Should I Draft?

Adam Thielen or Doug Baldwin

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Experts' Pick
 
  Adam Thielen
WR - MIN
Adam Thielen
Doug Baldwin
WR - SEA
Doug Baldwin
 
 
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83 of 152 experts
45%
Recommended by
69 of 152 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 13# 15-
Best Rank# 7# 7-
Worst Rank# 27# 29-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total148.8150.3-
Avg Game9.39.4-
Avg Projection138.5142.3-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank1019-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
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Adam ThielenDoug BaldwinAdd Player
    
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09/06
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08/18
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  Adam Thielen
WR - MIN
Adam Thielen
Doug Baldwin
WR - SEA
Doug Baldwin
2018 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. SF at DEN
Week 2 at GB at CHI
Week 3 vs. BUF vs. DAL
Week 4 at LAR at ARI
Week 5 at PHI vs. LAR
Week 6 vs. ARI at OAK
Week 7 at NYJBYE WEEK
Week 8 vs. NO at DET
Week 9 vs. DET vs. LAC
Week 10BYE WEEK at LAR
Week 11 at CHI vs. GB
Week 12 vs. GB at CAR
Week 13 at NE vs. SF
Week 14 at SEA vs. MIN
Week 15 vs. MIA at SF
Week 16 at DET vs. KC
Week 17 vs. CHI vs. ARI
  Adam Thielen
WR - MIN
Adam Thielen
Doug Baldwin
WR - SEA
Doug Baldwin
Receiving
   
Receptions80.877.1
Rec Yards1,068.71,001.7
Rec TDs5.57.0
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts1.22.0
Rush Yards7.45.6
Rush TDs0.00.0
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points138.5142.3
   
  Adam Thielen
WR - MIN
Adam Thielen
Doug Baldwin
WR - SEA
Doug Baldwin
2017 Points 
Week 115.76.0
Week 22.44.4
Week 39.816.5
Week 43.97.5
Week 54.53.7
Week 69.7
Week 74.115.2
Week 815.85.4
Week 916.8
Week 1022.69.5
Week 1118.310.0
Week 128.92.0
Week 135.18.4
Week 1416.513.8
Week 153.00.6
Week 162.49.5
Week 176.121.0
  Adam Thielen
WR - MIN
Adam Thielen
Doug Baldwin
WR - SEA
Doug Baldwin
2017 Targets 
Week 1104
Week 269
Week 3815
Week 483
Week 588
Week 613
Week 71212
Week 81010
Week 912
Week 10126
Week 1196
Week 12113
Week 1357
Week 14126
Week 1554
Week 1666
Week 1775
  Adam Thielen
WR - MIN
Adam Thielen
Doug Baldwin
WR - SEA
Doug Baldwin
Expert 
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
Thielen averaged 9.6 fantasy points per game and was one of the most reliable possession receivers in the NFL. He could have even bigger numbers playing with QB Kirk Cousins.Baldwin averaged 9.1 fantasy points per game and if the Seahawks can improve their offensive line play, his production could go higher in 2018. The only concern is a knee issue that Baldwin claims will never be 100% this season. That is a big red flag for a soon to be 30-year old player, but he will see too many targets to be less than a WR2 this year.
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
Volume takes precedent over efficiency in fantasy. Just look at Thielen, who enjoyed a breakout campaign (91 catches for 1,276 yards) by receiving 50 more targets than 2016. He averaged an identical 14.0 yards per reception and saw his catch % drop from 75 to 64.1, but a starting role propelled him to stardom. A slow finish (20 catches, 217 yards over final five games including the playoffs) causes some concern, and investors are paying for a repeat of last year's WR12 finish.Antonio Brown and Julio Jones are the only other wideouts besides Baldwin who have ended the past three years among the position's top 12. He has gone from value to risk because of a preseason knee injury, but he once again looks like a fine third- or fourth-round selection with an encouraging Week 1 prognosis.
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
May not have teammate Diggs' upside, but he's yet to miss a game in his four seasons and he's serviceable or better (in some cases, much better) in most every aspect of being a receiver Says his knee will only be at 80-85% this season - that's a bit of a concern, but expect the WR technician to power through it, and handle one of the healthiest target shares in the league
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
With Pat Shurmur out of Minnesota, Thielen could see a major drop in targets. Granted, the quarterback situation has improved, but Dalvin Cook is back and should cut into those targets as well. At Thielen's current ADP, you may want to cool off of him.Russell Wilson has been tremendous each and every year since he took over, and once again, Baldwin is far and away his top target. He should catch 70+ passes for the fourth consecutive season and continue his high TD-rate (29 TDs in 3 seasons). He isn't reliable game to game, however, and is dealing with a knee injury otherwise he would be up in the second tier of fantasy receivers.
Jody Smith
FantasyPros
Prime regression candidate with only 10 TDs in four seasons. Won't see the same number of targets with Kirk Cousins under center. Could move up a tad when we hear definitive word on his availability for Week 1
Christopher Ventra
RotoExperts
 *Injured - Likely Ready For WK 1*
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Most don't realize how much of an effect that Pat Shurmur had on Thielen's career, as he catapulted him into a household fantasy name. He was 26 years old when he broke out, something that doesn't happen all that often. The move to John DiFilippo will change some things, as will the move to Kirk Cousins, who has taken more chances down the field than game-manager Case Keenum did. That would play more into Stefon Diggs' skill-set rather than Thielen's. I do expect him to be a reliable fantasy producer, but he's not going to finish with 143 targets again. While doing research for Boom, Bust, and Everything in Between, Thielen finished as a WR3 or better just 56.3 percent of the time despite all those targets. Even if he scores more touchdowns, his lost targets are going to hurt. While everyone seems to be foaming at the mouth to draft Rashaad Penny, it's Baldwin who is the most valuable asset on the Seahawks roster. It's rare to find a wide receiver who is as underappreciated as Baldwin, who has now finished as a top-13 wide receiver in each of the last three seasons. Not only has he averaged 1,062.7 yards in that span, but he's scored 29 touchdowns, and that was with Jimmy Graham on the roster. I shouldn't have to remind you that Graham is gone, and the Seahawks didn't add a wide receiver of significance to replace Paul Richardson. Baldwin is a low-end WR1 with upside. You should know that Baldwin suffered some sort of knee injury at the start of training camp and is expected to miss the preseason games. While he doesn't necessarily need the work as a veteran, it's added risk to his fantasy appeal.
Staff Rankings
QB List
"White Lightning" breaks into the top 10 this year as he managed to outpace Stefon Diggs in what was one of the best wide receiver duos in fantasy last year. Thielen's target share, great hands, and crisp routes made him the go-to receiver last year in a Minnesota offense that managed to get along just fine even without its star running back Dalvin Cook. Add in that extra Cook (certainly not too many here), the same stud defense, and Kirk Cousins under center, and you have the recipe for another stellar fantasy season from the breakout receiver."The Guy" in the Seattle receiving corps has been putting up big numbers for 3 seasons now and is poised to do so once again in 2018. The departure of Paul Richardson, and major additions to the Seattle offensive line give Baldwin a great shot at blowing away his relative down 2017 and regaining his spot among the top 10 receivers in fantasy. At the very least, Baldwin remains a key red zone target for Russell Wilson and a pass-happy Seattle offense now without overrated tight end Jimmy Graham.
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Diggs could cut into his role a bit and he has to build chemistry with Cousins but he's clearly a studHe's basically all Russell Wilson has so you have to consider his upside this year. That being said, he's already hurt so rust/injury have to be a concern
Kevin Wheeler
NFL Mock
 Over the last three seasons, Doug Baldwin is one of four players to post over 3,000 receiving yards and 25 touchdowns.
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
Should still put up WR2 numbers in a more agressive offenseRemains a reliable fantasy option despite talent limitations; one of the elite workers in the NFL