Who Should I Draft?

Jameis Winston or Philip Rivers

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Experts' Pick
 
  Philip Rivers
QB - LAC
Philip Rivers
Jameis Winston
QB - TB
Jameis Winston
 
 
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 11# 26-
Best Rank# 7# 16-
Worst Rank# 20# 31-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total270.5201.8-
Avg Game16.915.5-
Avg Projection259.9208.1-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank1914-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert3 weeks-
    
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Philip RiversJameis WinstonAdd Player
    
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08/18
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09/01
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  Philip Rivers
QB - LAC
Philip Rivers
Jameis Winston
QB - TB
Jameis Winston
2018 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. KC at NO
Week 2 at BUF vs. PHI
Week 3 at LAR vs. PIT
Week 4 vs. SF at CHI
Week 5 vs. OAKBYE WEEK
Week 6 at CLE at ATL
Week 7 vs. TEN vs. CLE
Week 8BYE WEEK at CIN
Week 9 at SEA at CAR
Week 10 at OAK vs. WAS
Week 11 vs. DEN at NYG
Week 12 vs. ARI vs. SF
Week 13 at PIT vs. CAR
Week 14 vs. CIN vs. NO
Week 15 at KC at BAL
Week 16 vs. BAL at DAL
Week 17 at DEN vs. ATL
  Philip Rivers
QB - LAC
Philip Rivers
Jameis Winston
QB - TB
Jameis Winston
Passing
   
Pass Att569.8465.0
Pass Cmp355.4288.7
Pass Yards4,335.93,443.9
Pass TDs28.720.3
Ints13.812.0
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts19.033.8
Rush Yards35.0132.6
Rush TDs0.31.1
   
Misc
   
Fumbles3.03.6
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points259.9208.1
   
  Philip Rivers
QB - LAC
Philip Rivers
Jameis Winston
QB - TB
Jameis Winston
2017 Points 
Week 117.7
Week 217.212.5
Week 33.515.5
Week 419.926.5
Week 520.818.5
Week 614.32.4
Week 715.323.4
Week 810.53.7
Week 93.5
Week 1015.3
Week 1118.0
Week 1228.9
Week 1317.618.6
Week 1420.814.4
Week 157.125.8
Week 1615.613.3
Week 1728.023.7
  Philip Rivers
QB - LAC
Philip Rivers
Jameis Winston
QB - TB
Jameis Winston
Expert 
Jody Smith
FantasyPros
Annually an overlooked value pick, Rivers continues to stay healthy and churn out 4500+ passing yards and close to 30 TD tosses every year. He's also readily available in the middle-to-late part of drafts. Winston missed three games last season but finished as the QB13 in fantasy points-per-game. Now, there's no guarantee he'll even get his starting gig back, making him a dicey proposition.
Rich Piazza
Fantasy Shed
 The team will not commit to him as the "starter" when he comes back from his 3-game suspension. This is a bit of a concern, even though I don't see Ryan Fitzpatrick playing "lights out" during that time.
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
Following a 2016 plagued by a career-worst 21 interceptions, Rivers bounced back to surrender his fewest picks (10) since 2009. Speaking from experience as someone who endured his 2016 in a league with -4 points per pick, beware the scoring format. He'll likely regress into the 13-15 range, and a steep penalty could mark the difference between a reliable starter and high-end streamer. In standard formats, spend a 10th-round pick on a veteran averaging 4,491 passing yards and 30 touchdowns per season since 2013.Drafters have spent years reaching for Winston's upside, and he maintains a QB21 ADP despite opening 2018 with a three-game suspension. No thanks. He finished QB22 in 13 games last year and has yet to place inside the top 12, so there's little reason to stash an erratic, turnover-prone performer when Mitchell Trubisky is still on the board. In all honesty, I'd rather not have any shares of someone with his abhorrent off-field record anyway.
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
 Three game suspension stymies value but should be a top-15 option weekly once he is back under center
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Facts are facts and Rivers has now finished as a top-12 quarterback in eight of the last 10 seasons. He's got one of the better offensive lines in football and his weapons have never been better than they are right now. There's not enough love for the boring low-end QB1, though his stock took a slight hit when Hunter Henry went down with a torn ACL. Here's to hoping Mike Williams can be a solid red-zone threat. Rivers is someone you'll be okay with if you wait until double-digit rounds to draft a quarterback. Did you know that if you combined Winston's and Ryan Fitzpatrick's passing yardage last year, it would've led the NFL? Their combined 4,607 yards were more than Tom Brady's 4,577, though their touchdowns (26) were somewhat lacking. Touchdowns are the hardest thing to predict, but seeing Winston's yardage with the weapons around him, big things are going to happen for him. The three-game suspension that he received definitely threw some water on the fire, but you should be able to snag Winston with the final pick in your draft and you should have a top-12 quarterback on a points-per-game basis.
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Over the past five years, Rivers has finished no worse than QB #14. In fact, it has only happened once in the past decade. With that said, Hunter Henry is out for the year and Rivers is now 37 years old, so while the floor may still be intact, his ceiling is likely limited.Winston is suspended for three weeks so he is undraftable outside of two-qb leagues. When he returns, however, we are looking at a top-10 quarterback. He was superb last season when healthy, passing for a 16-game rate of 4,900 passing yards so don't sleep on him.
Staff Rankings
QB List
Rivers was a bit up and down to start the season last year, but picked up in a big way during the final seven weeks of the season. While he flashed some impressive throws, he also made a number of very questionable ones. It'll be good to haveĀ Forrest Lamp back on the offensive line, as that line was rough last year, but I don't expect Rivers to be much different than he was last year, he should be good but not incredible. His accuracy was solid (though he did have a habit of throwing behind receivers a bit more than he should), and he finished the year with a 26.1% DVOA. He did struggle a bit with the deep ball, posting just a 57.3 QB rating on go routes, which comprised 10% of his deep throws, but in short-yardage throws, he was money, posting an excellent 111.6 QB rating on drag routes and a 106.2 QB rating on out routes.Famous Jameis had a rough season emphasized by injury and inconsistency. There were definitely good weeks, like his Week 15 performance, but then there were games like his Week 9 game. Still, Winston showed an adept ability at making big throws, especially on corner routes where he posted a 114.3 QB rating, and he did finish the year with a solid 14.3% DVOA. However he was a pretty volatile player, making some poor decisions on his throws, leading the league with eight fumbles, and struggling mightily with his accuracy, throwing the ball high far too often. He's a boom-or-bust type of player, and given he's suspended for the first three games of the year because he groped an Uber driver, it's hard to consider him a viable fantasy option this year.
Kevin Wheeler
NFL Mock
Weeks 12-17 Rivers was the QB1 in fantasy points scoredIn the 11 games last season where Jameis Winston played 90%+ of the snaps, he averaged 307 yards, 1.7 touchdowns and 1.0 interception for a 18.9 fantasy point per game average. Had he played at that pace for a full 16-game season, he would have finished as the No. 2 quarterback. @4for4_John
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
Rivers averaged a healthy 21.1 fantasy points per game in 2017 and the Chargers offense should still be strong in 2018. He is a low-end QB1 option that is among the most durable quarterbacks in NFL history.  
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Rivers is ageless and he has a solid cast around him. Losing Hunter Henry hurts, but Keenan Allen, Melvin Gordon and Mike Williams keep his floor and upside at solid levelsI believed in Winston last year and he failed me. I won't make that mistake in 2018 so he has to prove a lot but he could easily be a great sleeper