Who Should I Draft?

Deshaun Watson or Andrew Luck

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Experts' Pick
 
  Andrew Luck
QB - IND
Andrew Luck
Deshaun Watson
QB - HOU
Deshaun Watson
 
 
Expert
Recommendation
67%
Recommended by
55 of 82 experts
33%
Recommended by
27 of 82 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 2# 3-
Best Rank# 1# 1-
Worst Rank# 7# 6-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total327.1331.9-
Avg Game20.420.7-
Avg Projection311.0318.8-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank63-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Andrew LuckDeshaun WatsonAdd Player
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
The Athletic
5 h
#1#3-
    
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
7 h
#2#4-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
8 h
#2#4-
    
Michael BellerM. Beller
Sports Illustrated
15 h
#4#3-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
18 h
#2#3-
    
Mike RandleM. Randle
Dynasty Trade Calculator
18 h
#2#4-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
23 h
#2#4-
    
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
1 d
#4#2-
    
Kyle AugustK. August
FF Fellas
2 d
#1#4-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#2#3-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
2 d
#1#4-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
FullTime Fantasy
2 d
#3#4-
    
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
3 d
#3#2-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
Yahoo! Sports
3 d
#2#1-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
3 d
#2#5-
    
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
3 d
#2#3-
    
Dylan ChappineD. Chap...
White Wolf Sports
4 d
#2#6-
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
4 d
#4#2-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
WalterFootball
5 d
#5#1-
    
Bobby SylvesterB. Sylv...
FantasyPros
5 d
#4#5-
    
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
Fantasy Fusion
5 d
#3#5-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
6 d
#1#4-
    
Nate HamiltonN. Hami...
Fantrax
6 d
#1#5-
    
Kyle KontosK. Kontos
Double K Football
7 d
#4#1-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
RotoExperts
7 d
#7#3-
    
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
7 d
#3#4-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
7 d
#4#3-
    
John PaulsenJ. Paulsen
4for4.com
1 w
#4#3-
    
Site RankingsS. Rank...
FFToday
1 w
#2#3-
    
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
1 w
#3#2-
    
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
1 w
#1#3-
    
Anthony AmicoA. Amico
RotoViz
1 w
#7#2-
    
George BankoG. Banko
Fantasy Football Helpers
1 w
#2#3-
    
Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
2 w
#3#4-
    
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
2 w
#2#4-
    
Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
2 w
#2#6-
    
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
2 w
#3#4-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
2 w
#1#4-
    
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
2 w
#4#3-
    
Bill EnrightB. Enright
FFChamps
2 w
#4#1-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
2 w
#3#1-
    
Derek BrownD. Brown
The Quant Edge
2 w
#1#3-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
2 w
#2#4-
    
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
2 w
#2#3-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
The Fantasy Footballers
2 w
#3#2-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
2 w
#2#4-
    
Kevin HansonK. Hanson
EDSFootball
2 w
#2#4-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
3 w
#4#3-
    
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
3 w
#3#1-
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
3 w
#2#3-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
3 w
#2#3-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
FantasyData
3 w
#1#3-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
3 w
#3#2-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
3 w
#2#3-
    
Mick CiallelaM. Cial...
Fantrax
3 w
#2#3-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
4 w
#5#4-
    
Jason MooreJ. Moore
The Fantasy Footballers
4 w
#4#2-
    
Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
4 w
#4#2-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
The Quant Edge
4 w
#2#4-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
4 w
#4#3-
    
Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
4 w
#3#4-
    
Justin PickleJ. Pickle
The Hateful 8
4 w
#3#2-
    
Andrew FerrisA. Ferris
Fantasy Hot Read
05/22
#4#1-
    
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
05/16
#2#6-
    
Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
Gridiron Experts
05/16
#2#5-
    
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
18 h
#2#3-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
05/14
#2#6-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
05/11
#3#2-
    
Graham BarfieldG. Barf...
NFL.com
05/09
#5#2-
    
Adam RankA. Rank
NFL.com
05/09
#1#4-
    
Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
05/08
#2#4-
    
Chris MeyersC. Meyers
Athlon Sports
05/07
#3#4-
    
J.P. ScottJ. Scott
Athlon Sports
05/02
#2#5-
    
Anthony StaggsA. Staggs
FF Statistics
04/30
#2#3-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
04/28
#1#6-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
NFL Mock
03/21
#2#5-
    
Christian BritoC. Brito
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
03/06
#5#6-
    
Seth McKinleyS. McKi...
FF Fellas
03/02
#3#4-
    
Armando CrespoA. Crespo
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
02/25
#6#8-
    
Dale DeMottD. DeMott
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
02/19
#2#3-
    
Nick VertucciN. Vert...
Sundays Are For Football
01/31
#3#4-
    
Nick MarianoN. Mariano
RotoBaller
01/25
#3#4-
    
  Andrew Luck
QB - IND
Andrew Luck
Deshaun Watson
QB - HOU
Deshaun Watson
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 at LAC at NO
Week 2 at TEN vs. JAC
Week 3 vs. ATL at LAC
Week 4 vs. OAK vs. CAR
Week 5 at KC vs. ATL
Week 6BYE WEEK at KC
Week 7 vs. HOU at IND
Week 8 vs. DEN vs. OAK
Week 9 at PIT at JAC
Week 10 vs. MIABYE WEEK
Week 11 vs. JAC at BAL
Week 12 at HOU vs. IND
Week 13 vs. TEN vs. NE
Week 14 at TB vs. DEN
Week 15 at NO at TEN
Week 16 vs. CAR at TB
Week 17 at JAC vs. TEN
  Andrew Luck
QB - IND
Andrew Luck
Deshaun Watson
QB - HOU
Deshaun Watson
Passing
   
Pass Att605.5508.4
Pass Cmp398.1335.6
Pass Yards4,497.54,036.9
Pass TDs33.926.2
Ints14.511.7
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts50.495.1
Rush Yards213.5551.7
Rush TDs1.44.3
   
Misc
   
Fumbles2.62.7
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points311.0318.8
   
  Andrew Luck
QB - IND
Andrew Luck
Deshaun Watson
QB - HOU
Deshaun Watson
2018 Points 
Week 119.511.0
Week 211.422.8
Week 313.925.0
Week 435.731.1
Week 522.621.0
Week 622.75.3
Week 722.710.9
Week 823.431.0
Week 920.3
Week 1021.2
Week 1123.99.0
Week 1222.629.4
Week 139.516.0
Week 1423.618.2
Week 159.722.4
Week 1621.636.5
Week 1723.122.0
  Andrew Luck
QB - IND
Andrew Luck
Deshaun Watson
QB - HOU
Deshaun Watson
Expert 
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
I've always been a fan of taking Luck in fantasy. The problem this season is the ADP. The QB position is deeper than it ever has been, so you don't need to spend a high pick on one. I do think he's going to have a monster season. Nick Sirianni and Frank Reich did an amazing job with the team last season, and I expect them to continue the success in 2019. Luck has an elite core skill position players in Hilton, Campbell, Ebron, Doyle, Mack and Hines. They have field stretchers, reliable targets and red zone threats. Luck could absolutely be the top scoring fantasy QB this year. I just can't justify spending such a high pick at a position that remains elite so deep into drafts.In his first two seasons as a pro, Watson has been 1st and 4th in fantasy points per game. Mobile QB's are a cheat code for fantasy, especially when they also come with passing upside. Watson is a 5TD threat every time he steps onto the field, and when you add that to his rushing floor, you get an extremely safe pick. This is not an offense built to run the football. Miller and Foreman will get their work, and the Texans will likely finish around league average in carries...but they have the weapons to install a more pass centric offense than they've been in recent years. If Hopkins, Fuller and Coutee can all stay healthy...then Watson is set to finish in the top 5 yet again.
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Luck has now been a top-five fantasy quarterback in all four healthy seasons of his career. Last year, he accomplished it despite having a terrible receiving core, which has since seen significant upgrades., It isn't a stretch to put his ceiling at 5,000 yards and 45 touchdowns this year, which would obviously make him the top fantasy QB. With that said, the potential to re-injure to the shoulder also gives him a low floor.As great as Watson has been through the air over his first 22 games, he also has 820 rushing yards and 7 rushing TDs in that time. All of his underlying passing metrics went through the roof last year but his TD-rate unsurprisingly regressed. We can expect it to hang out there in the future, putting him in the 25 to 30 passing TD range. We can only help the unaddressed offensive line can keep him alive long enough to reach that mark.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
He was the definition of consistency in 2018, which is rare when you find a quarterback who's playing in a brand-new offense, and especially one who was coming off a one-year absence with a throwing shoulder injury. He posted top-12 type numbers in 75 percent of his starts, but lacked the ceiling you'd want when taking a quarterback in the top four rounds. He finished with top-five type numbers just 6.3 percent of the time, behind guys like Tom Brady, Kirk Cousins, Dak Prescott, and even Derek Carr. He may offer more upside in 2019, but you shouldn't overpay for it.Despite dealing with a chest injury that hampered his rushing ability in the middle of the season, then losing both Will Fuller and Keke Coutee for portions of the season, Watson finished as the QB4, ahead of Andrew Luck. Now bring back a healthy Fuller and Coutee alongside DeAndre Hopkins with a healthy Watson, and you might have yourself a contender for the QB1 in 2019.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Luck looked great coming back from shoulder surgery and he was fifth among fantasy quarterbacks with 327 fantasy points. He should be poised for another big year a season removed from that shoulder surgery.Watson was not as good as he was in his rookie season from a fantasy perspective, but he should be better in 2019 a year removed from ACL surgery.