Alvin Kamara or Christian McCaffrey
Who Should I Draft?
Experts' Pick | |||
RB - CAR  | RB - NO  |  | |
Expert |
99% Recommended by 175 of 177 experts |
1% Recommended by 2 of 177 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop RB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would draftUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 1 | # 6 | - |
| Best Rank | # 1 | # 1 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 7 | # 15 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 355.2 | 167.5 | - |
| Avg Game | 22.2 | 12.0 | - |
| Avg Projection | 268.8 | 214.2 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 25 | 26 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Christian McCaffrey | Alvin Kamara | Add Player |
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RB - CAR | RB - NO | |
| 2020 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. LV | vs. TB |
| Week 2 | at TB | at LV |
| Week 3 | at LAC | vs. GB |
| Week 4 | vs. ARI | at DET |
| Week 5 | at ATL | vs. LAC |
| Week 6 | vs. CHI | BYE WEEK |
| Week 7 | at NO | vs. CAR |
| Week 8 | vs. ATL | at CHI |
| Week 9 | at KC | at TB |
| Week 10 | vs. TB | vs. SF |
| Week 11 | vs. DET | vs. ATL |
| Week 12 | at MIN | at DEN |
| Week 13 | BYE WEEK | at ATL |
| Week 14 | vs. DEN | at PHI |
| Week 15 | at GB | vs. KC |
| Week 16 | at WAS | vs. MIN |
| Week 17 | vs. NO | at CAR |
RB - CAR | RB - NO | |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 249.0 | 199.8 |
| Rush Yards | 1,121.0 | 915.2 |
| Rush TDs | 8.5 | 7.9 |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 100.3 | 82.7 |
| Rec Yards | 833.5 | 607.0 |
| Rec TDs | 4.3 | 2.9 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 268.8 | 214.2 |
RB - CAR | RB - NO | |
| 2019 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 32.9 | 16.9 |
| Week 2 | 5.3 | 6.0 |
| Week 3 | 24.8 | 28.1 |
| Week 4 | 23.9 | 8.9 |
| Week 5 | 41.7 | 10.9 |
| Week 6 | 17.7 | 6.6 |
| Week 7 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 8 | 23.5 | ‐ |
| Week 9 | 34.6 | ‐ |
| Week 10 | 20.1 | 7.4 |
| Week 11 | 19.1 | 12.2 |
| Week 12 | 25.3 | 10.2 |
| Week 13 | 10.2 | 8.4 |
| Week 14 | 13.5 | 2.3 |
| Week 15 | 29.5 | 8.9 |
| Week 16 | 17.3 | 23.0 |
| Week 17 | 15.8 | 17.7 |
| Total | 355.2 | 167.5 |
| Average | 22.2 | 12.0 |
RB - CAR | RB - NO | |
| 2019 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 11 | 8 |
| Week 2 | 6 | 3 |
| Week 3 | 4 | 10 |
| Week 4 | 10 | 3 |
| Week 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Week 6 | 5 | 8 |
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| Week 9 | 3 | ‐ |
| Week 10 | 7 | 10 |
| Week 11 | 15 | 10 |
| Week 12 | 9 | 9 |
| Week 13 | 12 | 8 |
| Week 14 | 12 | 6 |
| Week 15 | 10 | 5 |
| Week 16 | 15 | 7 |
| Week 17 | 10 | 3 |
RB - CAR | RB - NO | |
| Expert | ||
| Jacob Wayne Lineups | CMC may be due for slight statistical regression and the new coaching staff may look to lessen his workload, but McCaffrey had over 100 more half-PPR fantasy points than the next-best running back last season. He's the locked-and-loaded first overall pick. | Alvin Kamara's recent contract negotiations have sent many a fantasy fan into a state of panic, but it seems like the two sides are very close to a mutually beneficial deal. With the Saints hanging onto a closing Super Bowl window, I have little doubt Kamara will be on the field Week 1. He dealt with some brutal injuries last season and didn't look like the same player, but he should be back to full health and back to b eing a top-5 fantasy back. |
| Kyle Yates FantasyPros | While it might sound absurd to say, there's a legitimate path for CMC to finish with more receptions this year than what he had in 2019. The Panthers are entering a rebuild and their defense saw a lot of key pieces leave for various reasons. They're going to be relying heavily on rookies and this may lead to the offense needing to keep them in games with more passing volume. If that's the case, McCaffrey's likely going to be second in line behind DJ Moore. With all that said, CMC's as easy of a pick as they come at the 1.01. | Kamara and the Saints appear to be heading towards getting a contract extension done, but there are potential injury concerns hanging over Kamara and his season-long outlook. Kamara has already reportedly had an epidural to help with some ailments and that's extremely concerning. If you're still drafting this week, based on the information we have available to us, I'm moving Kamara down a couple of spots on my draft board. Kamara lands at RB6 right now with Dalvin Cook and Joe Mixon ahead of him in Half PPR format. |
| Draft Engine Draft Engine | After struggling in the run game as a rookie in 2017, McCaffrey improved his per-carry average by more than a yard over the past couple of seasons. He has also led all NFL running backs in both receptions and receiving yards each of the past two seasons. | The chess piece of the Saints' passing game, Kamara gets the ball on a variety of routes coming out of the backfield. He figures to receive a similar workload as last season with Latavius Murray expected to get in the neighborhood of 10 touches per game in 2020. |
| Elisha Twerski numberFire | On average, the last 14 running backs to finish as the RB1 in half-PPR leagues have scored 102.3 fewer points the following season. CMC had 403 touches last year. Prior to that, there had been 26 instances of a back totaling at least 400 touches since 1995. On average, those running backs totaled 115.6 fewer touches, nearly a half-yard less per touch, 721 fewer total yards, and 6.7 fewer scores in the following season. Obviously, trends can be (and have been) broken, but it is something to think about as you dish out the most valuable commodity in fantasy. | |
| Ben Wasley The Fantasy First Down | Christian McCaffrey was spectacular in 2019. With over 1000 yards rushing and receiving along with 100+ receptions and 19 total TDs combined for a historic season. CMC may not reach the same heights in 2020, but he's still the clear number one overall pick in most formats. There is some risk with McCaffrey in the form of workload-induced injury, his team's awful defense and overall regression. These are legitimate fears but they're far from unique to the Panthers RB and there's no way you should be taking anyone but this guy No. 1 overall. | Alvin Kamara had an absolute shocker in 2019. Despite no change in his rushing and receiving opportunities, Kamara dropped five points a game. There are myriad reasons for this massive change but most of them suggest a rebound is on the cards. Kamara battled knee and ankle injuries throughout last season and these really lowered his usually incredible efficiency and effectiveness. His TD numbers dropped by nearly a TD a game as well, which played a significant part in his drop in points. These should mostly regress, but it is worth noting his red zone looks halved last year and that will have an impact if things. Ultimately he's a great rebound candidate but he does come with some very real risk, especially given his recent holdout news. He's a very risky but high-upside pick in the first round. |
| David Zach FantasyPros | Reigning RB1, new QB, new coaches, additional WRs | |
| Mike Tagliere FantasyPros | You can try to make the argument that McCaffrey shouldn't go No. 1 overall this year, but you'd lose the argument. Outside of saying, "running backs don't repeat as the top option," there's nothing that should suggest McCaffrey won't. He's not just a running back. He's a wide receiver. He scored 182.5 half-PPR points through the air alone, which would've been the No. 20 wide receiver in fantasy last year, ahead of Stefon Diggs. Even if McCaffrey simply stopped playing football in Week 12, he would've finished as the No. 1 running back by a massive 22.1 PPR points. The new offense and improved quarterback play shouldn't hurt at all. | There's just one running back who's had a higher "boom" percentage (25-plus PPR points) than Kamara over the course of their careers, and that's Christian McCaffrey. Kamara has now topped 25 PPR points in 14 of his 45 career games, which is quite ridiculous. His 2019 season was easily his worst to date, though he still finished as the RB12 despite missing two games. The Saints offense continues to groove, and though Drew Brees is still playing great football, his arm strength is declining, which could lead to more targets than every for Kamara, who's averaged 6.7 targets per game over the first three years in a Saints uniform. Provided he doesn't get hurt, Kamara is a near-lock to finish as a top-six running back. |
| Rob Wilson The Fantasy Footballers | The man, the myth, the fantasy legend. Bonafide RB1 and the closest thing to a can't miss fantasy pick since LT. | Kamara cited an injury in 2019, his touchdown totals should increase and he's the focal point of one of the best offenses in football. |
| Frank Bonincontri Fantasy Wire HQ | 1.01 - Really hoping Teddy B does not curtail his game. | The addition of Emmanuel Sanders provides a bit more balance for the offense and will keep defenses honest. Kamara will not have to shoulder the workload |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | No brainer first pick. Ceiling of overall RB1 and floor of overall RB2. | Alvin Kamara apparently tore up his knee week 5 of 2019 which likely had a lot to do with "down" year. In this "down" year, he still ended as RB12. Now that he is healthy, he has as high of a ceiling as anyone. |
| Dalton Kates APEX Fantasy Leagues | Coming off one of the best fantasy seasons of all-time. New system in place puts into question how likely he is to get close to that number last year. Elite RB. 1.01. | Coming off an RB9 season, but didn't play at full health. Elite pass-catcher out of the backfield in one of the most friendly fantasy RB situations out there. Expecting a bounce back to his elite PPR scoring. |
| Brandon Funston The Athletic | Was just 3rd RB in past decade to reach 400 touches, helping propel him to 2nd-best PPR season by RB in NFL history | Top 4 RB in each of 1st 2 NFL seasons before health and loss of QB Brees for 5 games helped sink him to RB No. 9 in '19 - give him a mulligan |
| Elliot Berkovits Packer Report | Plain and simple, Christian McCaffrey is the best player in fantasy football. He's an elite runner of the football and yet his pass-catching skills are what's most impressive. Two consecutive seasons with over 100 receptions, that's unheard of at the RB position. He's the clear cut #1 overall pick in all formats. | Kamara seems like one of the safest players in fantasy as long as he's on the field. Three consecutive years recording 81 receptions is incredible and Drew Brees is going to continue to target him constantly. My only fears are injury-related. If Kamara plays 16 games in 2020 he will easily finish as a top-5 back. |
| Jason Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | The lead Saints RB in games Bridgewater started last season averaged 22 PPR PPG. CMC is going to be fine no matter who is throwing him the ball and will continue to see an unbelievable amount of work. The Panthers' already bad D has lost Luke Keuchly and now Matt Rhule, an offensive-minded coach, is taking over. Rhule's teams struggled his first season with Temple and Baylor, so if that carries over we'll see a lot of CMC garbage-time work. | |
| Justin Dodds Locked In Football | The 1.01 in pretty much every format. No need to debate. | Despite going from 18 TDs to 6 TDs, Kamara still finished as the RB9 in FP/g in half PPR and the RB8 in FP/g in PPR while playing through injuries. If you give him the same amount of TDs he got in his rookie year (13), he would've gotten 42 (7x6) more fantasy points which would've put his half PPR total at 250 fpts, good for RB7 in half PPR and RB5 in PPR. Kamara with those totals would've averaged 17.9 fpts (250/14) and 21.4 fpts (300/14). Those totals would've been good for RB5 (0.5PPR) and RB2 (PPR). I expect Kamara to have closer to 13 TDs rather than 6 TDs, so use your first round pick on him confidently. |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | McCaffrey would be a RB1 if he didn't catch a single pass, he finished 2019 with 1,387 yards rushing and 15 rushing touchdowns. When you add in 116 receptions for 1,005 yards and 4 more touchdowns, you have the overall number one RB. | Kamara was pretty disappointing in 2019, considering he was a Top-3 fantasy pick. He finished the year with 1,330 yards from scrimmage, but just 6 touchdowns. I think he is likely to rebound in 2020 and he should have RB1 value. |
| Kevin Wheeler Draftwize | McCaffrey is looking to repeat as the overall PPR RB1 for the first time since 2002-2003 Priest Holmes. McCaffrey had more yards before contact (635) than all but four ENTIRE TEAMS of running backs in 2019. He averaged a robust 2.21 yards before contact, which is something I'd say is unsustainable. @MikeTagliereNFL xx | Alvin Kamara scored 106 less PPR points in 2019 than 2018. 84 of them were due to him only finding the endzone 6 times instead of 18 in 2018. -1,592 yards in from scrimmage in 2018 and 1,330 in 2019 -Caught the same amount of passes at 81 -Only had 2 TDs heading into Week 16 |
| Seth Miller Crossroads Fantasy Football | He's really been the same, consistent player since entering the league. 725-900 yards on the ground. 81 receptions EVERY.SINGLE.YEAR. The ups and downs have been based on health, TDs, and how productive he can be through the passing game. | |
| Wolf of Roto Street Roto Street Journal | Joe Brady is arguably the most intriguing OC Hire of the offseason. While another 402 touches is unlikely, the quality of these looks could skyrocket if Brady is as real as he seems | |
