Who Should I Draft?

Derrick Henry or Sony Michel

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Experts' Pick
 
  Sony Michel
RB - NE
Sony Michel
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Derrick Henry
 
 
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Recommended by
74 of 156 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 17# 16-
Best Rank# 10# 6-
Worst Rank# 34# 31-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total132.1186.3-
Avg Game10.211.6-
Avg Projection170.4198.9-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank415-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Sony MichelDerrick HenryAdd Player
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
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#24#11-
    
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FullTime Fantasy
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FantasyData
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Take Your League
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Mike WrightM. Wright
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FantasyPros
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Big Guy Fantasy Sports
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Take Your League
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The Hateful 8
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SportsLine
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Fantasy Shed
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Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
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RotoExperts
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The Fantasy Fix
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Breaking Football
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BRoto Fantasy
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Establish the Run
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The Fantasy Fix
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FF Statistics
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Swollen Dome
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CBS Sports
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Coach Esser
2 w
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Hail to Fantasy Football
2 w
#14#25-
    
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Gridiron Experts
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#12#13-
    
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Fantasy Football Helpers
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SleeperWire
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Mundo Fantasy
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DailyOverlay
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CBS Sports
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RTSports
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The Football Girl
2 w
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3 w
#19#14-
    
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3 w
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Pressbox
3 w
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FFToday
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EDSFootball
3 w
#14#15-
    
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3 w
#16#15-
    
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The Fantasy Sports Brain
3 w
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Razzball
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SmittyS.
SleeperU
3 w
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Jason SablichJ. Sablich
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#29#11-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
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Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
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Kyle AugustK. August
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Matt CampM. Camp
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Anthony AmicoA. Amico
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3 w
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Michael BellerM. Beller
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Mike AlexanderM. Alex...
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08/21
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08/16
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06/01
#21#19-
    
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05/08
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Sundays Are For Football
01/31
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  Sony Michel
RB - NE
Sony Michel
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Derrick Henry
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. PIT at CLE
Week 2 at MIA vs. IND
Week 3 vs. NYJ at JAC
Week 4 at BUF at ATL
Week 5 at WAS vs. BUF
Week 6 vs. NYG at DEN
Week 7 at NYJ vs. LAC
Week 8 vs. CLE vs. TB
Week 9 at BAL at CAR
Week 10BYE WEEK vs. KC
Week 11 at PHIBYE WEEK
Week 12 vs. DAL vs. JAC
Week 13 at HOU at IND
Week 14 vs. KC at OAK
Week 15 at CIN vs. HOU
Week 16 vs. BUF vs. NO
Week 17 vs. MIA at HOU
  Sony Michel
RB - NE
Sony Michel
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Derrick Henry
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts236.7268.6
Rush Yards1,076.91,240.6
Rush TDs9.210.4
   
Receiving
   
Receptions11.317.0
Rec Yards85.9129.1
Rec TDs0.30.3
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points170.4198.9
   
  Sony Michel
RB - NE
Sony Michel
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Derrick Henry
2018 Points 
Week 13.1
Week 24.15.9
Week 34.95.7
Week 417.23.1
Week 517.05.6
Week 622.62.6
Week 71.512.5
Week 8
Week 99.2
Week 103.117.8
Week 114.6
Week 1220.52.9
Week 137.010.5
Week 145.747.8
Week 155.929.2
Week 1617.615.2
Week 175.010.6
  Sony Michel
RB - NE
Sony Michel
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Derrick Henry
2018 Targets 
Week 11
Week 220
Week 331
Week 402
Week 511
Week 611
Week 712
Week 8
Week 92
Week 1000
Week 110
Week 1223
Week 1312
Week 1400
Week 1501
Week 1601
Week 1701
  Sony Michel
RB - NE
Sony Michel
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN
Derrick Henry
Expert 
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Michel had a breakout postseason and that could carry over to a strong 2019 season. He does have some knee issues, but he should still be a solid RB3 with RB2 upside in 2019.Henry carries some risk in 2019, because the bulk of his production came in Week 13-17, when he had 97 rushing attempts for 625 yards, 6.44 yards per carry and 7 TDs. I would value him as a RB2 until he shows he can be a bell cow back for an entire season.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
It was a solid rookie year for Michel, who finished as the RB28 despite missing three full games. The issue with expecting a massive jump in production is his lack of usage in the passing game (just seven receptions in 13 games), and the third-round draft pick of Damien Harris, as he's a threat to steal some early-down work. Still, Michel should provide RB2 value as long as he's healthyAre the Titans ready to promote Henry to a workhorse role? That's doubtful considering Dion Lewis is still on the roster and they're not paying him close to $5 million this year to sit on the bench and be a cheerleader. Henry deserves more touches, that much is certain, but what happens when the Titans fall behind in a game? Lewis is far-and-away the better pass-catcher, which means Henry will be gamescript-dependent. If you believe the Titans are contenders and will finish with a winning record, that's a vote of confidence for Henry, though it's hard to say that with any confidence. He's the ultimate boom-or-bust running back, which is why he's best-suited as an RB2
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
Admittedly, there's some fear of his balky knee, and a little usage uncertainty with Belichick's history of pulling the backfield strings, but his preseason's been strong and the backfield is lucrative (NE top 6 in RB half-PPR FAN PTS each of past 4 seasons)Epic run in final 4 games of '18 (146.3 rush YPG, 7 rush TDs) has some dreaming of things to come - but let's not let 4 games wipe away 42 other games that show he's a wiggle-less power runner with no pass game upside
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Michel was great last year, but he's had some health questions and New England has approximately one thousand running backs. He should be higher, but I can't do it.Henry figures to have a big role, but a lack of versatility has me a little gun shy.
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
Michel dealt with a preseason knee injury that bothered him some during the season, but he came on during the fantasy (and real-life) playoffs, showing his upside. When the Patriots spent a third-round pick on Damien Harris, fantasy owners got worried, but Harris reportedly has not gotten many reps this summer. The backfield in New England is still crowded with James White and Rex Burkhead, but with no Rob Gronkowksi, the Patriots are likely to lean on the run a bit more. That makes Michel an RB2, though one that is better in standard formats.Henry did almost nothing for the vast majority of last season, and was dropped in plenty of leagues. But he went ballistic over the last four games, carrying owners to championships and likely earning himself a bigger role in 2019. He's dealt with leg issues all preseason, and Dion Lewis should remain a part of the offense. Plus, Henry does nothing in the passing game, making him somewhat of a liability in PPR leagues. But he's still an RB2 in standard leagues, as his end-of-year dominance shows just how much upside he has.
Kevin Wheeler
Draftwize
 Derrick Henry combined to total 78.0 fantasy points across just two games last season (Weeks 14-15). Those two games made up a whopping 38% of his total fantasy points for the year. Outside of those two games, he averaged just 8.9 fantasy points per game. This was the difference between him finishing 22nd and 45th at the position in fantasy points per game. @ScottBarrettDFB
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Sony has plummeted down draft boards with the drafting of Damien Harris and multiple reports about concerns revolving Michel's knee. These are both scary for fantasy owners, but the price has now dropped low enough that you can afford to take a risk on someone with legitimate top 10 running back upside in this great Patriots' offense.Henry is back on the field after his strained calf, but it may be something that returns with the grind of an NFL game. After the way he performed to close out the season, there is no doubting that Tennessee will actually use Henry as the primary back all season, however. He might lead the league in rushing yards, as he can be a workhorse, but without much help on offense, the touchdowns probably won't accompany the yards, nor will any receiving production, limiting his fantasy ceiling substantially.
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
Check out my article on BRotofantasy.com regarding Michel's inflated ADP. He was very much a game script RB with no passing game involvement last season and there is nothing that says that will not remain the same this season. He also has degenerative knee issues and has never played even half the offensive snaps in a game.As long as Henry is being handed the ball 20+ times a game, he will be well worth his ADP. That's no guarantee, but all signs point to Tennessee being a ground and pound team this year. Game script could be Henry's downfall if the Titans trail early and often, bringing pass catching back, Dion Lewis into the game.
Sean Koerner
The Action Network
chronic knee issues mean he could miss games. Damien Harris puts pressure on him. not ideal in any sort of PPR. he's more valuable in Best Ball as he will consolidate his value into several games he goes offmost likely workhorse back to play full 16 game season. very high floor
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
Honestly, I can't justify drafting Sony this season. Not only did the Patriots draft another RB early this season, but his knee is a concern. He's suffered a torn ACL, a fractured shoulder blade, multiple ankle sprains, a fractured forearm and three separate knee strains. Sony, unsurprisingly, has the second highest chance of injury this season according to sports injury predictor. You can also add volume reduction to his risk. We know that White is going to get most of the passing down work, and that Harris is going to take some of the early down work away from him. This backfield is very similar to that of Washington. Assuming everyone stays healthy, Sony isn't going to pay off his ADP. He would need a Damien Harris injury to be anything more than a TD upside FLEX play. Yet he's being drafted as a mid range RB 2. Save yourself the headache and just stay away from Sony this season.Derrick Henry is one of the most polarizing players in fantasy football. Unfortunately, I don't have a strong take for or against Henry. I believe that the end of last season was likely the best run of his career, but that he's capable of matching that performance for stretches going forward. He finished last season with a disgusting 87/585/7 stat line over the final FOUR WEEKS! That was 6.72 yards per carry across 87 carries!. Now, most of that was from the crazy Jaguars game. In fact, he went over 95 rushing yards just twice last season, and was under 60 rushing yards in every game from weeks 1-12. I'll even do you one further. Henry has under 95 rushing yards in 91% of his career regular season games, and less than 3 targets in that same percentage. It's not all bad for Henry though. He was PFF's third rated RB last season, ranked second in yards per carry after contact, 3rd in elusiveness rating, and 3rd in percent of carries that gained positive yardage. Henry is a good RB, and it's shocking that he's never been given the opportunity to be the bell cow. Henry has more than 19 carries in just 6% of his career regular season games. I expect that to increase this season. The Titans should improve as an offense with the addition of A.J. Brown, and the return of Delanie Walker. The receptions won't be there, so he's going to be volatile, but Henry has massive weekly upside in any format...and I wouldn't be shocked if he posts a 1,300/13 stat line this season.