Who Should I Draft?

Adam Thielen or T.Y. Hilton

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Experts' Pick
 
  T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND
T.Y. Hilton
Adam Thielen
WR - MIN
Adam Thielen
 
 
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Recommended by
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17%
Recommended by
26 of 152 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 9# 13-
Best Rank# 6# 7-
Worst Rank# 20# 26-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total118.6148.8-
Avg Game7.49.3-
Avg Projection145.2138.5-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank1710-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
T.Y. HiltonAdam ThielenAdd Player
    
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
09/07
#9#13-
    
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Bruno Boys
09/07
#8#14-
    
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09/07
#10#7-
    
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09/07
#11#14-
    
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09/07
#12#14-
    
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09/07
#10#14-
    
Jake CielyJ. Ciely
The Athletic
09/07
#9#12-
    
Brett TalleyB. Talley
Fantasy Alarm
09/07
#9#12-
    
Muntradamus M.
Beast Dome
09/07
#18#14-
    
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09/07
#15#19-
    
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09/07
#10#13-
    
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Fake Teams
09/07
#13#19-
    
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The Fantasy Fix
09/07
#10#12-
    
Kaz KalitaK. Kalita
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09/07
#9#26-
    
Greg SmithG. Smith
TwoQBs
09/07
#9#14-
    
Mike HarmonM. Harmon
Swollen Dome
09/06
#17#16-
    
Christian BritoC. Brito
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
09/06
#9#15-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
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09/06
#9#15-
    
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
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09/06
#10#11-
    
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09/06
#10#13-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
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09/06
#11#17-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
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09/06
#10#13-
    
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09/06
#11#10-
    
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09/06
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09/06
#8#13-
    
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09/07
#9#10-
    
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09/06
#8#13-
    
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09/07
#13#9-
    
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09/06
#11#12-
    
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09/06
#10#15-
    
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09/02
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09/06
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09/06
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Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
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08/27
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09/06
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09/06
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09/06
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09/06
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09/07
#10#13-
    
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09/06
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09/06
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09/06
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09/06
#18#25-
    
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08/28
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09/06
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09/06
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09/06
#10#13-
    
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09/06
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09/06
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09/06
#16#15-
    
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09/06
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The Action Network
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The Action Network
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The Action Network
09/06
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NFL.com
08/30
#11#13-
    
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09/06
#9#13-
    
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09/06
#11#9-
    
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09/06
#17#22-
    
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09/06
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#6#21-
    
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09/06
#11#15-
    
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#20#11-
    
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09/06
#9#16-
    
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#13#11-
    
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09/06
#9#13-
    
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09/06
#10#17-
    
Jon CollinsJ. Collins
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09/06
#8#18-
    
Frank StampflF. Stampfl
RotoExperts
09/06
#11#13-
    
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09/06
#9#13-
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
09/06
#10#14-
    
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
09/06
#9#13-
    
Adam RonisA. Ronis
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09/04
#10#15-
    
Dariyan MayburyD. Maybury
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09/05
#10#20-
    
Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
FantasyPros
09/06
#10#25-
    
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
09/05
#9#10-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
09/07
#11#12-
    
Brendan DonahueB. Donahue
EDSFootball
09/06
#11#14-
    
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
09/05
#12#23-
    
Jack DelaneyJ. Delaney
Just Fantasy Football
09/05
#13#11-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
Fantasy Insiders
09/05
#10#11-
    
Dale DeMottD. DeMott
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
09/06
#14#11-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
09/05
#11#14-
    
Kyle AugustK. August
FF Fellas
08/29
#9#24-
    
Jeff PaurJ. Paur
RTSports
09/06
#13#11-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
09/05
#9#15-
    
Brent NamejkoB. Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
09/05
#11#9-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoExperts
09/05
#11#14-
    
Wayne BretskyW. Bretsky
BretskyBall
08/18
#7#14-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
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09/04
#10#15-
    
Emil KadlecE. Kadlec
Football Diehards
09/04
#9#13-
    
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The Washington Post
08/28
#15#11-
    
Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
Breaking Football
08/27
#10#11-
    
David GonosD. Gonos
The Athletic
08/29
#11#18-
    
Michael FlorioM. Florio
Fantrax
08/11
#8#12-
    
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Athlon Sports
09/03
#14#15-
    
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Razzball
09/03
#12#11-
    
Michael BellerM. Beller
Sports Illustrated
09/04
#13#17-
    
Kyle RichardsonK. Rich...
RotoBaller
08/16
#11#27-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
09/06
#9#11-
    
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RotoBaller
09/06
#10#12-
    
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FFToday
09/03
#15#20-
    
Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoExperts
09/05
#9#16-
    
Andrew GouldA. Gould
FantasyPros
09/06
#14#11-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
Fantrax
09/07
#13#10-
    
Joseph DolanJ. Dolan
Fantasy Guru
09/06
#10#13-
    
Zach BrunnerZ. Brunner
FlurrySports
09/02
#9#12-
    
Anthony AmicoA. Amico
RotoViz
09/02
#6#4-
    
Matt CampM. Camp
Bleacher Report
09/02
#9#15-
    
Kevin HansonK. Hanson
EDSFootball
09/06
#10#11-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
09/02
#12#14-
    
Kyle KontosK. Kontos
Double K Football
09/04
#10#13-
    
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The Athletic
09/02
#14#19-
    
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09/02
#7#12-
    
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09/06
#9#27-
    
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06/21
#11#12-
    
Matt De LimaM. De Lima
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09/01
#12#13-
    
Jeremy MawJ. Maw
Going For 2
09/01
#11#17-
    
Mike AlexanderM. Alex...
Friends With Fantasy Benefits
09/05
#10#13-
    
John HalpinJ. Halpin
RotoWire.com
09/05
#9#14-
    
Sablich BrothersS. Brot...
5th Down Fantasy
09/04
#9#11-
    
Jake ArthurJ. Arthur
Colts.com
08/29
#11#12-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
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09/03
#23#17-
    
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09/04
#9#14-
    
Tim McCulloughT. McCu...
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08/27
#10#11-
    
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08/27
#12#19-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
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08/26
#10#12-
    
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09/01
#8#15-
    
Nick VertucciN. Vert...
Sundays Are For Football
08/25
#13#12-
    
Dave McKayD. McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
08/22
#11#14-
    
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08/20
#11#13-
    
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08/24
#11#9-
    
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#7#12-
    
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08/22
#14#11-
    
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07/09
#17#18-
    
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Punch Drunk Wonderland
05/23
#15#13-
    
  T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND
T.Y. Hilton
Adam Thielen
WR - MIN
Adam Thielen
2018 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. CIN vs. SF
Week 2 at WAS at GB
Week 3 at PHI vs. BUF
Week 4 vs. HOU at LAR
Week 5 at NE at PHI
Week 6 at NYJ vs. ARI
Week 7 vs. BUF at NYJ
Week 8 at OAK vs. NO
Week 9BYE WEEK vs. DET
Week 10 vs. JACBYE WEEK
Week 11 vs. TEN at CHI
Week 12 vs. MIA vs. GB
Week 13 at JAC at NE
Week 14 at HOU at SEA
Week 15 vs. DAL vs. MIA
Week 16 vs. NYG at DET
Week 17 at TEN vs. CHI
  T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND
T.Y. Hilton
Adam Thielen
WR - MIN
Adam Thielen
Receiving
   
Receptions72.380.8
Rec Yards1,083.51,068.7
Rec TDs6.45.5
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts0.01.2
Rush Yards0.57.4
Rush TDs0.00.0
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points145.2138.5
   
  T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND
T.Y. Hilton
Adam Thielen
WR - MIN
Adam Thielen
2017 Points 
Week 13.715.7
Week 24.92.4
Week 321.39.8
Week 43.03.9
Week 517.74.5
Week 61.99.7
Week 72.74.1
Week 81.515.8
Week 929.5
Week 102.322.6
Week 1118.3
Week 121.58.9
Week 1311.15.1
Week 142.016.5
Week 154.13.0
Week 1610.02.4
Week 171.46.1
  T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND
T.Y. Hilton
Adam Thielen
WR - MIN
Adam Thielen
2017 Targets 
Week 1710
Week 266
Week 398
Week 468
Week 598
Week 6413
Week 7812
Week 8710
Week 99
Week 10412
Week 119
Week 12511
Week 1365
Week 14412
Week 1575
Week 16126
Week 1767
  T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND
T.Y. Hilton
Adam Thielen
WR - MIN
Adam Thielen
Expert 
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
Consistent only in his inconsistency, Hilton averaged 20.8 YPG in 13 contests where he failed to cross the pylons. All 40 TDs spanned at least 40 yards, making him the ultimate boom-or-bust player with too much emphasis on bust. This could all change with Andrew Luck's return, as the Indianapolis wideout was a volume monster (91 receptions, 1,448 yards) in 2016. A rising No. 29 ADP (WR11) shows no concern about Luck's health or Hilton's limited red-zone involvement. Volume takes precedent over efficiency in fantasy. Just look at Thielen, who enjoyed a breakout campaign (91 catches for 1,276 yards) by receiving 50 more targets than 2016. He averaged an identical 14.0 yards per reception and saw his catch % drop from 75 to 64.1, but a starting role propelled him to stardom. A slow finish (20 catches, 217 yards over final five games including the playoffs) causes some concern, and investors are paying for a repeat of last year's WR12 finish.
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Andrew Luck is back, and while it hasn't looked ideal, there is significant upside in this offense. Sure, Hilton was lousy last year with Jacoby Brissett, but let's not be so quick to forget that Hilton was a top-five fantasy receiver the last time Luck played. There is a decent chance he leads the NFL in receiving again if his QB is back for good.With Pat Shurmur out of Minnesota, Thielen could see a major drop in targets. Granted, the quarterback situation has improved, but Dalvin Cook is back and should cut into those targets as well. At Thielen's current ADP, you may want to cool off of him.
Jody Smith
FantasyPros
All indications are that QB Andrew Luck is healthy and ready to resurrect a moribund Indy offense. This should lead Hilton to the kind of numbers he averaged from 2013-2016. Prime regression candidate with only 10 TDs in four seasons. Won't see the same number of targets with Kirk Cousins under center.
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
Has always been a rollercoaster ride of week-to-week production, but he's the obvious go-to guy in what should be a high-volume pass offense. and if QB Luck can still rip it downfield like he used to, a WR1 finish won't be too hard for TY to attain May not have teammate Diggs' upside, but he's yet to miss a game in his four seasons and he's serviceable or better (in some cases, much better) in most every aspect of being a receiver
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
The first time seeing Andrew Luck in action was a good one in 2018, making me a bit more optimistic about Hilton. During the years he's played with Luck, Hilton finished in-between the WR5 and WR24 range every season. He's not someone you draft for consistency, however, as he's posted WR2 or better numbers in just 42.6 percent of his career games.Most don't realize how much of an effect that Pat Shurmur had on Thielen's career, as he catapulted him into a household fantasy name. He was 26 years old when he broke out, something that doesn't happen all that often. The move to John DiFilippo will change some things, as will the move to Kirk Cousins, who has taken more chances down the field than game-manager Case Keenum did. That would play more into Stefon Diggs' skill-set rather than Thielen's. I do expect him to be a reliable fantasy producer, but he's not going to finish with 143 targets again. While doing research for Boom, Bust, and Everything in Between, Thielen finished as a WR3 or better just 56.3 percent of the time despite all those targets. Even if he scores more touchdowns, his lost targets are going to hurt.
Staff Rankings
QB List
Arguably the riskiest player in Tier #3, Hilton possesses elite sprint speed (4.34-40 time), and great hands which give him one of the highest weekly upsides in fantasy. However, it's not T.Y's skill that holds him back, but rather who is passing to him. Andrew Luck is set to return to the Colts this year with what he dubs as "no pain that's going to stay that way", and with Luck under center in 2016 Hilton posted almost 1500 yards receiving and six touchdowns. If Luck can play even close to the caliber he had prior to his shoulder injury, Hilton could be a true league winner, though subpar QB play from whoever is under center for the Colts will cap Hilton's value to an low-end WR2. As you may be able to tell form my ranking, my bet is on a healthy, productive Luck for the most part, but draft as you see fit, taking this massive risk and reward into account."White Lightning" breaks into the top 10 this year as he managed to outpace Stefon Diggs in what was one of the best wide receiver duos in fantasy last year. Thielen's target share, great hands, and crisp routes made him the go-to receiver last year in a Minnesota offense that managed to get along just fine even without its star running back Dalvin Cook. Add in that extra Cook (certainly not too many here), the same stud defense, and Kirk Cousins under center, and you have the recipe for another stellar fantasy season from the breakout receiver.
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
QB Andrew Luck appears to be headed in the right direction, which puts Hilton in the high-end WR2 to low-end WR1 mix. Thielen averaged 9.6 fantasy points per game and was one of the most reliable possession receivers in the NFL. He could have even bigger numbers playing with QB Kirk Cousins.
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
The return of Luck makes TY relevant againDiggs could cut into his role a bit and he has to build chemistry with Cousins but he's clearly a stud
Kevin Wheeler
NFL Mock
In the four games in which he received nine or more targets, he totaled 25 receptions on 39 targets for 605 yards and three touchdowns, and all were 100-yard games. 
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
With or without Luck Hilton proved he is a solid WR2 with WR1 upside and a WR3 floorShould still put up WR2 numbers in a more agressive offense