Chris Carson or Leonard Fournette
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Experts' Pick | |||
Chris Carson RB - SEA  Chris Carson RB - SEA | Leonard Fournette RB - TB  Leonard Fournette RB - TB |  | |
Expert |
93% Recommended by 166 of 179 experts |
7% Recommended by 13 of 179 experts |
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| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 15 | # 26 | - |
| Best Rank | # 9 | # 5 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 25 | # 45 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 195.6 | 183.4 | - |
| Avg Game | 13.0 | 12.2 | - |
| Avg Projection | 186.8 | 120.3 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 30 | 1 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Chris Carson | Leonard Fournette | Add Player |
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Chris Carson RB - SEA Chris Carson RB - SEA | Leonard Fournette RB - TB Leonard Fournette RB - TB | |
| 2020 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | at ATL | at NO |
| Week 2 | vs. NE | vs. CAR |
| Week 3 | vs. DAL | at DEN |
| Week 4 | at MIA | vs. LAC |
| Week 5 | vs. MIN | at CHI |
| Week 6 | BYE WEEK | vs. GB |
| Week 7 | at ARI | at LV |
| Week 8 | vs. SF | at NYG |
| Week 9 | at BUF | vs. NO |
| Week 10 | at LAR | at CAR |
| Week 11 | vs. ARI | vs. LAR |
| Week 12 | at PHI | vs. KC |
| Week 13 | vs. NYG | BYE WEEK |
| Week 14 | vs. NYJ | vs. MIN |
| Week 15 | at WAS | at ATL |
| Week 16 | vs. LAR | at DET |
| Week 17 | at SF | vs. ATL |
Chris Carson RB - SEA Chris Carson RB - SEA | Leonard Fournette RB - TB Leonard Fournette RB - TB | |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 247.0 | 174.7 |
| Rush Yards | 1,120.0 | 642.5 |
| Rush TDs | 7.8 | 5.6 |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 31.5 | 28.4 |
| Rec Yards | 243.2 | 211.2 |
| Rec TDs | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 186.8 | 120.3 |
Chris Carson RB - SEA Chris Carson RB - SEA | Leonard Fournette RB - TB Leonard Fournette RB - TB | |
| 2019 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 18.0 | 7.4 |
| Week 2 | 6.7 | 8.7 |
| Week 3 | 3.0 | 9.2 |
| Week 4 | 14.5 | 24.5 |
| Week 5 | 18.3 | 19.7 |
| Week 6 | 21.9 | 11.8 |
| Week 7 | 7.4 | 14.5 |
| Week 8 | 15.0 | 13.6 |
| Week 9 | 11.3 | 7.2 |
| Week 10 | 16.1 | ‐ |
| Week 11 | ‐ | 5.7 |
| Week 12 | 5.7 | 27.9 |
| Week 13 | 16.9 | 9.1 |
| Week 14 | 9.1 | 6.3 |
| Week 15 | 25.7 | 7.3 |
| Week 16 | 6.0 | 10.5 |
| Week 17 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Total | 195.6 | 183.4 |
| Average | 13.0 | 12.2 |
Chris Carson RB - SEA Chris Carson RB - SEA | Leonard Fournette RB - TB Leonard Fournette RB - TB | |
| 2019 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 7 | 6 |
| Week 2 | 3 | 6 |
| Week 3 | 1 | 8 |
| Week 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Week 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Week 6 | 4 | 6 |
| Week 7 | 5 | 2 |
| Week 8 | 1 | 7 |
| Week 9 | 3 | 6 |
| Week 10 | 4 | ‐ |
| Week 11 | ‐ | 7 |
| Week 12 | 4 | 12 |
| Week 13 | 2 | 11 |
| Week 14 | 4 | 6 |
| Week 15 | 2 | 7 |
| Week 16 | 1 | 6 |
| Week 17 | ‐ | ‐ |
Chris Carson RB - SEA Chris Carson RB - SEA | Leonard Fournette RB - TB Leonard Fournette RB - TB | |
| Expert | ||
| Bart Wheeler Hail to Fantasy Football | Tough to rank after landing in Tampa, but he's just inside my top-30. | |
| Jacob Wayne Lineups | I was down on Chris Carson earlier this offseason as I was worried about the presence of Rashaad Penny and Carlos Hyde. However, Penny is going to start the season on the PUP without a clear timetable and it's become clear throughout the offseason that this is still Carson's backfield to lose with Hyde serving as the backup. Assuming he isn't plagued by the same uncharacteristic fumbling issue from last season, Carson should be set for at least a 60-65% workload in one of the most run-heavy teams in the NFL. | The Tampa Bay backfield is probably the most confusing in the NFL at the moment. The surprise signing of Fournette has made an already confusing situation even more cloudy as there are four players who could conceivably see a significant number of carries this season. I'm not sure if Fournette will adapt to the team's offense and Tom Brady's playing style in time to make a real impact this season, but he still has intriguing upside as a former first-round pick. I think he's a bit overrated at this point and I wouldn't reach for him just based on his name alone. |
| Draft Engine Draft Engine | Carson was off to a promising start as a rookie in '17 before breaking his leg in a Week 4 game against the Colts. He has bounced back with two straight seasons of more than 90 total yards per game. In '19, he took on a bigger role in Seattle's passing attack. | Tampa was an ideal landing place for Fournette: There's very little talent to compete with for snaps, and the Bucs' potent passing attack gives him a high TD ceiling. Still, Fournette has done very little as a pro to warrant more than a part-time committee role. |
| John Hesterman Dynasty League Football | Fournette lands in a favorable spot and should receive a steady workload with Brady and crew. | |
| Kyle Yates FantasyPros | Carson is a bit of a question mark for 2020 at this point due to his recovery from a hip injury. While all signs point to him being ready to start week one, we need to be prepared to shift as new news comes out. Right now, drafting Carson at his current ADP is certainly risky. | Fournette is now a member of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and joins what should be a prolific offense this season. While it's going to be near impossible for him to take over this starting job in 10 days, Fournette should receive some light work throughout the first few weeks of the season. However, after a few weeks, I'm projecting Fournette to take over the majority of the work in this backfield. It should still be somewhat of a committee approach with Ronald Jones, but Fournette will have some low-end RB2 value on a weekly basis. There is a small percentage chance that Fournette eventually takes over this job completely and sends Jones to the bench, but you shouldn't let that possibility affect your drafting judgement. The most likely scenario is that he's going to split time with Jones in this backfield and we should draft him accordingly. |
| Elliot Berkovits Packer Report | The Seahawks backfield is never an easy one to figure out but over the last two seasons, Carson has proven to be the superior back to Rashad Penny. While he will never get a full workload, I expect Carson to see the majority of the work, especially near the goal line. | Now a member of the Buccaneers, Fournette's volume is bound to decrease from his usual workhorse role on the Jaguars. It's not all bad though considering he is joining what looks to be one of the best offenses in football. There will definitely be a timeshare between himself and Ronald Jones but I expect Fournette to be on the winning side of that split. I like him a lot more as a flex option than an RB2. |
| Ben Wasley The Fantasy First Down | The Seahawks running back room remains a nightmare for fantasy. There's clearly enormous upside available but it's an annual mess of the fumble master Chris Carson, injury prone Rashaad Penny and now the fun sponge Carlos Hyde. The common fantasy wisdom in these situations is to take the cheapest option but Rashaad Penny looks likely to start the season on IR and Carlos Hyde clearly isn't taking the starting role so it's really Carson that's the only valid option. If Carson gets the volume he enjoyed for most of 2019, he's a non-PPR monster with 20+ carries and 100+ yards most weeks. He's even starting to improve in the receiving game and has legitimate upside as a true workhorse in this elite Seahawks offense. If only the risk wasn't there. I'm taking him late in the 2nd round as a high upside option to pair with a veteran like Leveon Bell or Todd Gurley in the 3rd or 4th. | Leonard Fournette has shockingly been dropped from the Jaguars just weeks from the start of the season. It will be very difficult for him to provide meaningful value when turning up on an offense with so little time to learn it and the Buccs is an awful landing spot for all involved. With five relevant backs, Tampa Bay is a backfield worth avoiding as Fournette is unlikely to provide any reliable value. He shouldn't be dropped outside of shallow leagues but he is a fade in drafts. |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | Fournette signed with the Bucs after being released by the Jaguars. His contract ($2 million base, incentives based on playing time and rushing yards) suggests that he is expecting to see significant work. Still, given that he signed with the team a little more than a week before the season begins, it's going to take him time to get acclimated to the offense. Fournette can be considered a Flex play, but don't expect him to contribute immediately and, even when he does, he won't be a workhorse back given the presence of Ronald Jones. | |
| Mike Tagliere FantasyPros | If we knew Carson would be healthy the entire season, he'd be ranked as a top-12 running back. But we don't. There is a lot of uncertainty surrounding the Seahawks backfield, as Carson is coming off a season-ending hip injury, while Rashaad Penny is recovering from a torn ACL, and they drafted DeeJay Dallas in the fourth round of the draft. You'll want to pay close attention to this backfield as we approach fantasy draft season. | The Jaguars decided to release Fournette just 10 days prior to the NFL season. Whew. The Bucs are the team who signed him, making their backfield a bit cloudier, which is problematic, because it was already cloudy. It's possible that we see Fournette share time with Ronald Jones the same way we saw with Peyton Barber. I do believe that Fournette is the most talented back on the roster, but I also felt like Jones was last year. What a mess. I wouldn't want to rely on anything more than RB3 production right out of the gate. There's top-12 upside here for sure, but it could just be a messy timeshare. |
| Seth Miller Crossroads Fantasy Football | Hip injury is definitely something to follow-> Actually didn't need surgery for it, is expected to make a full recovery. Meanwhile, there is talk of the PUP list for Rashaad Penny, and bring Marshawn Lynch back, all good news for Chris Carson | Oof. No matter what you think of Fournette, touching the ball 341 times, and only getting 3TDs is not sustainable, in a good way. I don't have a problem thinking Chris Thompson or Laviska take away a significant amount of targets, I just need the TDs to normalize to get ROI. |
| Rob Wilson The Fantasy Footballers | Carson is a bit overlooked this season. Seattle remains committed to him and he should have another breezy RB2 season this year. | A polarizing pick this season, his passing volume should decrease but his TD volume is bound to increase. Jacksonville won't be a top offense, so there's risk here. |
| Frank Bonincontri Fantasy Wire HQ | Every season we say he won't be the RB1 by end of season and here we are. Again, the Seahawks are run heavy and Carson is an integral piece of the offense. I love his value in fantasy drafts as he always falls to the right spot each season. | Wow has Leonard Fournette been thrown under the fantasy bus lately. Sure the Jags are bad but he can produce for your squad. Some QB stability will go a long way too this season |
| Dalton Kates APEX Fantasy Leagues | With Penny likely headed to PUP to start the season this leaves the opportunity for Carson to be the workhorse again. In a solid offense and doesn't offer the receiving upside we are necessarily looking for, but at his price he's a value. | Was a true workhorse last year with 100 targets and 265 rush attempts. Concerns with new offensive weapons and scheme that may limit Fournette's receiving production. Also issues with team fit as they tried trading him this offseason and may not utilize him as a workhorse. |
| Brandon Funston The Athletic | 96.9 YPG over past 2 seasons ranks 8th-best among RBs in that span, and he's also chipped in 9 TDs in each campaign - expected to be fully recovered from hip injury by Week 1 | Biggest concern is not whether he'll see positive TD regression or take a major receptions hit with C. Thompson around, it's if JAX remains committed to him if/when losses pile up |
| Jason Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | 365 touches last season and only 57 evaded tackles. 90th in fantasy points per opportunity. Jay Gruden brought in his guy Chris Thompson to catch passes out of the backfield. | |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Carson is a RB2 coming off a season with 1,496 yards from scrimmage and 9 touchdowns. The only downside was his 7 fumbles. Seattle could be a RBBC this year, but if Carson can hang onto the ball, he is a solid RB2. | |
| Kevin Wheeler The Draft Zone | Leonard Fournette only scored three rushing touchdowns in 2019, but they accounted for every rushing score for the Jaguars. Those three rushing touchdowns were the lowest from a team since the 2005 Cardinals. Only 13 other teams in NFL history finished with that low of a total. (@LateRoundQB) I don't completely expect Fournette to stay as healthy as he did last year, but we should see some TD regression in 2020. In 2019 he set career highs in: games played: 15, rush yards: 1152, rushing 1st downs: 52, yards per att: 4.3, targets: 100, receptions: 76, receiving yards: 522, total touches: 341, total yards: 1674... for 6-10 team (@DFFMemphis) | |
| Wolf of Roto Street Roto Street Journal | Received a huge vote of confidence with the Seahawks surprisingly avoiding any major backfield moves in FA or the Draft. His fractured hip could hamper him all offseason and potentially to begin 2020 though, but the team likely would've made more RB moves if they were truly worried. If healthy.. no one was more consistent in 2019, with nearly 90% of Carson's active games finishing as a RB1 or RB2. | Despite constant trade rumors, Fournette returns as the lone viable backfield option. Don't love his fit in Jay Gruden's pass-centric attack, but just some slight positive TD regression is likely. |
