Who Should I Draft?
Chris Carson or Aaron Jones
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Experts' Pick | |||
| Chris Carson RB - SEA  | Aaron Jones RB - GB  |  | |
Expert |
54% Recommended by 85 of 156 experts |
46% Recommended by 71 of 156 experts |
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| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 12 | # 13 | - |
| Best Rank | # 7 | # 7 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 28 | # 30 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 181.4 | 145.5 | - |
| Avg Game | 13.0 | 12.1 | - |
| Avg Projection | 184.7 | 182.1 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 6 | 28 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Chris Carson | Aaron Jones | Add Player |
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| Chris Carson RB - SEA | Aaron Jones RB - GB | |
| 2019 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. CIN | at CHI |
| Week 2 | at PIT | vs. MIN |
| Week 3 | vs. NO | vs. DEN |
| Week 4 | at ARI | vs. PHI |
| Week 5 | vs. LAR | at DAL |
| Week 6 | at CLE | vs. DET |
| Week 7 | vs. BAL | vs. OAK |
| Week 8 | at ATL | at KC |
| Week 9 | vs. TB | at LAC |
| Week 10 | at SF | vs. CAR |
| Week 11 | BYE WEEK | BYE WEEK |
| Week 12 | at PHI | at SF |
| Week 13 | vs. MIN | at NYG |
| Week 14 | at LAR | vs. WAS |
| Week 15 | at CAR | vs. CHI |
| Week 16 | vs. ARI | at MIN |
| Week 17 | vs. SF | at DET |
| Chris Carson RB - SEA | Aaron Jones RB - GB | |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 239.6 | 195.4 |
| Rush Yards | 1,113.4 | 969.1 |
| Rush TDs | 8.2 | 8.5 |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 27.3 | 37.3 |
| Rec Yards | 220.8 | 287.5 |
| Rec TDs | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 184.7 | 182.1 |
| Chris Carson RB - SEA | Aaron Jones RB - GB | |
| 2018 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 5.9 | ‐ |
| Week 2 | 2.4 | ‐ |
| Week 3 | 18.4 | 4.7 |
| Week 4 | ‐ | 14.2 |
| Week 5 | 12.7 | 5.9 |
| Week 6 | 5.9 | 4.1 |
| Week 7 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 8 | 18.4 | 14.6 |
| Week 9 | 4.0 | 6.6 |
| Week 10 | ‐ | 29.2 |
| Week 11 | 12.3 | 22.3 |
| Week 12 | 12.3 | 15.3 |
| Week 13 | 10.8 | 11.2 |
| Week 14 | 15.0 | 16.6 |
| Week 15 | 20.8 | 0.8 |
| Week 16 | 23.6 | ‐ |
| Week 17 | 18.9 | ‐ |
| Chris Carson RB - SEA | Aaron Jones RB - GB | |
| 2018 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 5 | ‐ |
| Week 2 | 1 | ‐ |
| Week 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Week 4 | ‐ | 1 |
| Week 5 | 1 | 3 |
| Week 6 | 0 | 1 |
| Week 7 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 8 | 2 | 2 |
| Week 9 | 0 | 4 |
| Week 10 | ‐ | 5 |
| Week 11 | 0 | 6 |
| Week 12 | 2 | 5 |
| Week 13 | 4 | 4 |
| Week 14 | 0 | 3 |
| Week 15 | 6 | 0 |
| Week 16 | 0 | ‐ |
| Week 17 | 1 | ‐ |
| Chris Carson RB - SEA | Aaron Jones RB - GB | |
| Expert | ||
| Mike Tagliere FantasyPros | There are a lot of reasons to like Carson. Looking at how he finished the season, it's hard to not like him. From Week 12 on, he finished as the No. 4 fantasy running back behind only Christian McCaffrey, Derrick Henry, and Saquon Barkley. While Rashaad Penny is still there (and a former first-round pick), Mike Davis exited town, leaving behind plenty of touches for Penny. While Carson may not have the upside of others who are used in the pass-game consistently, he should be a solid RB2 provided he's healthy. This, of course, is a concern after hearing Carson "had a little work done" on his knee this offseason, so stay tuned for updates | If you're looking for a running back who comes with top-six upside but also comes with a high-degree of uncertainty, Jones is your guy. He's the most talented running back on what should be a top-five scoring offense, but it appears the Packers haven't given up on Jamaal Williams just yet. He's ideally someone you snag as your second running back due to the risk associated with him |
| Kevin Roberts Breaking Football | It sounds like Carson is far and away the top guy in Seattle. He lacks flash, but he was the 15th best fantasy back in 2018. We can't ignore that. | Jones is an extremely efficient back with loads of upside in a new, favorable system. He just needs to put all of these soft tissue injuries in the rearview mirror. |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | Carson wasn't even expected to be the starting running back last year, let alone be a reliable weekly running back option in fantasy like he was. But after 1,151 yards and nine touchdowns, he came into camp this year as the clear starter. That role has only been solidified, with Rashaad Penny reportecly falling further behind Carson in the Seahawks' eyes according to beat writers. With Mike Davis gone, Carson's role could grow even more. If he can get more involved in the passing game, he could have RB1 upside, but draft him as a reliable RB2 for now. | Despite Mike McCarthy's best efforts to hold him back, Jones finally broke out last year. He has succeeded nearly every time he has been given a significant workload and has improved enough as a pass-blocker to warrant an every-down role. But he's battled a hamstring injury this preseason and Matt LaFleur has suggested that he intends to get Jamaal Williams and Dexter Williams some additional work. Still, Jones makes a solid RB2, as his spot in a strong offense and upside should mitigate much of his downside. |
| Bobby Sylvester FantasyPros | Carson is the ultimate boom or bust running back this season. Seattle may very well lead the league in carries again this season and Carson is about as efficient as they come. The concern, however, is that his knee will cause Carson to miss a few games or that Penny will play so well that he cuts into the workload. These are enough to keep him outside RB1 territory but barely. | While on the field, Jones was an elusive as any runner in the NFL. The issue, of course, was that Green Bay refused to use him like the three-down machine he can be. That may change with a new coach in town, but until we are certain he is a 300 touch guy, he will likely fall to the third round. Don't mistake that for meaning he doesn't have top 5 RB upside, however, because he most certainly does. |
| Kevin Wheeler Draftwize | SEA RBs scored 352 FP (Std), 385 (half-PPR), 418 (PPR) last year. If Carson sees 67% = 236 (RB6 last year), 258 (RB6), 280 (RB6) If he sees 60% = 211 (RB8), 231 (RB9), 251 (RB9) 55% = 194 (RB11), 212 (RB12), 230 (RB12) Last year he scored 53%, 51% and 49% respectively. @4for4_John In 2018, the Seahawks had the highest run ratio with 55.6%. It was the highest in the #NFL since 2012 when the Seahawks led the league with 56.96%. Surprisingly enough though, Chris Carson didn't have a top five game in 0.5 formats will Week 16. @TheFFRealist | |
| Brandon Funston The Athletic | R. Penny apologists need to understand that Carson is exactly the kind of between the tackles, chain-moving workhorse that SEA wants to hitch its wagon to - and now it wants to use him more in the passing game too | Among RBs with at least 130 carries in '18, saw 4th-lowest % of 8-man fronts (thank you, Aaron Rodgers) - GB wants to throw more to RBs which could be a further boon for Jones, assuming health |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | The big concern for Carson is going to be 2018 first round pick Rashaad Penny's role in the offense. The Seattle offense runs the ball enough to support two running backs, but Carson is hardly a guarantee to keep the bell cow role for the entire 2019 season. | Jones was one of the best running backs in the NFL in the 2nd half of the 2018 season. As long as the new coaching staff continues that usage, he should be a RB1 in 2019. He should also see more targets in the passing game, something the prior coaching staff did not do enough of last year. |
| Jason Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | Only six RBs had more rushes than Carson last season - behind Zeke, Barkley, DJ, Gurley, AP, and Jordan Howard (Very unlikely a lot of those guys make that list this year). In Seattle, Carson only received 55% of the team's carries. In comparison, Penny and Davis saw 19% and 26% last year. With Davis gone and not a real third option, why are we assuming Penny is going to take all of Davis' work? Or that He'll take Carson's job? If this becomes a 60-65/35-40 split, Carson will see MORE work than he saw last year. He's a steal at his ADP. | Aaron Jones 16 game-pace last season: 1047 yards rushing and 12 rushing TDs 300 receiving yards and 1 TD And keep in mind that he didn't get nearly as many touches as he deserved. He's dripping with upside. |
| Sean Koerner The Action Network | knee surgery is OK. may hold Penny off again. massive upside still in heavy run scheme Brian Schottenheimer | |
| Nick Zylak Fantasy Football Advice | Chris Carson put together an excellent second season last year, posting a 247/1151/9 stat line and finishing as the RB 15 in half ppr scoring. Had he played a full 16 weeks then he likely would have finished as a RB 1. This season I do expect him to get less carries. The Seahawks used a first round pick on Penny, and they're going to use him. He was better than people think last season, and teams love to be right with their early round picks. That by no means makes Carson a bad pick. The Seattle is going to run the ball a ton, so he can still pay off his ADP even if Penny gets a lot of work. I just prefer waiting and grabbing Penny later in drafts if I'm targeting this backfield. | Assuming he stays healthy, Aaron Jones is going to be a RB1 this season. He's the best RB on that depth chart by a mile, and he was fantastic when they finally gave him the workload he deserves. Jones had the most carries of 10+ yards of any RB with less than 150 carries last season, while he lead the league in YPC, and was 5th in percentage of runs that gain positive yards (Scott Barrett). The only concern with Jones is his health. He's suffered three separate MCL sprains, a pulled hamstring, and has just 4 career games over 15 carries...and exactly 0 games with 20 or more carries. We just don't know if he's capable of handling the workload we want. He's done everything he can over the offseason to try and get his body into perfect shape. He's down to 5.3% body fat as part of a new diet and workout strategy. At the end of the day, he's worth the gamble in the third round. All of the sure thing RB's are gone at this point, and you start to run out of RB's with top 10 upside. Jones absolutely has that sort of upside in his range of outcomes...he just needs to stay on the field. |
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