Who Should I Draft?

Le'Veon Bell or David Johnson

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Le'Veon Bell
RB - PIT
Le'Veon Bell
David Johnson
RB - ARI
David Johnson
 
 
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Recommendation
75%
Recommended by
84 of 112 experts
25%
Recommended by
28 of 112 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 2# 4-
Best Rank# 1# 1-
Worst Rank# 4# 11-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total256.67.1-
Avg Game17.17.1-
Avg Projection267.0247.9-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank2116-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Le'Veon BellDavid JohnsonAdd Player
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
SoCalledFanEx
31 m
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Michael BellerM. Beller
Sports Illustrated
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Dave McKayD. McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
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Greg SmithG. Smith
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The Athletic
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Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
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Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
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Seth McKinleyS. McKi...
FF Fellas
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Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
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Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
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Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
9 h
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CBS Sports
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Matthew BoweM. Bowe
Razzball
10 h
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Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
11 h
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John PaulsenJ. Paulsen
4for4.com
13 h
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Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
FNTSY Sports Network
17 h
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Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
18 h
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George KurtzG. Kurtz
RotoExperts
20 h
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Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
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Fantasy Football Advice
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Estadio Fantasy
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Brad EvansB. Evans
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The Washington Post
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Bill EnrightB. Enright
FFChamps
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Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
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Nick MarianoN. Mariano
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Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
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Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
Breaking Football
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Scott EngelS. Engel
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Corey ParsonC. Parson
RotoExperts
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Bobby SylvesterB. Sylv...
FantasyPros
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Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
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Jake CielyJ. Ciely
The Athletic
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Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
NFL Mock
3 d
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Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
The Quant Edge
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Donald GibsonD. Gibson
Fantasy Fusion
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Mitchell RenzM. Renz
Gridiron Experts
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Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Pro Football Focus
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Kyle KontosK. Kontos
Double K Football
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Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoExperts
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Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
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Mike AlexanderM. Alex...
Friends With Fantasy Benefits
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Jason WillanJ. Willan
Gridiron Experts
4 d
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FFToday
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Michael FlorioM. Florio
RotoExperts
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James HatfieldJ. Hatf...
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Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
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Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
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Jody SmithJ. Smith
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Patrick ThormanP. Thorman
Pro Football Focus
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Brent NamejkoB. Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
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Kyle RichardsonK. Rich...
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Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
Gridiron Experts
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Davis MattekD. Mattek
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RTSports
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Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
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Chris MeyersC. Meyers
Athlon Sports
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Derek BrownD. Brown
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1 w
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Dariyan MayburyD. Maybury
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1 w
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Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
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1 w
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Jack DelaneyJ. Delaney
Just Fantasy Football
1 w
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1 w
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Pierre CamusP. Camus
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1 w
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Jeff JohnsonJ. Johnson
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Christian BritoC. Brito
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Jake ArthurJ. Arthur
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Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
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Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
3 w
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Tim McCulloughT. McCu...
FantasyPros
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James RapienJ. Rapien
Get Sports Info
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Scott SmithS. Smith
RotoViz
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David GonosD. Gonos
The Athletic
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Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
4 w
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Anthony StaggsA. Staggs
Pyromaniac
07/20
#4#1-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
07/09
#5#1-
    
Anthony AmicoA. Amico
RotoViz
07/07
#1#3-
    
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ScoutFantasy
3 w
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Kelly SmelserK. Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
05/23
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Nick VertucciN. Vert...
Sundays Are For Football
05/23
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Scott BarrettS. Barrett
Pro Football Focus
04/05
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  Le'Veon Bell
RB - PIT
Le'Veon Bell
David Johnson
RB - ARI
David Johnson
2018 Schedule 
Week 1 at CLE vs. WAS
Week 2 vs. KC at LAR
Week 3 at TB vs. CHI
Week 4 vs. BAL vs. SEA
Week 5 vs. ATL at SF
Week 6 at CIN at MIN
Week 7BYE WEEK vs. DEN
Week 8 vs. CLE vs. SF
Week 9 at BALBYE WEEK
Week 10 vs. CAR at KC
Week 11 at JAC vs. OAK
Week 12 at DEN at LAC
Week 13 vs. LAC at GB
Week 14 at OAK vs. DET
Week 15 vs. NE at ATL
Week 16 at NO vs. LAR
Week 17 vs. CIN at SEA
  Le'Veon Bell
RB - PIT
Le'Veon Bell
David Johnson
RB - ARI
David Johnson
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts305.5278.3
Rush Yards1,292.51,076.7
Rush TDs9.58.7
   
Receiving
   
Receptions83.276.0
Rec Yards670.6739.7
Rec TDs3.03.3
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points267.0247.9
   
  Le'Veon Bell
RB - PIT
Le'Veon Bell
David Johnson
RB - ARI
David Johnson
2017 Points 
Week 14.77.1
Week 29.1
Week 315.8
Week 430.6
Week 59.3
Week 625.1
Week 719.2
Week 812.1
Week 9
Week 1011.2
Week 1110.3
Week 1216.3
Week 1324.2
Week 1430.5
Week 1522.5
Week 1615.7
Week 17
  Le'Veon Bell
RB - PIT
Le'Veon Bell
David Johnson
RB - ARI
David Johnson
2017 Targets 
Week 169
Week 24
Week 37
Week 46
Week 510
Week 66
Week 73
Week 83
Week 9
Week 106
Week 1111
Week 1214
Week 136
Week 1410
Week 156
Week 168
Week 17
  Le'Veon Bell
RB - PIT
Le'Veon Bell
David Johnson
RB - ARI
David Johnson
Expert 
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
The sentiment for drafting Bell first overall is fair and understandable, but he is substantially more injury prone than Gurley and finished more than 60 points behind him last fantasy season too. With that said, the difference between Bell and the #3 fantasy player may be even larger than the difference between #3 and #10.Some are clamoring that Johnson should even be the top overall pick. Now, you shouldn't go that far because his touchdown rate from 2016 is entirely unsustainable, but he is without question the workhorse in Arizona and ought to bounce back to a high-end RB1 this season.
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
Size, speed, vision, hands and, oh boy, that jump cut - 406 touches in '17 was the 3rd-highest mark in the past 11 seasons, just wish more of those touches would come inside 5-yard line (just 14 such carries over past 3 seasons)Arguably NFL's top receiving weapon from RB position - has 33 TDs in 33 career games - hard to look at ARI offense and think DJ won't vie for lead in touches
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Despite having a less-successful year than his 2016 campaign, Bell still finished No. 2 among fantasy running backs. His contract dispute is not going away any time soon, which moves him down under Todd Gurley due to safety. We fully expect Bell to suit-up when the lights come on in Week 1, but there's always a chance he doesn't. Another added risk is that he'll have a new offensive coordinator in 2018, though Randy Fichtner doesn't appear to be shy running a fast-paced offense.Some have Johnson as high as No. 1 in our consensus rankings, but I'd urge against drafting him with a top-three pick. Did you know that 73.3 percent (22-of-30) of top-six running backs over the last six years have come from top-12 scoring offenses? I'd argue that the Cardinals would likely be a bottom-10 scoring offense in 2018, and there's been just three running backs who have overcome that to become a top-six running back over the last six years. Johnson scored 20 touchdowns in his magical 2016 season, something that's not repeatable. It's also worth noting that since Week 6 of 2016, he's averaged just 3.63 yards per carry on 191 carries. The offensive line wasn't great to begin with and they just lost their starting center for the season. He's still worth a mid-first-round pick, but I'd take someone in a better offense over him.
Staff Rankings
QB List
I know a lot of people would put Todd Gurley here and I wouldn't blame them at all. But I tend to be risk-averse in fantasy, and I think some regression is coming for Gurley, which is why I'm more inclined to roll with a high-floor guy like Bell. I'm not worried about Bell sitting out training camp, he did the same thing last year and he was amazing, posting 1,315 yards and a solid 7.9% DVOA along with that. Not only that, but Bell is on the last year of his contract, and I'm betting he doesn't negotiate an extension. As a result, I bet the Steelers run him as hard as they can, and the more times Bell has the ball in his hands, the better for fantasy players.If you drafted David Johnson with your first-round pick last year, I feel bad for you. After suffering a season-ending injury in Week 1, a lot of Johnson owners were stuck with a crisis right away. The bonus to Johnson suffering the injury in Week 1 is that he's had a lot of time to heal, and he's really healthy and ready to go for the start of this season. There's no doubt about Johnson's talent, but there is doubt about the rest of the Cardinals, who have a new head coach and a new quarterback in Sam Bradford (or, if we're being honest, a mix of Mike Glennon and Josh Rosen because we all know Bradford's probably going to get hurt). The team also has a very questionable offensive line. Mike Iupati and Andre Smith have had success in the past, but they also have injury questions. That being said, the Cardinals offensive line was solid in short-yardage situations and was middle-of-the-pack in keeping their running backs from getting stuffed, but they were dead-last in second-level yards (runs of 5-10 yards beyond the line of scrimmage) and open field yards (runs of more than 10 yards beyond the line of scrimmage) which will likely prove a challenge for Johnson.
Chet Gresham
WalterFootball
Bell's contract will be a talking point until it isn't, but he will most likely be on the field for Week 1 as a Pittsburgh Steeler, and that's a good spot for him and his fantasy prospects, as his usage numbers are tremendous and his offensive line knows how to block for him.We know what Johnson can do, and it's pretty amazing, but we don't know who will be the quarterback for his team and if that person can keep the offense moving. If the Cardinals get someone who isn't awful, I expect Johnson's draft stock to push Bell and Gurley.
Jody Smith
FantasyPros
This is likely to be Bell's last season in Pittsburgh, so expect the Steelers to give him all the touches he can handle, making Bell a candidate for the No. 1 PPR scorer of 2018. Johnson is 100-percent recovered from his wrist injury and poised to be among the league leaders in yards from scrimmage.
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
The league's truest featured back, Bell played a whopping 945 snaps last season. No other rusher recorded 800. He parlayed a gargantuan 406 touches into 1,946 yards and 11 TDs in 15 games. That weighty workload puts him firmly in the No. 1-pick conversation, and he especially should not fall any lower than No. 2 in PPR formats.Drafters are mostly pretending that Johnson didn't suffer a season-ending wrist injury in Week 1. If you want the back who won 2016 leagues with 2,118 yards and 20 TDs, you're going to have to spend a top-five pick. He should quickly return to a bulky featured role, but Johnson at 100 percent will still struggle to out-earn Todd Gurley and Le'Veon Bell in an Arizona offense led by Sam Bradford or Josh Rosen.
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Contract talks are annoying, so I'm dropping Bell slightly, but he's still a top 5 lock as long as he doesn't sit games outEveryone seems to have forgotten what a stud DJ can be. He has high goals and elite ability. He's my top RB going into 2018.
Kevin Wheeler
NFL Mock
to all my Steeler fans, my desire always has been to retire a Steeler...both sides worked extremely hard today to make that happen, but the NFL is a hard business at times...to the fans that had hope, I'm sorry we let youu down but trust me, 2018 will be my best season to date... @LeVeonBell 400+ touches last year, regression in production is most likely scenario. When he's healthy no one is better. He's coming off a season-long wrist injury so the legs are fresh. The Cards were 8-8 without DJ last year so even with a bottom rung O-line DJ could reach his 1000/1000 season goal.
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
Bell was given the franchise tag and he averaged 17.4 fantasy points per game last year playing under the tag. He is a duel-threat runner and receiver that can dominate fantasy games. Johnson was the league-leader among fantasy backs in 2016 with 20.7 fantasy points per game. He missed all but 1 game of 2017 with injury, but should be back and ready to dominate. The big question mark surrounding him is the quarterback situation, QB Sam Bradford is not a very stable option and will allow teams to stack the box with defenders to stop Johnson and the running game.
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
Draft day may cause a slide if the Steelers snag an heir apparentJohnson is a workhorse for now but the Cardinals will likely add some competition for snaps in April