Who Should I Draft?

Philip Rivers or Mitch Trubisky

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Experts' Pick
 
  Philip Rivers
QB - LAC
Philip Rivers
Mitch Trubisky
QB - CHI
Mitch Trubisky
 
 
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
69 of 94 experts
27%
Recommended by
25 of 94 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 16# 18-
Best Rank# 8# 5-
Worst Rank# 27# 26-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total284.9262.9-
Avg Game17.818.8-
Avg Projection271.5271.8-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank194-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Philip RiversMitch TrubiskyAdd Player
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
2 m
#12#18-
    
Anthony AmicoA. Amico
RotoViz
13 m
#15#16-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
38 m
#18#19-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
49 m
#18#12-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
RotoExperts
1 h
#17#18-
    
Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
1 h
#18#9-
    
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
1 h
#23#21-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
Yahoo! Sports
2 h
#19#16-
    
Anthony StaggsA. Staggs
FF Statistics
3 h
#16#17-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
3 h
#19#15-
    
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
3 h
#18#17-
    
Nate HamiltonN. Hami...
Fantrax
3 h
#12#17-
    
Michael FlorioM. Florio
Fantrax
3 h
#14#17-
    
Andy HollowayA. Holl...
The Fantasy Footballers
4 h
#20#19-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
4 h
#19#22-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
WalterFootball
4 h
#19#23-
    
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
4 h
#17#23-
    
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
Fantasy Fusion
4 h
#14#19-
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
5 h
#19#11-
    
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
5 h
#17#19-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
5 h
#14#20-
    
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
5 h
#15#18-
    
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
5 h
#17#19-
    
Dylan ChappineD. Chap...
White Wolf Sports
5 h
#18#20-
    
Kyle AugustK. August
FF Fellas
6 h
#10#22-
    
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
6 h
#17#20-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
6 h
#18#19-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
6 h
#14#17-
    
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
6 h
#13#16-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
The Athletic
14 h
#13#20-
    
Site RankingsS. Rank...
FFToday
20 h
#12#18-
    
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
20 h
#22#15-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
1 d
#14#26-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
1 d
#21#16-
    
Elisha TwerskiE. Twerski
Cheesehead TV
2 d
#13#15-
    
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
2 d
#16#18-
    
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
2 d
#19#10-
    
Armando CrespoA. Crespo
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
3 d
#14#15-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
The Fantasy Footballers
3 d
#20#5-
    
Bill EnrightB. Enright
FFChamps
4 d
#16#18-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
4 d
#13#15-
    
Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
4 d
#11#20-
    
Matt De LimaM. De Lima
FullTime Fantasy
4 d
#19#17-
    
John PaulsenJ. Paulsen
4for4.com
4 d
#13#18-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
5 d
#15#20-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
FantasyData
5 d
#17#10-
    
Blake FincherB. Fincher
Fantasy Football Cafe
5 d
#16#17-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
5 d
#14#16-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
DraftWize
7 d
#14#18-
    
Bobby SylvesterB. Sylv...
FantasyPros
7 d
#17#18-
    
David BiggsD. Biggs
Drink Five
1 w
#27#14-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
The Quant Edge
1 w
#20#17-
    
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
1 w
#19#12-
    
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
1 w
#15#21-
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
1 w
#16#18-
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
2 w
#11#20-
    
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
2 w
#16#21-
    
Kevin HansonK. Hanson
EDSFootball
2 w
#21#15-
    
Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
2 w
#14#15-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
2 w
#10#16-
    
Ryan SkolrudR. Skolrud
SkullKing Football
2 w
#12#15-
    
Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
2 w
#19#14-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
2 w
#20#15-
    
Dale DeMottD. DeMott
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
2 w
#13#19-
    
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
3 w
#15#19-
    
Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
Gridiron Experts
3 w
#17#19-
    
Nick HumphreysN. Hump...
Fantasy Victors
3 w
#12#15-
    
Michael BellerM. Beller
Sports Illustrated
3 w
#14#17-
    
Mike RandleM. Randle
BettingPros
4 w
#14#21-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
FullTime Fantasy
4 w
#17#19-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
4 w
#8#23-
    
Kyle KontosK. Kontos
Double K Football
06/18
#6#23-
    
George BankoG. Banko
Fantasy Football Helpers
6 d
#15#18-
    
Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
06/14
#16#22-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
06/12
#16#18-
    
Derek BrownD. Brown
The Quant Edge
06/01
#16#18-
    
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
06/10
#13#16-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
06/09
#18#19-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
06/03
#12#16-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
05/30
#14#16-
    
Jason MooreJ. Moore
The Fantasy Footballers
05/29
#18#16-
    
Justin PickleJ. Pickle
The Hateful 8
05/31
#12#17-
    
Andrew FerrisA. Ferris
Fantasy Hot Read
05/22
#17#18-
    
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
1 w
#22#19-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
05/14
#11#22-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
05/11
#18#15-
    
Adam RankA. Rank
NFL.com
05/09
#14#8-
    
Graham BarfieldG. Barf...
NFL.com
05/09
#13#21-
    
Chris MeyersC. Meyers
Athlon Sports
05/07
#13#16-
    
J.P. ScottJ. Scott
Athlon Sports
05/02
#12#13-
    
Christian BritoC. Brito
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
2 w
#15#16-
    
Seth McKinleyS. McKi...
FF Fellas
03/02
#13#16-
    
Nick VertucciN. Vert...
Sundays Are For Football
01/31
#13#14-
    
Nick MarianoN. Mariano
RotoBaller
01/25
#16#15-
    
  Philip Rivers
QB - LAC
Philip Rivers
Mitch Trubisky
QB - CHI
Mitch Trubisky
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. IND vs. GB
Week 2 at DET at DEN
Week 3 vs. HOU at WAS
Week 4 at MIA vs. MIN
Week 5 vs. DEN at OAK
Week 6 vs. PITBYE WEEK
Week 7 at TEN vs. NO
Week 8 at CHI vs. LAC
Week 9 vs. GB at PHI
Week 10 at OAK vs. DET
Week 11 vs. KC at LAR
Week 12BYE WEEK vs. NYG
Week 13 at DEN at DET
Week 14 at JAC vs. DAL
Week 15 vs. MIN at GB
Week 16 vs. OAK vs. KC
Week 17 at KC at MIN
  Philip Rivers
QB - LAC
Philip Rivers
Mitch Trubisky
QB - CHI
Mitch Trubisky
Passing
   
Pass Att548.0509.7
Pass Cmp361.4331.6
Pass Yards4,390.03,750.7
Pass TDs29.825.1
Ints12.213.2
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts14.366.1
Rush Yards26.2378.9
Rush TDs0.22.4
   
Misc
   
Fumbles1.42.5
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points271.5271.8
   
  Philip Rivers
QB - LAC
Philip Rivers
Mitch Trubisky
QB - CHI
Mitch Trubisky
2018 Points 
Week 129.014.0
Week 222.714.4
Week 317.05.6
Week 421.743.5
Week 521.4
Week 614.327.3
Week 720.131.4
Week 821.9
Week 917.18.0
Week 1015.036.0
Week 1119.614.9
Week 1220.7
Week 1324.0
Week 1413.54.7
Week 1518.519.0
Week 163.312.1
Week 177.010.1
  Philip Rivers
QB - LAC
Philip Rivers
Mitch Trubisky
QB - CHI
Mitch Trubisky
Expert 
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
Rivers is a solid late round pick this season. The Chargers have been hit with the injury bug for a few seasons in a row now...but this could be the year they're finally healthy. His supporting cast of Allen/Gordon/Williams/Henry/Ekeler is one of the best in the league. He's thrown for over 4,300 yards in each of the last 4 seasons, averaging 30.5 TD's per season over that stretch. He, somewhat impressively, hasn't scored a rushing TD since 2011. So all of his value comes through the air. That likely means he won't finish in the top 5, but if his team can stay healthy (and not hold out) this season, then 38 TD passes is within his range of outcomes. I'm comfortable drafting Rivers late in drafts if you miss out on the earlier options.Trubisky is an interesting late round pick this season. The Bears ranked 10th in scoring last season, and I expect them to take a small step forward this year. Trubisky has another offseason with Matt Nagy, and the team has upgraded their weapons. The core of Cohen/Robinson/Trubisky/Miller is returning, but they've also added gadget player Cordarrelle Patterson, along with rookie David Montgomery. Trubisky should also add around 500 rushing yards on the ground, and we all know how important rushing yards are to stabilizing QB production for fantasy. My only concern with Mitch is that I have no idea if he's a good QB or not. We've seen flashes of greatness out of him, but also games where he just falls apart. That sort of production is going to be frustrating for fantasy, which is why I'm hesitant to use him as my QB in a single QB league. The upside is there, but I really have no idea if he'll capitalize on it. If you think he will, then draft him. If not, then there are a million other late round QB's you can target.
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
I moved Rivers and Cousins down to this tier with some boring/safe veterans, but I'd be fine with either as my starting fantasy QB (especially if I get them at the end of my draft).I haven't moved him up, but just pointing out that I have him 6 spots higher than the ECR.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Rivers was the 11th ranked fantasy quarterback thanks to 4,308 yards and 32 passing touchdowns in 2018. He remains a low-end QB on an offense that still seems to be on the ascent.Trubisky made a big jump in year two and he was the 15th ranked fantasy quarterback with 24 passing touchdowns and 3 rushing touchdowns. His solid rushing numbers combined with him now being in Matt Nagy's system for a second year should make him a solid QB2 in 2019.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Here's the example of a player who's top-five at his position in real-life, but not when it comes to fantasy. You've probably heard it a million times - Rivers has been a top-14 quarterback in 11-of-13 seasons, so you're drafting him at his floor if he's being taken as the QB14. Well, no. Rivers is a very consistent quarterback, but he's not going to help lead your team to a championship. There was just one game in 2018 where he totaled more than 24 fantasy points, and it's because his defense has continually gotten better. He also doesn't offer anything rushing, so unless his defense takes a step back in 2019, he's not going to have much of a chance to deliver much better numbers in 2019.He missed two full games last year, had an entirely new offense to learn, and had all new pass-catchers. Seriously, not one was the same. Despite that, he finished as the QB15 on the season (No. 11 in points per game). It'll be his second year in Matt Nagy's offense and he didn't lose anyone. If you don't realize he has upside similar to Cam Newton, you're missing something. He rushed for at least 43 yards on five separate occasions. Most don't realize that despite playing in the same number of games and throwing 52 fewer passes, Trubisky outscored Baker Mayfield by 23.0 fantasy points in 2018.
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Since throwing 661 passes four years ago, the Chargers have slowly been pulling it back, all the way down to 508 in 2018. While he does have killer weapons in the receiving game, Gordon, Ekeler and even Justin Jackson make it likely that Rivers' fantasy production will again be hindered by the running game. Furthermore, his 6.3% TD-rate is almost certain to come down as well so don't be surprised if he ends up lower than his standard fringe QB1 finish.Trubisky was not only much improved in the passing game last year, but he finished with 421 rushing yards and 3 scores on the ground. For a three week stretch, he was the top scorer not only in the NFL but in fantasy football history. There is a big ceiling here but he is also one of the riskiest week to week options in the QB2 range as well.