Who Should I Draft?

Julian Edelman or T.Y. Hilton

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Experts' Pick
 
  Julian Edelman
WR - NE
Julian Edelman
T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND
T.Y. Hilton
 
 
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Recommended by
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 17# 19-
Best Rank# 9# 9-
Worst Rank# 31# 46-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total133.4163.0-
Avg Game11.111.6-
Avg Projection156.2147.4-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank1813-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Julian EdelmanT.Y. HiltonAdd Player
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
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#17#26-
    
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Take Your League
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Get Sports Info
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RotoExperts
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The Fantasy Fix
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Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
Breaking Football
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The Fantasy Headliners
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BRoto Fantasy
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Establish the Run
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Alan HarrisonA. Harr...
The Fantasy Fix
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FF Statistics
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Swollen Dome
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CBS Sports
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Coach Esser
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Hail to Fantasy Football
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Michael HauffM. Hauff
Gridiron Experts
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Fantasy Football Helpers
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SleeperWire
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Mundo Fantasy MXM. Fant...
Mundo Fantasy
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The Action Network
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DailyOverlay
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CBS Sports
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RTSports
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Colts.com
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The Football Girl
2 w
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Ryan Hodge R. Hodge
ProjectRoto
3 w
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3 w
#27#12-
    
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Pressbox
3 w
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FFToday
3 w
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3 w
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EDSFootball
3 w
#19#20-
    
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Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
3 w
#25#16-
    
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The Fantasy Sports Brain
3 w
#18#23-
    
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3 w
#16#19-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
3 w
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3 w
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3 w
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3 w
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3 w
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3 w
#17#21-
    
Jason SablichJ. Sablich
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3 w
#21#20-
    
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3 w
#13#9-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
3 w
#22#24-
    
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
3 w
#18#14-
    
Kyle AugustK. August
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3 w
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Matt CampM. Camp
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3 w
#19#18-
    
Anthony AmicoA. Amico
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3 w
#27#34-
    
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3 w
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#21#18-
    
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Blake FincherB. Fincher
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4 w
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Michael BellerM. Beller
The Athletic
4 w
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Mike AlexanderM. Alex...
Friends With Fantasy Benefits
08/21
#17#9-
    
Scott WhitfieldS. Whit...
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4 w
#16#11-
    
J.P. ScottJ. Scott
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08/16
#21#11-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
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08/14
#31#11-
    
Derek BrownD. Brown
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06/01
#25#10-
    
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05/08
#23#9-
    
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Sundays Are For Football
01/31
#27#11-
    
  Julian Edelman
WR - NE
Julian Edelman
T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND
T.Y. Hilton
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. PIT at LAC
Week 2 at MIA at TEN
Week 3 vs. NYJ vs. ATL
Week 4 at BUF vs. OAK
Week 5 at WAS at KC
Week 6 vs. NYGBYE WEEK
Week 7 at NYJ vs. HOU
Week 8 vs. CLE vs. DEN
Week 9 at BAL at PIT
Week 10BYE WEEK vs. MIA
Week 11 at PHI vs. JAC
Week 12 vs. DAL at HOU
Week 13 at HOU vs. TEN
Week 14 vs. KC at TB
Week 15 at CIN at NO
Week 16 vs. BUF vs. CAR
Week 17 vs. MIA at JAC
  Julian Edelman
WR - NE
Julian Edelman
T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND
T.Y. Hilton
Receiving
   
Receptions93.672.9
Rec Yards1,120.21,129.7
Rec TDs6.35.8
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts7.60.0
Rush Yards55.90.1
Rush TDs0.30.0
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points156.2147.4
   
  Julian Edelman
WR - NE
Julian Edelman
T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND
T.Y. Hilton
2018 Points 
Week 110.6
Week 214.3
Week 35.0
Week 411.5
Week 55.7
Week 612.1
Week 79.614.5
Week 811.73.4
Week 911.4
Week 1010.67.7
Week 1127.5
Week 1214.412.5
Week 136.07.7
Week 1414.619.9
Week 159.08.5
Week 1613.013.8
Week 1715.36.1
  Julian Edelman
WR - NE
Julian Edelman
T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND
T.Y. Hilton
2018 Targets 
Week 111
Week 211
Week 310
Week 46
Week 59
Week 67
Week 784
Week 8105
Week 910
Week 10127
Week 119
Week 12510
Week 13813
Week 141212
Week 15118
Week 16108
Week 1766
  Julian Edelman
WR - NE
Julian Edelman
T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND
T.Y. Hilton
Expert 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
There are not nearly as many familiar faces for Tom Brady to look at nowadays, but Edelman remains his favorite target. With Rob Gronkowski ailing last year, Edelman stepped up and finished as a WR2 or better in 75 percent of his games, a new career-high. With Gronkowski and Chris Hogan gone, Edelman's role isn't going to shrink in 2019. He's a sturdy WR2 presenceIt went from Hilton as the only show in town, to what looks like a full house. He'll now compete with Devin Funchess, Parris Campbell, Eric Ebron, Jack Doyle, and Nyheim Hines for targets. Even bigger, he just lost his superstar quarterback, Andrew Luck. This is a significant downgrade to Hilton's projection, as we've seen him play with Jacoby Brissett before. He's nothing more than a WR3 in fantasy leagues.
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
In Half-PPR formats, he delivered 12+ FAN PTS in 10 of 12 games - He was WR14 in FAN PPG, a level he should be able to sustain in a now Gronk-less offenseHe was WR 25 in half-PPR in '17 with QB Brissett replacing an injured Luck for the season. I expect Brissett and Hilton to both be better versions of themselves this time around in a much better offensive environment than it was in '17
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
 Hilton can be great, but his best days have always been with Andrew Luck, who is now retired. That can't be good.
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Those expecting Edelman to outperform his ADP might be in for a surprise as he has never finished higher than WR19 in fantasy. Part of this has to do with his inability to stay on the field and at 33 years old, reversing that tendency may prove a difficult task. He comes with reliability while healthy but perhaps with a price tag too steep.Through his seven-year career, Hilton has finished inside the top 20 wideouts just 4 times and only once higher than #10. His upside is likely outside that top 10 being that he is 30 years old and sharing an offense with so many weapons. Add in a downgrade at QB and Hilton could end up as a WR3 by season's end.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Edelman had 74 receptions for 850 yards and 6 touchdowns in 12 games last year. He sees a ton of short passes and he should maintain WR3 value this year.Hilton had only 76 receptions, but those went for 1,270 yards and 6 touchdowns. QB Andrew Luck's retirement is going to limit his big plays and he will likely be only a WR3 in an offense unable to stretch the field.
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
Edelman was outstanding last year after returning from suspension, playing as a strong WR1 in PPR formats. He's getting up there in age but with Rob Gronkowski gone and incredible chemistry with Tom Brady, there shouldn't be many concerns. Josh Gordon's return takes a minor bit of shine off Edelman, but in any format where you are awarded anything for receptions, he will likely put up WR1 numbers.Hilton's outlook changes drastically with the news that Andrew Luck is retiring from the NFL. We've seen what happens to Hilton without Luck and it isn't pretty - he finished with just 966 yards, his only year below 1,000. It's a better offensive system now so Hilton should likely retain WR3 production with Jacoby Brissett, but drop him down your draft board quickly.
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
Despite the age, Julian Edelman is lined up for what could be a career year. He was on pace to eclipse 150 targets last season if he were to play in all 16 games, and that was with Josh Gordon for some time and Gronk for some time. The Pats did not make any real splashes to boost their position players this offseason, so it is going to be all Julian Edelman again for the wideouts.TY Hilton went 76/120 receptions/targets with 1270/6 in 14 games last season. This season he'll be Juju lite version, 90 receptions, which he's done before in 2016, 1500 yards, reached 1448 in 2016, and a career high 8 TDs. Why? The Colts are bringing back their entire offensive line for a second year which never happens in today's NFL and Andrew Luck is fully healthy. He is going to have time to throw, and that time is going to lead too even more TY Hilton bombs. He averages 16 Y/R in his career.
Sean Koerner
The Action Network
misses 3.2 games a season not including 2017 ACL year 
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
Since becoming a full-time starter in 2013, Edelman has averaged 2.5 more targets, 1.25 more receptions and 15 more yards per game without gronk in the lineup. His stats sans Gronk, regressed over a full season, comes out to 181 targets / 116.8 receptions / 1,289 yards / 4.8 TD's. That stat line would have finished 10th last season. Edelman has the 13th highest projection according to my model and his projection is extremely reasonable. The biggest risk with Edelman is with his health. He's really struggled to stay healthy over his career and he's got one of the highest projections for games missed due to injury this season. Fortunately, that's the only risk he carries. He's going to produce every game he plays, and he very rarely has down games. Since 2015 he has just three total games with less than 6 targets. In those games, his stat lines were, 4/84/1, 4/53/0, 4/120/1. Edelman is coming off the board as the WR 15 in the 4th round. The only way he doesn't finish as a value is if he gets hurt, and even then, he'll still get there on a per game level, So if he's hurt for 4 weeks, then just slide in one of the million under valued receivers going late in drafts. You won't be taking a 0 for the games he misses.As a result of a hamstring pull in week 4, Hilton missed week's 5-6, played on a limited snap count in week 7, then acted mostly as a decoy in week 8 before a week 9 bye. However, from week 10 on he posted a jaw dropping 917 receiving yards. If we take his average stat line from weeks 10-17, and extrapolate over a full season, it comes out to 100/1,834/4. Juju had the second most receiving yards over that stretch...with 163 less yards. Nick Sirianni and Frank Reich have done an amazing job with this offense, and the return of Doyle, plus the addition of Campbell should mean that no team can possibly double Hilton. He's going to have some mediocre weeks, but he's also going to win you a few on his own. I'm comfortable taking him at his current ADP.