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Patrick Mahomes or Deshaun Watson

Who Should I Draft?

Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Patrick MahomesP. Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Deshaun WatsonD. Watson
QB - HOU
Deshaun Watson
Expert
Recommendation

100%
Recommended by
127 of 127 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 127 experts
Most Accurate Experts 
   
Top Experts 100% 0%
Top QB Experts100%0%
Top Player Experts100%0%
   
Rankings 
   
ECR# 1# 6
Best Rank# 1# 3
Worst Rank# 3# 12
   
Fantasy Points 
   
Season Total291.9332.0
Avg Game20.922.1
Avg Projection341.9310.9
   
Schedule 
   
SOS Rank2230
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert
   
Expert Ranks 
Patrick MahomesDeshaun Watson
   
Lawrence JacksonL. Jackson
Fantasy Football Lord
2 h
#3#4
   
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
7 h
#1#6
   
Kevin ScottK. Scott
The Intersecting
8 h
#1#4
   
Garret PriceG. Price
Dynasty Nerds
9 h
#1#5
   
Ryan SkolrudR. Skolrud
SkullKing Sports
9 h
#1#6
   
Matthew BetzM. Betz
BallBlast
9 h
#2#6
   
Kyle AugustK. August
FF Fellas
10 h
#1#5
   
Justin DoddsJ. Dodds
Locked In Football
13 h
#1#6
   
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
14 h
#1#6
   
Greg SmithG. Smith
TwoQBs
16 h
#1#6
   
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
16 h
#1#7
   
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
FTN
16 h
#1#4
   
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
17 h
#2#6
   
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
17 h
#2#5
   
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
18 h
#1#5
   
Dave LoughranD. Loug...
Awesemo
19 h
#1#7
   
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
SportsLine
20 h
#2#7
   
Morgan ColbyM. Colby
The Fantasy Champions
21 h
#1#4
   
Kyle YatesK. Yates
FantasyPros
21 h
#2#3
   
Tim PetropoulosT. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
21 h
#1#6
   
Michael PetropoulosM. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
21 h
#1#6
   
Ben WasleyB. Wasley
The Fantasy First Down
24 h
#1#7
   
Steven PintadoS. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches
1 d
#1#6
   
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
1 d
#2#5
   
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
1 d
#1#6
   
Husein ShabazzH. Shabazz
SleeperWire
1 d
#1#2
   
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
1 d
#1#3
   
Site RankingsS. Rank...
FFToday
1 d
#2#6
   
Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
2 d
#2#4
   
Nick HumphreysN. Hump...
Fantasy Victors
2 d
#2#6
   
Bill EnrightB. Enright
Sports Illustrated
2 d
#1#7
   
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
FantasyPros
2 d
#1#9
   
Nolan KellyN. Kelly
Awesemo
2 d
#2#5
   
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
2 d
#2#6
   
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#1#6
   
Adam PfeiferA. Pfeifer
FTN
2 d
#1#4
   
Zachary HanshewZ. Hanshew
FantasyPros
2 d
#2#10
   
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#1#7
   
Tal MalachovskyT. Mala...
The Fantasy Scout
2 d
#3#8
   
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
2 d
#2#3
   
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
2 d
#1#5
   
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
2 d
#1#3
   
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
3 d
#2#8
   
Matt HarmonM. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports
3 d
#1#7
   
Blake FincherB. Fincher
Fantasy Football Cafe
3 d
#1#5
   
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
3 d
#1#6
   
Tyler OrginskiT. Orgi...
Fantasy Hot Read
3 d
#3#5
   
Jason PetropoulosJ. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
3 d
#2#7
   
Patrick ThormanP. Thorman
Establish the Run
3 d
#2#4
   
Michael FlorioM. Florio
RotoBaller
3 d
#2#6
   
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
3 d
#2#3
   
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
3 d
#2#5
   
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
3 d
#2#5
   
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
3 d
#1#4
   
Kevin HansonK. Hanson
EDSFootball
4 d
#2#6
   
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
4 d
#1#8
   
Matt BrandonM. Brandon
Matt Brandon
4 d
#1#6
   
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
4 d
#1#5
   
Dennis SosicD. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
4 d
#1#4
   
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
4 d
#1#7
   
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
4 d
#2#6
   
Lukas KacerL. Kacer
The Fantasy Stock Exchange
5 d
#2#5
   
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
5 d
#1#6
   
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
5 d
#2#5
   
Site RankingsS. Rank...
FantasyOMatic
5 d
#2#5
   
Ryan Hodge R. Hodge
FantasyLabs
5 d
#2#4
   
Bill DubielB. Dubiel
RotoBaller
5 d
#1#4
   
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
5 d
#2#6
   
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
6 d
#1#5
   
Seth MillerS. Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
6 d
#2#5
   
Mark RossM. Ross
Athlon Sports
7 d
#2#5
   
Andy VandaA. Vanda
Take Your League
1 w
#1#6
   
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
1 w
#1#5
   
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
1 w
#1#6
   
John PaulsenJ. Paulsen
4for4.com
1 w
#1#4
   
Gerson AguirreG. Aguirre
Going For 2
1 w
#2#4
   
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
1 w
#2#4
   
Huseyin AksuH. Aksu
Fantasy Couch
1 w
#2#7
   
Justin GeorgeJ. George
Take Your League
1 w
#2#12
   
Michael BellerM. Beller
The Athletic
1 w
#1#7
   
Richard KingR. King
King Fantasy Sports
1 w
#1#5
   
Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
2 w
#1#4
   
Doug MooreD. Moore
Inside the Pylon
2 w
#1#5
   
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
2 w
#1#5
   
Davis MattekD. Mattek
RotoExperts
2 w
#1#5
   
Jordan RainsJ. Rains
Expand The Boxscore
2 w
#1#4
   
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
DK Nation
2 w
#1#5
   
Matt CampM. Camp
Bleacher Report
2 w
#1#4
   
Justin SablichJ. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy
2 w
#1#6
   
Michael HauffM. Hauff
Gridiron Experts
2 w
#1#5
   
Elisha TwerskiE. Twerski
numberFire
2 w
#1#5
   
Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
Gridiron Experts
2 w
#1#4
   
Kyle RichardsonK. Rich...
The Fantasy Headliners
2 w
#1#9
   
Scott SmithS. Smith
RotoViz
2 w
#1#6
   
Jacob W. DunneJ. W. D...
New Life Fantasy
2 w
#1#4
   
Kate MagdziukK. Magd...
BallBlast
2 w
#1#5
   
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
2 w
#2#4
   
Brad EvansB. Evans
FTN
3 w
#1#6
   
Matt OkadaM. Okada
BallBlast
3 w
#1#13
   
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
FullTime Fantasy
3 w
#2#3
   
Chris KennedyC. Kennedy
The Fantasy Headliners
3 w
#2#4
   
Geoff LambertG. Lambert
Going For 2
3 w
#2#5
   
Matthew BoweM. Bowe
Razzball
4 w
#1#8
   
Jeff PaurJ. Paur
RTSports
4 w
#2#6
   
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
4 w
#2#6
   
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
Important Nonsense
4 w
#2#4
   
SmittyS.
SleeperU
07/14
#1#3
   
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
Pro Football Focus
07/14
#1#3
   
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
07/14
#2#3
   
Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
07/06
#1#3
   
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
07/04
#2#6
   
Mike AlexanderM. Alex...
Friends With Fantasy Benefits
07/03
#2#5
   
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
07/02
#1#5
   
Zach BrunnerZ. Brunner
FlurrySports
07/01
#2#4
   
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
Draftwize
07/01
#1#5
   
Matt MacCoyM. MacCoy
Fantasy Team Advice
2 d
#2#6
   
Nick MarianoN. Mariano
RotoBaller
06/24
#2#6
   
06/23
#2#3
   
Ben RolfeB. Rolfe
The Touchdown
06/29
#2#3
   
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
FTN
07/09
#2#6
   
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
Roto Ranks
06/07
#2#5
   
Frank BonincontriF. Boni...
Fantasy Wire HQ
2 w
#2#6
   
Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
05/29
#2#6
   
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
05/24
#2#4
   
Anthony AmicoA. Amico
FTN
05/16
#2#3
   
Mike RandleM. Randle
BettingPros
05/08
#3#11
   
Steven SpaccarotelliS. Spac...
SleeperWire
01/14
#2#3
   
Player Game Logs Comparison
  Patrick MahomesP. Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Deshaun WatsonD. Watson
QB - HOU
Deshaun Watson
2020 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. HOU at KC
Week 2 at LAC vs. BAL
Week 3 at BAL at PIT
Week 4 vs. NE vs. MIN
Week 5 vs. LV vs. JAC
Week 6 at BUF at TEN
Week 7 at DEN vs. GB
Week 8 vs. NYJBYE WEEK
Week 9 vs. CAR at JAC
Week 10BYE WEEK at CLE
Week 11 at LV vs. NE
Week 12 at TB at DET
Week 13 vs. DEN vs. IND
Week 14 at MIA at CHI
Week 15 at NO at IND
Week 16 vs. ATL vs. CIN
Week 17 vs. LAC vs. TEN
Player Projections Comparison
  Patrick MahomesP. Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Deshaun WatsonD. Watson
QB - HOU
Deshaun Watson
Passing
   
Pass Att569.1527.0
Pass Cmp371.5346.2
Pass Yards4,572.44,014.0
Pass TDs34.225.9
Ints10.712.7
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts57.391.3
Rush Yards297.5495.9
Rush TDs3.04.6
   
Misc
   
Fumbles2.12.6
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points341.9310.9
   
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
  Patrick MahomesP. Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Deshaun WatsonD. Watson
QB - HOU
Deshaun Watson
2019 Points 
Week 127.331.7
Week 231.612.9
Week 327.925.8
Week 418.011.6
Week 518.541.7
Week 619.831.4
Week 77.217.5
Week 827.8
Week 919.7
Week 1029.8
Week 1116.25.0
Week 1219.9
Week 1319.527.9
Week 1414.930.1
Week 1523.718.9
Week 1625.410.1
Week 1712.1
Notes for Player Combination
  Patrick MahomesP. Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Deshaun WatsonD. Watson
QB - HOU
Deshaun Watson
Expert 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
We talked until we couldn't talk anymore about the regression Mahomes would face in 2019, though many didn't want to believe it. Here's the thing: He's still very good. His 5.4 percent touchdown rate is one that is easily sustainable and one he can even improve on as he continues to grow in his career. Over the last two years, he's produced QB1-type numbers in 21-of-29 games where he's played the entire game (had to leave early against the Broncos in Week 7 last year). That's a ridiculous 72.4 percent rate. To give an idea as to how crazy that is, the highest career rate outside of him since 2000 is 63.2 percent. If you want to take him as the No. 1 quarterback off the board, no one would fault you. He's worthy of a late third-round pick.Let's be clear: Losing your No. 1 receiver (DeAndre Hopkins) that you targeted nearly 10 times per game is going to hurt production, especially when he was the type of receiver you could throw the ball up to in one-on-one situations and expect him to win. The Texans now have Will Fuller, Brandin Cooks, Randall Cobb, Kenny Stills, and Keke Coutee as his primary receivers. That's a list complied of speed and slot... that's it. Watson might be running more than ever in 2020, which is very appealing to fantasy owners, but his efficiency through the air is going to come down. We've never seen Watson without Hopkins, so he comes with an additional level of concern that you don't want when selecting a quarterback in the top six rounds.
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
With sky-high confidence, perfect seasoning and explosive weapons galore, a healthy Mahomes is set for another epic season - I'll take the over on 40 TD passes, 5k pass yards 
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
He is the best player in football and started using his legs a bit more on his super bowl run. If you are going to take a QB early, this is your guy. 
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Mahomes is only entering his third season and the sky is the limit for the 24-year old signal caller. He signed the biggest contract in NFL history and he is poised to dominate the league for at least the next decade.Ideally, Watson will not be so up and down in 2020, but his season stats are undeniable. He had 3,852 yards passing and 26 passing touchdowns to go along with 413 yards rushing and 7 rushing touchdowns. The only question is the fantasy impact of not having DeAndre Hopkins, but Watson is a pretty safe QB1 at this point.
Kyle Yates
FantasyPros
Draft Mahomes as either the first or second QB off the board. It's that simple.Even without Hopkins, Watson is going to be just fine for fantasy due to his rushing and playmaking ability. His overall ceiling will take a hit without Hopkins present, but he's still going to be a safe option to roll out every single week.
Elliot Berkovits
Pack to the Future
Coming off a historic 2018 season, expectations couldn't have been higher for Mahomes heading into 2019. Unfortunately, a mid-season knee injury ruined his chances of repeating as MVP but assuming he plays 16 games this year, he may end up as league MVP. His offense is arguably the best in the league and Mahomes is only going to get better.Deshaun Watson was easily my toughest QB to place because of the loss of DeAndre Hopkins. They did bring in Brandin Cooks but he pails in comparison to Hopkins. I have Watson at 4th overall because of his incredible rushing ability. Over the last two seasons, he's combined to rush for 964 yards and 12 touchdowns. Even with Hopkins gone, Watson should have a huge year.
Ben Wasley
The Fantasy First Down
Despite a horror 2019 for fantasy, where he battled injury, a brutal schedule of passing defences, Tyreek Hill's injury, an awful running game and touchdown regression, Mahomes finished as a QB1 in all but two full-game fantasy weeks. He averaged 20 points a game and hit the top 5 on six occasions but no doubt he was slowed down by knee and hand injuries so his healthy floor is even higher than that. For me, he remains the locked in dynasty and redraft QB1. Take him as early as the 3rd round.A 24-year-old with PPG finishes of QB1, QB6 and QB2 should be a locked-in fantasy star. Pan to Bill O'Brien. The incompetent Texans GM/Coach/Jester continues to ruin a supremely talented passing attack by failing to protect his elite QB and trading away his best receiver for an aging RB and a hot dog. Watson remains an elite fantasy QB but Brandin Cooks is no Deandre Hopkins and Watson will feel some more value depression, despite minor O-line improvements. He's a safe QB1 but lacks true upside. Just be patient and take him if he starts to fall.
Seth Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
 Just to play devil's advocate, Hopkins put up 1165 and 7 last year on 150 targets. A more spread out offense with more efficient production could Prevent Watson from really declining at all
Steven Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches
Mahomes had a down year in terms of fantasy. I expect this offense to bounce back in 2020. espically if they can get a third down back.