Who Should I Draft?

Blake Bortles or Jameis Winston

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Experts' Pick
 
  Blake Bortles
QB - JAC
Blake Bortles
Jameis Winston
QB - TB
Jameis Winston
 
 
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 21# 27-
Best Rank# 10# 16-
Worst Rank# 31# 31-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total249.7201.8-
Avg Game15.615.5-
Avg Projection243.4208.1-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank114-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert3 weeks-
    
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  Blake Bortles
QB - JAC
Blake Bortles
Jameis Winston
QB - TB
Jameis Winston
2018 Schedule 
Week 1 at NYG at NO
Week 2 vs. NE vs. PHI
Week 3 vs. TEN vs. PIT
Week 4 vs. NYJ at CHI
Week 5 at KCBYE WEEK
Week 6 at DAL at ATL
Week 7 vs. HOU vs. CLE
Week 8 vs. PHI at CIN
Week 9BYE WEEK at CAR
Week 10 at IND vs. WAS
Week 11 vs. PIT at NYG
Week 12 at BUF vs. SF
Week 13 vs. IND vs. CAR
Week 14 at TEN vs. NO
Week 15 vs. WAS at BAL
Week 16 at MIA at DAL
Week 17 at HOU vs. ATL
  Blake Bortles
QB - JAC
Blake Bortles
Jameis Winston
QB - TB
Jameis Winston
Passing
   
Pass Att522.0465.0
Pass Cmp311.6288.7
Pass Yards3,589.73,443.9
Pass TDs21.620.3
Ints13.012.0
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts57.733.8
Rush Yards325.4132.6
Rush TDs2.31.1
   
Misc
   
Fumbles3.43.6
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points243.4208.1
   
  Blake Bortles
QB - JAC
Blake Bortles
Jameis Winston
QB - TB
Jameis Winston
2017 Points 
Week 110.3
Week 29.812.5
Week 327.615.5
Week 411.426.5
Week 52.718.5
Week 613.52.4
Week 716.323.4
Week 83.7
Week 916.43.5
Week 1016.3
Week 118.6
Week 1222.6
Week 1325.118.6
Week 1418.514.4
Week 1525.025.8
Week 1622.413.3
Week 173.223.7
  Blake Bortles
QB - JAC
Blake Bortles
Jameis Winston
QB - TB
Jameis Winston
Expert 
Jody Smith
FantasyPros
Perennially underrated due to his rushing prowess, I think the Jags are likely to explore QB as early as the first round. Winston missed three games last season but finished as the QB13 in fantasy points-per-game. Now, there's no guarantee he'll even get his starting gig back, making him a dicey proposition.
Rich Piazza
Fantasy Shed
 The team will not commit to him as the "starter" when he comes back from his 3-game suspension. This is a bit of a concern, even though I don't see Ryan Fitzpatrick playing "lights out" during that time.
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
The quintessential "better in fantasy than real life" player, Bortles has notched QB4, 9, and 13 finishes over the past three seasons. He even swung some leagues for managers bold enough to throw their Molotov cocktails in the air and shout "Bortles!" before tossing him into the starting lineup. Only Todd Gurley recorded more fantasy points from Weeks 12 to 16, so there's a solid chance he out-earns his draft price. On the other hand, he's not that great at actual football, and the Jaguars will gladly relegate him to a gatekeeper role when the game script allows it. They shouldn't throw enough to drag him back into the top 10.Drafters have spent years reaching for Winston's upside, and he maintains a QB21 ADP despite opening 2018 with a three-game suspension. No thanks. He finished QB22 in 13 games last year and has yet to place inside the top 12, so there's little reason to stash an erratic, turnover-prone performer when Mitchell Trubisky is still on the board. In all honesty, I'd rather not have any shares of someone with his abhorrent off-field record anyway.
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
 Three game suspension stymies value but should be a top-15 option weekly once he is back under center
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
You may want to give up on Bortles, but he has now been a QB1 three consecutive seasons and managed to be the #2 QB over the final five weeks of the season. It is never pretty, but he gets the job done from a production perspective. He is a reliable option in two-QB leagues.Winston is suspended for three weeks so he is undraftable outside of two-qb leagues. When he returns, however, we are looking at a top-10 quarterback. He was superb last season when healthy, passing for a 16-game rate of 4,900 passing yards so don't sleep on him.
Chet Gresham
WalterFootball
Bortles can have good fantasy days, but he won't be asked to do that much with the defense and running game being the strengths of this offense. His running ability and the fact that he's quarterbacking a winning team means he should be more consistent than his worst games seem to foretell.Winston was the 14th-best fantasy quarterback on a per-game basis last season despite three games in which he finished under four fantasy points. We should see improvement with the offensive line and Chris Godwin taking over as a full-time starter at wide receiver, so another run toward being a top-10 quarterback should be in order. UPDATE: Winston has a pending three-game suspension, which will hurt his overall numbers, but it doesn't take him out of the fantasy equation.
Kevin Wheeler
NFL Mock
Weeks 12-17 Bortles was the QB2 in fantasy points scoredIn the 11 games last season where Jameis Winston played 90%+ of the snaps, he averaged 307 yards, 1.7 touchdowns and 1.0 interception for a 18.9 fantasy point per game average. Had he played at that pace for a full 16-game season, he would have finished as the No. 2 quarterback. @4for4_John
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
While many spend a fortune to acquire Deshaun Watson, many are overlooking the fact that Bortles had "almost" as good of a stretch that Watson did. From Week 13-16 (four games), Bortles threw for 321.3 yards and 2.3 touchdowns per game. During Watson's five-game stretch, he averaged 294.4 yards and 3.6 touchdowns per game. The reason people think Watson could be the real-deal is because that's really one of the only sample size we have on him, whereas most "know what they are getting" with Bortles. Is that fair, though, considering he was a top-10 quarterback twice? Bottom line is that Bortles has been really streaky and has shown more bad than good, but the hate on him has gone a bit too far this offseason. With him rushing for at least 310 yards in every season, it's possible that we see him finish inside the top-15 this year, though you don't want to pay for those up-and-downs in his performances.Did you know that if you combined Winston's and Ryan Fitzpatrick's passing yardage last year, it would've led the NFL? Their combined 4,607 yards were more than Tom Brady's 4,577, though their touchdowns (26) were somewhat lacking. Touchdowns are the hardest thing to predict, but seeing Winston's yardage with the weapons around him, big things are going to happen for him. The three-game suspension that he received definitely threw some water on the fire, but you should be able to snag Winston with the final pick in your draft and you should have a top-12 quarterback on a points-per-game basis.
Staff Rankings
QB List
One of the most frustrating and inconsistent quarterbacks around, Bortles had yet another trademark Bortles year last year, with some great highs, some awful lows, and no consistency to be seen. Bortles did have his lowest interception total in a season, which is good, but likely was a result of the Jaguars' efforts to protect him with a good defense and a good running game, and less a result of his actual skill. Losing Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns certainly isn't going to help his offensive prospects, however the team will still likely have a good defense and run game, and Marqise Lee should be a solid-enough top option for him. Still, I wouldn't expect much more from Bortles than what you've seen in the past-an inconsistent quarterback who will likely have four to six games where he's excellent, you just won't have any idea which games those will be.Famous Jameis had a rough season emphasized by injury and inconsistency. There were definitely good weeks, like his Week 15 performance, but then there were games like his Week 9 game. Still, Winston showed an adept ability at making big throws, especially on corner routes where he posted a 114.3 QB rating, and he did finish the year with a solid 14.3% DVOA. However he was a pretty volatile player, making some poor decisions on his throws, leading the league with eight fumbles, and struggling mightily with his accuracy, throwing the ball high far too often. He's a boom-or-bust type of player, and given he's suspended for the first three games of the year because he groped an Uber driver, it's hard to consider him a viable fantasy option this year.
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Bortles was better than expected in the second half of last year but how long will the optimism last?I believed in Winston last year and he failed me. I won't make that mistake in 2018 so he has to prove a lot but he could easily be a great sleeper