Justin Herbert or Trevor Lawrence
Who Should I Draft?
Experts' Pick | |||
Justin Herbert QB - LAC  Justin Herbert QB - LAC | Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC  Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC |  | |
Expert |
70% Recommended by 48 of 69 experts |
30% Recommended by 21 of 69 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would draftUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 7 | # 8 | - |
| Best Rank | # 5 | # 6 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 9 | # 11 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 289.3 | 303.7 | - |
| Avg Game | 17.0 | 17.9 | - |
| Avg Projection | 307.9 | 289.8 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 19 | 12 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Justin Herbert | Trevor Lawrence | Add Player |
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05/29 | #4 | #12 | - |
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05/29 | #7 | #9 | - |
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05/28 | #7 | #8 | - |
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05/28 | #8 | #6 | - |
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05/28 | #6 | #8 | - |
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05/28 | #8 | #7 | - |
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05/28 | #7 | #9 | - |
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05/28 | #6 | #7 | - |
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05/27 | #5 | #8 | - |
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05/27 | #9 | #11 | - |
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05/27 | #7 | #8 | - |
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05/27 | #6 | #8 | - |
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05/28 | #7 | #8 | - |
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05/26 | #7 | #8 | - |
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05/26 | #7 | #8 | - |
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05/26 | #7 | #6 | - |
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05/25 | #7 | #8 | - |
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05/25 | #6 | #9 | - |
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05/24 | #5 | #8 | - |
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05/24 | #5 | #8 | - |
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05/24 | #7 | #8 | - |
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05/22 | #7 | #8 | - |
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05/22 | #7 | #8 | - |
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05/26 | #7 | #8 | - |
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05/22 | #7 | #8 | - |
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05/23 | #8 | #6 | - |
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05/21 | #7 | #8 | - |
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05/19 | #5 | #7 | - |
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05/18 | #7 | #8 | - |
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05/26 | #9 | #6 | - |
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05/18 | #8 | #7 | - |
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05/22 | #6 | #5 | - |
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05/18 | #8 | #7 | - |
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05/29 | #8 | #7 | - |
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05/10 | #5 | #7 | - |
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05/03 | #7 | #8 | - |
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05/01 | #7 | #10 | - |
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05/01 | #10 | #8 | - |
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05/01 | #7 | #8 | - |
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04/30 | #7 | #6 | - |
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04/30 | #8 | #7 | - |
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04/28 | #9 | #6 | - |
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04/24 | #7 | #8 | - |
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04/23 | #7 | #8 | - |
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05/23 | #8 | #7 | - |
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04/21 | #8 | #7 | - |
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03/05 | #6 | #7 | - |
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03/02 | #7 | #8 | - |
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02/27 | #7 | #8 | - |
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02/22 | #7 | #8 | - |
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02/09 | #6 | #8 | - |
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02/02 | #7 | #8 | - |
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01/30 | #6 | #5 | - |
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01/19 | #6 | #10 | - |
Justin Herbert QB - LAC Justin Herbert QB - LAC | Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC | |
| 2023 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. MIA | at IND |
| Week 2 | at TEN | vs. KC |
| Week 3 | at MIN | vs. HOU |
| Week 4 | vs. LV | vs. ATL |
| Week 5 | BYE WEEK | at BUF |
| Week 6 | vs. DAL | vs. IND |
| Week 7 | at KC | at NO |
| Week 8 | vs. CHI | at PIT |
| Week 9 | at NYJ | BYE WEEK |
| Week 10 | vs. DET | vs. SF |
| Week 11 | at GB | vs. TEN |
| Week 12 | vs. BAL | at HOU |
| Week 13 | at NE | vs. CIN |
| Week 14 | vs. DEN | at CLE |
| Week 15 | at LV | vs. BAL |
| Week 16 | vs. BUF | at TB |
| Week 17 | at DEN | vs. CAR |
| Week 18 | vs. KC | at TEN |
Justin Herbert QB - LAC Justin Herbert QB - LAC | Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC | |
| Passing | ||
| Pass Att | 646.3 | 579.6 |
| Pass Cmp | 436.2 | 377.2 |
| Pass Yards | 4,539.9 | 3,973.2 |
| Pass TDs | 29.7 | 25.9 |
| Ints | 12.6 | 12.9 |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 57.7 | 62.3 |
| Rush Yards | 188.0 | 293.3 |
| Rush TDs | 1.2 | 3.9 |
| Misc | ||
| Fumbles | 2.9 | 6.3 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 307.9 | 289.8 |
Justin Herbert QB - LAC Justin Herbert QB - LAC | Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC | |
| 2022 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 23.3 | 14.4 |
| Week 2 | 24.5 | 18.5 |
| Week 3 | 13.6 | 25.2 |
| Week 4 | 21.1 | 6.7 |
| Week 5 | 14.4 | 12.3 |
| Week 6 | 9.4 | 24.9 |
| Week 7 | 18.1 | 18.7 |
| Week 8 | ‐ | 8.8 |
| Week 9 | 13.1 | 16.7 |
| Week 10 | 13.0 | 21.0 |
| Week 11 | 19.7 | ‐ |
| Week 12 | 28.8 | 24.9 |
| Week 13 | 18.1 | 16.4 |
| Week 14 | 19.5 | 33.4 |
| Week 15 | 10.7 | 27.8 |
| Week 16 | 6.5 | 18.3 |
| Week 17 | 16.7 | 5.5 |
| Week 18 | 18.8 | 10.2 |
| Total | 289.3 | 303.7 |
| Average | 17.0 | 17.9 |
Justin Herbert QB - LAC Justin Herbert QB - LAC | Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC | |
| Expert | ||
| Ellis Johnson True North Fantasy Football | After a disappointing 2022 campaign, I'm projecting a massive bounce back for the young gun-slinger. With the addition of first-round WR Quintin Johnson, alongside Mike Williams, Keenan Allen, and Gerald Everett, his weapons rival any offense. Now with Kellend Moore calling the shots, his passing game should spike in efficiency and volume compared to last year. | Finally, the best QB prospect since Andrew Luck looked the part last season. Lawrence is rock solid for fantasy and has a great supporting cast to repeat his success. Furthermore, this team's defense is not projected to be great, hopefully forcing Lawrence in to better game scripts. He's a rock solid QB, however, I think he lacks the top tier upside this season. |
| Mark Ringo Sleepers and Busts | Herbert was hurt last year. He took a beating. He's healthy now and should bounce back to his old self. The Chargers also added Quentin Johnston to bolster their WR room. He adds some size and speed. They also changed their offensive coordinator. Kellen Moore comes over from Dallas. There should be plenty of shootouts in the AFC West. I expect Justin Herbert to be a big part of them. He's fairly valued right now. Herbert's current ADP is QB 7. I think the time off will help him "recharge his batteries" in 2023 haha! Where's NBC at? I should have my own sit-com with lame jokes like that haha! The Mark Ringo Show. We'll be right back after these messages from our sponsors haha! Bounce Back Candidate | |
| Wolf of Roto Street Roto Street Journal | 5/4: Keenan is going nowhere, Quentin Johnston is back, and Kellen Moore is the BEST possible OC Hire. Loves to sling deep, commanded Top-2 attacks for the majority of his playcalling time in DAL. A beautiful offseason for a massive rebound year for Herbert. | 3/7: Ridley reinstated, locking in his elite weapons cabinet. Easiest breakout candidate to get behind He's going to be that Round 8-10 QB that goes completely bonkers in 2023 |
| Pat Fitzmaurice FantasyPros | Justin Herbert has abundant arm talent and the mobility to add rushing value, so fantasy managers were expecting him to take another step forward last season in his third year as a starter. Instead, Herbert took a step backward, with significant declines in his yardage per game, yardage per attempt and touchdown rate. He ran for only 147 yards and didn't have a single TD run. In Herbert's defense, he gutted it out through a rib cartilage fracture sustained in an early-season Thursday-night game vs. the Chiefs, and Herbert's top two receivers, Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, both missed time with injuries. The Chargers have jettisoned oft-criticized offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi, replacing him with Kellen Moore. Herbert remains one of the toolsiest quarterbacks in the league and will likely produce much-improved fantasy numbers in 2023. | After a lost 2021 season under former Jaguars head coach Urban Meyer, the talented Trevor Lawrence began to blossom in 2022 under the tutelage of first-year Jags HC Doug Pederson. From 2021 to 2022, Lawrence improved his completion percentage from 59.6% to 66.3%, boosted his YPA from 5.2 to 7.3, and upped his TD rate from 2.0% to 4.3%. Also a willing and able runner, Lawrence had five TD runs last season. Lawrence finished QB8 in fantasy scoring in 2022, and the former No. 1 draft pick is still ascending. Invest with confidence. |
| Tera Roberts Dynasty Vipers | Herbert was not Herbert in 2022 - injuries to weapons, bad coaching, rib injury. He could easily turn this around and return to his 2021 form averaging 23.3 ppg...but at his best that's more of a #5 QB with the amount of rushing QBs that have upped their game. They will have a new offensive scheme this year and his weapons are still older with injury concerns. I'm not drafting him at his ceiling. | Weeks 10-18 he averaged 21 PPG and was QB6. The Jags will remain intact plus the addition of Ridley. Lawrence is an easy top 10 QB with top 5 upside. |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Herbert's 4,739 passing yards were fantastic, but his 25 TD passes were a little lower than fantasy managers had hoped for entering the year. He is still a very solid QB1, but probably not in the very elite tier. | Lawrence broke out in his second year with 4,113 yards passing and 25 passing TDs. Entering his third season, he is poised to have a monster fantasy season. |
