Who Should I Draft?
Joe Mixon or Todd Gurley
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Experts' Pick | |||
| Joe Mixon RB - CIN  | Todd Gurley RB - LAR  |  | |
Expert |
51% Recommended by 79 of 156 experts |
49% Recommended by 77 of 156 experts |
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| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 10 | # 11 | - |
| Best Rank | # 4 | # 2 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 18 | # 28 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 200.4 | 313.1 | - |
| Avg Game | 14.3 | 22.4 | - |
| Avg Projection | 204.4 | 215.1 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 20 | 21 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Joe Mixon | Todd Gurley | Add Player |
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| Joe Mixon RB - CIN | Todd Gurley RB - LAR | |
| 2019 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | at SEA | at CAR |
| Week 2 | vs. SF | vs. NO |
| Week 3 | at BUF | at CLE |
| Week 4 | at PIT | vs. TB |
| Week 5 | vs. ARI | at SEA |
| Week 6 | at BAL | vs. SF |
| Week 7 | vs. JAC | at ATL |
| Week 8 | at LAR | vs. CIN |
| Week 9 | BYE WEEK | BYE WEEK |
| Week 10 | vs. BAL | at PIT |
| Week 11 | at OAK | vs. CHI |
| Week 12 | vs. PIT | vs. BAL |
| Week 13 | vs. NYJ | at ARI |
| Week 14 | at CLE | vs. SEA |
| Week 15 | vs. NE | at DAL |
| Week 16 | at MIA | at SF |
| Week 17 | vs. CLE | vs. ARI |
| Joe Mixon RB - CIN | Todd Gurley RB - LAR | |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 245.7 | 218.4 |
| Rush Yards | 1,144.0 | 1,009.4 |
| Rush TDs | 8.4 | 9.9 |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 47.1 | 46.3 |
| Rec Yards | 354.8 | 423.9 |
| Rec TDs | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 204.4 | 215.1 |
| Joe Mixon RB - CIN | Todd Gurley RB - LAR | |
| 2018 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 20.9 | 20.7 |
| Week 2 | 8.7 | 29.3 |
| Week 3 | ‐ | 19.6 |
| Week 4 | ‐ | 21.6 |
| Week 5 | 17.5 | 29.3 |
| Week 6 | 14.4 | 34.5 |
| Week 7 | 5.1 | 26.6 |
| Week 8 | 25.8 | 27.5 |
| Week 9 | ‐ | 13.9 |
| Week 10 | 8.5 | 22.0 |
| Week 11 | 11.2 | 9.4 |
| Week 12 | 15.5 | ‐ |
| Week 13 | 9.5 | 28.5 |
| Week 14 | 19.8 | 5.8 |
| Week 15 | 25.0 | 24.4 |
| Week 16 | 7.8 | ‐ |
| Week 17 | 10.7 | ‐ |
| Joe Mixon RB - CIN | Todd Gurley RB - LAR | |
| 2018 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 7 | 5 |
| Week 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Week 3 | ‐ | 6 |
| Week 4 | ‐ | 6 |
| Week 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Week 6 | 7 | 5 |
| Week 7 | 5 | 5 |
| Week 8 | 4 | 7 |
| Week 9 | ‐ | 7 |
| Week 10 | 2 | 4 |
| Week 11 | 3 | 3 |
| Week 12 | 7 | ‐ |
| Week 13 | 2 | 5 |
| Week 14 | 6 | 7 |
| Week 15 | 4 | 13 |
| Week 16 | 2 | ‐ |
| Week 17 | 1 | ‐ |
| Joe Mixon RB - CIN | Todd Gurley RB - LAR | |
| Expert | ||
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Mixon had 1,464 yards from scrimmage and 9 touchdowns in 2018. He should thrive in Zac Taylor's scheme that is very running back friendly. . | I never want to hear that my RB1 is managing his arthritic component in his knee and his usage in the postseason last year screamed that knee had some issues. He is still a RB1 in a great scheme, but I think the days of him being the best fantasy running back in the NFL are over, as the Rams will need to manage his touches for him to stay healthy. |
| Mike Tagliere FantasyPros | You have to love watching Marvin Lewis walk out the door if you're Mixon, as he was severely underused as a receiver in Lewis' offense. In comes Zac Taylor, who said he's going to start the Bengals' playbook with the Rams offense, which is where he came from as a quarterbacks coach for Sean McVay. Them drafting two running backs is somewhat concerning, but that could be to protect them in case of a Mixon injury, which has happened a few times in his short career | There are real questions surrounding Gurley as we enter the 2019 season. Not only did C.J. Anderson play over him during the playoffs, but the Rams also traded up to the start of the third-round to select Darrell Henderson, an explosive running back out of Memphis. The Rams also matched an offer sheet the Lions submitted to backup running back Malcolm Brown, meaning the Rams are more worried about Gurley than they're letting on. We all know Gurley comes with plenty of upside, but we also know you can't win your fantasy league in the first-round, but you can definitely help lose it. |
| Kevin Roberts Breaking Football | Mixon is an elite talent and maybe with Green nicked up the Bengals run more. I don't know why more people aren't salivating over this kid behind in a system similar to the one that made Todd Gurley a god. | Gurley slides in my rankings due to health, last year's slide and the arrival of talent at his position. H e just may end up being a massive steal in round two (or 3!), but the risk this early is quite clear. |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | Mixon's talent is undeniable, as he showed last year with his breakout season during which he averaged 20 touches and over 100 yards per game. Although he should (and will) be drafted as an RB1, his upside his capped some by two main issues. The first is the Bengals' offensive line, which is already dealing with significant holes. The second is the presence of Gio Bernard and Mixon's lack of significant involvement in the passing game. But his floor remains high, and fantasy owners should have no hesitations about drafting him as the top back on their team. | Gurley was having one of the more dominant running back seasons in recent memory before injuring his knee late in the year. His playoff performance only added to fantasy owners' concerns, and the Rams' drafting of Darrell Henderson cemented those worries. His knee issues are reportedly the result of some sort of arthritis, which is obviously concerning. But even with a decreased workload, Gurley's spot as the lead back in an explosive offense makes him a borderline RB1, albeit not one without risk. |
| Brandon Funston The Athletic | Became a true game-breaker in '18, with a hefty 10.5% of his 237 carries going for 14+ yards - has room to make greater strides in the passing game after catching 43 passes | No. 1 RB in '18 falls down the '19 draft list because of an arthritic knee that is expected to bring about a reduced-workload maintenance plan by the Rams - definition of a high risk/reward pick |
| Jason Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | An inefficient runner on a team with a bad offensive line. The Bengals best O-Lineman last season, Clint Boling, retired and then the Bengals recognized their needs and drafted Jonah Williams. Unfortunately, Williams tore his labrum. The Bengals also drafted Trayveon Williams and Rodney Anderson and still have Gio Bernard. His volume will make him a back-end RB1/high-end RB2, but he is just being drafted too high. | |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | Mixon is a late round second pick going late first. He has a bad offensive line again, he had three games over 100 rushing yards despite having the 8th most carries of all RBs. He had three games with 5 or more receptions, and 8 weeks of 27 or less receiving yards. He is being overdrafted. | |
| Bobby Sylvester FantasyPros | Were it not for the Bengals' best offensive lineman retiring and their first round rookie going on injured reserve, Mixon would be in consideration for a first round pick but with those big blows, his stock drops him down to a fringe RB1/RB2. He is extremely talented without question and may even be able to handle a huge workload but it won't matter if the offense can't support a running back. | Gurley most certainly slowed down at the end of the year and comes with risk because of the unknown surrounding his knee. With that said, he was so exceptional each of the last two years that even with a 25% drop in production, he would still be an easy top 10 back. He still has more upside than any back including this year's big four so don't hesitate to snag him in the back end of the first round if you are feeling lucky. |
| Kyle Yates The Fantasy Footballers | Everything was looking up for Joe Mixon's fantasy stock in 2019 until the Bengals lost LT Jonah Williams for the season. Now, Mixon will be reliant upon rookie Head Coach Zac Taylor to scheme open running lanes and involvement in the passing game. Mixon's one of the true workhorse backs in the NFL and he should still contribute in a big way this season, even if his ceiling is slightly less with Williams going down for the year. | |
| Nick Zylak Fantasy Football Advice | Mixon enters his third season as a pro at the age of 23. He posted a 93rd percentile height adjusted speed score, a 77th percentile SPARQ-x score, a 90th percentile college YPC and an 81st percentile college target market share. Mixon is an elite athlete, and he finally looks poised to take over bell cow duties in this backfield. He should improve upon his 237/1168/9 stat line from last season, as there's no legitimate competition behind him, and he projects to be amongst the league leaders in opportunity share. The Bengals ran the third fewest plays per game last season, and their offense should improve from just 23 points per game last season. A full 16 weeks from Mixon will make him a first round pick in 2020. | Unfortunately, I will not have any shares of Todd Gurley this season. It's not that he can't have a good year, it's just that it's not worth the risk. With Darrell Henderson drafted to fill the Alvin Kamara role, his upside is capped. We know he's never again going to see the same sort of volume he has over the past few seasons, so even being in this prolific offense might not be able to save him. There is absolutely a chance that Gurley pays off his ADP and carries your team to the championship. However, it's unlikely, and just not worth the gamble. Unless he falls to the third round I can't justify drafting him. |
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