Who Should I Draft?

Patrick Mahomes or Julian Edelman

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Julian Edelman
WR - NE
Julian Edelman
 
 
Expert
Recommendation
75%
Recommended by
89 of 119 experts
25%
Recommended by
30 of 119 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 38# 43-
Best Rank# 7# 25-
Worst Rank# 65# 76-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total417.0133.4-
Avg Game26.111.1-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank3218-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Patrick MahomesJulian EdelmanAdd Player
    
Bobby SylvesterB. Sylv...
FantasyPros
23 m
#39#47-
    
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
FantasyPros
26 m
#26#31-
    
Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
27 m
#32#46-
    
Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
FantasyPros
1 h
#32#52-
    
Husein ShabazzH. Shabazz
SleeperWire
1 h
#51#46-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
1 h
#35#39-
    
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
2 h
#34#37-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
3 h
#32#44-
    
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
4 h
#49#47-
    
Muntradamus M.
Beast Dome
6 h
#59#31-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
9 h
#32#51-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
11 h
#54#50-
    
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
11 h
#32#45-
    
Bill EnrightB. Enright
FFChamps
12 h
#32#51-
    
Andy VandaA. Vanda
Take Your League
14 h
#32#44-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
QB List
15 h
#36#40-
    
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
16 h
#31#76-
    
Michael PetropoulosM. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
16 h
#22#37-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
17 h
#38#46-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
The Fantasy Footballers
17 h
#32#52-
    
Zach BrunnerZ. Brunner
FlurrySports
17 h
#39#47-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
WalterFootball
17 h
#40#35-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
18 h
#32#43-
    
Andrew GouldA. Gould
FantasyPros
18 h
#28#45-
    
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
20 h
#36#42-
    
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
20 h
#32#41-
    
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
21 h
#32#43-
    
Andy HollowayA. Holl...
The Fantasy Footballers
21 h
#32#73-
    
Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
22 h
#46#36-
    
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Fantasy Knuckleheads
22 h
#54#41-
    
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Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
23 h
#20#67-
    
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
1 d
#32#47-
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
1 d
#31#47-
    
Blake FincherB. Fincher
Fantasy Football Cafe
1 d
#32#41-
    
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
1 d
#22#41-
    
Greg SmithG. Smith
TwoQBs
1 d
#22#57-
    
Mike RandleM. Randle
BettingPros
1 d
#32#44-
    
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#35#75-
    
Kyle AugustK. August
FF Fellas
2 d
#32#34-
    
Jason PetropoulosJ. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
2 d
#46#35-
    
Matthew BoweM. Bowe
Razzball
2 d
#35#37-
    
Nick MarianoN. Mariano
RotoBaller
2 d
#31#40-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
2 d
#22#31-
    
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
2 d
#35#31-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
RotoExperts
2 d
#40#69-
    
Dave McKayD. McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
2 d
#33#46-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#32#44-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#54#41-
    
Ryan SkolrudR. Skolrud
SkullKing Football
2 d
#22#50-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
The Quant Edge
2 d
#32#25-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
2 d
#32#46-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
2 d
#39#44-
    
Justin GeorgeJ. George
Take Your League
2 d
#32#44-
    
Brad ZieglerB. Ziegler
The Athletic
2 d
#32#44-
    
Jason LongfellowJ. Long...
Razzball
2 d
#32#43-
    
Bill DubielB. Dubiel
RotoBaller
2 d
#32#51-
    
Anthony AmicoA. Amico
DraftKings
2 d
#65#61-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
2 d
#41#42-
    
Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
2 d
#50#37-
    
Matt CampM. Camp
Bleacher Report
2 d
#47#49-
    
Marc CavigliaM. Cavi...
Bruno Boys
3 d
#32#43-
    
Michael FlorioM. Florio
Fantrax
3 d
#32#44-
    
Seth McKinleyS. McKi...
FF Fellas
3 d
#32#44-
    
George BankoG. Banko
Fantasy Football Helpers
3 d
#57#37-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
3 d
#32#44-
    
Site RankingsS. Rank...
FantasyOMatic
3 d
#18#43-
    
Nick HumphreysN. Hump...
Fantasy Victors
3 d
#32#51-
    
Matt OkadaM. Okada
Redshirts Fantasy Football
3 d
#54#25-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
3 d
#54#43-
    
Elisha TwerskiE. Twerski
FantasyPros
3 d
#32#44-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
3 d
#35#43-
    
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
4 d
#35#39-
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
4 d
#32#43-
    
Scott WhitfieldS. Whit...
Roto Rankings
4 d
#32#41-
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
4 d
#22#45-
    
Sablich BrothersS. Brot...
5th Down Fantasy
4 d
#32#41-
    
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
4 d
#60#35-
    
Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
4 d
#37#43-
    
Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
4 d
#32#49-
    
4 d
#7#40-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
DraftWize
4 d
#47#60-
    
Mike MonkM. Monk
IDP Monk
5 d
#35#37-
    
Site RankingsS. Rank...
FFToday
5 d
#37#32-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
5 d
#32#25-
    
Jason MooreJ. Moore
The Fantasy Footballers
5 d
#32#31-
    
Walton SpurlinW. Spurlin
FantasyPros
5 d
#32#52-
    
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
5 d
#42#30-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
5 d
#38#36-
    
Mark RossM. Ross
Athlon Sports
5 d
#34#29-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
FullTime Fantasy
5 d
#32#41-
    
Matt De LimaM. De Lima
FullTime Fantasy
5 d
#32#51-
    
J.P. ScottJ. Scott
Athlon Sports
5 d
#21#48-
    
David BiggsD. Biggs
Drink Five
6 d
#32#30-
    
Mundo Fantasy MXM. Fant...
Mundo Fantasy
7 d
#32#43-
    
Alan HarrisonA. Harr...
The Fantasy Fix
7 d
#32#34-
    
Nate HamiltonN. Hami...
Fantrax
7 d
#57#40-
    
Anthony StaggsA. Staggs
FF Statistics
7 d
#35#39-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
1 w
#35#39-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
1 w
#35#42-
    
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
1 w
#35#30-
    
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
1 w
#42#65-
    
Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
Breaking Football
1 w
#35#60-
    
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
SportsLine
1 w
#35#29-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
2 w
#15#75-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
2 w
#35#40-
    
Scott SmithS. Smith
RotoViz
2 w
#48#38-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
The Athletic
2 w
#22#31-
    
Ryan Hodge R. Hodge
ProjectRoto
2 w
#35#34-
    
Jeff PaurJ. Paur
RTSports
2 w
#35#42-
    
Thor AkerleyT. Akerley
Fantasy Team Advice
3 w
#35#37-
    
Jake ArthurJ. Arthur
Colts.com
4 w
#32#43-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
4 w
#35#75-
    
Christian BritoC. Brito
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
3 w
#31-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
FantasyData
07/15
#59#37-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
06/27
#22#40-
    
Derek BrownD. Brown
The Quant Edge
06/01
#47#60-
    
David FucilloD. Fucillo
SB Nation
05/08
#22#50-
    
Chris MeyersC. Meyers
Athlon Sports
05/07
#22#49-
    
Nick VertucciN. Vert...
Sundays Are For Football
01/31
#26#63-
    
  Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Julian Edelman
WR - NE
Julian Edelman
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 at JAC vs. PIT
Week 2 at OAK at MIA
Week 3 vs. BAL vs. NYJ
Week 4 at DET at BUF
Week 5 vs. IND at WAS
Week 6 vs. HOU vs. NYG
Week 7 at DEN at NYJ
Week 8 vs. GB vs. CLE
Week 9 vs. MIN at BAL
Week 10 at TENBYE WEEK
Week 11 at LAC at PHI
Week 12BYE WEEK vs. DAL
Week 13 vs. OAK at HOU
Week 14 at NE vs. KC
Week 15 vs. DEN at CIN
Week 16 at CHI vs. BUF
Week 17 vs. LAC vs. MIA
  Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Julian Edelman
WR - NE
Julian Edelman
2018 Points 
Week 128.3
Week 238.8
Week 325.3
Week 422.9
Week 515.85.7
Week 627.012.1
Week 732.89.6
Week 826.011.7
Week 926.811.4
Week 1020.110.6
Week 1135.9
Week 1214.4
Week 1333.06.0
Week 1420.814.6
Week 1518.09.0
Week 1628.213.0
Week 1717.315.3
  Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Julian Edelman
WR - NE
Julian Edelman
Expert 
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
Depending on the format, he was typically 4-5 FAN PTS better per week than the No. 2 overall fantasy QB - sure, regression is bound to happen, but don't expect too much - special talent, great system, ample weaponsIn Half-PPR formats, he delivered 12+ FAN PTS in 10 of 12 games - He was WR14 in FAN PPG, a level he should be able to sustain in a now Gronk-less offense
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
Lowering him to the start of Round 5. Still my top ranked fantasy QB, but I like Deshaun Watson almost as much. 
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
Overall QB1. Anyone who says otherwise is trying to be too cute.Despite the age, Julian Edelman is lined up for what could be a career year. He was on pace to eclipse 150 targets last season if he were to play in all 16 games, and that was with Josh Gordon for some time and Gronk for some time. The Pats did not make any real splashes to boost their position players this offseason, so it is going to be all Julian Edelman again for the wideouts.
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
In terms of raw fantasy points, Mahomes broke the historical quarterback record, but when you compare him to the QB13, or above replacement value, he was merely 20th of all-time. While that is still great, of course, it was driven by an astronomical and unsustainable touchdown rate. Regress that to the expected mean and there is no reason you should be considering him in the 2nd, let alone 1st round. If he drops to the late 3rd, however, that would be a strong value.Those expecting Edelman to outperform his ADP might be in for a surprise as he has never finished higher than WR19 in fantasy. Part of this has to do with his inability to stay on the field and at 33 years old, reversing that tendency may prove a difficult task. He comes with reliability while healthy but perhaps with a price tag too steep.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Mahomes did score 417 fantasy points last year, but quarterbacks rarely duplicate historic seasons. I think Mahomes will have a great year, but I do not think he reaches 417 fantasy points again.Edelman had 74 receptions for 850 yards and 6 touchdowns in 12 games last year. He sees a ton of short passes and he should maintain WR3 value this year.
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
The #1 QB in True Throw Value last season, Mahomes (unsurprisingly) had the most valuable throw of any QB last season. Even with regression, he can still be a top-3 QB. However, he's being taken too early in drafts. 
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
I won't actually be investing an early round pick on a QB, but Mahomes remains the guy if you plan on doing so. 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Yes, Mahomes is coming off the best fantasy season of all-time for a quarterback. Yes, he's going to have some regression. He threw a touchdown on 8.6 percent of his passes in 2018, the seventh-highest mark of all-time. Here's the list of quarterbacks who are ahead of them, included with their touchdown rate in that season, as well as the following season: Peyton Manning (9.9 to 6.2), Ken Stabler (9.3 to 6.8), Deshaun Watson (9.3 to 5.1), Aaron Rodgers (9.0 to 7.1), Tom Brady (8.7 to 5.0), Mark Rypien (8.7 to 4.6). Don't pay for last year's statsThere are not nearly as many familiar faces for Tom Brady to look at nowadays, but Edelman remains as his favorite target. With Rob Gronkowski ailing last year, Edelman stepped up and finished as a WR2 or better in 75 percent of his games, a new career-high. With Gronkowski and Chris Hogan gone, Edelman's role isn't going to shrink in 2019. He's a sturdy WR2 presence
Sean Koerner
The Action Network
 misses 3.2 games a season not including 2017 ACL year
Kyle Yates
The Fantasy Footballers
Without Tyreek Hill, it's hard to imagine 5,000 yards and 50 Touchdowns again from Patrick Mahomes. With that being said, he's still projected to be my Top QB this season and he should be the first QB off the board in fantasy drafts. 
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
My exact ranking on Mahomes is going to depend on whether or not Hill is suspended. If he is, then I don't see how you can draft Mahomes. If he isn't, then his ADP is likely to rise to a point where you can's draft him. So either way, it's a no for me. I understand that he just posted over 5,000 yards and 50 TD's. But I also know that he just had one of the best years ever in terms of passing TD percentage...and that he's likely to see at least a little regression in that category. But the main reason for not drafting him is the opportunity cost. He's the top ranked QB this season...no one is going to deny that. But this season has the single deepest QB pool in the history of the NFL. There are around 25 QB's that you can make the case for starting in a 12 team league. Will all of them pan out? Of course not. But there are going to be QB's going in the 12th round and later that finish within a point per game of the top tier. It's just not worth spending such a high pick at a position where there are so many elite options going at the end of drafts. And this is especially true if Hill were to miss any number of games.Since becoming a full-time starter in 2013, Edelman has averaged 2.5 more targets, 1.25 more receptions and 15 more yards per game without gronk in the lineup. His stats sans Gronk, regressed over a full season, comes out to 181 targets / 116.8 receptions / 1,289 yards / 4.8 TD's. That stat line would have finished 10th last season. Edelman has the 13th highest projection according to my model and his projection is extremely reasonable. The biggest risk with Edelman is with his health. He's really struggled to stay healthy over his career and he's got one of the highest projections for games missed due to injury this season. Fortunately, that's the only risk he carries. He's going to produce every game he plays, and he very rarely has down games. Since 2015 he has just three total games with less than 6 targets. In those games, his stat lines were, 4/84/1, 4/53/0, 4/120/1. Edelman is coming off the board as the WR 15 in the 4th round. The only way he doesn't finish as a value is if he gets hurt, and even then, he'll still get there on a per game level, So if he's hurt for 4 weeks, then just slide in one of the million under valued receivers going late in drafts. You won't be taking a 0 for the games he misses.