Who Should I Draft?

Julian Edelman or Tyler Lockett

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Julian Edelman
WR - NE
Julian Edelman
Tyler Lockett
WR - SEA
Tyler Lockett
 
 
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Recommended by
43 of 120 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 17# 20-
Best Rank# 10# 9-
Worst Rank# 32# 43-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total133.4165.4-
Avg Game11.110.3-
Avg Projection155.9149.0-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank188-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Julian EdelmanTyler LockettAdd Player
    
Bobby SylvesterB. Sylv...
FantasyPros
30 m
#20#34-
    
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
FantasyPros
33 m
#12#19-
    
Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
34 m
#19#17-
    
Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
FantasyPros
1 h
#23#20-
    
Husein ShabazzH. Shabazz
SleeperWire
1 h
#19#17-
    
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Fantasy Football Empire
1 h
#17#16-
    
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The Football Girl
2 h
#16#17-
    
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Yahoo! Sports
3 h
#18#17-
    
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4 h
#21#17-
    
Muntradamus M.
Beast Dome
6 h
#13#43-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
9 h
#22#15-
    
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Fantasy Shed
11 h
#21#13-
    
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FF Prophet
11 h
#18#22-
    
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#22#18-
    
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Take Your League
14 h
#18#15-
    
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Nick ZylakN. Zylak
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#29#19-
    
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BRoto Fantasy
17 h
#16#20-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
17 h
#19#18-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
The Fantasy Footballers
17 h
#23#12-
    
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FlurrySports
17 h
#20#19-
    
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WalterFootball
18 h
#16#13-
    
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18 h
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18 h
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19 h
#14#25-
    
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#16#23-
    
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#17#20-
    
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#28#20-
    
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#19#12-
    
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#31#20-
    
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2 d
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WalterFootball
2 d
#30#14-
    
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#16#21-
    
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#17#18-
    
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2 d
#13#19-
    
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The Athletic
2 d
#14#22-
    
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RotoExperts
2 d
#32#34-
    
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The Fantasy Sports Brain
2 d
#19#10-
    
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Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#18#23-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#16#15-
    
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SkullKing Football
2 d
#23#18-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
The Quant Edge
2 d
#10#20-
    
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FantasyPros
2 d
#19#21-
    
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RotoBaller
2 d
#18#15-
    
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Take Your League
2 d
#18#20-
    
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The Athletic
2 d
#18#17-
    
Jason LongfellowJ. Long...
Razzball
2 d
#17#20-
    
Bill DubielB. Dubiel
RotoBaller
2 d
#22#24-
    
Anthony AmicoA. Amico
DraftKings
2 d
#25#18-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
2 d
#18#24-
    
Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
2 d
#16#17-
    
Matt CampM. Camp
Bleacher Report
2 d
#18#23-
    
Marc CavigliaM. Cavi...
Bruno Boys
3 d
#17#20-
    
Michael FlorioM. Florio
Fantrax
3 d
#18#16-
    
Seth McKinleyS. McKi...
FF Fellas
3 d
#18#30-
    
George BankoG. Banko
Fantasy Football Helpers
3 d
#16#20-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
3 d
#18#21-
    
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FantasyOMatic
3 d
#18#21-
    
Nick HumphreysN. Hump...
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3 d
#22#23-
    
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Redshirts Fantasy Football
3 d
#10#31-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
3 d
#17#16-
    
Frank StampflF. Stampfl
RotoExperts
3 d
#17#20-
    
Elisha TwerskiE. Twerski
FantasyPros
3 d
#18#15-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
3 d
#19#32-
    
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
4 d
#17#20-
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
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4 d
#17#18-
    
Scott WhitfieldS. Whit...
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4 d
#16#20-
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
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4 d
#20#15-
    
Sablich BrothersS. Brot...
5th Down Fantasy
4 d
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Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
4 d
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Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
4 d
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Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
4 d
#20#22-
    
4 d
#16#20-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
DraftWize
4 d
#25#18-
    
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FFToday
5 d
#16#15-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
5 d
#10#21-
    
Jason MooreJ. Moore
The Fantasy Footballers
5 d
#13#14-
    
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
5 d
#13#23-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
5 d
#16#11-
    
Mark RossM. Ross
Athlon Sports
5 d
#12#18-
    
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FullTime Fantasy
5 d
#16#19-
    
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FullTime Fantasy
5 d
#22#21-
    
J.P. ScottJ. Scott
Athlon Sports
5 d
#21#23-
    
David BiggsD. Biggs
Drink Five
6 d
#12#23-
    
Mundo Fantasy MXM. Fant...
Mundo Fantasy
7 d
#17#21-
    
Alan HarrisonA. Harr...
The Fantasy Fix
7 d
#15#19-
    
Nate HamiltonN. Hami...
Fantrax
7 d
#18#20-
    
Anthony StaggsA. Staggs
FF Statistics
7 d
#17#23-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
1 w
#17#19-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
1 w
#19#18-
    
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
1 w
#13#18-
    
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
1 w
#26#33-
    
Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
Breaking Football
1 w
#25#19-
    
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
SportsLine
1 w
#12#19-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
2 w
#19#21-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
2 w
#18#17-
    
Scott SmithS. Smith
RotoViz
2 w
#16#20-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
The Athletic
2 w
#13#21-
    
Ryan Hodge R. Hodge
ProjectRoto
2 w
#15#21-
    
Jeff PaurJ. Paur
RTSports
2 w
#19#20-
    
Kevin HansonK. Hanson
EDSFootball
3 w
#17#16-
    
Thor AkerleyT. Akerley
Fantasy Team Advice
3 w
#16#19-
    
Jake ArthurJ. Arthur
Colts.com
4 w
#17#20-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
4 w
#31#26-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
FantasyData
07/15
#16#18-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
06/27
#18#20-
    
Derek BrownD. Brown
The Quant Edge
06/01
#25#27-
    
David FucilloD. Fucillo
SB Nation
05/08
#23#27-
    
Chris MeyersC. Meyers
Athlon Sports
05/07
#22#26-
    
Nick VertucciN. Vert...
Sundays Are For Football
01/31
#27#29-
    
  Julian Edelman
WR - NE
Julian Edelman
Tyler Lockett
WR - SEA
Tyler Lockett
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. PIT vs. CIN
Week 2 at MIA at PIT
Week 3 vs. NYJ vs. NO
Week 4 at BUF at ARI
Week 5 at WAS vs. LAR
Week 6 vs. NYG at CLE
Week 7 at NYJ vs. BAL
Week 8 vs. CLE at ATL
Week 9 at BAL vs. TB
Week 10BYE WEEK at SF
Week 11 at PHIBYE WEEK
Week 12 vs. DAL at PHI
Week 13 at HOU vs. MIN
Week 14 vs. KC at LAR
Week 15 at CIN at CAR
Week 16 vs. BUF vs. ARI
Week 17 vs. MIA vs. SF
  Julian Edelman
WR - NE
Julian Edelman
Tyler Lockett
WR - SEA
Tyler Lockett
Receiving
   
Receptions91.964.7
Rec Yards1,100.11,021.4
Rec TDs6.37.0
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts8.38.7
Rush Yards76.554.3
Rush TDs0.20.1
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points155.9149.0
   
  Julian Edelman
WR - NE
Julian Edelman
Tyler Lockett
WR - SEA
Tyler Lockett
2018 Points 
Week 111.9
Week 212.0
Week 314.2
Week 45.3
Week 55.716.4
Week 612.18.0
Week 79.6
Week 811.710.7
Week 911.42.2
Week 1010.614.5
Week 117.2
Week 1214.416.5
Week 136.012.2
Week 1414.65.9
Week 159.05.6
Week 1613.09.9
Week 1715.312.9
  Julian Edelman
WR - NE
Julian Edelman
Tyler Lockett
WR - SEA
Tyler Lockett
2018 Targets 
Week 14
Week 27
Week 36
Week 46
Week 595
Week 674
Week 78
Week 8102
Week 9104
Week 10126
Week 115
Week 1255
Week 1382
Week 14126
Week 15112
Week 16105
Week 1762
  Julian Edelman
WR - NE
Julian Edelman
Tyler Lockett
WR - SEA
Tyler Lockett
Expert 
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
In Half-PPR formats, he delivered 12+ FAN PTS in 10 of 12 games - He was WR14 in FAN PPG, a level he should be able to sustain in a now Gronk-less offenseHe had a perfect passer rating on his targets, and he was No. 1 in FAN PTS per target - with Doug Baldwin gone, he should see a fair amount more targets this season as clear go-to guy
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
 Lockett had 965 yards and 10 TDs on ONLY 90 TARGETS last season. Lockett will now mostly to be a slot WR, taking the place of Baldwin (played there 60% last year when Baldwin was out). Lockett led the league with a 89.7 catch% in the slot last season and Doug Baldwin was being drafted in the 2nd/3rd round not too long ago in the same role. Wilson is one of the most efficient passers in the league - 2nd in True Throw Value last season - so give me his #1 WR even in a run-heavy O.
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
Despite the age, Julian Edelman is lined up for what could be a career year. He was on pace to eclipse 150 targets last season if he were to play in all 16 games, and that was with Josh Gordon for some time and Gronk for some time. The Pats did not make any real splashes to boost their position players this offseason, so it is going to be all Julian Edelman again for the wideouts. 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
There are not nearly as many familiar faces for Tom Brady to look at nowadays, but Edelman remains as his favorite target. With Rob Gronkowski ailing last year, Edelman stepped up and finished as a WR2 or better in 75 percent of his games, a new career-high. With Gronkowski and Chris Hogan gone, Edelman's role isn't going to shrink in 2019. He's a sturdy WR2 presenceThe loss of Doug Baldwin will surely open up some targets for Lockett, and the best part is that they'll come where he's most effective. Lockett has posted the third-best numbers in the league from the slot over the last two years, behind only Tyreek Hill and A.J. Green. In the games that Baldwin missed all/most of in 2018, Lockett played in the slot on 59.4 percent of his snaps. His efficiency will have a hard time remaining as high as it was in 2018, but his increased snaps in the slot can help make up for it
Sean Koerner
The Action Network
misses 3.2 games a season not including 2017 ACL year 
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Those expecting Edelman to outperform his ADP might be in for a surprise as he has never finished higher than WR19 in fantasy. Part of this has to do with his inability to stay on the field and at 33 years old, reversing that tendency may prove a difficult task. He comes with reliability while healthy but perhaps with a price tag too steep.Lockett had just 70 targets last year and before Baldwin came back, he was the secondary target behind Brandon Marshall. Lockett isn't primary weapon, nor will he likely become one. He is still a WR3, but is being vastly overdrafted with over optimistic expectations about his transition to an entirely different type of receiver.
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
Since becoming a full-time starter in 2013, Edelman has averaged 2.5 more targets, 1.25 more receptions and 15 more yards per game without gronk in the lineup. His stats sans Gronk, regressed over a full season, comes out to 181 targets / 116.8 receptions / 1,289 yards / 4.8 TD's. That stat line would have finished 10th last season. Edelman has the 13th highest projection according to my model and his projection is extremely reasonable. The biggest risk with Edelman is with his health. He's really struggled to stay healthy over his career and he's got one of the highest projections for games missed due to injury this season. Fortunately, that's the only risk he carries. He's going to produce every game he plays, and he very rarely has down games. Since 2015 he has just three total games with less than 6 targets. In those games, his stat lines were, 4/84/1, 4/53/0, 4/120/1. Edelman is coming off the board as the WR 15 in the 4th round. The only way he doesn't finish as a value is if he gets hurt, and even then, he'll still get there on a per game level, So if he's hurt for 4 weeks, then just slide in one of the million under valued receivers going late in drafts. You won't be taking a 0 for the games he misses.Lockett is going to be an interesting player to watch this preseason. I can't tell yet where his ADP ends up, but I have a feeling a lot will depend on how D.K. Metcalf does during the preseason. If Metcalf looks bad, and Lockett is clearly the top option, then I expect his ADP to fall somewhere in the 4th round. If that's the case, then I'll likely pass. He's not a bad pick in that range, but it takes away a lot of his upside. Remember, last season Wilson had a perfect passer rating when targeting him, so there's going to be regression on a per play basis. He currently holds the 25th highest projection according to my model, and I'm comfortable drafting Lockett in the mid to late 5th round. Unfortunately, he's usually not still on the board.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Edelman had 74 receptions for 850 yards and 6 touchdowns in 12 games last year. He sees a ton of short passes and he should maintain WR3 value this year.Lockett showed a lot of promise last year with 57 receptions for 965 yards and 10 touchdowns. He is the lead receiver in Seattle at this point and he should have WR2 upside.