Who Should I Draft?

Jameis Winston or Marcus Mariota

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Experts' Pick
 
  Marcus Mariota
QB - TEN
Marcus Mariota
Jameis Winston
QB - TB
Jameis Winston
 
 
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Recommended by
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 17# 26-
Best Rank# 4# 16-
Worst Rank# 25# 31-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total210.4201.8-
Avg Game14.015.5-
Avg Projection249.4208.1-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank2214-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert3 weeks-
    
Expert Ranks 
Marcus MariotaJameis WinstonAdd Player
    
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CBS Sports
09/07
#17#20-
    
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09/07
#18#27-
    
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09/07
#10#31-
    
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#17#28-
    
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09/07
#17#28-
    
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09/07
#17#28-
    
Jake CielyJ. Ciely
The Athletic
09/07
#18#27-
    
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Fantasy Alarm
09/07
#16-
    
Muntradamus M.
Beast Dome
09/07
#21#23-
    
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09/07
#17#26-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
09/07
#17-
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
09/07
#6#28-
    
Allie FontanaA. Fontana
The Fantasy Fix
09/07
#18#27-
    
Kaz KalitaK. Kalita
Big Guy Fantasy Sports
09/07
#16#29-
    
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TwoQBs
09/07
#13#26-
    
Mike HarmonM. Harmon
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09/06
#20#16-
    
Christian BritoC. Brito
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
09/06
#25#29-
    
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09/06
#14#25-
    
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09/06
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09/06
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09/06
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09/06
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09/06
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09/06
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09/07
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09/06
#18#28-
    
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09/07
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09/06
#19#23-
    
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09/06
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08/27
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09/06
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09/06
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09/06
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09/06
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09/07
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09/06
#17#23-
    
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09/06
#18-
    
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09/06
#19#27-
    
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09/06
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08/28
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09/06
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09/06
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09/06
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09/07
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09/06
#16#27-
    
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09/06
#11#26-
    
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09/06
#16#25-
    
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09/06
#13#23-
    
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09/06
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09/06
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The Action Network
09/06
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The Action Network
09/06
#19#27-
    
Adam RankA. Rank
NFL.com
08/30
#18#25-
    
Jason LongfellowJ. Long...
Razzball
09/06
#17#27-
    
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The Quant Edge
09/06
#15#29-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
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09/06
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09/06
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09/06
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09/06
#22#18-
    
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09/06
#15#24-
    
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09/06
#18#27-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
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09/06
#12#30-
    
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09/06
#20#26-
    
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09/06
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The Football Girl
09/06
#16#28-
    
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Pro Football Focus
09/06
#17#26-
    
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09/06
#18#28-
    
Jon CollinsJ. Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
09/06
#18#27-
    
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RotoExperts
09/06
#13#24-
    
Thor AkerleyT. Akerley
Fantasy Team Advice
09/06
#17#16-
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
09/06
#19#21-
    
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
09/06
#17#20-
    
Adam RonisA. Ronis
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09/04
#17#23-
    
Dariyan MayburyD. Maybury
Fantasy Football Advice
09/05
#17#26-
    
Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
FantasyPros
09/06
#19#23-
    
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
09/05
#23#20-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
09/07
#16#27-
    
Brendan DonahueB. Donahue
EDSFootball
09/06
#19#28-
    
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
09/05
#20#28-
    
Jack DelaneyJ. Delaney
Just Fantasy Football
09/05
#22#28-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
Fantasy Insiders
09/05
#19#28-
    
Dale DeMottD. DeMott
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
09/06
#12#23-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
09/05
#17#27-
    
Kyle AugustK. August
FF Fellas
08/29
#17#20-
    
Jeff PaurJ. Paur
RTSports
09/06
#22#17-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
09/05
#18#29-
    
Brent NamejkoB. Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
09/05
#17#27-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoExperts
09/05
#18#26-
    
Wayne BretskyW. Bretsky
BretskyBall
08/18
#16#26-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
Fantasy Knuckleheads
09/04
#21#27-
    
Evan SilvaE. Silva
Rotoworld
09/04
#17-
    
Emil KadlecE. Kadlec
Football Diehards
09/04
#17#27-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
08/28
#16#20-
    
Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
Breaking Football
08/27
#21#29-
    
David GonosD. Gonos
The Athletic
08/29
#21#27-
    
Michael FlorioM. Florio
Fantrax
08/11
#16#23-
    
Chris MeyersC. Meyers
Athlon Sports
09/03
#13#22-
    
Matthew BoweM. Bowe
Razzball
09/03
#19#25-
    
Michael BellerM. Beller
Sports Illustrated
09/04
#20#25-
    
Kyle RichardsonK. Rich...
RotoBaller
08/16
#20#31-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
09/06
#18#29-
    
Bill DubielB. Dubiel
RotoBaller
09/06
#17#27-
    
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FFToday
09/03
#17#27-
    
Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoExperts
09/05
#22#26-
    
Andrew GouldA. Gould
FantasyPros
09/06
#16#27-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
Fantrax
09/07
#19#26-
    
Joseph DolanJ. Dolan
Fantasy Guru
09/06
#13#28-
    
Zach BrunnerZ. Brunner
FlurrySports
09/02
#17#23-
    
Anthony AmicoA. Amico
RotoViz
09/02
#11#28-
    
Matt CampM. Camp
Bleacher Report
09/02
#16#27-
    
Kevin HansonK. Hanson
EDSFootball
09/06
#17#27-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
09/02
#21#26-
    
Kyle KontosK. Kontos
Double K Football
09/04
#20#28-
    
Nando Di FinoN. Di Fino
The Athletic
09/02
#13#18-
    
Corey ParsonC. Parson
RotoExperts
09/02
#18#28-
    
Seth McKinleyS. McKi...
FF Fellas
09/06
#12#23-
    
George KurtzG. Kurtz
RotoExperts
06/21
#18#22-
    
Matt De LimaM. De Lima
ScoutFantasySports
09/01
#17#27-
    
Jeremy MawJ. Maw
Going For 2
09/01
#18#26-
    
Mike AlexanderM. Alex...
Friends With Fantasy Benefits
09/05
#9#23-
    
John HalpinJ. Halpin
RotoWire.com
09/05
#17#22-
    
Sablich BrothersS. Brot...
5th Down Fantasy
09/04
#19#26-
    
Jake ArthurJ. Arthur
Colts.com
08/29
#18#25-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
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09/03
#12#26-
    
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09/04
#18#27-
    
Tim McCulloughT. McCu...
FantasyPros
08/27
#17#26-
    
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Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
08/27
#18#13-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
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08/26
#12#21-
    
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WalterFootball
09/01
#16#25-
    
Nick VertucciN. Vert...
Sundays Are For Football
08/25
#17#14-
    
Dave McKayD. McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
08/22
#19#20-
    
Scott WhitfieldS. Whit...
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08/20
#17#22-
    
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QB List
08/24
#16#26-
    
James RapienJ. Rapien
Get Sports Info
07/28
#23#26-
    
Scott SmithS. Smith
RotoViz
08/22
#18#21-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
07/09
#9#11-
    
Kelly SmelserK. Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
05/23
#20#16-
    
  Marcus Mariota
QB - TEN
Marcus Mariota
Jameis Winston
QB - TB
Jameis Winston
2018 Schedule 
Week 1 at MIA at NO
Week 2 vs. HOU vs. PHI
Week 3 at JAC vs. PIT
Week 4 vs. PHI at CHI
Week 5 at BUFBYE WEEK
Week 6 vs. BAL at ATL
Week 7 at LAC vs. CLE
Week 8BYE WEEK at CIN
Week 9 at DAL at CAR
Week 10 vs. NE vs. WAS
Week 11 at IND at NYG
Week 12 at HOU vs. SF
Week 13 vs. NYJ vs. CAR
Week 14 vs. JAC vs. NO
Week 15 at NYG at BAL
Week 16 vs. WAS at DAL
Week 17 vs. IND vs. ATL
  Marcus Mariota
QB - TEN
Marcus Mariota
Jameis Winston
QB - TB
Jameis Winston
Passing
   
Pass Att503.4465.0
Pass Cmp310.1288.7
Pass Yards3,561.33,443.9
Pass TDs21.920.3
Ints14.012.0
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts65.433.8
Rush Yards349.7132.6
Rush TDs3.11.1
   
Misc
   
Fumbles3.13.6
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points249.4208.1
   
  Marcus Mariota
QB - TEN
Marcus Mariota
Jameis Winston
QB - TB
Jameis Winston
2017 Points 
Week 118.8
Week 213.012.5
Week 319.715.5
Week 415.726.5
Week 518.5
Week 614.22.4
Week 78.923.4
Week 83.7
Week 915.33.5
Week 1017.7
Week 1114.7
Week 127.8
Week 1318.318.6
Week 143.514.4
Week 1518.025.8
Week 1611.413.3
Week 1713.423.7
  Marcus Mariota
QB - TEN
Marcus Mariota
Jameis Winston
QB - TB
Jameis Winston
Expert 
Jody Smith
FantasyPros
Mariota seriously regressed as a passer in 2017 but has the chance to reclaim QB1 status with the right kind of offensive-minded coach and offense. Winston missed three games last season but finished as the QB13 in fantasy points-per-game. Now, there's no guarantee he'll even get his starting gig back, making him a dicey proposition.
Rich Piazza
Fantasy Shed
 The team will not commit to him as the "starter" when he comes back from his 3-game suspension. This is a bit of a concern, even though I don't see Ryan Fitzpatrick playing "lights out" during that time.
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
Perhaps we were a year early on a Mariota breakout. He mustered a miserable 13 passing TDs, 15 picks, and 6.2 YPA in a disappointing third season, but there's hope. Tennessee's offense should join the 21st century with former Rams offensive coordinator Matt LaFleur assuming the same position. He receives a superior pass-catching back in Dion Lewis and hopefully a full season to click with 23-year-old wideout Corey Davis. He's an intriguing dice roll near the end of a draft.Drafters have spent years reaching for Winston's upside, and he maintains a QB21 ADP despite opening 2018 with a three-game suspension. No thanks. He finished QB22 in 13 games last year and has yet to place inside the top 12, so there's little reason to stash an erratic, turnover-prone performer when Mitchell Trubisky is still on the board. In all honesty, I'd rather not have any shares of someone with his abhorrent off-field record anyway.
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
 Three game suspension stymies value but should be a top-15 option weekly once he is back under center
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Mariota showed significant upside two seasons ago when he was the QB1 for an eight-week stretch. Last year was a trainwreck, however, as he finished QB18. His ceiling is much higher than that, but the floor is a disaster, making him only a streamer for the time being in standard leagues.Winston is suspended for three weeks so he is undraftable outside of two-qb leagues. When he returns, however, we are looking at a top-10 quarterback. He was superb last season when healthy, passing for a 16-game rate of 4,900 passing yards so don't sleep on him.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
After what was a stellar start to his NFL career where he threw 45 touchdowns to just 19 interceptions, Mariota took a giant step back in 2017, despite being given better options to throw to. The good news is that he didn't stop running the ball, as he ran for five touchdowns, easily a career-high. He also just inherited Matt LaFleur as his offensive coordinator, someone who has been tutored by Sean McVay. With the weaponry that he has, there's no reason to think that Mariota can't finish as a top-12 quarterback, but his performance in 2017 left a bad taste in your mouth. When drafting him around the QB18 range, you're taking very little risk, but major upside if he returns to his pre-2017 form.Did you know that if you combined Winston's and Ryan Fitzpatrick's passing yardage last year, it would've led the NFL? Their combined 4,607 yards were more than Tom Brady's 4,577, though their touchdowns (26) were somewhat lacking. Touchdowns are the hardest thing to predict, but seeing Winston's yardage with the weapons around him, big things are going to happen for him. The three-game suspension that he received definitely threw some water on the fire, but you should be able to snag Winston with the final pick in your draft and you should have a top-12 quarterback on a points-per-game basis.
Staff Rankings
QB List
Considering he was dealing with a hamstring injury for much of last year, Mariota did fairly well-and had he not been hurt he might have done even better. Still, he was inconsistent, especially late in the year, and that's concerning, as is his -3.3% DVOA he finished the year with. He flashed his talent at times, making really difficult throws, but he also showed some lack of judgment, misreading coverage more frequently than he should. He also struggled throwing the ball deep, posting just a 56.7 QB rating on go routes, which comprised 13% of his total throws last year. He doesn't have the most amazing weapons to throw to, though neither Rishard Matthews nor Corey Davis aren't exactly slouches, and he's got one of the better offensive lines out there, so if he's healthy and running, he could put up some good fantasy numbers.Famous Jameis had a rough season emphasized by injury and inconsistency. There were definitely good weeks, like his Week 15 performance, but then there were games like his Week 9 game. Still, Winston showed an adept ability at making big throws, especially on corner routes where he posted a 114.3 QB rating, and he did finish the year with a solid 14.3% DVOA. However he was a pretty volatile player, making some poor decisions on his throws, leading the league with eight fumbles, and struggling mightily with his accuracy, throwing the ball high far too often. He's a boom-or-bust type of player, and given he's suspended for the first three games of the year because he groped an Uber driver, it's hard to consider him a viable fantasy option this year.
Kevin Wheeler
NFL Mock
Marcus Mariota's QB rating was 53 points higher last season off play action but just 22% of his attempts came off play action (ranked 19th). Under Matt LaFleur last season, 29% of Jared Goff's attempts came off play action (3rd highest). @TJHernandezIn the 11 games last season where Jameis Winston played 90%+ of the snaps, he averaged 307 yards, 1.7 touchdowns and 1.0 interception for a 18.9 fantasy point per game average. Had he played at that pace for a full 16-game season, he would have finished as the No. 2 quarterback. @4for4_John
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
The upside is there with Mariota's dual threat ability, but his receiving talent is still lacking and last year was depressing. He's a sleeper to watch but I'm not soldI believed in Winston last year and he failed me. I won't make that mistake in 2018 so he has to prove a lot but he could easily be a great sleeper
Seth McKinley
FF Fellas
We don't know what the coaching changes will do for him yet, but we hope it's positive. 
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
Mariota took a huge step back in 2017 and they decided to go with a defensive minded coach in Mike Vrabel. I think Mariota is going to be a better NFL quarterback than fantasy quarterback, but he should still have streaming appeal.