Who Should I Draft?

Mike Evans or Doug Baldwin

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Experts' Pick
 
  Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
Doug Baldwin
WR - SEA
Doug Baldwin
 
 
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Recommended by
24 of 152 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 10# 15-
Best Rank# 3# 7-
Worst Rank# 23# 29-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total132.1150.3-
Avg Game8.89.4-
Avg Projection153.6142.3-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank1819-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
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Mike EvansDoug BaldwinAdd Player
    
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08/18
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08/28
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08/29
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  Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
Doug Baldwin
WR - SEA
Doug Baldwin
2018 Schedule 
Week 1 at NO at DEN
Week 2 vs. PHI at CHI
Week 3 vs. PIT vs. DAL
Week 4 at CHI at ARI
Week 5BYE WEEK vs. LAR
Week 6 at ATL at OAK
Week 7 vs. CLEBYE WEEK
Week 8 at CIN at DET
Week 9 at CAR vs. LAC
Week 10 vs. WAS at LAR
Week 11 at NYG vs. GB
Week 12 vs. SF at CAR
Week 13 vs. CAR vs. SF
Week 14 vs. NO vs. MIN
Week 15 at BAL at SF
Week 16 at DAL vs. KC
Week 17 vs. ATL vs. ARI
  Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
Doug Baldwin
WR - SEA
Doug Baldwin
Receiving
   
Receptions81.477.1
Rec Yards1,128.61,001.7
Rec TDs6.97.0
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts0.02.0
Rush Yards0.05.6
Rush TDs0.00.0
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points153.6142.3
   
  Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
Doug Baldwin
WR - SEA
Doug Baldwin
2017 Points 
Week 16.0
Week 215.34.4
Week 36.716.5
Week 412.77.5
Week 54.93.7
Week 615.5
Week 714.815.2
Week 86.05.4
Week 91.316.8
Week 109.5
Week 119.210.0
Week 127.82.0
Week 133.38.4
Week 142.513.8
Week 1513.90.6
Week 1610.79.5
Week 177.521.0
  Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
Doug Baldwin
WR - SEA
Doug Baldwin
2017 Targets 
Week 14
Week 299
Week 31215
Week 4113
Week 588
Week 68
Week 71012
Week 81010
Week 9612
Week 106
Week 11106
Week 12123
Week 1367
Week 1456
Week 1584
Week 1686
Week 17135
  Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
Doug Baldwin
WR - SEA
Doug Baldwin
Expert 
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
Evans had only 71 receptions for 1,001 yards and 5 touchdowns, but he is an elite talent and he should rebound next year. The likely 3-game suspension of QB Jameis Winston hurts his value early in the year, but he should still be in the high WR2 to low WR1 mix. Baldwin averaged 9.1 fantasy points per game and if the Seahawks can improve their offensive line play, his production could go higher in 2018. The only concern is a knee issue that Baldwin claims will never be 100% this season. That is a big red flag for a soon to be 30-year old player, but he will see too many targets to be less than a WR2 this year.
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
Jameis Winston's three-game suspension doesn't pose a major problem for Evans, who caught 14 of 30 targets for 265 yards and a TD in three full games with Ryan Fitzpatrick. Yet an inefficient WR20 season still sparks concern regardless of Tampa Bay's signal-caller. He barely exceeded 1,000 yards (1,001) for the fourth time in as many years, but posted an underwhelming 52.9 catch % and five TDs. While high volume--his nine looks inside the 10 yielded just one score--should trigger a bounce-back, 2016's 96 catches is now the clear outlier in a career catalog with no other 75-catch output. Antonio Brown and Julio Jones are the only other wideouts besides Baldwin who have ended the past three years among the position's top 12. He has gone from value to risk because of a preseason knee injury, but he once again looks like a fine third- or fourth-round selection with an encouraging Week 1 prognosis.
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
As far as power-forward WR types go, you'd be hard pressed to find a better specimen than Evans - look at last season (71-1001-5) as his floor and '16 (96-1321-12) as something close to his ceiling - I'm comfortable splitting that difference hereSays his knee will only be at 80-85% this season - that's a bit of a concern, but expect the WR technician to power through it, and handle one of the healthiest target shares in the league
Jody Smith
FantasyPros
Strong rebound target, Evans is being undervalued due to his disappointing 2017 that still resulted in 136 targets in 15 games and 1,000+ yards. Could move up a tad when we hear definitive word on his availability for Week 1
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Evans has managed 1,000+ yards each of his first four seasons, but he was just the WR20 in 2017. With Winston out the first three weeks, Evans' stock drops a little, but he is still a WR1 who can be targeted at the start of third rounds in 12-team leagues.Russell Wilson has been tremendous each and every year since he took over, and once again, Baldwin is far and away his top target. He should catch 70+ passes for the fourth consecutive season and continue his high TD-rate (29 TDs in 3 seasons). He isn't reliable game to game, however, and is dealing with a knee injury otherwise he would be up in the second tier of fantasy receivers.
Christopher Ventra
RotoExperts
 *Injured - Likely Ready For WK 1*
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Anyone who drafted Evans last year has a bad taste in their mouth, though we've always said that touchdowns are the hardest thing to predict, even when you're 6-foot-5 and 231 pounds. Evans now has two 12 touchdown seasons under his belt, but the other two netted a combined eight touchdowns. Still, he's now produced 1,000 yards in each of his four seasons, which is something you need to value. If Jameis Winston takes a step forward in his career, Evans could be right back in the first-round conversation next year. The suspension to Winston for the first three weeks might turn out to be okay, because if you recall, Ryan Fitzpatrick produced two top-20 wide receivers with the Jets just a couple years ago in Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker. While everyone seems to be foaming at the mouth to draft Rashaad Penny, it's Baldwin who is the most valuable asset on the Seahawks roster. It's rare to find a wide receiver who is as underappreciated as Baldwin, who has now finished as a top-13 wide receiver in each of the last three seasons. Not only has he averaged 1,062.7 yards in that span, but he's scored 29 touchdowns, and that was with Jimmy Graham on the roster. I shouldn't have to remind you that Graham is gone, and the Seahawks didn't add a wide receiver of significance to replace Paul Richardson. Baldwin is a low-end WR1 with upside. You should know that Baldwin suffered some sort of knee injury at the start of training camp and is expected to miss the preseason games. While he doesn't necessarily need the work as a veteran, it's added risk to his fantasy appeal.
Staff Rankings
QB List
Sitting atop the 3rd tier of my rankings is the Bucaneers' undisputed #1 receiver, Mike Evans. Typically thought of as a top 10 wideout, I have Evans in my fourth tier for a plethora of red flags which point to his down 2017 as more indicative of his 2018 than some might think. Evans sports a 52.2 % catch rate, good for 87th among wideouts. While a great deal of this poor catch rate might be due to poor quarterback play, this year looks no better in that department as he'll be catching passes from Harvard's resident genius Ryan Fitzpatrick, and embattled (former?) franchise quarterback Jameis Winston. Even if we decide to ignore that, he remains in an offense anchored by a subpar O-line and featuring several accessory pieces with established target shares and a young tight end in O.J. Howard poised for an expanded role in his sophomore season. You'll enjoy the highlight catches Evans can and will make, but know his upside is crippled due to the subpar team surrounding him."The Guy" in the Seattle receiving corps has been putting up big numbers for 3 seasons now and is poised to do so once again in 2018. The departure of Paul Richardson, and major additions to the Seattle offensive line give Baldwin a great shot at blowing away his relative down 2017 and regaining his spot among the top 10 receivers in fantasy. At the very least, Baldwin remains a key red zone target for Russell Wilson and a pass-happy Seattle offense now without overrated tight end Jimmy Graham.
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
He's taking a massive hit in the first three weeks and his long-term outlook isn't overly appealing for 2018He's basically all Russell Wilson has so you have to consider his upside this year. That being said, he's already hurt so rust/injury have to be a concern
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
Jameis Winston is suspended for the first 3 games of the season. That's the first reason I have Mike Evans ranked as a WR 2 this season. The second is how difficult their schedule is. They face one of the hardest schedules of passing defenses in the league. When you add to that the amount of weapons that offense has (speaking in terms of total numbers) you get a guy who needs to win on efficiency in order to pay off. That's not something Evans has showed us he can do. I'm staying away this season and I suggest you do the same. 
Kevin Wheeler
NFL Mock
I think he comes back to WR1 form, but the Winston suspension will slow his start. Over the last three seasons, Doug Baldwin is one of four players to post over 3,000 receiving yards and 25 touchdowns.
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
Gigantic upside but showed that he has a lower floor than the receivers listed above himRemains a reliable fantasy option despite talent limitations; one of the elite workers in the NFL