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Curtis Samuel or Justin Jefferson

Who Should I Draft?

Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Justin JeffersonJ. Jefferson
WR - MIN
Justin Jefferson
Curtis SamuelC. Samuel
WR - CAR
Curtis Samuel
Expert
Recommendation

61%
Recommended by
57 of 94 experts
39%
Recommended by
37 of 94 experts
Most Accurate Experts 
   
Top Experts 55% 45%
Top WR Experts63%38%
Top Player Experts--
   
Rankings 
   
ECR# 51# 58
Best Rank# 31# 34
Worst Rank# 113# 77
   
Fantasy Points 
   
Season Total0.0117.7
Avg Game7.4
Avg Projection92.798.1
   
Schedule 
   
SOS Rank123
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert
   
Expert Ranks 
Justin JeffersonCurtis Samuel
   
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
2 h
#66#53
   
Michael FlorioM. Florio
RotoBaller
6 h
#54#55
   
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
8 h
#48#57
   
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
8 h
#49#67
   
Steven PintadoS. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches
1 d
#51#52
   
Michael PetropoulosM. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
1 d
#47#59
   
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
1 d
#57#56
   
Matthew BetzM. Betz
BallBlast
2 d
#45#53
   
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
SportsLine
2 d
#54#56
   
Elisha TwerskiE. Twerski
numberFire
3 d
#43#59
   
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
FTN
3 d
#56#61
   
Bill EnrightB. Enright
Sports Illustrated
3 d
#54#55
   
Jason PetropoulosJ. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
3 d
#48#62
   
Greg SmithG. Smith
TwoQBs
3 d
#60#56
   
Matt HarmonM. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports
3 d
#54#44
   
Seth MillerS. Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
3 d
#36#43
   
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
3 d
#64#55
   
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
3 d
#38#54
   
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
4 d
#52
   
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
4 d
#60#54
   
Site RankingsS. Rank...
FFToday
4 d
#61#53
   
Jordan RainsJ. Rains
Dynasty Nerds
4 d
#63#34
   
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
4 d
#54#55
   
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
4 d
#49#69
   
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
5 d
#57#49
   
Mark RossM. Ross
Athlon Sports
5 d
#62#56
   
Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
5 d
#48#50
   
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
5 d
#59#45
   
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
5 d
#39#66
   
Davis MattekD. Mattek
RotoExperts
5 d
#80#45
   
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
6 d
#39#51
   
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
6 d
#56#55
   
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
7 d
#58#55
   
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
7 d
#54#64
   
Dennis SosicD. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
7 d
#102#43
   
Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
7 d
#63#40
   
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
1 w
#42#53
   
Richard KingR. King
King Fantasy Sports
1 w
#44#63
   
Justin SablichJ. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy
1 w
#46#58
   
Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
1 w
#65#51
   
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
1 w
#56#62
   
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
1 w
#62#56
   
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
1 w
#43
   
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
1 w
#55#52
   
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
1 w
#36#61
   
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
1 w
#55#57
   
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
2 w
#55#58
   
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
FantasyPros
2 w
#40#51
   
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
2 w
#42#70
   
Kyle RichardsonK. Rich...
The Fantasy Headliners
2 w
#62#56
   
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
Draftwize
2 w
#54#52
   
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
2 w
#45#60
   
Matt MacCoyM. MacCoy
Fantasy Team Advice
2 w
#113#41
   
Brad EvansB. Evans
FTN
2 w
#39#60
   
Adam PfeiferA. Pfeifer
FTN
2 w
#38#55
   
Bobby SylvesterB. Sylv...
FantasyPros
2 w
#59#77
   
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
2 w
#62#65
   
Chris KennedyC. Kennedy
The Fantasy Headliners
2 w
#52#58
   
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
2 w
#45#76
   
Kyle YatesK. Yates
FantasyPros
2 w
#40#68
   
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
2 w
#42#59
   
Gerson AguirreG. Aguirre
Going For 2
2 w
#61#62
   
Nick MarianoN. Mariano
RotoBaller
3 w
#41#73
   
Ryan SkolrudR. Skolrud
SkullKing Football
3 w
#58#57
   
3 w
#61#51
   
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
3 w
#51#50
   
Ben RolfeB. Rolfe
The Touchdown
3 w
#61#44
   
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
3 w
#31#57
   
Jacob W. DunneJ. W. D...
New Life Fantasy
3 w
#46#62
   
Justin GeorgeJ. George
Take Your League
06/11
#72#43
   
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
FTN
3 d
#44#59
   
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
06/11
#54#65
   
Matt OkadaM. Okada
BallBlast
5 d
#46#48
   
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
5 d
#27#43
   
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
Roto Ranks
06/07
#57#55
   
Andy SpiteriA. Spiteri
Razzball
4 w
#57#55
   
Lukas KacerL. Kacer
The Fantasy Stock Exchange
06/02
#39#53
   
Frank BonincontriF. Boni...
Fantasy Wire HQ
2 w
#50#60
   
Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
05/29
#55#57
   
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
05/24
#54#58
   
Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
Gridiron Experts
23 h
#46#61
   
Michael HauffM. Hauff
Gridiron Experts
2 w
#45
   
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
05/20
#45
   
Kyle AugustK. August
FF Fellas
05/25
#72#63
   
Anthony AmicoA. Amico
FTN
05/16
#47#61
   
Huseyin AksuH. Aksu
Fantasy Couch
2 d
#45
   
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
05/12
#63#50
   
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
DK Nation
05/11
#45#58
   
Mike RandleM. Randle
BettingPros
05/08
#44
   
Husein ShabazzH. Shabazz
SleeperWire
06/10
#43#58
   
Matt BrandonM. Brandon
Matt Brandon
05/04
#42#60
   
Walton SpurlinW. Spurlin
FantasyPros
04/27
#40#57
   
Matthew BoweM. Bowe
Razzball
04/10
#106#47
   
Steven SpaccarotelliS. Spac...
SleeperWire
01/14
#46
   
Player Game Logs Comparison
  Justin JeffersonJ. Jefferson
WR - MIN
Justin Jefferson
Curtis SamuelC. Samuel
WR - CAR
Curtis Samuel
2020 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. GB vs. LV
Week 2 at IND at TB
Week 3 vs. TEN at LAC
Week 4 at HOU vs. ARI
Week 5 at SEA at ATL
Week 6 vs. ATL vs. CHI
Week 7BYE WEEK at NO
Week 8 at GB vs. ATL
Week 9 vs. DET at KC
Week 10 at CHI vs. TB
Week 11 vs. DAL vs. DET
Week 12 vs. CAR at MIN
Week 13 vs. JACBYE WEEK
Week 14 at TB vs. DEN
Week 15 vs. CHI at GB
Week 16 at NO at WAS
Week 17 at DET vs. NO
Player Projections Comparison
  Justin JeffersonJ. Jefferson
WR - MIN
Justin Jefferson
Curtis SamuelC. Samuel
WR - CAR
Curtis Samuel
Receiving
   
Receptions51.747.2
Rec Yards708.0563.5
Rec TDs3.94.3
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts1.415.2
Rush Yards8.5109.1
Rush TDs0.11.0
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points92.798.1
   
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
  Justin JeffersonJ. Jefferson
WR - MIN
Justin Jefferson
Curtis SamuelC. Samuel
WR - CAR
Curtis Samuel
2019 Points 
Week 13.2
Week 29.3
Week 311.3
Week 43.3
Week 54.4
Week 619.8
Week 7
Week 84.6
Week 913.4
Week 109.5
Week 112.5
Week 124.9
Week 1312.5
Week 144.2
Week 1511.4
Week 162.1
Week 171.3
Player Targets Comparison
  Justin JeffersonJ. Jefferson
WR - MIN
Justin Jefferson
Curtis SamuelC. Samuel
WR - CAR
Curtis Samuel
2019 Targets 
Week 14
Week 213
Week 37
Week 47
Week 56
Week 66
Week 7
Week 811
Week 96
Week 108
Week 116
Week 124
Week 137
Week 144
Week 157
Week 165
Week 174
Notes for Player Combination
  Justin JeffersonJ. Jefferson
WR - MIN
Justin Jefferson
Curtis SamuelC. Samuel
WR - CAR
Curtis Samuel
Expert 
Seth Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
2019 Slot % Diggs - 14.7 Thielen - 29.3 Bisi - 34 Beebe - 52.5 (barely played) Justin Jefferson is going to be a WR2 right out of the gate. His biggest obstacle? Not Adam Thielen, but passing volume. No one had over 100 targets and Cook was 2nd on the team with 63. Injuries played a part in this but the Vikings went from 606 ATT in 2018, fired Defilippo, 466 ATT in 2019. The slot roll was basically a committee in 2019, Jefferson should consolidate that in 2020If I told you this WR had 108/1236/11 would you be interested? Now what if I told you that was in 3 years? Has trended upwards for 3 years in a row. Deep targets were infamously inaccurate last year. That made him rather terrible for fantasy football. He was miscast, running a 9 route over 1/4 of the time That situation has now been rectified with the addition of Robby Anderson. I think Samuel's chances at fading into a WR3 forever are just as likely as some kind of breakout. Most players don't have a Devante Parker like resurgence after years of being mediocre. They turn into Phillip Dorsett, an 83rd percentile sparq-x athlete who had greater college production and breakout age than Samuel, while also being a 4.3 guy we just can't let go of. However, I went back to watch all his deep incomplete passes myself for 2019. The majority were inaccurate. Sometimes the QB had to release the ball early because of the rush. Others, Samuel was out positioned, or not big enough to go up and get it. He also some just flat drops, but all of those happening were in the minority of what was happening on his deep looks. Fighting for targets underneath with DJ Moore will be no easier than trying to catch deep passes from Kyle Allen, but he'll at least have more accurate balls coming from Teddy Bridgewater, while having great, to elite numbers against man coverage 2 years in a row to give himself a great opportunity in this new offense.
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
And yet I've moved him way up into my top-40 WRs. I feel like he should get the second most targets in this offense and could be the top receiver if Thielen gets hit with the injury bug (again). 
Kevin Wheeler
Draftwize
 After Cam Newton was injured, Panthers WRs saw a catchable deep ball on only 25% of targets (14/56), via PFF. During Teddy Bridgewater's five starts, Saints WRs saw catchable deep balls on 62% of targets (8/13). @pat_thorman
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
The landing spot in Minnesota is a good thing for Jefferson, as Stefon Diggs is gone and Adam Thielen is going to be 30 years old (with back problems) at the start of the season. But for now, Jefferson is just a middling WR4 due to the low volume available in the Vikings offense.The quarterback play was atrocious in Carolina last year, but it was Samuel who was the least efficient of all the pass catchers. In fact, among the 157 wide receivers who've seen at least 100 targets over the last five years, Samuel's 0.96 yards per route run was the worst. There's so much competition for targets with D.J. Moore, Robby Anderson, Christian McCaffrey, and Ian Thomas, it's hard to see Samuel being a consistent fantasy option.
Kyle Yates
FantasyPros
Justin Jefferson landed in a beautiful spot for fantasy football, as he steps in alongside Adam Thielen and will assume the Stefon Diggs role. Thielen and Jefferson are the only true players there that should command targets and we know that Thielen has started to deal with some injuries the past couple of years. Jefferson should easily see over 100 targets in year one and may bring even more upside if something were to happen to Adam Thielen.