Who Should I Draft?

Patrick Mahomes or Chris Carson

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Chris Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
 
 
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Recommended by
64 of 119 experts
46%
Recommended by
55 of 119 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 38# 39-
Best Rank# 7# 12-
Worst Rank# 65# 62-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total417.0181.4-
Avg Game26.113.0-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank326-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Patrick MahomesChris CarsonAdd Player
    
Bobby SylvesterB. Sylv...
FantasyPros
20 m
#39#21-
    
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
FantasyPros
23 m
#26#32-
    
Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
24 m
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Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
FantasyPros
57 m
#32#12-
    
Husein ShabazzH. Shabazz
SleeperWire
1 h
#51#28-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
1 h
#35#32-
    
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
2 h
#34#42-
    
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3 h
#32#35-
    
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4 h
#49#31-
    
Muntradamus M.
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6 h
#59#45-
    
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9 h
#32#29-
    
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Fantasy Shed
11 h
#54#40-
    
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11 h
#32#44-
    
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12 h
#32#29-
    
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Take Your League
14 h
#32#14-
    
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15 h
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Nick ZylakN. Zylak
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16 h
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16 h
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17 h
#38#25-
    
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17 h
#32#28-
    
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#39#36-
    
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17 h
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18 h
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20 h
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#32#57-
    
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#32#45-
    
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1 d
#32#26-
    
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#31#28-
    
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#32#26-
    
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#22#39-
    
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#32#14-
    
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#35#32-
    
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#32#24-
    
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2 d
#46#24-
    
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2 d
#35#32-
    
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2 d
#31#33-
    
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2 d
#22#55-
    
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2 d
#35#38-
    
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2 d
#40#51-
    
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2 d
#33#45-
    
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Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#32#47-
    
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Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#54#28-
    
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SkullKing Football
2 d
#22#25-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
The Quant Edge
2 d
#32#40-
    
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FantasyPros
2 d
#32#39-
    
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Justin GeorgeJ. George
Take Your League
2 d
#32#14-
    
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The Athletic
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Jason LongfellowJ. Long...
Razzball
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#32#45-
    
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2 d
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Anthony AmicoA. Amico
DraftKings
2 d
#65#42-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
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#41#23-
    
Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
2 d
#50#29-
    
Matt CampM. Camp
Bleacher Report
2 d
#47#19-
    
Marc CavigliaM. Cavi...
Bruno Boys
3 d
#32#35-
    
Michael FlorioM. Florio
Fantrax
3 d
#32#28-
    
Seth McKinleyS. McKi...
FF Fellas
3 d
#32#28-
    
George BankoG. Banko
Fantasy Football Helpers
3 d
#57#54-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
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#32#28-
    
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FantasyOMatic
3 d
#18#33-
    
Nick HumphreysN. Hump...
Fantasy Victors
3 d
#32#18-
    
Matt OkadaM. Okada
Redshirts Fantasy Football
3 d
#54#26-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
3 d
#54#53-
    
Elisha TwerskiE. Twerski
FantasyPros
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SmittyS.
SleeperU
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Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
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Heath CappsH. Capps
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Scott WhitfieldS. Whit...
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Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
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5th Down Fantasy
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Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
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Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
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Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
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Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
DraftWize
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Mike MonkM. Monk
IDP Monk
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#35#51-
    
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FFToday
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#37#34-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
5 d
#32#24-
    
Jason MooreJ. Moore
The Fantasy Footballers
5 d
#32#36-
    
Walton SpurlinW. Spurlin
FantasyPros
5 d
#32#35-
    
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
5 d
#42#40-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
5 d
#38#31-
    
Mark RossM. Ross
Athlon Sports
5 d
#34#25-
    
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FullTime Fantasy
5 d
#32#62-
    
Matt De LimaM. De Lima
FullTime Fantasy
5 d
#32#40-
    
J.P. ScottJ. Scott
Athlon Sports
5 d
#21#45-
    
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Drink Five
6 d
#32#36-
    
Mundo Fantasy MXM. Fant...
Mundo Fantasy
7 d
#32#24-
    
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The Fantasy Fix
7 d
#32#39-
    
Nate HamiltonN. Hami...
Fantrax
7 d
#57#46-
    
Anthony StaggsA. Staggs
FF Statistics
7 d
#35#33-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
1 w
#35#44-
    
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Legion Report
1 w
#35#36-
    
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Fantasy Hot Read
1 w
#35#46-
    
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CBS Sports
1 w
#42#60-
    
Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
Breaking Football
1 w
#35#51-
    
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
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1 w
#35#44-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
2 w
#15#32-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
2 w
#35#43-
    
Scott SmithS. Smith
RotoViz
2 w
#48#42-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
The Athletic
2 w
#22#43-
    
Ryan Hodge R. Hodge
ProjectRoto
2 w
#35#38-
    
Jeff PaurJ. Paur
RTSports
2 w
#35#55-
    
Thor AkerleyT. Akerley
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3 w
#35#44-
    
Jake ArthurJ. Arthur
Colts.com
4 w
#32#45-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
4 w
#35#33-
    
Christian BritoC. Brito
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
3 w
#31#37-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
FantasyData
07/15
#59#102-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
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06/27
#22#83-
    
Derek BrownD. Brown
The Quant Edge
06/01
#47#55-
    
David FucilloD. Fucillo
SB Nation
05/08
#22#43-
    
Chris MeyersC. Meyers
Athlon Sports
05/07
#22#36-
    
Nick VertucciN. Vert...
Sundays Are For Football
01/31
#26#36-
    
  Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Chris Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 at JAC vs. CIN
Week 2 at OAK at PIT
Week 3 vs. BAL vs. NO
Week 4 at DET at ARI
Week 5 vs. IND vs. LAR
Week 6 vs. HOU at CLE
Week 7 at DEN vs. BAL
Week 8 vs. GB at ATL
Week 9 vs. MIN vs. TB
Week 10 at TEN at SF
Week 11 at LACBYE WEEK
Week 12BYE WEEK at PHI
Week 13 vs. OAK vs. MIN
Week 14 at NE at LAR
Week 15 vs. DEN at CAR
Week 16 at CHI vs. ARI
Week 17 vs. LAC vs. SF
  Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Chris Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
2018 Points 
Week 128.35.9
Week 238.82.4
Week 325.318.4
Week 422.9
Week 515.812.7
Week 627.05.9
Week 732.8
Week 826.018.4
Week 926.84.0
Week 1020.1
Week 1135.912.3
Week 1212.3
Week 1333.010.8
Week 1420.815.0
Week 1518.020.8
Week 1628.223.6
Week 1717.318.9
  Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Chris Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
Expert 
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
Depending on the format, he was typically 4-5 FAN PTS better per week than the No. 2 overall fantasy QB - sure, regression is bound to happen, but don't expect too much - special talent, great system, ample weaponsR. Penny apologists need to understand that Carson is exactly the kind of between the tackles, chain-moving workhorse that SEA wants to hitch its wagon to - and now it wants to use him more in the passing game too
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
Lowering him to the start of Round 5. Still my top ranked fantasy QB, but I like Deshaun Watson almost as much.Assuming he's healthy going into Week 1, I had to bump him up a few spots. He could easily be a top-10 RB if he plays 14-16 games.
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
Overall QB1. Anyone who says otherwise is trying to be too cute. 
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
In terms of raw fantasy points, Mahomes broke the historical quarterback record, but when you compare him to the QB13, or above replacement value, he was merely 20th of all-time. While that is still great, of course, it was driven by an astronomical and unsustainable touchdown rate. Regress that to the expected mean and there is no reason you should be considering him in the 2nd, let alone 1st round. If he drops to the late 3rd, however, that would be a strong value.Carson is the ultimate boom or bust running back this season. Seattle may very well lead the league in carries again this season and Carson is about as efficient as they come. The concern, however, is that his knee will allow Penny to pass him on the depth chart. If that happens, Carson will still be a solid flex play, but if Carson holds onto the starting job, don't be shocked if he finishes top 10 or perhaps even higher this year.
Kevin Wheeler
DraftWize
 SEA RBs scored 352 FP (Std), 385 (half-PPR), 418 (PPR) last year. If Carson sees 67% = 236 (RB6 last year), 258 (RB6), 280 (RB6) If he sees 60% = 211 (RB8), 231 (RB9), 251 (RB9) 55% = 194 (RB11), 212 (RB12), 230 (RB12) Last year he scored 53%, 51% and 49% respectively. @4for4_John
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Mahomes did score 417 fantasy points last year, but quarterbacks rarely duplicate historic seasons. I think Mahomes will have a great year, but I do not think he reaches 417 fantasy points again.The big concern for Carson is going to be 2018 first round pick Rashaad Penny's role in the offense. The Seattle offense runs the ball enough to support two running backs, but Carson is hardly a guarantee to keep the bell cow role for the entire 2019 season.
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
The #1 QB in True Throw Value last season, Mahomes (unsurprisingly) had the most valuable throw of any QB last season. Even with regression, he can still be a top-3 QB. However, he's being taken too early in drafts.Only six RBs had more rushes than Carson last season - behind Zeke, Barkley, DJ, Gurley, AP, and Jordan Howard (Very unlikely a lot of those guys make that list this year). In Seattle, Carson only received 55% of the team's carries. In comparison, Penny and Davis saw 19% and 26% last year. With Davis gone and not a real third option, why are we assuming Penny is going to take all of Davis' work? Or that He'll take Carson's job? If this becomes a 60-65/35-40 split, Carson will see MORE work than he saw last year. He's a steal at his ADP.
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
I won't actually be investing an early round pick on a QB, but Mahomes remains the guy if you plan on doing so. 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Yes, Mahomes is coming off the best fantasy season of all-time for a quarterback. Yes, he's going to have some regression. He threw a touchdown on 8.6 percent of his passes in 2018, the seventh-highest mark of all-time. Here's the list of quarterbacks who are ahead of them, included with their touchdown rate in that season, as well as the following season: Peyton Manning (9.9 to 6.2), Ken Stabler (9.3 to 6.8), Deshaun Watson (9.3 to 5.1), Aaron Rodgers (9.0 to 7.1), Tom Brady (8.7 to 5.0), Mark Rypien (8.7 to 4.6). Don't pay for last year's statsThere are a lot of reasons to like Carson. Looking at how he finished the season, it's hard not to. From Week 12 on, he finished as the No. 4 fantasy running back behind only Christian McCaffrey, Derrick Henry, and Saquon Barkley. While Rashaad Penny is still there (and a former first-round pick), Mike Davis exited town, leaving behind plenty of touches for Penny. While Carson may not have the upside of others who are used in the pass-game consistently, he should be a solid RB2 provided he's healthy. This, of course, is a concern after hearing Carson "had a little work done" on his knee this offseason, so stay tuned for updates
Sean Koerner
The Action Network
 knee surgery is OK. may hold Penny off again. massive upside still in heavy run scheme Brian Schottenheimer
Kyle Yates
The Fantasy Footballers
Without Tyreek Hill, it's hard to imagine 5,000 yards and 50 Touchdowns again from Patrick Mahomes. With that being said, he's still projected to be my Top QB this season and he should be the first QB off the board in fantasy drafts. 
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
My exact ranking on Mahomes is going to depend on whether or not Hill is suspended. If he is, then I don't see how you can draft Mahomes. If he isn't, then his ADP is likely to rise to a point where you can's draft him. So either way, it's a no for me. I understand that he just posted over 5,000 yards and 50 TD's. But I also know that he just had one of the best years ever in terms of passing TD percentage...and that he's likely to see at least a little regression in that category. But the main reason for not drafting him is the opportunity cost. He's the top ranked QB this season...no one is going to deny that. But this season has the single deepest QB pool in the history of the NFL. There are around 25 QB's that you can make the case for starting in a 12 team league. Will all of them pan out? Of course not. But there are going to be QB's going in the 12th round and later that finish within a point per game of the top tier. It's just not worth spending such a high pick at a position where there are so many elite options going at the end of drafts. And this is especially true if Hill were to miss any number of games.Chris Carson put together an excellent second season last year, posting a 247/1151/9 stat line and finishing as the RB 15 in half ppr scoring. Had he played a full 16 weeks then he likely would have finished as a RB 1. This season I do expect him to get less carries. The Seahawks used a first round pick on Penny, and they're going to use him. He was better than people think last season, and teams love to be right with their early round picks. That by no means makes Carson a bad pick. The Seattle is going to run the ball a ton, so he can still pay off his ADP even if Penny gets a lot of work. I just prefer waiting and grabbing Penny later in drafts if I'm targeting this backfield.