Who Should I Draft?

Matt Ryan or Baker Mayfield

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Experts' Pick
 
  Baker Mayfield
QB - CLE
Baker Mayfield
Matt Ryan
QB - ATL
Matt Ryan
 
 
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Recommended by
59 of 125 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 4# 5-
Best Rank# 1# 1-
Worst Rank# 16# 16-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total240.0354.0-
Avg Game17.122.1-
Avg Projection286.7303.1-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank3010-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Baker MayfieldMatt RyanAdd Player
    
Mark RossM. Ross
Athlon Sports
1 m
#6#3-
    
Nate HamiltonN. Hami...
Fantrax
7 m
#9#3-
    
Michael FlorioM. Florio
Fantrax
8 m
#4#5-
    
Bill EnrightB. Enright
FFChamps
44 m
#3#6-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
The Fantasy Footballers
1 h
#5#16-
    
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
2 h
#3#6-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
2 h
#7#4-
    
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
2 h
#4#6-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
2 h
#5#3-
    
Jake ArthurJ. Arthur
Colts.com
2 h
#3#5-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
3 h
#4#6-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
3 h
#9#4-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
3 h
#6#3-
    
Greg SmithG. Smith
TwoQBs
3 h
#7#6-
    
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
SportsLine
3 h
#3#4-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
4 h
#3#5-
    
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
4 h
#5#6-
    
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
4 h
#4#5-
    
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SleeperWire
4 h
#10#1-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
5 h
#4#5-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
The Quant Edge
6 h
#5#4-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
FantasyData
6 h
#5#11-
    
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
7 h
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FantasyPros
7 h
#8#3-
    
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
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7 h
#5#3-
    
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8 h
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8 h
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9 h
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9 h
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Expand The Boxscore
9 h
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WalterFootball
10 h
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10 h
#5#3-
    
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11 h
#4#5-
    
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11 h
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11 h
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11 h
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12 h
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12 h
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13 h
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13 h
#8#3-
    
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14 h
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FantasyPros
15 h
#5#4-
    
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19 h
#3#8-
    
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20 h
#4#5-
    
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21 h
#6#4-
    
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FantasyPros
21 h
#5#6-
    
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CBS Sports
21 h
#5#12-
    
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CBS Sports
21 h
#4#7-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
DraftWize
22 h
#4#3-
    
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22 h
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Mike RandleM. Randle
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22 h
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23 h
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Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
23 h
#7#2-
    
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
23 h
#3#5-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
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23 h
#5#6-
    
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
24 h
#5#6-
    
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FFToday
1 d
#6#4-
    
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
1 d
#7#8-
    
Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
1 d
#5#8-
    
Corey ParsonC. Parson
RotoExperts
1 d
#4#3-
    
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FantasyOMatic
1 d
#5#4-
    
Seth McKinleyS. McKi...
FF Fellas
1 d
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Justin SablichJ. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy
2 d
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Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
2 d
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Michael BellerM. Beller
The Athletic
2 d
#1#6-
    
Patrick ThormanP. Thorman
Establish the Run
2 d
#3#10-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
RotoExperts
3 d
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FullTime Fantasy
3 d
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Frank StampflF. Stampfl
RotoExperts
3 d
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Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
3 d
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Donald GibsonD. Gibson
FantasyPros
3 d
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Jason SablichJ. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy
3 d
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Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
4 d
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Andy HollowayA. Holl...
The Fantasy Footballers
4 d
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Mike AlexanderM. Alex...
Friends With Fantasy Benefits
4 d
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Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
4 d
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Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
5 d
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Muntradamus M.
Beast Dome
5 d
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Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
5 d
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Take Your League
5 d
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QB List
5 d
#6#4-
    
Michael PetropoulosM. Petr...
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FlurrySports
5 d
#6#4-
    
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5 d
#3#4-
    
Dale DeMottD. DeMott
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
5 d
#5#8-
    
Matthew BoweM. Bowe
Razzball
6 d
#2#8-
    
Nick MarianoN. Mariano
RotoBaller
6 d
#6#5-
    
Dave McKayD. McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
6 d
#2#8-
    
Jason LongfellowJ. Long...
Razzball
7 d
#3#5-
    
Bill DubielB. Dubiel
RotoBaller
7 d
#7#8-
    
Marc CavigliaM. Cavi...
Bruno Boys
1 w
#4#5-
    
George BankoG. Banko
Fantasy Football Helpers
1 w
#7#6-
    
Matt OkadaM. Okada
Redshirts Fantasy Football
1 w
#8#7-
    
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1 w
#9#7-
    
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1 w
#7#8-
    
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Roto Rankings
1 w
#4#5-
    
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1 w
#4#5-
    
1 w
#7#5-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
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1 w
#5#4-
    
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
1 w
#8#5-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
1 w
#7#11-
    
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Athlon Sports
1 w
#2#4-
    
David BiggsD. Biggs
Drink Five
1 w
#6#4-
    
Mundo Fantasy MXM. Fant...
Mundo Fantasy
2 w
#6#7-
    
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FF Statistics
2 w
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Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
2 w
#4#6-
    
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
2 w
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Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
Breaking Football
2 w
#10#8-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
2 w
#6#5-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
2 w
#5#9-
    
Scott SmithS. Smith
RotoViz
2 w
#6#5-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
The Athletic
2 w
#6#3-
    
Ryan Hodge R. Hodge
ProjectRoto
3 w
#6#5-
    
Jeff PaurJ. Paur
RTSports
3 w
#7#5-
    
Kevin HansonK. Hanson
EDSFootball
3 w
#8#7-
    
Thor AkerleyT. Akerley
Fantasy Team Advice
4 w
#5#6-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
2 w
#5#4-
    
Christian BritoC. Brito
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
4 w
#9#8-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
06/27
#3#6-
    
Derek BrownD. Brown
The Quant Edge
06/01
#6#5-
    
Chris MeyersC. Meyers
Athlon Sports
05/07
#12#7-
    
Nick VertucciN. Vert...
Sundays Are For Football
01/31
#12#8-
    
  Baker Mayfield
QB - CLE
Baker Mayfield
Matt Ryan
QB - ATL
Matt Ryan
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. TEN at MIN
Week 2 at NYJ vs. PHI
Week 3 vs. LAR at IND
Week 4 at BAL vs. TEN
Week 5 at SF at HOU
Week 6 vs. SEA at ARI
Week 7BYE WEEK vs. LAR
Week 8 at NE vs. SEA
Week 9 at DENBYE WEEK
Week 10 vs. BUF at NO
Week 11 vs. PIT at CAR
Week 12 vs. MIA vs. TB
Week 13 at PIT vs. NO
Week 14 vs. CIN vs. CAR
Week 15 at ARI at SF
Week 16 vs. BAL vs. JAC
Week 17 at CIN at TB
  Baker Mayfield
QB - CLE
Baker Mayfield
Matt Ryan
QB - ATL
Matt Ryan
Passing
   
Pass Att561.4584.2
Pass Cmp360.6394.4
Pass Yards4,330.44,663.7
Pass TDs31.030.0
Ints14.710.7
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts47.148.2
Rush Yards182.5131.7
Rush TDs0.91.5
   
Misc
   
Fumbles2.42.1
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points286.7303.1
   
  Baker Mayfield
QB - CLE
Baker Mayfield
Matt Ryan
QB - ATL
Matt Ryan
2018 Points 
Week 18.8
Week 230.7
Week 39.840.2
Week 412.829.3
Week 518.014.4
Week 612.327.5
Week 720.919.3
Week 814.1
Week 917.928.0
Week 1022.620.5
Week 1113.7
Week 1225.920.7
Week 1313.97.6
Week 1413.720.5
Week 1512.125.0
Week 1625.019.5
Week 1721.028.3
  Baker Mayfield
QB - CLE
Baker Mayfield
Matt Ryan
QB - ATL
Matt Ryan
Expert 
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
Mayfield took over the reins of the Browns' offense last year in Week 3 against the Jets and it was obvious right away that he was going to be a viable fantasy option for the foreseeable future. With the addition of Odell Beckham Jr., Mayfield has the chance to be a top-five fantasy quarterback without needing too many things to go right. With new offensive coordinator Todd Monken coming over from the Bucs and their emphasis on deep passing, Mayfield's projections could easily go overboard, though it's worth noting that it's unclear how much of Tampa Bay's system was from Monken as opposed to Dirk Koetter. But given how fantastic he looked in the first preseason game against the Redskins, it looks like all the pieces are there for a special season from Mayfield.Ryan had a quietly elite season last year, passing for 4,924 yards and 35 touchdowns against just seven interceptions. Ryan has had a bit of a good year-bad year trajectory over the last several seasons, but with Dirk Koetter back with the Falcons, Ryan should buck that trend with his second consecutive excellent season. He's not exciting, but with outstanding weapons and a great home venue, he should be one of the elite fantasy quarterbacks this season.
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
All Baker did as a rookie was throw for 3725 yards and a rookie record 27 TDs. He now has a ridiculous supporting cast of OBJ, Landry, Njoku, Chubb, Higgins and the list goes on. Big time potential.Matty Ice gets 13 of his games in a dome this season, where he has excelled in his career and is the best for fantasy purposes. He also gets a new OC, albeit he has worked with him before, but Ryan tends to struggle in his first season with a new offense before having a huge season his second year. He put up 4924/35 last season, 4095/20 the year before that, would not be surprised if he meets both those totals in the middle this season.
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Mayfield was extraordinarily impressive as a rookie, breaking the TD record in just 12 starts and without much talent in his receiving corps. Even still, the landscape of the game has it that he was only tied for 12th in fantasy points and behind both Dak Prescott and Mitch Trubisky. While Baker is underrated in the running game and adds Odell Beckham, it may be premature to assume he will leap into the top five.Ryan is not as sexy to own as Mahomes or Rodgers, but he certainly has gotten the job done over the last three seasons. In that time, no fantasy football player has more fantasy points, and with a reasonable 5.6% TD-rate, that pace appears to be sustainable. It further helps that he may have the best receiving corps in football.
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
Baker Mayfield sat out the first two games and set the rookie record for TD passes. Freddie Kitchens stayed on as HC, Todd Monken came in as OC and both of these guys use an air raid offense. We can expect a lot of 3WR/4WR sets that spread the entire field and allow Mayfield to use his insane repertoire of weapons. Mayfield may not end in the top-3 QBs because he doesn't use his legs, but he has top-5 upside as an MVP candidate. 
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
I'm not so quick to crown Baker or the Browns. He was the 16th quarterback last year and while I see him rising, I don't see the need to over pay here.Ryan's weapons are fantastic and he continues to be underrated. I won't pay a premium price to own him, but you won't be sad you drafted him.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Mayfield was thrown into a tough situation last year, but pulled through better than most expected. Once the Browns got rid of Hue Jackson, Mayfield completed 68.4 percent of his passes and averaged 281.8 yards, 2.4 touchdowns, and 1.0 interception per game. The Browns added Odell Beckham this offseason, which definitely won't hurt. The reason to remain a bit wary of Mayfield taking the leap into elite territory is due to the defense getting much better and them running the ball a bit more to eat clock. He should present a high-floor for a middling QB1, howeverLet's be clear - Ryan isn't going to throw the ball 608 times again in 2019. That happened last year due to the insane amount of injuries to their defensive starters, as well as the injuries to both Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman. Still, Ryan has proved to be a reliable fantasy quarterback who may not provide the highest weekly upside, but he offers more stability than most. He's been a top-12 type performer in 27-of-48 games the last three years, so he's still not someone you should reach for
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
Baker is set up to dominate this season. They have an elite ground game to go along with Odell/Landry/Njoku in the passing attack. Not to mention Duke Johnson (until they trade him). Baker has my highest passing yardage projection for any player, and if he has a favorable season in the TD department then he could very well end up in the top 3 for QB's. I don't draft QB's early, so I likely won't be drafting him...but if he falls later than he should then he's a guy I'm comfortable targeting.My ranking on Matt Ryan is likely going to be lower than most. It's not that I think he's a bad pick, I just don't like taking non mobile QB's. Ryan is going to add virtually nothing with his legs (never been over 150 rushing yards), so if he gets a bit unlucky in the TD department then he's going to bust. Here are Matt Ryan's finishes over the last 10 seasons: 14/19/8/8/7/15/7/19/2/15/2. Matt Ryan is a good QB, but he's had two seasons with abnormally high TD rates...care to take a guess which two? Even giving him the 5th highest passing TD projection, I just can't justify ranking him as high as he's being taken in drafts. He's going to need to get lucky with TD's to pay off, and I don't draft mid round QB's who need to get lucky. That's just not a winning strategy.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Mayfield set a NFL Record with 27 passing touchdowns in his rookie season. The Browns have a lot to be excited about this year and Mayfield should be in the QB1 discussion this year with the addition of WR Odell Beckham Jr.Ryan was 2nd among fantasy quarterbacks, thanks to 4,924 yards passing, 35 passing touchdowns and just 7 picks. He should continue to be great fantasy player in 2019.