Who Should I Draft?

Derrick Henry or Devonta Freeman

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Experts' Pick
 
  Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Derrick Henry
Devonta Freeman
RB - ATL
Devonta Freeman
 
 
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Recommended by
71 of 156 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 16# 18-
Best Rank# 6# 7-
Worst Rank# 31# 27-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total186.39.1-
Avg Game11.64.6-
Avg Projection198.9170.2-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank1532-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Derrick HenryDevonta FreemanAdd Player
    
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  Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Derrick Henry
Devonta Freeman
RB - ATL
Devonta Freeman
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 at CLE at MIN
Week 2 vs. IND vs. PHI
Week 3 at JAC at IND
Week 4 at ATL vs. TEN
Week 5 vs. BUF at HOU
Week 6 at DEN at ARI
Week 7 vs. LAC vs. LAR
Week 8 vs. TB vs. SEA
Week 9 at CARBYE WEEK
Week 10 vs. KC at NO
Week 11BYE WEEK at CAR
Week 12 vs. JAC vs. TB
Week 13 at IND vs. NO
Week 14 at OAK vs. CAR
Week 15 vs. HOU at SF
Week 16 vs. NO vs. JAC
Week 17 at HOU at TB
  Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Derrick Henry
Devonta Freeman
RB - ATL
Devonta Freeman
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts268.6202.9
Rush Yards1,240.6874.0
Rush TDs10.46.9
   
Receiving
   
Receptions17.041.5
Rec Yards129.1331.5
Rec TDs0.31.8
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points198.9170.2
   
  Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Derrick Henry
Devonta Freeman
RB - ATL
Devonta Freeman
2018 Points 
Week 13.15.0
Week 25.9
Week 35.7
Week 43.1
Week 55.64.1
Week 62.6
Week 712.5
Week 8
Week 99.2
Week 1017.8
Week 114.6
Week 122.9
Week 1310.5
Week 1447.8
Week 1529.2
Week 1615.2
Week 1710.6
  Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Derrick Henry
Devonta Freeman
RB - ATL
Devonta Freeman
2018 Targets 
Week 115
Week 20
Week 31
Week 42
Week 512
Week 61
Week 72
Week 8
Week 92
Week 100
Week 110
Week 123
Week 132
Week 140
Week 151
Week 161
Week 171
  Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Derrick Henry
Devonta Freeman
RB - ATL
Devonta Freeman
Expert 
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Henry carries some risk in 2019, because the bulk of his production came in Week 13-17, when he had 97 rushing attempts for 625 yards, 6.44 yards per carry and 7 TDs. I would value him as a RB2 until he shows he can be a bell cow back for an entire season.Freeman battled injuries in 2018 and he played only 2 games. He has had RB1 value in the past when healthy, but he is a huge durability risk in 2019 coming off a knee injury.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Are the Titans ready to promote Henry to a workhorse role? That's doubtful considering Dion Lewis is still on the roster and they're not paying him close to $5 million this year to sit on the bench and be a cheerleader. Henry deserves more touches, that much is certain, but what happens when the Titans fall behind in a game? Lewis is far-and-away the better pass-catcher, which means Henry will be gamescript-dependent. If you believe the Titans are contenders and will finish with a winning record, that's a vote of confidence for Henry, though it's hard to say that with any confidence. He's the ultimate boom-or-bust running back, which is why he's best-suited as an RB2Do you remember Freeman's rookie year? Probably not, because it had him falling outside the top-35 running backs selected the following year. In that season, he totaled just 248 yards and one touchdown on 65 carries. That's significant because that's the only year he played under Dirk Koetter, who is now back in Atlanta as the coordinator. While Freeman will have a much bigger role, Koetter hasn't been able to boost a run-game during his time in Atlanta or Tampa Bay, so the ceiling has likely dropped for Freeman. And that's not to mention Ito Smith, whose role grew as the year went on in 2018
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Henry figures to have a big role, but a lack of versatility has me a little gun shy.It's all about health with Freeman. Tevin is gone and he has the skill-set of a feature back. I like him as a RB2. He just needs to stay on the field.
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
Henry did almost nothing for the vast majority of last season, and was dropped in plenty of leagues. But he went ballistic over the last four games, carrying owners to championships and likely earning himself a bigger role in 2019. He's dealt with leg issues all preseason, and Dion Lewis should remain a part of the offense. Plus, Henry does nothing in the passing game, making him somewhat of a liability in PPR leagues. But he's still an RB2 in standard leagues, as his end-of-year dominance shows just how much upside he has.Freeman missed almost all of last season due to injuries, but had put up anywhere between very good and elite seasons in the three prior years. With Tevin Coleman gone, Freeman should see an increaed workload, even with the presence of Ito Smith and others in the backfield. There are legitimate injury concerns with Freeman, but the Falcons may look to control the clock more and emphasize the run given their improved defense. All in all, Freeman makes a solid RB2, one with high upside.
Kevin Wheeler
Draftwize
Derrick Henry combined to total 78.0 fantasy points across just two games last season (Weeks 14-15). Those two games made up a whopping 38% of his total fantasy points for the year. Outside of those two games, he averaged just 8.9 fantasy points per game. This was the difference between him finishing 22nd and 45th at the position in fantasy points per game. @ScottBarrettDFB"Devonta Freeman is in good health and hasn't had any setbacks at the start of the preseason. Based on how he has practiced, Freeman should be in line for a bounce-back campaign."
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Henry is back on the field after his strained calf, but it may be something that returns with the grind of an NFL game. After the way he performed to close out the season, there is no doubting that Tennessee will actually use Henry as the primary back all season, however. He might lead the league in rushing yards, as he can be a workhorse, but without much help on offense, the touchdowns probably won't accompany the yards, nor will any receiving production, limiting his fantasy ceiling substantially.The Falcons have been banged up the last two years including Freeman himself but don't be surprised if this offensive line surges forward this year with all the talent they have. If that happens, Freeman could explode back into the top 10 fantasy running backs as we saw in 2015, 2016 and 2017 with his fantasy points per game.
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
As long as Henry is being handed the ball 20+ times a game, he will be well worth his ADP. That's no guarantee, but all signs point to Tennessee being a ground and pound team this year. Game script could be Henry's downfall if the Titans trail early and often, bringing pass catching back, Dion Lewis into the game.Freeman is a solid option at his current ADP but there is some risk, obviously, after he missed all of last season. Koetter has also not really been known for his running game. With that being said, Freeman is also only a year removed from 1180/8 total in 14 games in 2017. He should have a solid weekly floor.
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
Epic run in final 4 games of '18 (146.3 rush YPG, 7 rush TDs) has some dreaming of things to come - but let's not let 4 games wipe away 42 other games that show he's a wiggle-less power runner with no pass game upsideProven fantasy RB Top 10 upside, and with T. Coleman off to SF, the backup vulture threat is less a threat than ever - it all comes down to health (if he plays close to a full season, he'll be a bargain)
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
Derrick Henry is one of the most polarizing players in fantasy football. Unfortunately, I don't have a strong take for or against Henry. I believe that the end of last season was likely the best run of his career, but that he's capable of matching that performance for stretches going forward. He finished last season with a disgusting 87/585/7 stat line over the final FOUR WEEKS! That was 6.72 yards per carry across 87 carries!. Now, most of that was from the crazy Jaguars game. In fact, he went over 95 rushing yards just twice last season, and was under 60 rushing yards in every game from weeks 1-12. I'll even do you one further. Henry has under 95 rushing yards in 91% of his career regular season games, and less than 3 targets in that same percentage. It's not all bad for Henry though. He was PFF's third rated RB last season, ranked second in yards per carry after contact, 3rd in elusiveness rating, and 3rd in percent of carries that gained positive yardage. Henry is a good RB, and it's shocking that he's never been given the opportunity to be the bell cow. Henry has more than 19 carries in just 6% of his career regular season games. I expect that to increase this season. The Titans should improve as an offense with the addition of A.J. Brown, and the return of Delanie Walker. The receptions won't be there, so he's going to be volatile, but Henry has massive weekly upside in any format...and I wouldn't be shocked if he posts a 1,300/13 stat line this season.If you like lengthy injury histories, then let me introduce you to Devonta Freeman! Freeman has suffered a pulled hamstring, a hip strain, an MCL sprain, a PCL sprain, a knee bruise, 3 separate concussions, a foot bruise and then finally lost most of last year due to sports hernia surgery. Aside from his terrible rookie season, he's been extremely productive whole he's been on the field. Now let's talk about his offensive coordinator. Dirk Koetter has returned as the team's OC. He had that job from 2012-2014, then he was hired as the Bucs OC in 2015, and then served as their head coach from 1016-2018. In that time here is where his teams have ranked in rushing yards per game: 27/32/24/4/25/27/28. So in other words, Freeman is a RB with a high likelihood of injury, on an offense run by a man that has no idea how to run the football. What Freeman has going for him is 1) His talent...and 2) There's no one behind him on the depth chart. They have a few guys who can join together to fill potential void if he goes down, but they don't have a single RB that's going to challenge him for touches. Therefore, as long as he stays healthy, he's going to crush.
Sean Koerner
The Action Network
most likely workhorse back to play full 16 game season. very high floor 
Kyle Yates
The Fantasy Footballers
 We've seemingly forgotten about Devonta Freeman after his injury plagued 2018 season. Now, Freeman stands "alone" in that Atlanta backfield and is an incredible value in redraft leagues with his current ADP. Freeman's a solid bet for 240 carries and an increased volume in the passing game due to Tevin Coleman's absence. I'm drafting him wherever I can.