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Justin Jefferson or Curtis Samuel

Who Should I Draft?

Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Curtis SamuelC. Samuel
WR - CAR
Curtis Samuel
Justin JeffersonJ. Jefferson
WR - MIN
Justin Jefferson
 
 
Expert
Recommendation

59%
Recommended by
102 of 173 experts
41%
Recommended by
71 of 173 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 60# 61-
Best Rank# 34# 34-
Worst Rank# 76# 104-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total117.70.0-
Avg Game7.4-
Avg Projection95.891.0-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank312-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Curtis SamuelJustin JeffersonAdd Player
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
2 w
#56#55-
    
Jason MooreJ. Moore
The Fantasy Footballers
2 w
#56#62-
    
2 w
#59-
    
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
2 w
#60#62-
    
Jamie CalandroJ. Cala...
Fantasy Team Advice
2 w
#45#62-
    
Andy HollowayA. Holl...
The Fantasy Footballers
2 w
#54#57-
    
Jason WillanJ. Willan
Gridiron Experts
2 w
#60#62-
    
Donkey TeethD. Teeth
Razzball
2 w
#59#51-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
2 w
#52#60-
    
Jake CielyJ. Ciely
The Athletic
2 w
#61#60-
    
Jeff PaurJ. Paur
RTSports
2 w
#46#44-
    
Matthew BoweM. Bowe
Razzball
2 w
#67#55-
    
Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
Gridiron Experts
2 w
#53#69-
    
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
2 w
#59#58-
    
Dave MajorD. Major
XN Sports
2 w
#59#61-
    
Michael HauffM. Hauff
Gridiron Experts
2 w
#46#61-
    
David BiggsD. Biggs
Drink Five
2 w
#51#65-
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
2 w
#59#61-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
2 w
#59#60-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
Draftwize
2 w
#55#65-
    
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
2 w
#48#88-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
2 w
#76#57-
    
Matt CampM. Camp
Bleacher Report
2 w
#55#69-
    
Greg SmithG. Smith
TwoQBs
2 w
#57#72-
    
Nathan JahnkeN. Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
2 w
#54#63-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
2 w
#62#45-
    
Seth MillerS. Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
2 w
#53#52-
    
Michael PetropoulosM. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
2 w
#63#37-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
Pro Football Focus
2 w
#64#68-
    
Marc CavigliaM. Cavi...
Bruno Boys
2 w
#55#58-
    
Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
2 w
#55#71-
    
Bill EnrightB. Enright
Sports Illustrated
2 w
#58#65-
    
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
SportsLine
2 w
#60#68-
    
Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
2 w
#53#60-
    
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
2 w
#59#71-
    
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
2 w
#56#60-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
2 w
#55#63-
    
Lawrence JacksonL. Jackson
Fantasy Football Lord
2 w
#66#65-
    
Michelle MagdziukM. Magd...
BallBlast
2 w
#81-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
2 w
#55#68-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
DK Nation
2 w
#52#81-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
2 w
#62#65-
    
Matt De LimaM. De Lima
FullTime Fantasy
2 w
#53#68-
    
Kate MagdziukK. Magd...
BallBlast
2 w
#55-
    
Justin GeorgeJ. George
Take Your League
2 w
#60-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
2 w
#56#60-
    
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
2 w
#67#76-
    
Elisha TwerskiE. Twerski
numberFire
2 w
#66#51-
    
Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
2 w
#51#65-
    
Andy VandaA. Vanda
Take Your League
2 w
#59#63-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
2 w
#65#52-
    
Garret PriceG. Price
Dynasty Nerds
2 w
#57#46-
    
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
2 w
#70#39-
    
Mundo Fantasy MXM. Fant...
Mundo Fantasy
2 w
#58#56-
    
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
2 w
#55#57-
    
Justin DoddsJ. Dodds
Locked In Football
2 w
#62#41-
    
Jared SmolaJ. Smola
Draft Sharks
2 w
#53#67-
    
Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
2 w
#49#71-
    
Nick MarianoN. Mariano
RotoBaller
2 w
#75#66-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
FantasyPros
2 w
#63#67-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
Important Nonsense
2 w
#56#58-
    
Steven SpaccarotelliS. Spac...
SleeperWire
2 w
#70#46-
    
Mike RandleM. Randle
BettingPros
2 w
#48#104-
    
Muntradamus M.
Beast Dome
2 w
#53#58-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
2 w
#60#70-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
RotoExperts
3 w
#57#66-
    
Morgan ColbyM. Colby
The Fantasy Champions
3 w
#49#62-
    
Site RankingsS. Rank...
Sports Illustrated
3 w
#47-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
3 w
#64#69-
    
Todd D ClarkT. D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
3 w
#55#56-
    
Jordan RainsJ. Rains
Expand The Boxscore
3 w
#34#60-
    
Mick CiallelaM. Cial...
Fantrax
3 w
#60#53-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
FTN
3 w
#47#66-
    
Alex BlickleA. Blickle
Fantasy Team Advice
3 w
#61#62-
    
Matt BrandonM. Brandon
Matt Brandon
3 w
#58#59-
    
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
3 w
#58#56-
    
Jake ArthurJ. Arthur
Colts.com
3 w
#55#49-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
3 w
#63#57-
    
Scott SmithS. Smith
RotoViz
3 w
#53#61-
    
Mike MacGregorM. MacG...
Draft Buddy
3 w
#59#68-
    
Kyle EnglishK. English
Reality Sports
3 w
#61#60-
    
Jonathan StoneJ. Stone
The Hateful 8
3 w
#63#57-
    
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
FantasyPros
3 w
#46#48-
    
Zachary HanshewZ. Hanshew
FantasyPros
3 w
#43#58-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
3 w
#76#42-
    
Husein ShabazzH. Shabazz
SleeperWire
3 w
#55#66-
    
Drew DeLucaD. DeLuca
NFL Spinzone
3 w
#73#62-
    
Christopher DellC. Dell
Betting Predators
3 w
#60#69-
    
Nick HumphreysN. Hump...
Fantasy Victors
3 w
#49#62-
    
The FFGhostT. FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
3 w
#55#61-
    
Ben WasleyB. Wasley
The Fantasy First Down
3 w
#58#55-
    
Gerson AguirreG. Aguirre
Going For 2
3 w
#56#60-
    
Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
3 w
#56#64-
    
Mike HarmonM. Harmon
Swollen Dome
3 w
#64#65-
    
David ZachD. Zach
FantasyPros
3 w
#47#34-
    
Jonathan HaysJ. Hays
Fantasy Foresight
3 w
#61#60-
    
Justin WeigalJ. Weigal
FantasySharks
3 w
#55#54-
    
Blake FincherB. Fincher
Fantasy Football Cafe
3 w
#55#59-
    
Wayne BretskyW. Bretsky
BretskyBall
3 w
#58#60-
    
Jeff GreenwoodJ. Gree...
The Fantasy Footballers
3 w
#54#84-
    
Steven PintadoS. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches
3 w
#56#53-
    
Ryan Hodge R. Hodge
FantasyLabs
3 w
#55#67-
    
Michael FlorioM. Florio
RotoBaller
3 w
#68#65-
    
Dennis SosicD. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
3 w
#46#92-
    
Tyler OrginskiT. Orgi...
Fantasy Hot Read
3 w
#45#93-
    
Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
FantasyPros
3 w
#74#69-
    
Zach BrunnerZ. Brunner
FlurrySports
3 w
#57-
    
Dave McKayD. McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
3 w
#58#50-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
3 w
#57#59-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
3 w
#61#45-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
FTN
3 w
#59#44-
    
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
3 w
#56#61-
    
Jason PetropoulosJ. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
3 w
#63#51-
    
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
3 w
#55#62-
    
Tal MalachovskyT. Mala...
The Fantasy Scout
3 w
#38#65-
    
Ryan SkolrudR. Skolrud
SkullKing Sports
3 w
#55#54-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
3 w
#55#53-
    
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
3 w
#56#65-
    
Lukas KacerL. Kacer
Lukas Kacer
3 w
#42#57-
    
John HestermanJ. Hest...
Dynasty League Football
3 w
#56#48-
    
Armando CrespoA. Crespo
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
3 w
#58#56-
    
Scott WhitfieldS. Whit...
Roto Rankings
3 w
#51#73-
    
Justin SablichJ. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy
3 w
#56#58-
    
Jon CollinsJ. Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
3 w
#59#58-
    
Site RankingsS. Rank...
FFToday
3 w
#53#71-
    
Chris RaybonC. Raybon
The Action Network
3 w
#68#82-
    
Chris KennedyC. Kennedy
The Fantasy Headliners
3 w
#56#58-
    
Neema HodjatN. Hodjat
Real GM
3 w
#46#56-
    
Kevin TompkinsK. Tomp...
Fighting Chance Fantasy
3 w
#53#69-
    
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
3 w
#53#62-
    
Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
Breaking Football
3 w
#58#60-
    
Matt MacCoyM. MacCoy
Fantasy Team Advice
3 w
#56#53-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
3 w
#56#50-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
3 w
#72#62-
    
Geoff LambertG. Lambert
Going For 2
3 w
#57#52-
    
Matthew BetzM. Betz
BallBlast
3 w
#42#59-
    
Anthony AmicoA. Amico
FTN
3 w
#47#51-
    
Andy SpiteriA. Spiteri
Razzball
3 w
#55#57-
    
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
3 w
#60#57-
    
Draft EngineD. Engine
Draft Engine
3 w
#62#46-
    
Tim PetropoulosT. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
3 w
#56#54-
    
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
3 w
#66#53-
    
Kyle AugustK. August
FF Fellas
3 w
#76#58-
    
Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
3 w
#65#42-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
QB List
3 w
#52#61-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
Roto Ranks
3 w
#58#54-
    
Jacob W. DunneJ. W. D...
New Life Fantasy
3 w
#62#60-
    
Mark RossM. Ross
Athlon Sports
4 w
#55#61-
    
Richard KingR. King
King Fantasy Sports
4 w
#64#42-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
4 w
#64#47-
    
Kyle RichardsonK. Rich...
The Fantasy Headliners
4 w
#58#64-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
4 w
#61#53-
    
Matt HarmonM. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports
4 w
#42#66-
    
Adam PfeiferA. Pfeifer
FTN
4 w
#57#45-
    
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
4 w
#46-
    
Matt OkadaM. Okada
BallBlast
08/26
#41#51-
    
John FergusonJ. Ferg...
FantasyData
08/25
#45#57-
    
Frank BonincontriF. Boni...
Fantasy Wire HQ
08/25
#55#58-
    
Elliot Berkovits E. Berk...
Packer Report
4 w
#47#88-
    
Wolf of Roto StreetW. of R...
Roto Street Journal
3 w
#48#65-
    
Scott AtkinsS. Atkins
Sports Illustrated
08/18
#47-
    
Kevin ScottK. Scott
The Intersecting
08/17
#53#49-
    
Justin VarnesJ. Varnes
Fantasy Points
3 w
#56#52-
    
Dave LoughranD. Loug...
Awesemo
08/13
#55#56-
    
Nolan KellyN. Kelly
Awesemo
08/12
#50#52-
    
Rob WilsonR. Wilson
The Fantasy Footballers
08/11
#55#49-
    
Michael BellerM. Beller
The Athletic
08/24
#47#62-
    
Doug MooreD. Moore
Inside the Pylon
08/03
#57#51-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
08/03
#44-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
FTN
08/24
#60#41-
    
M. Starks PowellM. Star...
New Life Fantasy
07/24
#57#53-
    
Ben RolfeB. Rolfe
The Touchdown
06/29
#44#61-
    
Walton SpurlinW. Spurlin
FantasyPros
04/27
#57#40-
    
Player Game Logs Comparison
  Curtis SamuelC. Samuel
WR - CAR
Curtis Samuel
Justin JeffersonJ. Jefferson
WR - MIN
Justin Jefferson
2020 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. LV vs. GB
Week 2 at TB at IND
Week 3 at LAC vs. TEN
Week 4 vs. ARI at HOU
Week 5 at ATL at SEA
Week 6 vs. CHI vs. ATL
Week 7 at NOBYE WEEK
Week 8 vs. ATL at GB
Week 9 at KC vs. DET
Week 10 vs. TB at CHI
Week 11 vs. DET vs. DAL
Week 12 at MIN vs. CAR
Week 13BYE WEEK vs. JAC
Week 14 vs. DEN at TB
Week 15 at GB vs. CHI
Week 16 at WAS at NO
Week 17 vs. NO at DET
Player Projections Comparison
  Curtis SamuelC. Samuel
WR - CAR
Curtis Samuel
Justin JeffersonJ. Jefferson
WR - MIN
Justin Jefferson
Receiving
   
Receptions45.848.9
Rec Yards553.6669.3
Rec TDs4.04.0
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts15.31.4
Rush Yards109.58.9
Rush TDs1.00.0
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points95.891.0
   
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
  Curtis SamuelC. Samuel
WR - CAR
Curtis Samuel
Justin JeffersonJ. Jefferson
WR - MIN
Justin Jefferson
2019 Points 
Week 13.2
Week 29.3
Week 311.3
Week 43.3
Week 54.4
Week 619.8
Week 7
Week 84.6
Week 913.4
Week 109.5
Week 112.5
Week 124.9
Week 1312.5
Week 144.2
Week 1511.4
Week 162.1
Week 171.3
Total117.70.0
Average7.4
Player Targets Comparison
  Curtis SamuelC. Samuel
WR - CAR
Curtis Samuel
Justin JeffersonJ. Jefferson
WR - MIN
Justin Jefferson
2019 Targets 
Week 14
Week 213
Week 37
Week 47
Week 56
Week 66
Week 7
Week 811
Week 96
Week 108
Week 116
Week 124
Week 137
Week 144
Week 157
Week 165
Week 174
Notes for Player Combination
  Curtis SamuelC. Samuel
WR - CAR
Curtis Samuel
Justin JeffersonJ. Jefferson
WR - MIN
Justin Jefferson
Expert 
Draft Engine
Draft Engine
Samuel failed to surpass five receptions in any game last season, and a 91-yard effort in Week 2 marked the only time he eclipsed 70 receiving yards. With Carolina signing Robby Anderson in March to a two-year, 20 million contract, it's no guarantee that Samuel remains the third option in the Panthers' passing game behind Christian McCaffrey and D.J. Moore.Exhibiting skills that are similar to those of Rams receiver Robert Woods, Jefferson is a tough receiver and savvy route runner who played a big part in Joe Burrow's breakout year at LSU. More of a complementary player than a true No. 1, Jefferson will have a chance to contribute as a rookie opposite Adam Thielen with Stefon Diggs having been dealt by Minnesota in March.
Elliot Berkovits
Packer Report
Leading up to the 2019 season, all anyone wanted to talk about was Curtis Samuel and how he would be the WR to own in Carolina. Well, that didn't exactly work out. It was D.J. Moore who stole the spotlight and now the Panthers went out and signed deep threat Robby Anderson. I like Samuel as a talent but I don't think there will be enough targets to go around to make him a reliable weekly starter.Jefferson steps directly into the WR2 role for the Vikings after the departure of Stefon Diggs this offseason. With no preseason it may take Jefferson a couple of weeks to get acclimated, but over 16 games, he should see the most targets of any rookie wideout. He's definitely someone worth targeting at the end of drafts.
Ben Wasley
The Fantasy First Down
Curtis Samuel was everyone's favorite breakout prospect last season and although he didn't reach the lofty expectations some had for him, a WR36 finish was still solid for a player with a limited skill set. With the addition of Robby Anderson, Samuel's target share is in for a major reduction and the talk he may be on the trade block is an even worse sign. While the Panthers will have to throw a lot, Samuel is at best the 4th receiver in this offense and that limits his upside.Justin Jefferson has regularly been under-estimated compared to the big three of Ruggs, Lamb and Jeudy and that's simply not an accurate representation of his ability. Now falling into a brilliant opportunity in the wide-open Minnesota back-field, Jefferson will get the perfect chance to prove himself and I believe he's the rookie you want in 2020. He's expected to play mostly out of the slot but showed in 2018 that he's very capable of bouncing outside so he should play on most downs. Adam Thielen's stats prove that the slot snaps are most valuable in Minnesota so Jefferson should be the hot ticket in town. Excitingly, he's available well into the double-digit rounds and is the perfect late-round dart throw, especially in PPR.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
There are a lot of analysts making excuses for Samuel's poor production last year, stating that his quarterback play was atrocious. While I don't disagree, there are plenty of wide receivers who've had bad quarterback play but managed to be useful. Samuel's 0.96 yards per route run in 2019 ranked dead last among the 157 wide receivers with at least 100 targets over the last five years. Heck, his teammate D.J. Moore was able to finish as the WR18. Based on the targets Samuel received and where they took place, he should have finished as the WR16. Look, I'm not saying Samuel is as bad as he was in 2019, but for him to become a reliable fantasy player, he'd have to overcome the fact that he's now the fourth-best target in the offense, behind McCaffrey, Moore, and Anderson. The Panthers also tried shopping Samuel this offseason, but ultimately held onto him. He's someone to look at during bye weeks when the Panthers are double-digit underdogs. Outside of that, you're just looking for an injury to him to become anything more than a WR5-type option.In case you didn't know, Jefferson is coming off a ridiculous season with LSU where he tallied 111 receptions for 1,540 yards and 18 touchdowns over 15 games. He played the big-slot role for them, which is something the Vikings should take into consideration when figuring out how to best deploy him. Unfortunately, Jefferson wound up on the COVID list and is being forced to miss a lot of camp. Still, he's a route-running technician who's playing behind a 30-year-old receiver who's been dealing with back issues. There's an avenue where Jefferson is relied upon as a rookie more than most think, though it would likely require Thielen to be out of the lineup. Under Gary Kubiak/Kevin Stefanski last year, the wide receivers saw just 43.2 percent of the target share (4th-lowest mark in the NFL), making it very difficult for multiple options to be fantasy relevant on a week-to-week basis. Because of that, Jefferson is essentially just a wide receiver handcuff.
Kyle Yates
FantasyPros
Samuel's got the talent to be a factor for fantasy football, but it simply hasn't translated to on-the-field production. Now, Samuel has competition for targets with Robby Anderson in town and there's a chance that Samuel is fourth on this team in targets. With that being the case, Samuel's unlikely to return consistent fantasy production this season.Justin Jefferson landed in a beautiful spot for fantasy football, as he steps in alongside Adam Thielen and will assume the Stefon Diggs role. Thielen and Jefferson are the only true players there that should command targets and we know that Thielen has started to deal with some injuries the past couple of years. Jefferson should easily see over 100 targets in year one and may bring even more upside if something were to happen to Adam Thielen.
Seth Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
If I told you this WR had 108/1236/11 would you be interested? Now what if I told you that was in 3 years? Has trended upwards for 3 years in a row. Deep targets were infamously inaccurate last year. That made him rather terrible for fantasy football. He was miscast, running a 9 route over 1/4 of the time That situation has now been rectified with the addition of Robby Anderson. I think Samuel's chances at fading into a WR3 forever are just as likely as some kind of breakout. Most players don't have a Devante Parker like resurgence after years of being mediocre. They turn into Phillip Dorsett, an 83rd percentile sparq-x athlete who had greater college production and breakout age than Samuel, while also being a 4.3 guy we just can't let go of. However, I went back to watch all his deep incomplete passes myself for 2019. The majority were inaccurate. Sometimes the QB had to release the ball early because of the rush. Others, Samuel was out positioned, or not big enough to go up and get it. He also some just flat drops, but all of those happening were in the minority of what was happening on his deep looks. Fighting for targets underneath with DJ Moore will be no easier than trying to catch deep passes from Kyle Allen, but he'll at least have more accurate balls coming from Teddy Bridgewater, while having great, to elite numbers against man coverage 2 years in a row to give himself a great opportunity in this new offense.2019 Slot % Diggs - 14.7 Thielen - 29.3 Bisi - 34 Beebe - 52.5 (barely played) Justin Jefferson is going to be a WR2 right out of the gate. His biggest obstacle? Not Adam Thielen, but passing volume. No one had over 100 targets and Cook was 2nd on the team with 63. Injuries played a part in this but the Vikings went from 606 ATT in 2018, fired Defilippo, 466 ATT in 2019. The slot roll was basically a committee in 2019, Jefferson should consolidate that in 2020
Kevin Wheeler
Draftwize
After Cam Newton was injured, Panthers WRs saw a catchable deep ball on only 25% of targets (14/56), via PFF. During Teddy Bridgewater's five starts, Saints WRs saw catchable deep balls on 62% of targets (8/13). @pat_thorman 
Wolf of Roto Street
Roto Street Journal
Joe Brady preaches speed and getting it in space... and Curtis Samuel might just be the perfect man for the job. Back aboard the hype train, even with Robby A added.