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David Johnson or Melvin Gordon III

Who Should I Draft?


Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
 
David Johnson
RB - HOU
 
 
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Expert
Recommendation


82%
Recommended by
110 of 134 experts
18%
Recommended by
24 of 134 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 28# 33-
Best Rank# 13# 20-
Worst Rank# 43# 51-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total166.4146.5-
Avg Game11.112.2-
Avg Projection122.3133.8-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank819-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Melvin Gordon IIIDavid JohnsonAdd Player
    
Chris KennedyC. Kennedy
The Fantasy Headliners
26 m
#33#34-
    
Scott SmithS. Smith
RotoViz
1 h
#28#40-
    
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
2 h
#30#41-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
2 h
#25#34-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
QB List
2 h
#29#39-
    
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
3 h
#34#30-
    
Matt HarmonM. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports
4 h
#36#31-
    
Jaime EisnerJ. Eisner
The Draft Network
4 h
#23#27-
    
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
4 h
#32#41-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
4 h
#39#44-
    
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
4 h
#38#33-
    
Mark RingoM. Ringo
Sleepers and Busts
4 h
#43#30-
    
Nicholas YouN. You
The Undroppables
5 h
#28#42-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
FadeTheNoise Podcast
5 h
#33#40-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
5 h
#26#36-
    
Michael BellerM. Beller
The Athletic
5 h
#33#30-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
6 h
#28#32-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
4for4.com
6 h
#34#40-
    
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
6 h
#24#40-
    
Matthew McCarthyM. McCa...
Gridiron Ratings
7 h
#25#30-
    
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
7 h
#36#37-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
8 h
#29#33-
    
Lawrence JacksonL. Jackson
Fantasy Football Lord
8 h
#28#39-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
9 h
#27#32-
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
9 h
#30#36-
    
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
9 h
#32#36-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
11 h
#29#40-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
Pro Football Network
19 h
#30#35-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
19 h
#30#26-
    
Tal MalachovskyT. Mala...
The Fantasy Scout
19 h
#17#20-
    
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
23 h
#30-
    
Dylan LicciardoD. Licc...
FF Gamers
24 h
#38#40-
    
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
SportsLine
1 d
#35#40-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
The Draft Zone
1 d
#30#40-
    
Drew DeLucaD. DeLuca
NFL Spinzone
1 d
#42#35-
    
Steven PintadoS. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches
1 d
#28#30-
    
Jacob W. DunneJ. W. D...
New Life Fantasy
2 d
#35#39-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
2 d
#29#39-
    
Tim PetropoulosT. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
2 d
#28#40-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
2 d
#23#29-
    
Jamie CalandroJ. Cala...
Football Diehards
2 d
#33#36-
    
Ellis JohnsonE. Johnson
True North Fantasy Football
3 d
#36#30-
    
Justin GeorgeJ. George
Take Your League
3 d
#13#29-
    
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
3 d
#23#35-
    
Jordan RainsJ. Rains
Expand The Boxscore
3 d
#16#46-
    
Joe PisapiaJ. Pisapia
FantasyPros
3 d
#32#39-
    
Neema HodjatN. Hodjat
Real GM
3 d
#32#37-
    
Jason PetropoulosJ. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
3 d
#25#35-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
3 d
#22#38-
    
Tim BrosnanT. Brosnan
Tim's Fantasy Tips
3 d
#21#33-
    
Ryan Hodge R. Hodge
FantasyLabs
3 d
#40#42-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
4 d
#31#42-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
4 d
#37#34-
    
Robby JeffriesR. Jeff...
The Fantasy Authority
4 d
#33#32-
    
Brendan TumaB. Tuma
FantasyPros
4 d
#38#40-
    
Kent WeyrauchK. Weyr...
Pro Football Focus
4 d
#35#30-
    
Joey WrightJ. Wright
Razzball
4 d
#36#28-
    
John HestermanJ. Hest...
Dynasty League Football
4 d
#28#37-
    
Andy VandaA. Vanda
Take Your League
5 d
#28#33-
    
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
5 d
#21#30-
    
Huseyin AksuH. Aksu
Fantasy Couch
5 d
#34#41-
    
Tommy MoliooT. Molioo
The Undroppables
5 d
#30#25-
    
Site RankingsS. Rank...
FFToday
5 d
#35#24-
    
David BiggsD. Biggs
Drink Five
5 d
#34#36-
    
Tyler OrginskiT. Orgi...
Fantasy Hot Read
5 d
#36#32-
    
Corbin YoungC. Young
FantasyData
5 d
#29#34-
    
Seth MillerS. Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
5 d
#30#31-
    
Michael FlorioM. Florio
RotoBaller
5 d
#32#39-
    
Blake FincherB. Fincher
Fantasy Football Cafe
5 d
#28#41-
    
Aaron LarsonA. Larson
FantasyPros
5 d
#29#35-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
FantasyPros
5 d
#29#33-
    
Kate MagdziukK. Magd...
BallBlast
5 d
#23#26-
    
Nate HamiltonN. Hami...
The Game Day
5 d
#30#34-
    
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
6 d
#30#41-
    
Allie FontanaA. Fontana
Fighting Chance Fantasy
6 d
#31#39-
    
Mark RossM. Ross
Athlon Sports
6 d
#27#30-
    
Alex GodshallA. Gods...
Beaver Dam
6 d
#29#39-
    
Dave KlugeD. Kluge
Footballguys
6 d
#22#23-
    
Wolf of Roto StreetW. of R...
Roto Street Journal
6 d
#33#36-
    
Francisco (Chato) RomeroF. (Cha...
Estadio Fantasy
6 d
#30#34-
    
Adrian AlpansequeA. Alpa...
Estadio Fantasy
6 d
#29#45-
    
Adam PelletierA. Pell...
Sports Gambling Podcast Network
6 d
#16#51-
    
Michael HauffM. Hauff
FF Faceoff
6 d
#24#33-
    
Fantasy BRF. BR
Fantasy BR
7 d
#35#31-
    
Ben WasleyB. Wasley
The Fantasy First Down
1 w
#34#35-
    
Michael PetropoulosM. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
1 w
#33#43-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
1 w
#24#31-
    
Kyle RichardsonK. Rich...
The Fantasy Headliners
1 w
#24#36-
    
Dale DeMottD. DeMott
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
1 w
#27#32-
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
1 w
#25#47-
    
Bill EnrightB. Enright
Sports Illustrated
1 w
#30#40-
    
Benjamin KlotzB. Klotz
Touchdown Squad
1 w
#31#43-
    
Kevin TompkinsK. Tomp...
BallBlast
1 w
#34#35-
    
Daniel MaderD. Mader
Belly Up Sports
1 w
#37#31-
    
Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
1 w
#33#32-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
1 w
#31#40-
    
Aaron SchillA. Schill
FF Faceoff
1 w
#28#30-
    
Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
FF Faceoff
1 w
#28#37-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
1 w
#38#31-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
1 w
#24#21-
    
Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
1 w
#35#25-
    
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
1 w
#25#30-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
SportsGrid
1 w
#40#43-
    
David ZachD. Zach
FantasyPros
1 w
#29#36-
    
Mike MaherM. Maher
FantasyPros
1 w
#22#27-
    
Dennis SosicD. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
2 w
#24#31-
    
Jose Ramon LlacaJ. Ramo...
Estadio Fantasy
2 w
#35#40-
    
Jake ArthurJ. Arthur
Sports Illustrated
2 w
#21#29-
    
Matthew BetzM. Betz
The Fantasy Footballers
2 w
#23#31-
    
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
FantasyPros
2 w
#30#32-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
2 w
#23#30-
    
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
3 w
#33#50-
    
Peter RogersP. Rogers
Fake Teams
3 w
#29#41-
    
Jarad EvansJ. Evans
Pro Football Focus
3 w
#36#44-
    
Nick BretwischN. Bret...
Win Daily Sports
3 w
#28#32-
    
Elvin RyanE. Ryan
The Pregame HQ
3 w
#25#24-
    
Clayton CadieuxC. Cadieux
Fantasy Football From Up North
4 w
#29#42-
    
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
4 w
#30#34-
    
Adam PfeiferA. Pfeifer
FTN
05/30
#26#32-
    
Mick CiallelaM. Cial...
Fantrax
07/01
#29#40-
    
Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
06/29
#28#33-
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
3 w
#25#32-
    
Adam MurfetA. Murfet
5 Yard Rush
06/28
#29#25-
    
Blair WilliamsB. Will...
Razzball
06/22
#30#34-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
3 w
#36#40-
    
Garret PriceG. Price
Dynasty Nerds
06/15
#33#34-
    
Richard KingR. King
King Fantasy Sports
2 w
#29#31-
    
Richard CoolingR. Cooling
5 Yard Rush
07/01
#24#26-
    
Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
05/31
#26#29-
    
Jeff RatcliffeJ. Ratc...
FTN
05/28
#23#34-
    
Nick RaducanuN. Radu...
ProjectRoto
05/27
#23#34-
    
Justin DoddsJ. Dodds
SleeperWire
6 d
#22#24-
    
Zachary HanshewZ. Hanshew
FantasyPros
05/20
#26#45-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
FTN
4 w
#24#26-
    
Player Game Logs Comparison
 
David Johnson
RB - HOU
2021 Schedule 
Week 1 at NYG vs. JAC
Week 2 at JAC at CLE
Week 3 vs. NYJ vs. CAR
Week 4 vs. BAL at BUF
Week 5 at PIT vs. NE
Week 6 vs. LV at IND
Week 7 at CLE at ARI
Week 8 vs. WAS vs. LAR
Week 9 at DAL at MIA
Week 10 vs. PHIBYE WEEK
Week 11BYE WEEK at TEN
Week 12 vs. LAC vs. NYJ
Week 13 at KC vs. IND
Week 14 vs. DET vs. SEA
Week 15 vs. CIN at JAC
Week 16 at LV vs. LAC
Week 17 at LAC at SF
Week 18 vs. KC vs. TEN
Player Projections Comparison
 
David Johnson
RB - HOU
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts168.9147.8
Rush Yards743.9619.1
Rush TDs5.54.7
   
Receiving
   
Receptions21.837.0
Rec Yards140.4329.0
Rec TDs1.02.3
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points122.3133.8
   
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
 
David Johnson
RB - HOU
2020 Points 
Week 112.616.9
Week 214.45.0
Week 33.810.6
Week 423.89.2
Week 510.3
Week 612.9
Week 710.012.4
Week 84.7
Week 92.71.6
Week 104.6
Week 1118.4
Week 123.1
Week 1314.210.4
Week 149.1
Week 1520.113.3
Week 167.925.9
Week 1717.018.0
Week 18
Total166.4146.5
Average11.112.2
Player Targets Comparison
 
David Johnson
RB - HOU
2020 Targets 
Week 134
Week 234
Week 363
Week 433
Week 54
Week 62
Week 744
Week 87
Week 911
Week 102
Week 110
Week 120
Week 1322
Week 143
Week 15411
Week 1603
Week 1765
Week 18
Notes for Player Combination
 
David Johnson
RB - HOU
Expert 
Mark Ringo
Sleepers and Busts
Gordon's days in Denver seem to be numbered. The old regime signed him in free agency. They're gone now. The Broncos drafted Javonte Williams. At best Gordon is in a RBBC on a shaky offense. The best thing that could happened would be him getting traded or cut and going to a better team where he could be a three down RB once again. If that doesn't happen, I don't see much upside here. Avoid. 
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
 Slightly up, and may move up more if Watson looks like he'll be the Week 1 starter in Houston. Would make a world of difference for the offense overall.
Kyle Yates
FantasyPros
Fantasy managers were feeling pretty good about Melvin Gordon heading into 2021 after Phillip Lindsay's departure, but that all came quickly crashing back down with the drafting of Javonte Williams. This season, it's likely that Gordon is still the lead back, but Williams is certainly going to see some work. This situation could end up being very similar to Baltimore's from last year with Mark Ingram and JK Dobbins, which doesn't exactly bode well for Gordon's season-long outlook. In my opinion, drafting Gordon as anything more than a low-end RB2 is a recipe for disaster. My Very Early Projection: 200-960-6 rushing & 27-174-1 receiving.Oh man, what an absolute mess of a situation here in Houston right now. Deshaun Watson seems intent on never playing another down for this team, which means that we're going to see one of Tyrod Taylor, Davis Mills, or Jeff Driskel at QB in 2021. That's automatically a significant downgrade for this offense and it carries a trickle effect to every position group. On top of that, the RB room is extremely crowded and none of the names are really ones that should get you excited. At the time of writing, the Texans have Johnson, Mark Ingram, Phillip Lindsay, Rex Burkhead, Dontrell Hilliard, Buddy Howell, and Scottie Phillips all on this depth chart. If Johnson was essentially the lone back again this season, he might be worth drafting in fantasy drafts. However, with his age and the state of the offense around him, it's probably best to let someone else try to make it work with the veteran RB. My Very Early Projection: 163-669-4 rushing & 45-383-1 receiving.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
When the Broncos signed Gordon to a two-year, $16 million contract, you had to assume they were going to use him in a big role. That's not quite what happened, as they continually wanted to involve Phillip Lindsay. After letting him walk in free agency, they snagged Mike Boone, which was a downgrade from Lindsay. Okay... but that wasn't it. They drafted Javonte Williams at the top of the second round, a running back who'll certainly compete for touches immediately. Gordon isn't going to simply go away making the money he is, but he's also not likely going to get the 16.5 touches per game he was in 2020. There's also a possible suspension coming Gordon's way for a DUI incident last year, which needs to be factored into his fantasy stock. He's not someone you should be relying on for anything more than RB3/flex production.I think most people would admit that Johnson looked much better than expected in 2020, totaling over 1,000 total yards and eight touchdowns in just 12 games. That's the good news. The bad news is that the Texans are a team that legitimately might lose every game in 2021, as they've been stripped down and look like a roster of replacements. They've also added Mark Ingram, Phillip Lindsay, and Rex Burkhead to the backfield, which presents all sorts of issues. If Deshaun Watson were going to play, we'd dig into this backfield a little deeper, but with Watson out of the picture for the foreseeable future, this is not a backfield you want to be associated with.
Kevin Wheeler
The Draft Zone
Gordon will most likely dominate the receptions, two-minute offense, and goaline touches at RB for the first half of the season. When Gordon starts to break-down Javonte Williams should seamlessly start to take-over. 
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Gordon had a solid year with 182.4 considering all the injuries and bad quarterback play the Broncos had this year. Gordon is going to lose touches to Javonte Williams, but Gordon should still be a flex option.Johnson's value is going to depend on whether DeShaun Watson can play this year, Johnson figures to be a low-end flex option on an offense that may have Tyrod Taylor behind center.
Wolf of Roto Street
Roto Street Journal
Update - the Broncos TRADED UP to get Javonte Williams, and MGIII is on his last year. Williams will take over this backfield sooner than later, and Shurmur prefers a workhorse so MGIII might be meaningless by 2021's endPhillip Lindsay + Ingram + No QB + Gross overall offense = no, thanks.