Who Should I Draft?

Devonta Freeman or Patrick Mahomes

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Devonta Freeman
RB - ATL
Devonta Freeman
Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
 
 
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Recommendation
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Recommended by
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48%
Recommended by
57 of 119 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 33# 38-
Best Rank# 12# 7-
Worst Rank# 64# 65-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total9.1417.0-
Avg Game4.626.1-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank3232-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Devonta FreemanPatrick MahomesAdd Player
    
Bobby SylvesterB. Sylv...
FantasyPros
20 m
#33#39-
    
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
FantasyPros
23 m
#28#26-
    
Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
24 m
#35#32-
    
Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
FantasyPros
58 m
#36#32-
    
Husein ShabazzH. Shabazz
SleeperWire
1 h
#33#51-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
1 h
#43#35-
    
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
2 h
#41#34-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
3 h
#14#32-
    
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
4 h
#30#49-
    
Muntradamus M.
Beast Dome
6 h
#17#59-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
9 h
#36#32-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
11 h
#17#54-
    
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
11 h
#40#32-
    
Bill EnrightB. Enright
FFChamps
12 h
#39#32-
    
Andy VandaA. Vanda
Take Your League
14 h
#24#32-
    
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QB List
15 h
#43#36-
    
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
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16 h
#28#31-
    
Michael PetropoulosM. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
16 h
#43#22-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
17 h
#29#38-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
The Fantasy Footballers
17 h
#14#32-
    
Zach BrunnerZ. Brunner
FlurrySports
17 h
#30#39-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
WalterFootball
17 h
#20#40-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
18 h
#45#32-
    
Andrew GouldA. Gould
FantasyPros
18 h
#33#28-
    
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Estadio Fantasy
20 h
#35#36-
    
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20 h
#12#32-
    
Dan HarrisD. Harris
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21 h
#28#32-
    
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21 h
#22#32-
    
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Razzball
22 h
#45#46-
    
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Fantasy Knuckleheads
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#28#54-
    
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23 h
#64#20-
    
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CBS Sports
1 d
#28#32-
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
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1 d
#29#31-
    
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Fantasy Football Cafe
1 d
#28#32-
    
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1 d
#39#22-
    
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#31#22-
    
Mike RandleM. Randle
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1 d
#42#32-
    
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2 d
#26#35-
    
Kyle AugustK. August
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2 d
#28#32-
    
Jason PetropoulosJ. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
2 d
#36#46-
    
Matthew BoweM. Bowe
Razzball
2 d
#38#35-
    
Nick MarianoN. Mariano
RotoBaller
2 d
#23#31-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
2 d
#44#22-
    
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
2 d
#44#35-
    
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RotoExperts
2 d
#41#40-
    
Dave McKayD. McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
2 d
#42#33-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#22#32-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#36#54-
    
Ryan SkolrudR. Skolrud
SkullKing Football
2 d
#41#22-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
The Quant Edge
2 d
#35#32-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
2 d
#53#32-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
2 d
#48#39-
    
Justin GeorgeJ. George
Take Your League
2 d
#40#32-
    
Brad ZieglerB. Ziegler
The Athletic
2 d
#39#32-
    
Jason LongfellowJ. Long...
Razzball
2 d
#35#32-
    
Bill DubielB. Dubiel
RotoBaller
2 d
#40#32-
    
Anthony AmicoA. Amico
DraftKings
2 d
#35#65-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
2 d
#40#41-
    
Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
2 d
#32#50-
    
Matt CampM. Camp
Bleacher Report
2 d
#25#47-
    
Marc CavigliaM. Cavi...
Bruno Boys
3 d
#36#32-
    
Michael FlorioM. Florio
Fantrax
3 d
#39#32-
    
Seth McKinleyS. McKi...
FF Fellas
3 d
#18#32-
    
George BankoG. Banko
Fantasy Football Helpers
3 d
#41#57-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
3 d
#14#32-
    
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FantasyOMatic
3 d
#37#18-
    
Nick HumphreysN. Hump...
Fantasy Victors
3 d
#28#32-
    
Matt OkadaM. Okada
Redshirts Fantasy Football
3 d
#28#54-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
3 d
#18#54-
    
Elisha TwerskiE. Twerski
FantasyPros
3 d
#29#32-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
3 d
#44#35-
    
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
4 d
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Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
4 d
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Scott WhitfieldS. Whit...
Roto Rankings
4 d
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Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
4 d
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Sablich BrothersS. Brot...
5th Down Fantasy
4 d
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Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
4 d
#29#60-
    
Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
4 d
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Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
4 d
#28#32-
    
4 d
#28#7-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
DraftWize
4 d
#33#47-
    
Mike MonkM. Monk
IDP Monk
5 d
#41#35-
    
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FFToday
5 d
#31#37-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
5 d
#14#32-
    
Jason MooreJ. Moore
The Fantasy Footballers
5 d
#22#32-
    
Walton SpurlinW. Spurlin
FantasyPros
5 d
#39#32-
    
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
5 d
#27#42-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
5 d
#41#38-
    
Mark RossM. Ross
Athlon Sports
5 d
#37#34-
    
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FullTime Fantasy
5 d
#28#32-
    
Matt De LimaM. De Lima
FullTime Fantasy
5 d
#28#32-
    
J.P. ScottJ. Scott
Athlon Sports
5 d
#24#21-
    
David BiggsD. Biggs
Drink Five
6 d
#22#32-
    
Mundo Fantasy MXM. Fant...
Mundo Fantasy
7 d
#36#32-
    
Alan HarrisonA. Harr...
The Fantasy Fix
7 d
#36#32-
    
Nate HamiltonN. Hami...
Fantrax
7 d
#41#57-
    
Anthony StaggsA. Staggs
FF Statistics
7 d
#32#35-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
1 w
#33#35-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
1 w
#41#35-
    
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
1 w
#15#35-
    
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
1 w
#33#42-
    
Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
Breaking Football
1 w
#46#35-
    
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
SportsLine
1 w
#22#35-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
2 w
#29#15-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
2 w
#26#35-
    
Scott SmithS. Smith
RotoViz
2 w
#37#48-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
The Athletic
2 w
#36#22-
    
Ryan Hodge R. Hodge
ProjectRoto
2 w
#41#35-
    
Jeff PaurJ. Paur
RTSports
2 w
#25#35-
    
Thor AkerleyT. Akerley
Fantasy Team Advice
3 w
#54#35-
    
Jake ArthurJ. Arthur
Colts.com
4 w
#35#32-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
4 w
#25#35-
    
Christian BritoC. Brito
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
3 w
#29#31-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
FantasyData
07/15
#41#59-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
06/27
#32#22-
    
Derek BrownD. Brown
The Quant Edge
06/01
#43#47-
    
David FucilloD. Fucillo
SB Nation
05/08
#41#22-
    
Chris MeyersC. Meyers
Athlon Sports
05/07
#46#22-
    
Nick VertucciN. Vert...
Sundays Are For Football
01/31
#46#26-
    
  Devonta Freeman
RB - ATL
Devonta Freeman
Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 at MIN at JAC
Week 2 vs. PHI at OAK
Week 3 at IND vs. BAL
Week 4 vs. TEN at DET
Week 5 at HOU vs. IND
Week 6 at ARI vs. HOU
Week 7 vs. LAR at DEN
Week 8 vs. SEA vs. GB
Week 9BYE WEEK vs. MIN
Week 10 at NO at TEN
Week 11 at CAR at LAC
Week 12 vs. TBBYE WEEK
Week 13 vs. NO vs. OAK
Week 14 vs. CAR at NE
Week 15 at SF vs. DEN
Week 16 vs. JAC at CHI
Week 17 at TB vs. LAC
  Devonta Freeman
RB - ATL
Devonta Freeman
Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
2018 Points 
Week 15.028.3
Week 238.8
Week 325.3
Week 422.9
Week 54.115.8
Week 627.0
Week 732.8
Week 826.0
Week 926.8
Week 1020.1
Week 1135.9
Week 12
Week 1333.0
Week 1420.8
Week 1518.0
Week 1628.2
Week 1717.3
  Devonta Freeman
RB - ATL
Devonta Freeman
Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Expert 
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
Proven fantasy RB Top 10 upside, and with T. Coleman off to SF, the backup vulture threat is less a threat than ever - it all comes down to health (if he plays close to a full season, he'll be a bargain)Depending on the format, he was typically 4-5 FAN PTS better per week than the No. 2 overall fantasy QB - sure, regression is bound to happen, but don't expect too much - special talent, great system, ample weapons
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
 Lowering him to the start of Round 5. Still my top ranked fantasy QB, but I like Deshaun Watson almost as much.
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
 Overall QB1. Anyone who says otherwise is trying to be too cute.
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
The Falcons have been banged up the last two years including Freeman himself but don't be surprised if this offensive line surges forward this year with all the talent they have. If that happens, Freeman could explode back into the top 10 fantasy running backs as we saw in 2015, 2016 and 2017 with his fantasy points per game.In terms of raw fantasy points, Mahomes broke the historical quarterback record, but when you compare him to the QB13, or above replacement value, he was merely 20th of all-time. While that is still great, of course, it was driven by an astronomical and unsustainable touchdown rate. Regress that to the expected mean and there is no reason you should be considering him in the 2nd, let alone 1st round. If he drops to the late 3rd, however, that would be a strong value.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Freeman battled injuries in 2018 and he played only 2 games. He has RB1 value when healthy, but he is a huge durability risk in 2019 coming off a knee injury.Mahomes did score 417 fantasy points last year, but quarterbacks rarely duplicate historic seasons. I think Mahomes will have a great year, but I do not think he reaches 417 fantasy points again.
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
If you like lengthy injury histories, then let me introduce you to Devonta Freeman! Freeman has suffered a pulled hamstring, a hip strain, an MCL sprain, a PCL sprain, a knee bruise, 3 separate concussions, a foot bruise and then finally lost most of last year due to sports hernia surgery. Aside from his terrible rookie season, he's been extremely productive whole he's been on the field. Now let's talk about his offensive coordinator. Dirk Koetter has returned as the team's OC. He had that job from 2012-2014, then he was hired as the Bucs OC in 2015, and then served as their head coach from 1016-2018. In that time here is where his teams have ranked in rushing yards per game: 27/32/24/4/25/27/28. So in other words, Freeman is a RB with a high likelihood of injury, on an offense run by a man that has no idea how to run the football. What Freeman has going for him is 1) His talent...and 2) There's no one behind him on the depth chart. They have a few guys who can join together to fill potential void if he goes down, but they don't have a single RB that's going to challenge him for touches. Therefore, as long as he stays healthy, he's going to crush.My exact ranking on Mahomes is going to depend on whether or not Hill is suspended. If he is, then I don't see how you can draft Mahomes. If he isn't, then his ADP is likely to rise to a point where you can's draft him. So either way, it's a no for me. I understand that he just posted over 5,000 yards and 50 TD's. But I also know that he just had one of the best years ever in terms of passing TD percentage...and that he's likely to see at least a little regression in that category. But the main reason for not drafting him is the opportunity cost. He's the top ranked QB this season...no one is going to deny that. But this season has the single deepest QB pool in the history of the NFL. There are around 25 QB's that you can make the case for starting in a 12 team league. Will all of them pan out? Of course not. But there are going to be QB's going in the 12th round and later that finish within a point per game of the top tier. It's just not worth spending such a high pick at a position where there are so many elite options going at the end of drafts. And this is especially true if Hill were to miss any number of games.
Kevin Wheeler
DraftWize
"Devonta Freeman is in good health and hasn't had any setbacks at the start of the preseason. Based on how he has practiced, Freeman should be in line for a bounce-back campaign." 
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
 The #1 QB in True Throw Value last season, Mahomes (unsurprisingly) had the most valuable throw of any QB last season. Even with regression, he can still be a top-3 QB. However, he's being taken too early in drafts.
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
 I won't actually be investing an early round pick on a QB, but Mahomes remains the guy if you plan on doing so.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Do you remember Freeman's rookie year? Probably not, because it had him falling outside the top 35 running backs selected the following year. In that season, he totaled just 248 yards and one touchdown on 65 carries. That's significant because that's the only year he played under Dirk Koetter, who is now back in Atlanta as the coordinator. While Freeman will have a much bigger role, Koetter hasn't been able to boost a run-game during his time in Atlanta or Tampa Bay, so the ceiling has likely dropped for Freeman. And that's not to mention Ito Smith, whose role grew as the year went on in 2018Yes, Mahomes is coming off the best fantasy season of all-time for a quarterback. Yes, he's going to have some regression. He threw a touchdown on 8.6 percent of his passes in 2018, the seventh-highest mark of all-time. Here's the list of quarterbacks who are ahead of them, included with their touchdown rate in that season, as well as the following season: Peyton Manning (9.9 to 6.2), Ken Stabler (9.3 to 6.8), Deshaun Watson (9.3 to 5.1), Aaron Rodgers (9.0 to 7.1), Tom Brady (8.7 to 5.0), Mark Rypien (8.7 to 4.6). Don't pay for last year's stats
Kyle Yates
The Fantasy Footballers
We've seemingly forgotten about Devonta Freeman after his injury plagued 2018 season. Now, Freeman stands "alone" in that Atlanta backfield and is an incredible value in redraft leagues with his current ADP. Freeman's a solid bet for 240 carries and an increased volume in the passing game due to Tevin Coleman's absence. I'm drafting him wherever I can.Without Tyreek Hill, it's hard to imagine 5,000 yards and 50 Touchdowns again from Patrick Mahomes. With that being said, he's still projected to be my Top QB this season and he should be the first QB off the board in fantasy drafts.