Who Should I Draft?

Julio Jones or DeAndre Hopkins

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Experts' Pick
 
  DeAndre Hopkins
WR - HOU
DeAndre Hopkins
Julio Jones
WR - ATL
Julio Jones
 
 
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Recommended by
23 of 152 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 2# 4-
Best Rank# 1# 1-
Worst Rank# 7# 11-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total213.8163.9-
Avg Game14.310.2-
Avg Projection188.8185.7-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank117-
    
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Injury Alert-
    
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  DeAndre Hopkins
WR - HOU
DeAndre Hopkins
Julio Jones
WR - ATL
Julio Jones
2018 Schedule 
Week 1 at NE at PHI
Week 2 at TEN vs. CAR
Week 3 vs. NYG vs. NO
Week 4 at IND vs. CIN
Week 5 vs. DAL at PIT
Week 6 vs. BUF vs. TB
Week 7 at JAC vs. NYG
Week 8 vs. MIABYE WEEK
Week 9 at DEN at WAS
Week 10BYE WEEK at CLE
Week 11 at WAS vs. DAL
Week 12 vs. TEN at NO
Week 13 vs. CLE vs. BAL
Week 14 vs. IND at GB
Week 15 at NYJ vs. ARI
Week 16 at PHI at CAR
Week 17 vs. JAC at TB
  DeAndre Hopkins
WR - HOU
DeAndre Hopkins
Julio Jones
WR - ATL
Julio Jones
Receiving
   
Receptions94.593.7
Rec Yards1,322.11,435.7
Rec TDs9.67.0
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts0.00.9
Rush Yards0.08.4
Rush TDs0.00.0
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points188.8185.7
   
  DeAndre Hopkins
WR - HOU
DeAndre Hopkins
Julio Jones
WR - ATL
Julio Jones
2017 Points 
Week 111.56.6
Week 27.310.8
Week 37.69.1
Week 416.73.0
Week 523.2
Week 67.97.2
Week 715.9
Week 828.47.4
Week 914.611.8
Week 1011.15.7
Week 1113.67.1
Week 1212.538.8
Week 138.02.4
Week 1424.99.8
Week 1514.05.4
Week 1612.514.9
Week 178.0
  DeAndre Hopkins
WR - HOU
DeAndre Hopkins
Julio Jones
WR - ATL
Julio Jones
2017 Targets 
Week 1165
Week 2139
Week 3812
Week 4124
Week 512
Week 647
Week 713
Week 8116
Week 91612
Week 10148
Week 11910
Week 121015
Week 13146
Week 141611
Week 15138
Week 16611
Week 1711
  DeAndre Hopkins
WR - HOU
DeAndre Hopkins
Julio Jones
WR - ATL
Julio Jones
Expert 
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
After struggling to overcome dismal QB play in 2017, Hopkins reminded everyone that he's an elite talent. He snagged 35 of 76 targets for 606 yards and seven TDs in seven games with Deshaun Watson before finishing with an NFL-high 174 targets, 13 receiving TDs, and WR1 finish in standard formats. (Antonio Brown beat him by 0.5 point in PPR.) He could have inflicted more damage if not for drawing 11 defensive pass interference calls spanning 155 yards. Playing a full season with Watson will net video-game numbers for Nuk, the second-ranked WR behind Brown in all formats.Jones is a 6'3" pass-catching cyborg who received 11 targets inside the 10. He scored three times. He has yet to compile a double-digit touchdown campaign since 2012, so drafters can't ignore the issue when choosing their team's cornerstones. They also can't ignore his four straight 1,400-yard seasons, which elevated him to finish no lower than WR8 in standard or PPR. Simply pairing that production with six or seven TDs will pay off his No. 13 overall ADP.
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Hopkins was excellent even after Watson's injury last season and they didn't do enough this off-season that fantasy owners should be threatened about his target share. With that said, reaching 13 touchdowns again is unlikely as Watson's TD-rate is likely to come crashing back to reality.Don't buy into the narrative that Jones is either inconsistent or injury prone. He has been just a step behind Antonio Brown in both of those over the past several seasons and is a near-lock to return top-ten value at the position for the fifth consecutive season.
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
If you throw it in his area, he's gonna get it, a trait that has allowed him to thrive despite some awful QBs in his career - failed to top 50 yards just once in '17, and was easily top scoring fantasy WR in span of QB D. Watson's starts (Weeks 2-8)Red zone bad luck was ridiculous in '17 (1 TD on 11 targets inside 10-yard line) - NFL's perfect WR weapon should see a solid bounce-back in that category, to go along with his standard 90+ catches, 1,400+ rec. yards
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
There are a lot of fantasy football owners going gaga over Hopkins in 2018, but I'd warn you to proceed with caution. Not only did the Texans throw a lot more than they wanted to in 2017 because of all the injuries on the defensive side of the ball, but the 9.3 percent touchdown rate by Deshaun Watson is completely inflated. While Hopkins remains one of the safest wide receivers due to his volume, you don't want to pay for last year's performance. Don't forget that he finished as the WR36 in 2016 while seeing 151 targets. I get it, Watson is better than what he's had, but temper those expectations. There were an incredible 10 games where Hopkins saw 11 or more targets in 2017, while no other wide receiver totaled more than eight of those games. If you're fortunate to land Jones late in the first, consider yourself one lucky person. While some have said he's inconsistent, the numbers tell a different story. He's finished with WR1 numbers in 40.4 percent of his career games, which ranks second to only Odell Beckham Jr. since 2001. If you think he's too "boom or bust," the only players who have posted a higher WR3 percentage than his (73.4 percent) are Beckham Jr., Antonio Brown, A.J. Green, and Michael Thomas. He's a stud who is due for some positive touchdown regression. He might be the only one who can compete with Brown for the top wide receiver spot. While some will say Calvin Ridley could steal some targets, he will also put safeties away from Jones at times.
Staff Rankings
QB List
Close behind (as all players seem to be in the top 5) is DeAndre Hopkins, who ended last season as the #1 scoring WR in standard leagues and one point behind in standard PPR leagues. If you've ever watched the H-Town stud play, you know what he brings to the table each week. Oddly enough, Hopkins posted his greatest production following Deshaun Watson's ACL injury as he was leaned on as (even more of) the heart of the Houston offense. What keeps Hopkins at #2 behind Brown, however, is two-fold: 1) his target share with Watson on the field might not be as bloated as it was with Watson off, especially considering Will Fuller's expanded role in the offense when he was healthy, and 2) Watson still needs to replicate last year's magic on a healthy knee, and if he's not the QB, then who will?. While both are minor, in my eyes, these concerns outweigh those of fantasy pallbearer Antonio Brown.The perennial fantasy stud slots in at #5 this year for me for two reasons: years of dents and dings which have slowed him down in-season cannot be ignored, and of course the extremely talented offensive group he plays within. While Jones dominated his offense last year, his team will be returning a healthy Devontae Freeman to the backfield AND adding first-round rookie Calvin Ridley to the mix with a frankly underrated #2 in Mohamed Sanu. Jones is still elite in every way, just not with the same elevated floor we've seen previously.
Chet Gresham
WalterFootball
Nuk has had bad luck with quarterbacks, but last season, he still put up huge numbers with rotten quarterback play, while also showing that a healthy DeShaun Watson can only help him.What do you do with a talent like Jones, who can't seem to score touchdowns? You rank him high because he still put up great numbers without the touchdowns, plus he can sometimes, once in a blue moon, will get into the end zone. And, Jones' three touchdowns last season were an outlier even for him, so expect 6-8, which are around his average. If he would have gotten just six touchdowns this season, he would have finished as a top-four fantasy receiver.
Jody Smith
FantasyPros
TD prowess gives him the edge over Julio Jones, but Hopkins is likely to see a slight decline in target share in an improved Texans' offense. We should see a positive TD regression out of Jones, who struggled mightily in the red zone in the first season with Steve Sarkisian as the play caller. Wothy of No. 2 WR slotting, Jones is a nice value at the top of Round 2.
Kevin Wheeler
NFL Mock
DeAndre Hopkins' 16 game pace w/ Watson last year: 106 rec - 1,452 yds - 17 TDs Julio had 1,400 yards and plenty of red zone opportunity. If he wasn't on the (historically) negative side of TD variance, people would've thought very differently about his 2017 season. @Michael_Dubner He'll be 30 during the season this year, but he's the leading WR in yards per game by a solid amount. He's lacked TD upside his whole career, but is bound to rebound after only catching 1 TD in 18 redzone targets last year. I'll wait for a couple of boom weeks and sell high or ride him out as he collects 150 targets for the next 3-4 years. The Athletic's Jeff Schultz reports the Falcons have informed Julio Jones he will not receive a new contract this year. Jones skipped OTAs and minicamp to show displeasure with his contract, which makes him the league's eighth-highest-paid receiver. theathletic.com
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Nuk should benefit immensely from competent QB play for a full year. He's in the #1 WR discussion but more of a 1B for me.Contract woes are troubling but Jones should be a top 5 beast per usual
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
Good argument to be the first receiver taken in 2018Ryan will remain maddenning for going away for Julio for what seems like quarters at a time but he will have enough big games to make up for it
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
Hopkins was right behind Brown in fantasy points per game among receivers at 14.4 points per game and if QB Deshaun Watson returns at 100% health, Hopkins could challenge Brown for that top spot. Jones had only 3 touchdowns in 2017, but he did average 10.2 fantasy points per game. He is still a WR1, although I do not think he is worth a first round pick if he is not going to score double-digit touchdowns.