Who Should I Draft?

Andrew Luck or Baker Mayfield

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Experts' Pick
 
  Andrew Luck
QB - IND
Andrew Luck
Baker Mayfield
QB - CLE
Baker Mayfield
 
 
Expert
Recommendation
95%
Recommended by
89 of 94 experts
5%
Recommended by
5 of 94 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 2# 5-
Best Rank# 1# 1-
Worst Rank# 7# 13-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total327.1240.0-
Avg Game20.417.1-
Avg Projection311.0286.3-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank624-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Andrew LuckBaker MayfieldAdd Player
    
Bobby SylvesterB. Sylv...
FantasyPros
6 h
#5#7-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
11 h
#4#7-
    
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
11 h
#4#5-
    
Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
12 h
#2#5-
    
Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
13 h
#3#10-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
14 h
#2#6-
    
Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
Gridiron Experts
15 h
#3#5-
    
Elisha TwerskiE. Twerski
Cheesehead TV
15 h
#2#5-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
15 h
#4#7-
    
Anthony AmicoA. Amico
RotoViz
15 h
#7#18-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
16 h
#2#6-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
16 h
#4#5-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
RotoExperts
16 h
#5#4-
    
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
16 h
#3#9-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
Yahoo! Sports
17 h
#2#7-
    
Anthony StaggsA. Staggs
FF Statistics
18 h
#3#8-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
18 h
#4#8-
    
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
18 h
#2#6-
    
Nate HamiltonN. Hami...
Fantrax
18 h
#1#8-
    
Michael FlorioM. Florio
Fantrax
18 h
#3#5-
    
Andy HollowayA. Holl...
The Fantasy Footballers
19 h
#4#9-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
19 h
#3#6-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
WalterFootball
19 h
#6#7-
    
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
19 h
#3#4-
    
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
Fantasy Fusion
19 h
#3#7-
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
20 h
#4#5-
    
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
20 h
#3#5-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
20 h
#2#6-
    
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
20 h
#3#7-
    
Dylan ChappineD. Chap...
White Wolf Sports
20 h
#2#10-
    
Kyle AugustK. August
FF Fellas
21 h
#2#7-
    
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
21 h
#3#5-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
21 h
#2#5-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
21 h
#2#8-
    
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
21 h
#2#6-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
The Athletic
1 d
#1#6-
    
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
1 d
#3#4-
    
Site RankingsS. Rank...
FFToday
1 d
#2#13-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
2 d
#1#7-
    
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
3 d
#2#6-
    
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
3 d
#4#6-
    
Armando CrespoA. Crespo
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
3 d
#2#3-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
The Fantasy Footballers
4 d
#6#10-
    
Bill EnrightB. Enright
FFChamps
4 d
#4#9-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
5 d
#2#5-
    
Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
5 d
#3#5-
    
Matt De LimaM. De Lima
FullTime Fantasy
5 d
#2#6-
    
John PaulsenJ. Paulsen
4for4.com
5 d
#4#5-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
FantasyData
5 d
#2#6-
    
Blake FincherB. Fincher
Fantasy Football Cafe
5 d
#2#5-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
6 d
#1#5-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
DraftWize
1 w
#1#4-
    
David BiggsD. Biggs
Drink Five
1 w
#4#3-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
The Quant Edge
1 w
#3#6-
    
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
1 w
#2#5-
    
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
1 w
#1#7-
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
1 w
#2#5-
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
2 w
#2#5-
    
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
2 w
#4#7-
    
Kevin HansonK. Hanson
EDSFootball
2 w
#2#8-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
2 w
#1#4-
    
Ryan SkolrudR. Skolrud
SkullKing Football
2 w
#2#10-
    
Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
2 w
#4#5-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
3 w
#4#6-
    
Dale DeMottD. DeMott
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
3 w
#2#9-
    
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
3 w
#2#5-
    
Nick HumphreysN. Hump...
Fantasy Victors
3 w
#7#8-
    
Michael BellerM. Beller
Sports Illustrated
4 w
#4#1-
    
Mike RandleM. Randle
BettingPros
4 w
#1#5-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
FullTime Fantasy
4 w
#3#5-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
4 w
#2#3-
    
Kyle KontosK. Kontos
Double K Football
06/18
#4#5-
    
George BankoG. Banko
Fantasy Football Helpers
7 d
#1#4-
    
Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
06/14
#2#4-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
06/12
#3#9-
    
Derek BrownD. Brown
The Quant Edge
06/01
#1#6-
    
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
06/10
#2#5-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
06/09
#2#5-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
06/03
#2#5-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
05/30
#5#3-
    
Jason MooreJ. Moore
The Fantasy Footballers
05/29
#4#7-
    
Justin PickleJ. Pickle
The Hateful 8
05/31
#3#5-
    
Andrew FerrisA. Ferris
Fantasy Hot Read
05/22
#4#8-
    
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
1 w
#2#6-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
05/14
#2#14-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
05/11
#3#8-
    
Adam RankA. Rank
NFL.com
05/09
#1#6-
    
Graham BarfieldG. Barf...
NFL.com
05/09
#5#3-
    
Chris MeyersC. Meyers
Athlon Sports
05/07
#3#12-
    
J.P. ScottJ. Scott
Athlon Sports
05/02
#2#3-
    
Christian BritoC. Brito
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
2 w
#2#9-
    
Seth McKinleyS. McKi...
FF Fellas
03/02
#3#12-
    
Nick VertucciN. Vert...
Sundays Are For Football
01/31
#3#12-
    
Nick MarianoN. Mariano
RotoBaller
01/25
#3#13-
    
  Andrew Luck
QB - IND
Andrew Luck
Baker Mayfield
QB - CLE
Baker Mayfield
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 at LAC vs. TEN
Week 2 at TEN at NYJ
Week 3 vs. ATL vs. LAR
Week 4 vs. OAK at BAL
Week 5 at KC at SF
Week 6BYE WEEK vs. SEA
Week 7 vs. HOUBYE WEEK
Week 8 vs. DEN at NE
Week 9 at PIT at DEN
Week 10 vs. MIA vs. BUF
Week 11 vs. JAC vs. PIT
Week 12 at HOU vs. MIA
Week 13 vs. TEN at PIT
Week 14 at TB vs. CIN
Week 15 at NO at ARI
Week 16 vs. CAR vs. BAL
Week 17 at JAC at CIN
  Andrew Luck
QB - IND
Andrew Luck
Baker Mayfield
QB - CLE
Baker Mayfield
Passing
   
Pass Att605.6569.7
Pass Cmp397.9366.5
Pass Yards4,496.54,373.2
Pass TDs33.930.4
Ints14.414.4
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts50.444.5
Rush Yards213.5174.2
Rush TDs1.40.9
   
Misc
   
Fumbles2.62.1
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points311.0286.3
   
  Andrew Luck
QB - IND
Andrew Luck
Baker Mayfield
QB - CLE
Baker Mayfield
2018 Points 
Week 119.5
Week 211.4
Week 313.99.8
Week 435.712.8
Week 522.618.0
Week 622.712.3
Week 722.720.9
Week 823.414.1
Week 917.9
Week 1021.222.6
Week 1123.9
Week 1222.625.9
Week 139.513.9
Week 1423.613.7
Week 159.712.1
Week 1621.625.0
Week 1723.121.0
  Andrew Luck
QB - IND
Andrew Luck
Baker Mayfield
QB - CLE
Baker Mayfield
Expert 
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
I've always been a fan of taking Luck in fantasy. The problem this season is the ADP. The QB position is deeper than it ever has been, so you don't need to spend a high pick on one. I do think he's going to have a monster season. Nick Sirianni and Frank Reich did an amazing job with the team last season, and I expect them to continue the success in 2019. Luck has an elite core skill position players in Hilton, Campbell, Ebron, Doyle, Mack and Hines. They have field stretchers, reliable targets and red zone threats. Luck could absolutely be the top scoring fantasy QB this year. I just can't justify spending such a high pick at a position that remains elite so deep into drafts.Baker is set up to dominate this season. They have an elite ground game to go along with Odell/Landry/Njoku in the passing attack. Not to mention Duke Johnson (until they trade him). Baker has my highest passing yardage projection for any player, and if he has a favorable season in the TD department then he could very well end up in the top 3 for QB's. I don't draft QB's early, so I likely won't be drafting him...but if he falls later than he should then he's a guy I'm comfortable targeting.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
He was the definition of consistency in 2018, which is rare when you find a quarterback who's playing in a brand-new offense, and especially one who was coming off a one-year absence with a throwing shoulder injury. He posted top-12 type numbers in 75 percent of his starts, but lacked the ceiling you'd want when taking a quarterback in the top four rounds. He finished with top-five type numbers just 6.3 percent of the time, behind guys like Tom Brady, Kirk Cousins, Dak Prescott, and even Derek Carr. He may offer more upside in 2019, but you shouldn't overpay for it.Mayfield was thrown into a tough situation last year, but pulled through better than most expected. Once the Browns got rid of Hue Jackson, Mayfield completed 68.4 percent of his passes and averaged 281.8 yards, 2.4 touchdowns, and 1.0 interception per game. The Browns added Odell Beckham this offseason, which definitely won't hurt. The reason to remain a bit wary of Mayfield taking the leap into elite territory is due to the defense getting much better and them running the ball a bit more to eat clock. He should present a high-floor for a middling QB1, however.
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Luck has now been a top-five fantasy quarterback in all four healthy seasons of his career. Last year, he accomplished it despite having a terrible receiving core, which has since seen significant upgrades., It isn't a stretch to put his ceiling at 5,000 yards and 45 touchdowns this year, which would obviously make him the top fantasy QB. With that said, the potential to re-injure to the shoulder also gives him a low floor.Mayfield was extraordinarily impressive as a rookie, breaking the TD record in just 12 starts and without much talent in his receiving core. Even still, the landscape of the game has it that he was only tied for 12th in fantasy points and behind both Dak Prescott and Mitch Trubisky. While Baker is underrated in the running game and adds Odell Beckham, it may be premature to assume he will leap into the top five.
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
 I'm not so quick to crown Baker or the Browns. He was the 16th quarterback last year and while I see him rising, I don't see the need to over pay here.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Luck looked great coming back from shoulder surgery and he was fifth among fantasy quarterbacks with 327 fantasy points. He should be poised for another big year a season removed from that shoulder surgery.Mayfield set a NFL Record with 27 passing touchdowns in his rookie season. The Browns have a lot to be excited about this year and Mayfield should be in the QB1 discussion this year with the addition of WR Odell Beckham Jr.