Who Should I Draft?

Jameis Winston or Jimmy Garoppolo

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Experts' Pick
 
  Jimmy Garoppolo
QB - SF
Jimmy Garoppolo
Jameis Winston
QB - TB
Jameis Winston
 
 
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2 of 153 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 12# 26-
Best Rank# 6# 16-
Worst Rank# 20# 31-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total86.9201.8-
Avg Game14.515.5-
Avg Projection260.5208.1-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank2514-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert3 weeks-
    
Expert Ranks 
Jimmy GaroppoloJameis WinstonAdd Player
    
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09/05
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09/06
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08/18
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09/04
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09/04
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08/28
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08/27
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08/29
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09/03
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09/06
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09/06
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09/03
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09/05
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09/06
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09/07
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09/06
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09/02
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09/02
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09/06
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09/02
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09/04
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09/02
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09/02
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06/21
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09/01
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09/05
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  Jimmy Garoppolo
QB - SF
Jimmy Garoppolo
Jameis Winston
QB - TB
Jameis Winston
2018 Schedule 
Week 1 at MIN at NO
Week 2 vs. DET vs. PHI
Week 3 at KC vs. PIT
Week 4 at LAC at CHI
Week 5 vs. ARIBYE WEEK
Week 6 at GB at ATL
Week 7 vs. LAR vs. CLE
Week 8 at ARI at CIN
Week 9 vs. OAK at CAR
Week 10 vs. NYG vs. WAS
Week 11BYE WEEK at NYG
Week 12 at TB vs. SF
Week 13 at SEA vs. CAR
Week 14 vs. DEN vs. NO
Week 15 vs. SEA at BAL
Week 16 vs. CHI at DAL
Week 17 at LAR vs. ATL
  Jimmy Garoppolo
QB - SF
Jimmy Garoppolo
Jameis Winston
QB - TB
Jameis Winston
Passing
   
Pass Att568.7465.0
Pass Cmp362.1288.7
Pass Yards4,292.23,443.9
Pass TDs24.520.3
Ints12.212.0
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts39.833.8
Rush Yards116.1132.6
Rush TDs1.61.1
   
Misc
   
Fumbles2.93.6
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points260.5208.1
   
  Jimmy Garoppolo
QB - SF
Jimmy Garoppolo
Jameis Winston
QB - TB
Jameis Winston
2017 Points 
Week 1
Week 212.5
Week 315.5
Week 426.5
Week 518.5
Week 62.4
Week 723.4
Week 83.7
Week 93.5
Week 10
Week 11
Week 125.1
Week 1310.518.6
Week 1415.114.4
Week 1518.625.8
Week 1622.013.3
Week 1715.623.7
  Jimmy Garoppolo
QB - SF
Jimmy Garoppolo
Jameis Winston
QB - TB
Jameis Winston
Expert 
Jody Smith
FantasyPros
In his five starts, Jimmy G averaged over 21 fantasy points-per-game, which would have ranked 9th. He's in a great offense, but the supporting cast is a work in progress and the low TD and high INT numbers make him a tad overrated. Winston missed three games last season but finished as the QB13 in fantasy points-per-game. Now, there's no guarantee he'll even get his starting gig back, making him a dicey proposition.
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
Garoppolo was amazing in his last five games of the 2017 season, but his wide receiver core has not improved and he lost his best running back for the season. He should still be a solid fantasy player, but he is more of a QB2. 
Rich Piazza
Fantasy Shed
 The team will not commit to him as the "starter" when he comes back from his 3-game suspension. This is a bit of a concern, even though I don't see Ryan Fitzpatrick playing "lights out" during that time.
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
The Jimmy G hype train is running at a dangerously high speed. Had the 49ers gone 2-3 in his five starts, the midseason acquisition may instead be a valuable sleeper because of his seven TDs and five INTs. Everyone is instead gushing over his 308.4 passing yards per start with 8.8 YPA. Jameis Winston and Blake Bortles were the top fantasy QBs in Garoppolo's brief tenure as a starter, so beware the small sample size. Drafters have spent years reaching for Winston's upside, and he maintains a QB21 ADP despite opening 2018 with a three-game suspension. No thanks. He finished QB22 in 13 games last year and has yet to place inside the top 12, so there's little reason to stash an erratic, turnover-prone performer when Mitchell Trubisky is still on the board. In all honesty, I'd rather not have any shares of someone with his abhorrent off-field record anyway.
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
 Three game suspension stymies value but should be a top-15 option weekly once he is back under center
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
There's a lot of hype surrounding Garoppolo, who finished the season with a bang. His 8.8 yards per attempt ranks as third-best of any quarterback who's thrown the ball at least 100 times in the last five years. With that being said, he did finish with just 7 touchdowns and 5 interceptions in five starts, so it wasn't all coming together just yet. He lacks a true No. 1 receiver, which may hurt his overall touchdown numbers, and he doesn't offer any rushing upside, as he's rushed for just 17 yards in his seven NFL starts. There's definitely a chance that he gets into QB1 territory, but you shouldn't pay for that just yet. His current cost is inside the top-eight quarterbacks, which is just too much. Did you know that if you combined Winston's and Ryan Fitzpatrick's passing yardage last year, it would've led the NFL? Their combined 4,607 yards were more than Tom Brady's 4,577, though their touchdowns (26) were somewhat lacking. Touchdowns are the hardest thing to predict, but seeing Winston's yardage with the weapons around him, big things are going to happen for him. The three-game suspension that he received definitely threw some water on the fire, but you should be able to snag Winston with the final pick in your draft and you should have a top-12 quarterback on a points-per-game basis.
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Be careful with the hype on Jimmy G. He offers absolutely nothing on the ground and the whole case for drafting him is built off a five-game sample size against lousy opponents where he was QB10. Shanahan's presence should help, but the weapons aren't enough to warrant drafting him at his ADP.Winston is suspended for three weeks so he is undraftable outside of two-qb leagues. When he returns, however, we are looking at a top-10 quarterback. He was superb last season when healthy, passing for a 16-game rate of 4,900 passing yards so don't sleep on him.
Staff Rankings
QB List
Perhaps I'm a little bullish on Garoppolo, but I am absolutely in love with this guy's talent. In just six games Garoppolo impressed in a big way, showing off some elite-levels of accuracy while also taking good care of the ball and not making too many bad decisions that could result in turnovers. And it didn't matter what defenses threw at him-under pressure, Garoppolo led the league in completion percentage at 62.3% and yards per attempt at 8.3, and he crushed it when he was blitzed-again leading the league in yards per attempt at 9.7 and finishing second in the league in completion percentage at 68.1%. Oh, and did I mention he finished the year with a 39.1% DVOA? Better than any quarterback in the NFL (though, small sample size of course). While he may not have the most talented receiving corps in football, Pierre Garcon and Marquise Goodwin aren't exactly slouches, and in a Kyle Shanahan offense with the talent Garoppolo flashed last year, I'm excited to see what he's going to do.Famous Jameis had a rough season emphasized by injury and inconsistency. There were definitely good weeks, like his Week 15 performance, but then there were games like his Week 9 game. Still, Winston showed an adept ability at making big throws, especially on corner routes where he posted a 114.3 QB rating, and he did finish the year with a solid 14.3% DVOA. However he was a pretty volatile player, making some poor decisions on his throws, leading the league with eight fumbles, and struggling mightily with his accuracy, throwing the ball high far too often. He's a boom-or-bust type of player, and given he's suspended for the first three games of the year because he groped an Uber driver, it's hard to consider him a viable fantasy option this year.
Kevin Wheeler
NFL Mock
 In the 11 games last season where Jameis Winston played 90%+ of the snaps, he averaged 307 yards, 1.7 touchdowns and 1.0 interception for a 18.9 fantasy point per game average. Had he played at that pace for a full 16-game season, he would have finished as the No. 2 quarterback. @4for4_John
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
I love Jimmy G's talent but is he destined to be fantasy gold? The sample size is way too small and supporting cast way too pedestrian to have me bite down too hardI believed in Winston last year and he failed me. I won't make that mistake in 2018 so he has to prove a lot but he could easily be a great sleeper