Who Should I Draft?

Patrick Mahomes or Robert Woods

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Robert Woods
WR - LAR
Robert Woods
 
 
Expert
Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
75 of 119 experts
37%
Recommended by
44 of 119 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 38# 40-
Best Rank# 7# 25-
Worst Rank# 65# 73-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total417.0179.6-
Avg Game26.111.2-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank329-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Patrick MahomesRobert WoodsAdd Player
    
Bobby SylvesterB. Sylv...
FantasyPros
35 m
#39#34-
    
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
FantasyPros
38 m
#26#37-
    
Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
39 m
#32#34-
    
Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
FantasyPros
1 h
#32#33-
    
Husein ShabazzH. Shabazz
SleeperWire
1 h
#51#37-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
1 h
#35#31-
    
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
2 h
#34#32-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
3 h
#32#41-
    
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
4 h
#49#27-
    
Muntradamus M.
Beast Dome
6 h
#59#41-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
9 h
#32#43-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
11 h
#54#27-
    
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
12 h
#32#43-
    
Bill EnrightB. Enright
FFChamps
12 h
#32#41-
    
Andy VandaA. Vanda
Take Your League
14 h
#32#30-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
QB List
15 h
#36#37-
    
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
16 h
#31#49-
    
Michael PetropoulosM. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
17 h
#22#27-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
17 h
#38#35-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
The Fantasy Footballers
17 h
#32#50-
    
Zach BrunnerZ. Brunner
FlurrySports
17 h
#39#34-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
WalterFootball
18 h
#40#39-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
18 h
#32#46-
    
Andrew GouldA. Gould
FantasyPros
18 h
#28#35-
    
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
20 h
#36#37-
    
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
20 h
#32#43-
    
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
21 h
#32#46-
    
Andy HollowayA. Holl...
The Fantasy Footballers
22 h
#32#30-
    
Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
22 h
#46#28-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
Fantasy Knuckleheads
23 h
#54#50-
    
Dale DeMottD. DeMott
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
23 h
#20#38-
    
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
1 d
#32#43-
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
1 d
#31#27-
    
Blake FincherB. Fincher
Fantasy Football Cafe
1 d
#32#34-
    
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
1 d
#22#73-
    
Greg SmithG. Smith
TwoQBs
1 d
#22#34-
    
Mike RandleM. Randle
BettingPros
1 d
#32#25-
    
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#35#27-
    
Kyle AugustK. August
FF Fellas
2 d
#32#30-
    
Jason PetropoulosJ. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
2 d
#46#32-
    
Matthew BoweM. Bowe
Razzball
2 d
#35#29-
    
Nick MarianoN. Mariano
RotoBaller
2 d
#31#37-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
2 d
#22#30-
    
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
2 d
#35#42-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
RotoExperts
2 d
#40#39-
    
Dave McKayD. McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
2 d
#33#49-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#32#43-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#54#50-
    
Ryan SkolrudR. Skolrud
SkullKing Football
2 d
#22#31-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
The Quant Edge
2 d
#32#52-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
2 d
#32#51-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
2 d
#39#45-
    
Justin GeorgeJ. George
Take Your League
2 d
#32#43-
    
Brad ZieglerB. Ziegler
The Athletic
2 d
#32#27-
    
Jason LongfellowJ. Long...
Razzball
2 d
#32#46-
    
Bill DubielB. Dubiel
RotoBaller
2 d
#32#43-
    
Anthony AmicoA. Amico
DraftKings
2 d
#65#33-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
2 d
#41#37-
    
Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
2 d
#50#31-
    
Matt CampM. Camp
Bleacher Report
2 d
#47#45-
    
Marc CavigliaM. Cavi...
Bruno Boys
3 d
#32#34-
    
Michael FlorioM. Florio
Fantrax
3 d
#32#46-
    
Seth McKinleyS. McKi...
FF Fellas
3 d
#32#27-
    
George BankoG. Banko
Fantasy Football Helpers
3 d
#57#34-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
3 d
#32#31-
    
Site RankingsS. Rank...
FantasyOMatic
3 d
#18#41-
    
Nick HumphreysN. Hump...
Fantasy Victors
3 d
#32#41-
    
Matt OkadaM. Okada
Redshirts Fantasy Football
3 d
#54#46-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
3 d
#54#33-
    
Elisha TwerskiE. Twerski
FantasyPros
3 d
#32#41-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
3 d
#35#41-
    
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
4 d
#35#40-
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
4 d
#32#41-
    
Scott WhitfieldS. Whit...
Roto Rankings
4 d
#32#34-
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
4 d
#22#37-
    
Sablich BrothersS. Brot...
5th Down Fantasy
4 d
#32#46-
    
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
4 d
#60#39-
    
Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
4 d
#37#50-
    
Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
4 d
#32#43-
    
4 d
#7#37-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
DraftWize
4 d
#47#31-
    
Mike MonkM. Monk
IDP Monk
5 d
#35#39-
    
Site RankingsS. Rank...
FFToday
5 d
#37#39-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
5 d
#32#30-
    
Jason MooreJ. Moore
The Fantasy Footballers
5 d
#32#27-
    
Walton SpurlinW. Spurlin
FantasyPros
5 d
#32#43-
    
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
5 d
#42#39-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
5 d
#38#39-
    
Mark RossM. Ross
Athlon Sports
5 d
#34#36-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
FullTime Fantasy
5 d
#32#50-
    
Matt De LimaM. De Lima
FullTime Fantasy
5 d
#32#43-
    
J.P. ScottJ. Scott
Athlon Sports
5 d
#21#40-
    
David BiggsD. Biggs
Drink Five
6 d
#32#44-
    
Mundo Fantasy MXM. Fant...
Mundo Fantasy
7 d
#32#30-
    
Alan HarrisonA. Harr...
The Fantasy Fix
7 d
#32#43-
    
Nate HamiltonN. Hami...
Fantrax
7 d
#57#60-
    
Anthony StaggsA. Staggs
FF Statistics
7 d
#35#42-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
1 w
#35#34-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
1 w
#35#37-
    
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
1 w
#35#34-
    
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
1 w
#42#66-
    
Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
Breaking Football
1 w
#35#45-
    
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
SportsLine
1 w
#35#40-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
2 w
#15#68-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
2 w
#35#45-
    
Scott SmithS. Smith
RotoViz
2 w
#48#40-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
The Athletic
2 w
#22#40-
    
Ryan Hodge R. Hodge
ProjectRoto
2 w
#35#40-
    
Jeff PaurJ. Paur
RTSports
2 w
#35#61-
    
Thor AkerleyT. Akerley
Fantasy Team Advice
3 w
#35#45-
    
Jake ArthurJ. Arthur
Colts.com
4 w
#32#44-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
4 w
#35#34-
    
Christian BritoC. Brito
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
3 w
#31-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
FantasyData
07/15
#59#35-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
06/27
#22#37-
    
Derek BrownD. Brown
The Quant Edge
06/01
#47#37-
    
David FucilloD. Fucillo
SB Nation
05/08
#22#37-
    
Chris MeyersC. Meyers
Athlon Sports
05/07
#22#39-
    
Nick VertucciN. Vert...
Sundays Are For Football
01/31
#26#39-
    
  Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Robert Woods
WR - LAR
Robert Woods
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 at JAC at CAR
Week 2 at OAK vs. NO
Week 3 vs. BAL at CLE
Week 4 at DET vs. TB
Week 5 vs. IND at SEA
Week 6 vs. HOU vs. SF
Week 7 at DEN at ATL
Week 8 vs. GB vs. CIN
Week 9 vs. MINBYE WEEK
Week 10 at TEN at PIT
Week 11 at LAC vs. CHI
Week 12BYE WEEK vs. BAL
Week 13 vs. OAK at ARI
Week 14 at NE vs. SEA
Week 15 vs. DEN at DAL
Week 16 at CHI at SF
Week 17 vs. LAC vs. ARI
  Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Robert Woods
WR - LAR
Robert Woods
2018 Points 
Week 128.34.3
Week 238.88.1
Week 325.323.7
Week 422.916.1
Week 515.814.5
Week 627.012.1
Week 732.88.4
Week 826.07.0
Week 926.87.5
Week 1020.110.6
Week 1135.913.2
Week 12
Week 1333.013.8
Week 1420.86.1
Week 1518.09.3
Week 1628.222.4
Week 1717.32.5
  Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Robert Woods
WR - LAR
Robert Woods
Expert 
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
Depending on the format, he was typically 4-5 FAN PTS better per week than the No. 2 overall fantasy QB - sure, regression is bound to happen, but don't expect too much - special talent, great system, ample weapons 
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
Lowering him to the start of Round 5. Still my top ranked fantasy QB, but I like Deshaun Watson almost as much. 
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
Overall QB1. Anyone who says otherwise is trying to be too cute. 
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
In terms of raw fantasy points, Mahomes broke the historical quarterback record, but when you compare him to the QB13, or above replacement value, he was merely 20th of all-time. While that is still great, of course, it was driven by an astronomical and unsustainable touchdown rate. Regress that to the expected mean and there is no reason you should be considering him in the 2nd, let alone 1st round. If he drops to the late 3rd, however, that would be a strong value.Woods ends a six-man third-tier of fantasy receivers before a huge drop-off to the fourth tier. It might not feel as sexy as some other picks in the fourth or fifth round, but there is something to be said for his safety week to week and year-long in this Rams' machine of an offense.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Mahomes did score 417 fantasy points last year, but quarterbacks rarely duplicate historic seasons. I think Mahomes will have a great year, but I do not think he reaches 417 fantasy points again.Woods and Cooks were 1A and 1B in the passing offense last year, but the return of WR Cooper Kupp should make Woods a boom / bust WR3 most weeks.
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
The #1 QB in True Throw Value last season, Mahomes (unsurprisingly) had the most valuable throw of any QB last season. Even with regression, he can still be a top-3 QB. However, he's being taken too early in drafts.Woods With Kupp: 5.6 - 85.48 - 0.38 Woods Without Kupp: 5.15 - 66.87 - 0.38 There is no reason to think Woods will digress with Kupp back and healthy. Woods is the definition of a rock-solid WR2.
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
I won't actually be investing an early round pick on a QB, but Mahomes remains the guy if you plan on doing so. 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Yes, Mahomes is coming off the best fantasy season of all-time for a quarterback. Yes, he's going to have some regression. He threw a touchdown on 8.6 percent of his passes in 2018, the seventh-highest mark of all-time. Here's the list of quarterbacks who are ahead of them, included with their touchdown rate in that season, as well as the following season: Peyton Manning (9.9 to 6.2), Ken Stabler (9.3 to 6.8), Deshaun Watson (9.3 to 5.1), Aaron Rodgers (9.0 to 7.1), Tom Brady (8.7 to 5.0), Mark Rypien (8.7 to 4.6). Don't pay for last year's statsIt required at least 11.7 PPR points to finish as a WR3 or better in 2018. That's a number Woods hit in 87.5 percent of his games. The wide receivers who did it more? Davante Adams, DeAndre Hopkins, and Antonio Brown. That's it. He doesn't offer the upside of the top-tier guys, but as a steady, consistent WR2 in your lineup, Woods gets the job done
Kyle Yates
The Fantasy Footballers
Without Tyreek Hill, it's hard to imagine 5,000 yards and 50 Touchdowns again from Patrick Mahomes. With that being said, he's still projected to be my Top QB this season and he should be the first QB off the board in fantasy drafts. 
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
My exact ranking on Mahomes is going to depend on whether or not Hill is suspended. If he is, then I don't see how you can draft Mahomes. If he isn't, then his ADP is likely to rise to a point where you can's draft him. So either way, it's a no for me. I understand that he just posted over 5,000 yards and 50 TD's. But I also know that he just had one of the best years ever in terms of passing TD percentage...and that he's likely to see at least a little regression in that category. But the main reason for not drafting him is the opportunity cost. He's the top ranked QB this season...no one is going to deny that. But this season has the single deepest QB pool in the history of the NFL. There are around 25 QB's that you can make the case for starting in a 12 team league. Will all of them pan out? Of course not. But there are going to be QB's going in the 12th round and later that finish within a point per game of the top tier. It's just not worth spending such a high pick at a position where there are so many elite options going at the end of drafts. And this is especially true if Hill were to miss any number of games.Woods finished last season as the WR 11 with an 86/1219/7 stat line. Woods was the most consistent WR on the Rams roster last season, posting double digit fantasy points in 14 of 16 weeks, while going over 60 receiving yards in that same number. While the consistency was nice, he showed a slightly lower ceiling than the other receivers near the top 10. Woods topped out at 109 receiving yards, and he topped 22 fantasy points just twice. Woods was extremely durable last season, playing in 98.6% of Goff's snaps. He appeared in every game, and was really an every down player in all of those games. That was his best season as a pro, not only from a production standpoint, but also when looking at his health. He's suffered 2 ankle sprains, a pulled back, a groin tear, a knee strain and a shoulder strain. Despite these injuries, he's still been able to appear in 89% of his possible games. Sports injury predictor gives him the highest percent chance to miss time due to an injury with 3 projected games missed. I think that projection is fine, but I wouldn't worry too much about him having the highest chance to miss time, It's really just because he's missed a game in 4/6 seasons…but he's never missed more than 3 weeks, and it's not a big deal if he misses a game or two. I don't think you should be concerned at all with his injuries. This will be Woods's 7th season as a pro, last year being his first with over 800 yards, although it's tough to blame anyone for not producing while on the Bills. In his first season with the Rams he was on pace for over 1,000 yards…but he missed 3 games with a shoulder injury, and then the starters were held out of week 17. I also want to mention his splits with and without Kupp. With Kupp out of the lineup last season Woods averaged the same number of targets, but for half a reception less, and for 19 less yards. He also averaged 2.3 less fantasy points per game. So, the return of Kupp actually helps him. Ultimately, Woods should be viewed as a safe pick. He's a consistent point scorer on an elite offense, and he's still just 27.