Who Should I Draft?

Marlon Mack or David Montgomery

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Experts' Pick
 
  Marlon Mack
RB - IND
Marlon Mack
David Montgomery
RB - CHI
David Montgomery
 
 
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Recommended by
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 20# 21-
Best Rank# 8# 8-
Worst Rank# 34# 34-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total161.10.0-
Avg Game13.4-
Avg Projection175.0159.4-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank279-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
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Marlon MackDavid MontgomeryAdd Player
    
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  Marlon Mack
RB - IND
Marlon Mack
David Montgomery
RB - CHI
David Montgomery
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 at LAC vs. GB
Week 2 at TEN at DEN
Week 3 vs. ATL at WAS
Week 4 vs. OAK vs. MIN
Week 5 at KC at OAK
Week 6BYE WEEKBYE WEEK
Week 7 vs. HOU vs. NO
Week 8 vs. DEN vs. LAC
Week 9 at PIT at PHI
Week 10 vs. MIA vs. DET
Week 11 vs. JAC at LAR
Week 12 at HOU vs. NYG
Week 13 vs. TEN at DET
Week 14 at TB vs. DAL
Week 15 at NO at GB
Week 16 vs. CAR vs. KC
Week 17 at JAC at MIN
  Marlon Mack
RB - IND
Marlon Mack
David Montgomery
RB - CHI
David Montgomery
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts234.6204.1
Rush Yards1,061.9888.1
Rush TDs7.96.4
   
Receiving
   
Receptions26.033.7
Rec Yards187.4275.6
Rec TDs0.91.4
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points175.0159.4
   
  Marlon Mack
RB - IND
Marlon Mack
David Montgomery
RB - CHI
David Montgomery
2018 Points 
Week 1
Week 23.6
Week 3
Week 4
Week 5
Week 69.3
Week 729.9
Week 826.9
Week 9
Week 105.8
Week 1112.9
Week 129.6
Week 133.3
Week 149.3
Week 1524.9
Week 169.8
Week 1715.8
  Marlon Mack
RB - IND
Marlon Mack
David Montgomery
RB - CHI
David Montgomery
2018 Targets 
Week 1
Week 22
Week 3
Week 4
Week 5
Week 62
Week 73
Week 84
Week 9
Week 102
Week 112
Week 122
Week 131
Week 141
Week 151
Week 163
Week 173
  Marlon Mack
RB - IND
Marlon Mack
David Montgomery
RB - CHI
David Montgomery
Expert 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
When drafting a running back in the third- or fourth-round, it's likely they're going to be the No. 2 running back on your fantasy team, and Mack was ideal for that role, until Andrew Luck suddenly retired, putting the whole Colts offense in a different realm. Because of the downgrade to Jacoby Brissett, Mack should be considered an RB3 who does still play behind one of the top offensive lines in the league.It's clear the Bears didn't think Jordan Howard fit their offensive scheme after sending him away for a sixth-round pick, right? So, what does that say about Montgomery, who they traded up into the third-round to get? Howard finished as the RB20 in his first season under Matt Nagy. Montgomery was likely the best pure runner in the draft who's already shown the ability to handle a workhorse role, and offers more in the passing-game than Howard did, though most of that work will go to Tarik Cohen. Montgomery was drafted on a team that's built to win right now, which means he'll have big value immediately
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
He's in line to push 20 touches per game for what should still be a decent offenses despite loss of QB Luck - was No. 11 RB in half-PPR PPG in '18, and closed out final 5 games (inc. playoffs) with 5 TDs and avg. of 101 YFSDraws K. Hunt comparisons because of his vision, versatility, break-tackle running style, and former KC OC M. Nagy drafting Montgomery leads to thoughts that he's looking for his next Hunt in CHI
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Does the Andrew Luck news help or hurt him? I'm leaning in a negative fashion, but he's still a dynamic back with nice upside. I'll just be looking elsewhere for the most part.I love what I've seen from Montgomery and as a Packers fan, it brings tears to my eyes. He's going to be very good right away and I feel like I should be ranking him higher.
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Now that Andrew Luck is retired, most expect Mack to be on the wrong end of negative game scripts, but the Colts have insisted that he will be on the field on third downs like he was as a rookie. If that is the case, Mack still has RB1 potential to go with a safe floor thanks to an incredible offensive line ahead of him.Jordan Howard is now gone after producing for fantasy owners despite lackluster efficiency. Many will take this to mean that the much more talented Montgomery will become a stud from day one, but Mike Davis is in town now too and Tarik Cohen isn't going anywhere so it might not happen quite so quickly.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Mack missed four of the first five games due to injuries, but still managed 908 rushing yards, 4.7 YPC and nine TDs. He is playing behind an emerging offensive line and he should be a low-end RB2 in 2019, even without QB Andrew Luck. 
Rich Piazza
Fantasy Shed
There's no question that everybody on the Colts offense, including the running backs, are going to take some kind of a hit with the Andrew Luck retirement. Mack will get enough usage, and is talented enough, to still finish as a RB2. 
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
Andrew Luck's sudden retirement changes the equation for Mack, but probably not as much as you'd expect. He'll still run behind an elite offensive line and excellent system. Yes, Jacoby Brissett as the quarterback marks a huge downgrade for the entire offense. But the Colts may try to lean on Mack a bit more than they otherwise would have, and he may able to make up a downgrade in efficiency with an uptick in touches. Drop Mack a few spots, but still consider him an RB2.The Bears drafted Montgomery in the third round and he has been impressive so far this preseason. If he was all there was in the Bears backfield then fantasy owners would likely be drafting him as a low-end RB1. But of course they still have Tarik Cohen and they signed Mike Davis, so Montgomery is going to need to share the workload. Given the positive talk about him leading into the season, however, Montgomery should be drafted as a mid-tier RB2.
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
The ADP is a bit odd to me. Yes, he is on a tremendous offense and is the lead back, but he does not have a role in the passing game and will be TD dependent in games where his yardage total is not high. He is similar to Sony Michel, who I just wrote an article about (brotofantasy.com) saying not to draft. Mack had less than 40 total yards in 5 of the 11 games he played in last season and 7 of his 9 TDs came from outside of those games.Since PFF started tracking college football, no running back has forced more than 100 missed tackles in a season. Except David Montgomery, who has done it twice. Montgomery was an absolute workhorse for Iowa State over the course of his collegiate career, he racked up 1200 yards last season with the most missed tackles overall and the most missed tackles per attempt which is even more impressive.He's elusive, he's a good pass blocker, he wasn't super involved in the passing game and wasn't a very good route runner when given the opportunity, but showed some solid hands. Had 71 total receptions in his career without a single drop, so wouldn't be super surprised to see him get a little more work pass catching in the NFL but might need some time to develop if he wants to be a true three down back.
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
 https://youtu.be/PSAsjB0EVvM
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
I am not going to draft Mack at all this season. I don't understand how a guy with so many flaws is being drafted in the third/fourth round. Mack doesn't catch passes, he's not dynamic enough to break off big runs, and is entirely useless in games where the Colts are trailing. He's a TD-dependent RB2 being drafted as much more.Jordan Howard had 1,080 total yards and 9 TDs despite seemingly disappearing from the offense at times last season. If that is the baseline for Montgomery, he'll likely match or exceed the value at his ADP. The issue? Mike Davis may be a thorn in his side after signing in the offseason, starting the first preseason game, and being backed by Nagy throughout the offseason.
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
Mack finished last season with 4/12 games over 115 rushing yards. He's going to be the lead back in a high powered offense, so there's plenty of upside with this pick. Before you get too excited, there are still some negatives with Mack. He was 30th in yards per carry after contact, 33rd in breakaway percentage, 38th in yards created per carry, 54th in elusiveness rating and 55th in juke rate. When it comes down to it, even if Mack isn't as talented as we might think he is, opportunity matters infinitely more than talent. Mack is going to get a lot of opportunity on an elite offense. So makes him a good pick. I won't be going out of my way to target him, since Hines eats into his receiving upside. However, I'm not afraid to take him where he's going.David Montgomery is a very interesting pick in the middle rounds of drafts this season. He's a better RB than Jordan Howard, and he's a much better weapon in the passing game. So, it seems like a no brainer that you should be targeting him at his 4th round ADP. They spent an early third round pick on him, their defense is still going to be elite, and their offense is on track to finish in the top 10. All of this sets Montgomery up for an amazing rookie season. There are some risks though. The Bears have said that they want to cycle in Mike Davis on early downs, and that Cohen will still be used as a pass catcher. So, this has the potential to be a committee. At the end of the day, we're going to see how they plan on running this offense during the preseason, so I'll be able to adjust my rankings accordingly. Right now, my take is that Davis is a very small threat, and that Montgomery is more likely than not to pay off his ADP. If they gave Howard 250+ carries in each of his three seasons, than Montgomery should approach that at the very least, with an expanded passing game role as well.
Kyle Yates
The Fantasy Footballers
 Montgomery steps into a dynamic offense and immediately becomes the starting running back for the Chicago Bears. Montgomery displayed exceptional elusiveness, vision and receiving ability in college and this sets him up extremely well to have a solid rookie campaign. Even with all the weapons there in Chicago, Montgomery is going to receive a ton of volume week in and week out. He's a solid RB2 for your fantasy team that you can get right now in the mid to late rounds.
Kevin Wheeler
Draftwize
Marlon Mack had four games with 125 or more rushing yards in the regular season or post season, tying him with Saquon Barkley and Ezekiel Elliot for tops in the league, no other running back had more than two.